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Telecom Customer
Bases – Part 2
Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and
Numbers: Charts & Tables
2004-2008
[HR.CTD002.V1U1-2009]
Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research
11/7/2009
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Telecom Customer Bases – Part 2
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Nov. 7
2
Contents
List of Figures & Tables........................................................................................................ 3
FWL / PSTN Customer Base ................................................................................................ 4
FWA Customer Base ............................................................................................................. 6
Mobile/Cellular Customer Base.......................................................................................... 10
Wireless Customer Base ..................................................................................................... 17
Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 20
Telecom Customer Bases – Part 2
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Nov. 7
3
List of Figures & Tables
Figure 1 Fixed Wireline Subscriber Base (2004-2008)........................................................ 4
Figure 2 Market Share of FWL Minor Players.................................................................... 5
Figure 3 FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008)........................................................................ 6
Figure 4 FWA Market Shares (2004-2008).......................................................................... 7
Figure 5 FWA Market Share 2008E..................................................................................... 7
Figure 6 Prepaid FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008).......................................................... 8
Figure 7 FWA Prepaid Portion 2004-2008 (All Operators)................................................. 9
Figure 8 FWA Prepaid Portions 2004-2008 ......................................................................... 9
Figure 9 Mobile/Cellular Subscriber Base (2004-2008)..................................................... 10
Figure 10 Market Share of Subscribers 2008E.................................................................. 11
Figure 11 Market Shares of Mobile Subscribers - All ....................................................... 12
Figure 12 Market Shares of Mobile Subscribers – Minor Players.................................... 12
Figure 13 Market Shares of Subscribers of TSEL, ISAT & XL ........................................ 13
Figure 14 Prepaid Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ................................................... 14
Figure 15 Postpaid Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008).................................................. 15
Figure 16 Mobile Prepaid Portion 2004-2008 (All Operators) .......................................... 16
Figure 17 Mobile Prepaid Portion 2004-2008 .................................................................... 16
Figure 18 Wireless Subscriber Base (2004-2008) .............................................................. 17
Figure 19 Market Share of Wireless Subscribers 2008E .................................................. 18
Figure 20 Market Shares of Wireless Subscribers – 5 Major Operators.......................... 19
Figure 21 Market Shares of Wireless Subscribers – Minor Players................................. 19
Table 1 FWL Subscriber Base (2004-2008).......................................................................... 4
Table 2 Percentage of FWL Subscriber Base (2004-2008) .................................................. 4
Table 3 FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008).......................................................................... 6
Table 4 Percentage of FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008) .................................................. 6
Table 5 Prepaid FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008)............................................................ 8
Table 6 Postpaid FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008) .......................................................... 8
Table 7 Percentage of Prepaid Subscriber Base .................................................................. 8
Table 8 Mobile/Cellular Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ...................................................... 10
Table 9 Percentage of Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ............................................. 11
Table 10 Prepaid Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008)..................................................... 14
Table 11 Postpaid Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ................................................... 14
Table 12 Percentage of Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ........................................... 15
Table 13 Wireless Subscriber Base (2004-2008)................................................................ 17
Table 14 Percentage of Wireless Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ........................................ 18
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
 
TLKM 
ISAT 
BBT 
 
TLKM 
ISAT 
BBT 
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
2
2
Table
8,4
8,50
8,55
8,60
8,65
8,700
8,750
rch
rvirtual.com
FW
ure 1 Fixe
2004E 
8,559,350 
20,000 
2,878 
Table 1
2004E 
99.73 
0.23 
0.03 
2 Percen
50,000
00,000
50,000
00,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
200
m/harewos
WL / P
ed Wirelin
2005E
8,686,
21,
2,
FWL Sub
2005E
99.72
0.25
0.03
ntage of F
04E
2005E
Fixe
PSTN
ne Subsc
20
,131 8
,724
,530
bscriber
  2
9
0
0
FWL Subs
2006E
20
ed Wire
Telec
N Cus
criber Bas
006E 
8,709,211
26,632
2,500
Base (200
006E 
99.67 
0.30 
0.03 
scriber B
007E
2008E
eline
com Custom
stom
se (2004-2
2007E 
8,684,8
30,4
2,3
04-2008)
2007E 
99.62 
0.35 
0.03 
Base (2004
E
mer Bases –
mer B
2008)
20
888  8
479 
393 
20
99
0
0
4-2008)
BBT
ISAT
TLKM
– Part 2
4
ase
008E 
8,629,783
42,145
2,300
008E 
9.49 
0.49 
0.03 
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
F
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
rch
rvirtual.com
Figure 2 M
2004E
F
m/harewos
Market S
2005E 2
FWL M
Mino
Share of F
2006E 2
Market
or Pla
Telec
FWL Mino
2007E 2
t Shar
ayers
com Custom
or Player
008E
e
mer Bases –
rs
ISAT
BBT
– Part 2
5
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
 
TLKM 
ISAT 
BTEL 
M‐8 
 
TLKM 
ISAT 
BTEL 
M‐8 
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Table
5,000,0
10,000,0
15,000,00
20,000,00
25,000,00
rch
rvirtual.com
Figure 3
2004E 
1,429,368 
62,716 
192,029 
0 
Table 3
2004E 
84.87 
3.72 
11.40 
0.00 
4 Percen
0
000
00
00
00
00
2004E
m/harewos
3 FWA Su
2005E
4,061
271
486
FWA Sub
2005E
84.28
5.63
10.10
0.00
ntage of F
E
2005E
FWA S
FWA
ubscriber
E  2
1,867
1,158
6,604
0
bscriber
E  2
8 
0 
FWA Subs
2006E
2
Subsc
Telec
A Cus
r Base (20
2006E 
4,175,853
378,727
1,547,557
0
Base (200
2006E 
68.43 
6.21 
25.36 
0.00 
scriber B
2007E
20
ribers
com Custom
stom
004-2008)
2007E 
6,362,
627,
3,820,
04-2008)
2007E 
58.85 
5.81 
35.34 
0.00 
Base (2004
008E
s
mer Bases –
mer B
20
844  12
934 
701  7
0 
20
6
3
3
1
4-2008)
M-8
BTEL
ISAT
TLKM
– Part 2
6
ase
008E 
,725,425
761,589
7,304,543
332,500
008E 
0.24 
3.61 
4.58 
1.57 
L
T
M
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
Percentage
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
2
rch
rvirtual.com
Figure
Figu
2004E
F
ISAT
4%
BT
35
FWA
m/harewos
4 FWA M
ure 5 FWA
2005E
FWA - M
T
%
TEL
5%
A Mark
Market Sh
A Market
2006E
Marke
M-8
1%
ket Sha
Telec
hares (200
t Share 20
2007E
et Shar
TL
6
are - 2
com Custom
04-2008)
008E
2008E
re
LKM
60%
2008E
mer Bases –
T
IS
B
M
– Part 2
7
TLKM
SAT
BTEL
M-8
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
 
TLKM 
ISAT 
BTEL 
M‐8 
 
TLKM 
ISAT 
BTEL 
  
TLKM 
ISAT 
BTEL 
M‐8 
1
1
2
25
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
2
Tab
2
Tab
Ta
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
0,000,000
5,000,000
rch
rvirtual.com
ure 6 Pre
2004E 
745,200 
48,592 
130,340 
0 
ble 5 Pre
2004E 
684,168 
14,124 
61,689 
ble 6 Post
2004E 
52.1 
77.5 
67.9 
0.0 
able 7 Pe
2004E
2
m/harewos
epaid FW
2005E
3,240,
251,4
351,
paid FWA
2005E
821,
19,
134,
tpaid FWA
2005E
79.8 
92.7 
72.3 
0.0 
ercentage
2005E
200
FWA P
WA Subscr
20
567 3
450
826 1
0
A Subscri
20
300 
708 
778 
WA Subscr
20
8
9
9
e of Prepa
06E
2007E
Prepai
Telec
riber Bas
006E 
3,381,426
358,182
1,414,920
0
iber Base
006E 
794,427
20,545
132,637
riber Base
006E 
81.0 
94.6 
91.4 
0.0 
aid Subsc
E
2008E
id
com Custom
e (2004-2
2007E 
5,535,0
594,2
3,695,8
e (2004-20
2007E 
827,8
33,7
124,8
e (2004-20
2007E 
87.0 
94.6 
96.7 
0.0 
criber Ba
mer Bases –
008)
20
00  11
03 
17  7
0 
008)
20
44 
31 
84 
008)
20
9
8
9
10
ase
M-8
BTEL
ISAT
TLKM
– Part 2
8
008E 
,994,300
681,362
7,196,518
332,500
008E 
731,125
80,227
108,025
008E 
4.3 
9.5 
8.5 
00.0 
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure
5
200
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
e 7 FWA P
Figure 8
55
04E
FWA
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2004E
FW
m/harewos
Prepaid P
8 FWA Pr
80
2005E
A Prep
2005E
WA Pr
Portion 2
repaid Po
84
2006E
paid P
2006E
repaid
Telec
004-2008
ortions 20
91
2007E
ortion
2007E 2
Portio
com Custom
(All Oper
004-2008
9
E 200
n (%)
2008E
on
mer Bases –
rators)
96
08E
TLKM
ISAT
BTEL
– Part 2
9
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
 
TSEL 
ISAT 
XL 
M‐8 
STI 
NTS 
HCPT 
Smart 
1
1
1
16
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Mo
Figu
20
16
9
3
Tabl
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
rch
rvirtual.com
obile
ure 9 Mob
004E 
6,290,508 
9,754,607 
,791,000 
414,300 
0 
0 
0 
0 
le 8 Mobi
0
0
0
2004E
Mobi
m/harewos
e/Cel
bile/Cellul
2005E 
24,269,3
14,512,4
6,978,5
794,9
10,6
21,5
ile/Cellul
2005E
le/Cell
lular
lar Subsc
20
353  35
453  16
519  9
900  1
609 
537 
0 
0 
ar Subsc
2006E
lular S
Telec
r Cus
criber Ba
006E 
5,597,171
6,704,639
9,527,970
1,825,900
134,713
12,715
0
0
riber Bas
2007E
Subscr
com Custom
stom
ase (2004-
2007E 
47,890,1
24,545,4
15,469,0
3,012,8
310,4
4,7
2,039,4
115,0
se (2004-2
2008E
ribers
mer Bases –
mer B
2008)
20
39  65
22  36
00  26
00  2
64 
88  3
06  4
00  1
2008)
– Part 2
10
ase
008E 
,299,991
6,510,246
6,015,517
,671,900
784,343
,234,800
4,500,609
,530,823
Smart
HCPT
NTS
STI
M-8
XL
ISAT
TSEL
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
 
TSEL 
ISAT 
XL 
M‐8 
STI 
NTS 
HCPT 
Smart 
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
20
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
Table 9
F
X
1
rch
rvirtual.com
004E 
3.85 
2.25 
2.53 
1.37 
0.00 
0.00 
0.00 
0.00 
9 Percent
Figure 10
IS
26
XL
19%
M-8
2%
ST
1%
Cellul
m/harewos
2005E 
52.09 
31.15 
14.98 
1.71 
0.02 
0.05 
0.00 
0.00 
tage of M
0 Market
SAT
6%
TI
% NTS
2%
HC
3%
lar Ma
20
5
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
obile Sub
Share of
PT
%
Smart
1%
arket S
Telec
006E 
5.79 
6.18 
4.93 
2.86 
0.21 
0.02 
0.00 
0.00 
bscriber B
Subscrib
Share
com Custom
2007E 
51.28 
26.28 
16.56 
3.23 
0.33 
0.01 
2.18 
0.12 
Base (200
bers 2008E
T
4
2008E
mer Bases –
20
46
25
18
1
0
2
3
1
04-2008)
E
SEL
46%
E
– Part 2
11
008E 
6.46 
5.98 
8.51 
.90 
.56 
.30 
.20 
.09 
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
F
1
2
3
4
5
6
Percentage
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
Figure 12
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
20
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
ure 11 Ma
Market S
004E
Cel
2004E
Cel
m/harewos
arket Sha
Shares of
2005E
llular
2005E
llular
ares of Mo
f Mobile S
2006E
- Mark
2006E
- Mark
Telec
obile Sub
Subscribe
2007E
ket Sh
2007E 2
ket Sh
com Custom
bscribers
ers – Min
2008E
hare
2008E
hare
mer Bases –
- All
nor Player
E
M-8
STI
NTS
HCPT
Smart
– Part 2
12
rs
TSEL
ISAT
XL
M-8
STI
NTS
HCPT
Smart
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 1
98
200
rch
rvirtual.com
13 Market
8.6
04E
TSEL
m/harewos
t Shares
98.2
2005E
L+ISAT
of Subscr
96.9
2006E
T+XL P
Telec
ribers of
94.1
2007E
Portio
com Custom
TSEL, IS
90
E 200
on (%)
mer Bases –
SAT & XL
0.9
08E
– Part 2
13
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
 
TSEL 
ISAT 
XL 
M‐8 
STI 
NTS 
HCPT 
Smart 
 
TSEL 
ISAT 
XL 
M‐8 
STI 
NTS 
HCPT 
Smart 
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figur
Tabl
Table
20,00
40,00
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
rch
rvirtual.com
re 14 Pre
2004E 
14,962,959 
9,214,663 
3,743,000 
396,700 
0 
0 
0 
0 
le 10 Prep
2004E 
1,327,549 
539,944 
48,000 
17,600 
0 
0 
0 
0 
e 11 Postp
0
00,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
200
P
m/harewos
paid Mob
2005E
22,798
13,836
6,802
776
10
21
paid Mob
2005E
1,470
676
176
18
paid Mob
04E
2005E
Prepaid
bile Subs
E  2
8,598 33
6,046 15
2,325 9
6,000 1
0,609
1,537
0
0
bile Subsc
E  2
0,755 1
6,407
6,194
8,900
0
0
0
0
bile Subsc
E
2006E
2
d Subs
Telec
criber Ba
2006E 
3,935,246 
5,878,780 
9,141,331 
1,778,200 
133,746 
10,155 
0 
0 
criber Ba
2006E 
1,661,925
825,859
386,639
47,700
967
2,560
0
0
criber Ba
2007E
20
scribe
com Custom
ase (2004-
2007E 
45,977,0
23,945,4
14,988,0
2,920,2
310,1
4,7
2,036,2
115,0
ase (2004-
2007E 
1,913,1
599,9
481,0
92,6
2
3,2
ase (2004-
08E
rs
mer Bases –
-2008)
20
009  63
431  35
000  25
00  2
76 
88  3
02  4
000  1
2008)
20
130  1
991 
000 
600 
288 
0 
204 
0 
-2008)
Smart
HCPT
NTS
STI
M-8
XL
ISAT
TSEL
– Part 2
14
008E 
,359,619
,591,033
,599,297
,523,000
784,129
,234,800
4,490,202
,456,372
008E 
,940,372
919,213
416,220
148,900
214
0
10,407
74,451
t
T
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
 
TSEL 
ISAT 
XL 
M‐8 
STI 
NTS 
HCPT 
Smart 
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figur
Table 1
500,0
1,000,0
1,500,0
2,000,0
2,500,0
3,000,0
3,500,00
4,000,00
rch
rvirtual.com
re 15 Post
2004E 
91.85 
94.46 
98.73 
95.75 
‐ 
‐ 
‐ 
‐ 
2 Percen
0
000
000
000
000
000
00
00
00
2004E
Po
m/harewos
tpaid Mob
2005E
93.94
95.34
97.48
97.62
‐ 
‐ 
‐ 
‐ 
tage of M
E
2005E
ostpai
bile Subs
E  2
  9
  9
  9
  9
9
7
Mobile Su
2006E
2
id Sub
Telec
scriber Ba
2006E 
95.33 
95.06 
95.94 
97.39 
99.28 
79.87 
‐ 
‐ 
bscriber
2007E
200
scribe
com Custom
ase (2004
2007E 
96.01 
97.56 
96.89 
96.93 
99.91 
100.00 
99.84 
‐ 
Base (20
08E
ers
mer Bases –
4-2008)
20
97
97
98
94
99
10
99
95
04-2008)
Smart
HCPT
NTS
STI
M-8
XL
ISAT
TSEL
– Part 2
15
008E 
7.03 
7.48 
8.40 
4.43 
9.97 
0.00 
9.77 
5.14 
t
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 1
93
200
88.00
90.00
92.00
94.00
96.00
98.00
100.00
rch
rvirtual.com
16 Mobile
Figure 17
3.6
04E
Cellul
2004E
P
m/harewos
e Prepaid
7 Mobile
95.0
2005E
lar Pr
2005E
Prepaid
d Portion
Prepaid
95.4
2006E
epaid
2006E
d Port
Telec
2004-200
Portion 2
96.7
2007E
Portio
2007E
tion (%
com Custom
08 (All Op
2004-2008
97
E 200
on (%)
2008E
%)
mer Bases –
perators)
8
7.5
08E
TSEL
ISAT
XL
– Part 2
16
L
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
 
TSEL 
TLKM 
ISAT 
ISAT‐FW
XL 
M‐8 
M‐8 FW
STI 
NTS 
HCPT 
Smart 
BTEL 
1
1
14
16
18
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
F
20
16
1
9
WA 
3
WA 
T
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
00,000,000
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
rch
rvirtual.com
igure 18 W
004E 
6,290,508 
1,429,368 
9,754,607 
62,716 
,791,000 
414,300 
0 
0 
0 
0 
0 
192,029 
Table 13 W
0
0
2004E
W
m/harewos
Wir
Wireless
2005E 
24,269,3
4,061,8
14,512,4
271,1
6,978,5
794,9
10,6
21,5
486,6
Wireless S
2005E
2
Wireles
eless
Subscrib
20
353  35
867  4
453  16
158 
519  9
900  1
0 
609 
537 
0 
0 
604  1
Subscrib
2006E
20
ss Subs
Telec
s Cus
ber Base (
006E 
5,597,171
4,175,853
6,704,639
378,727
9,527,970
1,825,900
0
134,713
12,715
0
0
1,547,557
er Base (
007E
200
scribe
com Custom
stom
(2004-200
2007E 
47,890,1
6,362,8
24,545,4
627,9
15,469,0
3,012,8
310,4
4,7
2,039,4
115,0
3,820,7
2004-2008
08E
ers
mer Bases –
mer B
08)
20
39  65
44  12
22  36
34 
00  26
00  2
0 
64 
88  3
06  4
00  1
01  7
8)
BTEL
Smart
HCPT
NTS
STI
M-8 F
M-8
XL
ISAT-
ISAT
TLKM
TSEL
– Part 2
17
ase
008E 
,299,991
,725,425
6,510,246
761,589
6,015,517
,671,900
332,500
784,343
,234,800
4,500,609
,530,823
7,304,543
L
t
T
FWA
-FWA
M
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
 
TSEL 
TLKM 
ISAT 
ISAT‐FW
XL 
M‐8 
M‐8 FW
STI 
NTS 
HCPT 
Smart 
BTEL 
ISAT
0.4
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
20
5
4
3
WA  0
1
1
WA  0
0
0
0
0
0
Table 14
Figur
-FWA
47%
X
16.
M-8
1.65%
M-8 FW
0.21%
W
rch
rvirtual.com
004E 
1.01 
4.48 
0.55 
0.20 
1.87 
1.30 
0.00 
0.00 
0.00 
0.00 
0.00 
0.60 
4 Percent
re 19 Mar
IS
22
XL
09%
8
%
WA
%
STI
0.49%
NTS
2.00% H
2
Wirele
m/harewos
2005E 
47.21 
7.90 
28.23 
0.53 
13.58 
1.55 
0.00 
0.02 
0.04 
0.00 
0.00 
0.95 
tage of Wi
rket Shar
SAT
.58%
HCPT
2.78%
Smar
0.95%
B
4
ess Ma
20
5
5
2
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
ireless Su
re of Wire
rt
%
BTEL
4.52%
arket S
Telec
006E 
0.92 
5.97 
3.90 
0.54 
3.63 
2.61 
0.00 
0.19 
0.02 
0.00 
0.00 
2.21 
ubscriber
eless Sub
TLKM
7.87%
Share
com Custom
2007E 
45.96 
6.11 
23.56 
0.60 
14.85 
2.89 
0.00 
0.30 
0.00 
1.96 
0.11 
3.67 
r Base (20
scribers
TSE
40.39
2008E
mer Bases –
20
40
7
22
0
16
1
0
0
2
2
0
4
004-2008)
2008E
EL
9%
E
– Part 2
18
008E 
0.39 
.87 
2.58 
.47 
6.09 
.65 
.21 
.49 
.00 
.78 
.95 
.52 
)
No
Harew
http://
ov. 7
Figu
Fi
1
2
3
4
5
6
Percentage
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
Percentage
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
ure 20 Ma
igure 21 M
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
20
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
200
rch
rvirtual.com
arket Sha
Market S
004E
Wir
04E 20
Wir
m/harewos
ares of Wi
hares of W
2005E
reless
005E 2
reless
ireless Su
Wireless
2006E
- Mark
2006E
- Mark
Telec
ubscriber
Subscrib
2007E
ket Sh
2007E
ket Sh
com Custom
rs – 5 Maj
bers – Min
2008E
hare
2008E
hare
mer Bases –
jor Opera
nor Playe
T
I
X
T
B
ISAT
M-8
M-8 F
STI
NTS
HCP
Smar
– Part 2
19
ators
ers
TSEL
ISAT
XL
TLKM
BTEL
T-FWA
FWA
PT
rt
Telecom Customer Bases – Part 2
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Nov. 7
20
Abbreviations & Notes
2008E At the end of year 2008
FWA Fixed Wireless Access
(Limited Mobile Service)
FWL Fixed Wire-Line
PSTN Public Switched Telephone Network
TLKM PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia (PT. Telkom)
ISAT PT. Indosat
XL PT. Excelcomindo Pratama
TSEL PT. Telekomunikasi Selular (Telkomsel)
M-8/M8 PT. Mobile-8
BBT PT. Batam Bintan Telekomunikasi
NTS PT. Natrindo Telepon Selular
HCPT PT. Hutchison CP Telecommunication
Smart PT. Smart Telecom
STI PT. Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia

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Telecom Customer Bases – Part 2

  • 1. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 2 Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and Numbers: Charts & Tables 2004-2008 [HR.CTD002.V1U1-2009] Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research 11/7/2009 http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
  • 2. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 2 Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos Nov. 7 2 Contents List of Figures & Tables........................................................................................................ 3 FWL / PSTN Customer Base ................................................................................................ 4 FWA Customer Base ............................................................................................................. 6 Mobile/Cellular Customer Base.......................................................................................... 10 Wireless Customer Base ..................................................................................................... 17 Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 20
  • 3. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 2 Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos Nov. 7 3 List of Figures & Tables Figure 1 Fixed Wireline Subscriber Base (2004-2008)........................................................ 4 Figure 2 Market Share of FWL Minor Players.................................................................... 5 Figure 3 FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008)........................................................................ 6 Figure 4 FWA Market Shares (2004-2008).......................................................................... 7 Figure 5 FWA Market Share 2008E..................................................................................... 7 Figure 6 Prepaid FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008).......................................................... 8 Figure 7 FWA Prepaid Portion 2004-2008 (All Operators)................................................. 9 Figure 8 FWA Prepaid Portions 2004-2008 ......................................................................... 9 Figure 9 Mobile/Cellular Subscriber Base (2004-2008)..................................................... 10 Figure 10 Market Share of Subscribers 2008E.................................................................. 11 Figure 11 Market Shares of Mobile Subscribers - All ....................................................... 12 Figure 12 Market Shares of Mobile Subscribers – Minor Players.................................... 12 Figure 13 Market Shares of Subscribers of TSEL, ISAT & XL ........................................ 13 Figure 14 Prepaid Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ................................................... 14 Figure 15 Postpaid Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008).................................................. 15 Figure 16 Mobile Prepaid Portion 2004-2008 (All Operators) .......................................... 16 Figure 17 Mobile Prepaid Portion 2004-2008 .................................................................... 16 Figure 18 Wireless Subscriber Base (2004-2008) .............................................................. 17 Figure 19 Market Share of Wireless Subscribers 2008E .................................................. 18 Figure 20 Market Shares of Wireless Subscribers – 5 Major Operators.......................... 19 Figure 21 Market Shares of Wireless Subscribers – Minor Players................................. 19 Table 1 FWL Subscriber Base (2004-2008).......................................................................... 4 Table 2 Percentage of FWL Subscriber Base (2004-2008) .................................................. 4 Table 3 FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008).......................................................................... 6 Table 4 Percentage of FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008) .................................................. 6 Table 5 Prepaid FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008)............................................................ 8 Table 6 Postpaid FWA Subscriber Base (2004-2008) .......................................................... 8 Table 7 Percentage of Prepaid Subscriber Base .................................................................. 8 Table 8 Mobile/Cellular Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ...................................................... 10 Table 9 Percentage of Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ............................................. 11 Table 10 Prepaid Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008)..................................................... 14 Table 11 Postpaid Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ................................................... 14 Table 12 Percentage of Mobile Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ........................................... 15 Table 13 Wireless Subscriber Base (2004-2008)................................................................ 17 Table 14 Percentage of Wireless Subscriber Base (2004-2008) ........................................ 18
  • 4. No Harew http:// ov. 7   TLKM  ISAT  BBT    TLKM  ISAT  BBT  wos.Resear /www.ligar Figu 2 2 Table 8,4 8,50 8,55 8,60 8,65 8,700 8,750 rch rvirtual.com FW ure 1 Fixe 2004E  8,559,350  20,000  2,878  Table 1 2004E  99.73  0.23  0.03  2 Percen 50,000 00,000 50,000 00,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 200 m/harewos WL / P ed Wirelin 2005E 8,686, 21, 2, FWL Sub 2005E 99.72 0.25 0.03 ntage of F 04E 2005E Fixe PSTN ne Subsc 20 ,131 8 ,724 ,530 bscriber   2 9 0 0 FWL Subs 2006E 20 ed Wire Telec N Cus criber Bas 006E  8,709,211 26,632 2,500 Base (200 006E  99.67  0.30  0.03  scriber B 007E 2008E eline com Custom stom se (2004-2 2007E  8,684,8 30,4 2,3 04-2008) 2007E  99.62  0.35  0.03  Base (2004 E mer Bases – mer B 2008) 20 888  8 479  393  20 99 0 0 4-2008) BBT ISAT TLKM – Part 2 4 ase 008E  8,629,783 42,145 2,300 008E  9.49  0.49  0.03 
  • 5. No Harew http:// ov. 7 wos.Resear /www.ligar F 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 rch rvirtual.com Figure 2 M 2004E F m/harewos Market S 2005E 2 FWL M Mino Share of F 2006E 2 Market or Pla Telec FWL Mino 2007E 2 t Shar ayers com Custom or Player 008E e mer Bases – rs ISAT BBT – Part 2 5
  • 6. No Harew http:// ov. 7   TLKM  ISAT  BTEL  M‐8    TLKM  ISAT  BTEL  M‐8  wos.Resear /www.ligar Table 5,000,0 10,000,0 15,000,00 20,000,00 25,000,00 rch rvirtual.com Figure 3 2004E  1,429,368  62,716  192,029  0  Table 3 2004E  84.87  3.72  11.40  0.00  4 Percen 0 000 00 00 00 00 2004E m/harewos 3 FWA Su 2005E 4,061 271 486 FWA Sub 2005E 84.28 5.63 10.10 0.00 ntage of F E 2005E FWA S FWA ubscriber E  2 1,867 1,158 6,604 0 bscriber E  2 8  0  FWA Subs 2006E 2 Subsc Telec A Cus r Base (20 2006E  4,175,853 378,727 1,547,557 0 Base (200 2006E  68.43  6.21  25.36  0.00  scriber B 2007E 20 ribers com Custom stom 004-2008) 2007E  6,362, 627, 3,820, 04-2008) 2007E  58.85  5.81  35.34  0.00  Base (2004 008E s mer Bases – mer B 20 844  12 934  701  7 0  20 6 3 3 1 4-2008) M-8 BTEL ISAT TLKM – Part 2 6 ase 008E  ,725,425 761,589 7,304,543 332,500 008E  0.24  3.61  4.58  1.57  L T M
  • 7. No Harew http:// ov. 7 Percentage wos.Resear /www.ligar 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 2 rch rvirtual.com Figure Figu 2004E F ISAT 4% BT 35 FWA m/harewos 4 FWA M ure 5 FWA 2005E FWA - M T % TEL 5% A Mark Market Sh A Market 2006E Marke M-8 1% ket Sha Telec hares (200 t Share 20 2007E et Shar TL 6 are - 2 com Custom 04-2008) 008E 2008E re LKM 60% 2008E mer Bases – T IS B M – Part 2 7 TLKM SAT BTEL M-8
  • 8. No Harew http:// ov. 7   TLKM  ISAT  BTEL  M‐8    TLKM  ISAT  BTEL     TLKM  ISAT  BTEL  M‐8  1 1 2 25 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figu 2 Tab 2 Tab Ta 0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 0,000,000 5,000,000 rch rvirtual.com ure 6 Pre 2004E  745,200  48,592  130,340  0  ble 5 Pre 2004E  684,168  14,124  61,689  ble 6 Post 2004E  52.1  77.5  67.9  0.0  able 7 Pe 2004E 2 m/harewos epaid FW 2005E 3,240, 251,4 351, paid FWA 2005E 821, 19, 134, tpaid FWA 2005E 79.8  92.7  72.3  0.0  ercentage 2005E 200 FWA P WA Subscr 20 567 3 450 826 1 0 A Subscri 20 300  708  778  WA Subscr 20 8 9 9 e of Prepa 06E 2007E Prepai Telec riber Bas 006E  3,381,426 358,182 1,414,920 0 iber Base 006E  794,427 20,545 132,637 riber Base 006E  81.0  94.6  91.4  0.0  aid Subsc E 2008E id com Custom e (2004-2 2007E  5,535,0 594,2 3,695,8 e (2004-20 2007E  827,8 33,7 124,8 e (2004-20 2007E  87.0  94.6  96.7  0.0  criber Ba mer Bases – 008) 20 00  11 03  17  7 0  008) 20 44  31  84  008) 20 9 8 9 10 ase M-8 BTEL ISAT TLKM – Part 2 8 008E  ,994,300 681,362 7,196,518 332,500 008E  731,125 80,227 108,025 008E  4.3  9.5  8.5  00.0 
  • 9. No Harew http:// ov. 7 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure 5 200 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com e 7 FWA P Figure 8 55 04E FWA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2004E FW m/harewos Prepaid P 8 FWA Pr 80 2005E A Prep 2005E WA Pr Portion 2 repaid Po 84 2006E paid P 2006E repaid Telec 004-2008 ortions 20 91 2007E ortion 2007E 2 Portio com Custom (All Oper 004-2008 9 E 200 n (%) 2008E on mer Bases – rators) 96 08E TLKM ISAT BTEL – Part 2 9
  • 10. No Harew http:// ov. 7   TSEL  ISAT  XL  M‐8  STI  NTS  HCPT  Smart  1 1 1 16 wos.Resear /www.ligar Mo Figu 20 16 9 3 Tabl 0 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 100,000,000 120,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 rch rvirtual.com obile ure 9 Mob 004E  6,290,508  9,754,607  ,791,000  414,300  0  0  0  0  le 8 Mobi 0 0 0 2004E Mobi m/harewos e/Cel bile/Cellul 2005E  24,269,3 14,512,4 6,978,5 794,9 10,6 21,5 ile/Cellul 2005E le/Cell lular lar Subsc 20 353  35 453  16 519  9 900  1 609  537  0  0  ar Subsc 2006E lular S Telec r Cus criber Ba 006E  5,597,171 6,704,639 9,527,970 1,825,900 134,713 12,715 0 0 riber Bas 2007E Subscr com Custom stom ase (2004- 2007E  47,890,1 24,545,4 15,469,0 3,012,8 310,4 4,7 2,039,4 115,0 se (2004-2 2008E ribers mer Bases – mer B 2008) 20 39  65 22  36 00  26 00  2 64  88  3 06  4 00  1 2008) – Part 2 10 ase 008E  ,299,991 6,510,246 6,015,517 ,671,900 784,343 ,234,800 4,500,609 ,530,823 Smart HCPT NTS STI M-8 XL ISAT TSEL
  • 11. No Harew http:// ov. 7   TSEL  ISAT  XL  M‐8  STI  NTS  HCPT  Smart  wos.Resear /www.ligar 20 5 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 Table 9 F X 1 rch rvirtual.com 004E  3.85  2.25  2.53  1.37  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  9 Percent Figure 10 IS 26 XL 19% M-8 2% ST 1% Cellul m/harewos 2005E  52.09  31.15  14.98  1.71  0.02  0.05  0.00  0.00  tage of M 0 Market SAT 6% TI % NTS 2% HC 3% lar Ma 20 5 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 obile Sub Share of PT % Smart 1% arket S Telec 006E  5.79  6.18  4.93  2.86  0.21  0.02  0.00  0.00  bscriber B Subscrib Share com Custom 2007E  51.28  26.28  16.56  3.23  0.33  0.01  2.18  0.12  Base (200 bers 2008E T 4 2008E mer Bases – 20 46 25 18 1 0 2 3 1 04-2008) E SEL 46% E – Part 2 11 008E  6.46  5.98  8.51  .90  .56  .30  .20  .09 
  • 12. No Harew http:// ov. 7 F 1 2 3 4 5 6 Percentage wos.Resear /www.ligar Figu Figure 12 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 20 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 Percentage rch rvirtual.com ure 11 Ma Market S 004E Cel 2004E Cel m/harewos arket Sha Shares of 2005E llular 2005E llular ares of Mo f Mobile S 2006E - Mark 2006E - Mark Telec obile Sub Subscribe 2007E ket Sh 2007E 2 ket Sh com Custom bscribers ers – Min 2008E hare 2008E hare mer Bases – - All nor Player E M-8 STI NTS HCPT Smart – Part 2 12 rs TSEL ISAT XL M-8 STI NTS HCPT Smart
  • 13. No Harew http:// ov. 7 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure 1 98 200 rch rvirtual.com 13 Market 8.6 04E TSEL m/harewos t Shares 98.2 2005E L+ISAT of Subscr 96.9 2006E T+XL P Telec ribers of 94.1 2007E Portio com Custom TSEL, IS 90 E 200 on (%) mer Bases – SAT & XL 0.9 08E – Part 2 13
  • 14. No Harew http:// ov. 7   TSEL  ISAT  XL  M‐8  STI  NTS  HCPT  Smart    TSEL  ISAT  XL  M‐8  STI  NTS  HCPT  Smart  wos.Resear /www.ligar Figur Tabl Table 20,00 40,00 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 rch rvirtual.com re 14 Pre 2004E  14,962,959  9,214,663  3,743,000  396,700  0  0  0  0  le 10 Prep 2004E  1,327,549  539,944  48,000  17,600  0  0  0  0  e 11 Postp 0 00,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 200 P m/harewos paid Mob 2005E 22,798 13,836 6,802 776 10 21 paid Mob 2005E 1,470 676 176 18 paid Mob 04E 2005E Prepaid bile Subs E  2 8,598 33 6,046 15 2,325 9 6,000 1 0,609 1,537 0 0 bile Subsc E  2 0,755 1 6,407 6,194 8,900 0 0 0 0 bile Subsc E 2006E 2 d Subs Telec criber Ba 2006E  3,935,246  5,878,780  9,141,331  1,778,200  133,746  10,155  0  0  criber Ba 2006E  1,661,925 825,859 386,639 47,700 967 2,560 0 0 criber Ba 2007E 20 scribe com Custom ase (2004- 2007E  45,977,0 23,945,4 14,988,0 2,920,2 310,1 4,7 2,036,2 115,0 ase (2004- 2007E  1,913,1 599,9 481,0 92,6 2 3,2 ase (2004- 08E rs mer Bases – -2008) 20 009  63 431  35 000  25 00  2 76  88  3 02  4 000  1 2008) 20 130  1 991  000  600  288  0  204  0  -2008) Smart HCPT NTS STI M-8 XL ISAT TSEL – Part 2 14 008E  ,359,619 ,591,033 ,599,297 ,523,000 784,129 ,234,800 4,490,202 ,456,372 008E  ,940,372 919,213 416,220 148,900 214 0 10,407 74,451 t T
  • 15. No Harew http:// ov. 7   TSEL  ISAT  XL  M‐8  STI  NTS  HCPT  Smart  wos.Resear /www.ligar Figur Table 1 500,0 1,000,0 1,500,0 2,000,0 2,500,0 3,000,0 3,500,00 4,000,00 rch rvirtual.com re 15 Post 2004E  91.85  94.46  98.73  95.75  ‐  ‐  ‐  ‐  2 Percen 0 000 000 000 000 000 00 00 00 2004E Po m/harewos tpaid Mob 2005E 93.94 95.34 97.48 97.62 ‐  ‐  ‐  ‐  tage of M E 2005E ostpai bile Subs E  2   9   9   9   9 9 7 Mobile Su 2006E 2 id Sub Telec scriber Ba 2006E  95.33  95.06  95.94  97.39  99.28  79.87  ‐  ‐  bscriber 2007E 200 scribe com Custom ase (2004 2007E  96.01  97.56  96.89  96.93  99.91  100.00  99.84  ‐  Base (20 08E ers mer Bases – 4-2008) 20 97 97 98 94 99 10 99 95 04-2008) Smart HCPT NTS STI M-8 XL ISAT TSEL – Part 2 15 008E  7.03  7.48  8.40  4.43  9.97  0.00  9.77  5.14  t
  • 16. No Harew http:// ov. 7 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure 1 93 200 88.00 90.00 92.00 94.00 96.00 98.00 100.00 rch rvirtual.com 16 Mobile Figure 17 3.6 04E Cellul 2004E P m/harewos e Prepaid 7 Mobile 95.0 2005E lar Pr 2005E Prepaid d Portion Prepaid 95.4 2006E epaid 2006E d Port Telec 2004-200 Portion 2 96.7 2007E Portio 2007E tion (% com Custom 08 (All Op 2004-2008 97 E 200 on (%) 2008E %) mer Bases – perators) 8 7.5 08E TSEL ISAT XL – Part 2 16 L
  • 17. No Harew http:// ov. 7   TSEL  TLKM  ISAT  ISAT‐FW XL  M‐8  M‐8 FW STI  NTS  HCPT  Smart  BTEL  1 1 14 16 18 wos.Resear /www.ligar F 20 16 1 9 WA  3 WA  T 0 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 00,000,000 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 rch rvirtual.com igure 18 W 004E  6,290,508  1,429,368  9,754,607  62,716  ,791,000  414,300  0  0  0  0  0  192,029  Table 13 W 0 0 2004E W m/harewos Wir Wireless 2005E  24,269,3 4,061,8 14,512,4 271,1 6,978,5 794,9 10,6 21,5 486,6 Wireless S 2005E 2 Wireles eless Subscrib 20 353  35 867  4 453  16 158  519  9 900  1 0  609  537  0  0  604  1 Subscrib 2006E 20 ss Subs Telec s Cus ber Base ( 006E  5,597,171 4,175,853 6,704,639 378,727 9,527,970 1,825,900 0 134,713 12,715 0 0 1,547,557 er Base ( 007E 200 scribe com Custom stom (2004-200 2007E  47,890,1 6,362,8 24,545,4 627,9 15,469,0 3,012,8 310,4 4,7 2,039,4 115,0 3,820,7 2004-2008 08E ers mer Bases – mer B 08) 20 39  65 44  12 22  36 34  00  26 00  2 0  64  88  3 06  4 00  1 01  7 8) BTEL Smart HCPT NTS STI M-8 F M-8 XL ISAT- ISAT TLKM TSEL – Part 2 17 ase 008E  ,299,991 ,725,425 6,510,246 761,589 6,015,517 ,671,900 332,500 784,343 ,234,800 4,500,609 ,530,823 7,304,543 L t T FWA -FWA M
  • 18. No Harew http:// ov. 7   TSEL  TLKM  ISAT  ISAT‐FW XL  M‐8  M‐8 FW STI  NTS  HCPT  Smart  BTEL  ISAT 0.4 wos.Resear /www.ligar 20 5 4 3 WA  0 1 1 WA  0 0 0 0 0 0 Table 14 Figur -FWA 47% X 16. M-8 1.65% M-8 FW 0.21% W rch rvirtual.com 004E  1.01  4.48  0.55  0.20  1.87  1.30  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.60  4 Percent re 19 Mar IS 22 XL 09% 8 % WA % STI 0.49% NTS 2.00% H 2 Wirele m/harewos 2005E  47.21  7.90  28.23  0.53  13.58  1.55  0.00  0.02  0.04  0.00  0.00  0.95  tage of Wi rket Shar SAT .58% HCPT 2.78% Smar 0.95% B 4 ess Ma 20 5 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 ireless Su re of Wire rt % BTEL 4.52% arket S Telec 006E  0.92  5.97  3.90  0.54  3.63  2.61  0.00  0.19  0.02  0.00  0.00  2.21  ubscriber eless Sub TLKM 7.87% Share com Custom 2007E  45.96  6.11  23.56  0.60  14.85  2.89  0.00  0.30  0.00  1.96  0.11  3.67  r Base (20 scribers TSE 40.39 2008E mer Bases – 20 40 7 22 0 16 1 0 0 2 2 0 4 004-2008) 2008E EL 9% E – Part 2 18 008E  0.39  .87  2.58  .47  6.09  .65  .21  .49  .00  .78  .95  .52  )
  • 19. No Harew http:// ov. 7 Figu Fi 1 2 3 4 5 6 Percentage 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 Percentage wos.Resear /www.ligar ure 20 Ma igure 21 M 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 20 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 200 rch rvirtual.com arket Sha Market S 004E Wir 04E 20 Wir m/harewos ares of Wi hares of W 2005E reless 005E 2 reless ireless Su Wireless 2006E - Mark 2006E - Mark Telec ubscriber Subscrib 2007E ket Sh 2007E ket Sh com Custom rs – 5 Maj bers – Min 2008E hare 2008E hare mer Bases – jor Opera nor Playe T I X T B ISAT M-8 M-8 F STI NTS HCP Smar – Part 2 19 ators ers TSEL ISAT XL TLKM BTEL T-FWA FWA PT rt
  • 20. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 2 Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos Nov. 7 20 Abbreviations & Notes 2008E At the end of year 2008 FWA Fixed Wireless Access (Limited Mobile Service) FWL Fixed Wire-Line PSTN Public Switched Telephone Network TLKM PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia (PT. Telkom) ISAT PT. Indosat XL PT. Excelcomindo Pratama TSEL PT. Telekomunikasi Selular (Telkomsel) M-8/M8 PT. Mobile-8 BBT PT. Batam Bintan Telekomunikasi NTS PT. Natrindo Telepon Selular HCPT PT. Hutchison CP Telecommunication Smart PT. Smart Telecom STI PT. Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia