Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and Numbers: Charts & Tables 2006-2009

1. 3G Services &
Infrastructure
Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and
Numbers: Charts & Tables
2006-2009
[HR.CTD013.V1U1-2009]
Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research
11/21/2009
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos

2. 2
3G Services & Infrastructure
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Contents
List of Figures & Tables........................................................................................................ 3
Mobile/Cellular Subscriber Model ........................................................................................ 4
3G Subscriber Base ............................................................................................................... 5
Base Transceiver Station (Node B) ...................................................................................... 7
Growth ................................................................................................................................... 9
Telkomsel............................................................................................................................. 11
Indosat ................................................................................................................................. 13
XL ......................................................................................................................................... 15
NTS ...................................................................................................................................... 17
HCPT.................................................................................................................................... 18
Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 20

3. 3
3G Services & Infrastructure
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
List of Figures & Tables
Figure 1 Mobile Data Subscriber Model – Current Condition............................................ 4
Figure 2 Mobile Data Subscriber Model – (Near) Future Trend ........................................ 4
Figure 3 3G Customer/Subscriber Base Development 2006-2009...................................... 5
Figure 4 Market Share of 3G Subs. 2009............................................................................. 6
Figure 5 Market Shares of 3G Subs. 2006-2009 (Three Major Operators) ........................ 6
Figure 6 3G BTS (Node-B) Development 2006-2009........................................................... 7
Figure 7 Percentage of Node-B Deployment for Each Operator 2009................................ 8
Figure 8 Percentage of Operators’ Node-B Deployment (3 Major Operators).................... 8
Table 1 3G Subscriber Base (Operators’ Publication & Estimates) ................................... 5
Table 2 Portions/Market Shares of 3G Subscribers 2006-2009 .......................................... 5
Table 3 Node-B Development 2006-2009 (Operators’ Publication & Estimates)............... 7
Table 4 Percentage of Node-B for Each Operator 2006-2009.............................................. 7
Figure Table 1 Growth of 3G Subscribers 2006-2009.......................................................... 9
Figure Table 2 Growth of 3G Subscribers (AGR & CAGR)................................................. 9
Figure Table 3 Growth of Node-B Deployment 2006-2009 ............................................... 10
Figure Table 4 Growth of Node-B Deployment (AGR & CAGR)....................................... 10
Figure Table 5 Growth of TSEL’s 3G Subscribers (2006-2009) ........................................ 11
Figure Table 6 Growth of TSEL’s 3G Subscribers (AGR & CAGR).................................. 11
Figure Table 7 Growth of TSEL’s Node-B Deployment (2006-2009)................................ 12
Figure Table 8 Growth of TSEL’s Node-B Deployment (AGR & CAGR).......................... 12
Figure Table 9 Growth of ISAT’s 3G Subscribers (2006-2009)......................................... 13
Figure Table 10 Growth of ISAT’s 3G Subscribers (AGR & CAGR)................................. 13
Figure Table 11 Growth of ISAT’s Node-B Deployment (2006-2009)............................... 14
Figure Table 12 Growth of ISAT’s Node-B Deployment (AGR & CAGR)......................... 14
Figure Table 13 Growth of XL’s 3G Subscribers (2006-2009)........................................... 15
Figure Table 14 Growth of XL’s 3G Subscribers (AGR & CAGR)..................................... 15
Figure Table 15 Growth of XL’s Node-B Deployment (2006-2009)................................... 16
Figure Table 16 Growth of XL’s Node-B Deployment (AGR & CAGR) ............................ 16
Figure Table 17 Growth of NTS’s 3G Subscribers (2006-2009) ........................................ 17
Figure Table 18 Growth of NTS’s Node-B Deployment (2006-2009)................................ 17
Figure Table 19 Growth of HCPT’s 3G Subscribers (2006-2009) ..................................... 18
Figure Table 20 Growth of HCPT’s 3G Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) ............................... 18
Figure Table 21 Growth of HCPT’s Node-B Deployment (2006-2009) ............................. 19
Figure Table 22 Growth of HCPT’s Node-B Deployment (AGR & CAGR)....................... 19

4. Harew
http://
M
F
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Mobi
Figure 1
Figure 2 M
rch
rvirtual.com
ile/C
1 Mobile D
Mobile D
m/harewos
ellul
Data Sub
Data Subs
3
lar Su
bscriber M
scriber M
MD
3G+Beyon
MI, MI-
I, MBB
3
ubsc
Model – C
Model – (N
nd
3G Service
criber
Current C
Near) Futu
s & Infrast
r Mo
Condition
ure Trend
4
tructure
odel
n
d

5. Harew
http://
F
TSEL
ISAT
XL
NTS
HCPT
Ta
TSEL
ISAT
XL
NTS
HCPT
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 3 3
able 1 3G
Table 2 P
rch
rvirtual.com
3G Custo
2006E
950,000
45,000
50,000
0
0
Subscrib
2006E
90.91
4.31
4.78
0.00
0.00
Portions/
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
m/harewos
mer/Subs
2
2,5
60
1,0
10
ber Base
2
/Market S
0
0
0
0
3G S
3G S
scriber B
2007E
500,000
00,000
000,000
0
00,000
(Operato
2007E
60.98
14.63
24.39
0.00
2.44
Shares of
Subscr
3
Subs
Base Deve
200
6,200
4,000
2,000
130,
350,
ors’ Publi
200
48.
31.
15.
1.0
2.7
f 3G Subs
ibers
3G Service
scrib
elopment
08E
0,000
0,000
0,000
000
000
ication &
08E
.90
.55
.77
03
76
scribers 2
HCP
NTS
XL
ISAT
TSE
s & Infrast
er B
2006-200
2009N
12,000,
8,000,0
8,000,0
400,0
500,0
Estimate
2009N
41.5
27.6
27.6
1.38
1.73
2006-2009
PT
S
T
EL
5
tructure
ase
09
Nov
,000
000
000
00
00
es)
Nov
52
68
68
8
3

6. Harew
http://
Figur
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
re 5 Mark
0.
10.
20.
30.
40.
50.
60.
70.
80.
90.
100.
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
Figure
ket Share
X
28
M
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
20
Mar
m/harewos
e 4 Marke
es of 3G S
ISA
28%
XL
8%
NT
1%
Marke
006E
rket Sh
TSEL
et Share o
Subs. 200
AT
%
TS
%
HCPT
2%
et Shar
2007E
hares
L ISAT
3
of 3G Sub
6-2009 (T
T
4
re 2009
2008E
2006-2
T XL
3G Service
bs. 2009
Three Maj
TSEL
41%
9
E 200
2009
s & Infrast
jor Opera
09Nov
6
tructure
ators)

7. Harew
http://
B
TSEL
ISAT
XL
NTS
HCPT
Ta
TSEL
ISAT
XL
NTS
HCPT
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Base T
Fig
able 3 Nod
Table 4
rch
rvirtual.com
Tran
gure 6 3G
2006E
942
279
981
0
0
de-B Dev
2006E
42.78
12.67
44.55
0.00
0.00
Percenta
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
m/harewos
nscei
G BTS (No
2
velopmen
E
2
age of No
3
ver S
ode-B) De
2007E
1,940
800
1,375
0
200
nt 2006-20
Estimates
2007E
47.14
19.44
33.41
0.00
4.86
ode-B for
3G BTS
3
Stati
evelopme
200
3,2
1,4
1,7
75
50
009 (Oper
s)
200
42.
19.
22.
9.8
6.5
Each Op
S
3G Service
on (N
nt 2006-2
08E
18
485
00
50
00
ators’ Pu
08E
.05
.40
.21
80
53
perator 20
HCP
NTS
XL
ISAT
TSE
s & Infrast
Node
2009
2009N
4,00
1,80
1,84
1,00
700
ublication
2009N
42.8
19.2
19.7
10.7
7.49
006-2009
PT
S
T
EL
7
tructure
e B)
Nov
00
00
40
00
0
n &
Nov
83
27
70
71
9

8. Harew
http://
Fig
F
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
gure 7 Per
Figure 8 P
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
rcentage
Percentag
XL
20%
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
200
Perce
m/harewos
of Node-
ge of Ope
O
NTS
11%
H
7
3G
06E
entage
TSEL
-B Deploy
erators’ N
Operators
ISAT
19%
CPT
7%
BTS 2
2007E
e of 3G
2009
L ISAT
3
yment for
Node-B De
s)
T
4
2009
2008E
G BTS
T XL
3G Service
r Each Op
eploymen
TSEL
43%
E 200
2006-
s & Infrast
perator 2
nt (3 Majo
09Nov
8
tructure
2009
or

9. Harew
http://
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
Figure
1
1
2
2
30
#S
A
1
1
2
2
3
3
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
ure Table
e Table 2
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
5,000,000
0,000,000
20
Subs. 1,04
AGR
CAGR
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
350.0
m/harewos
e 1 Growt
Growth o
2006
006
5,000 4
#Subs
2007
292.3
292.3
#Subs
th of 3G S
of 3G Sub
2007
2007
4,100,000
scriber
202%
2
20
24
scriber
3
Subscribe
bscribers
2008
2008
12,680,000
rs - 3G
%
2008
09.3
48.3
rs - 3G
3G Service
G
ers 2006-2
(AGR &
2009
2009
0 28,900,
G
2009
127.9
202.4
G
s & Infrast
Grow
2009
CAGR)
9
,000
9
4
9
tructure
wth

10. Harew
http://
F
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure
Figure Ta
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9,
10,
#No
A
1
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
e Table 3
able 4 Gr
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
,000
,000
,000
,000
2
20
de-B 2,
#
AGR
CAGR
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
m/harewos
Growth
rowth of N
2006
2
006
202
#BTS -
2007
86.9
86.9
#Subs
of Node-B
Node-B D
2007
2007
4,115
- 3G (N
62%
2
8
8
scriber
3
B Deploy
Deployme
2008
2008
7,653
Node-B
2008
86.0
86.4
rs - 3G
3G Service
yment 200
ent (AGR
2009
20
9,3
B)
2009
22.0
61.9
G
s & Infrast
06-2009
& CAGR
009
340
10
tructure
)

11. Harew
http://
F
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure T
igure Tab
8
10
12
#Su
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
Table 5 G
ble 6 Gro
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
0,000,000
2,000,000
20
ubs. 950
TSE
AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
TSE
m/harewos
rowth of
owth of TS
2006
006
,000 2
EL - #S
2007
163.2
163.2
EL - #S
f TSEL’s 3
SEL’s 3G
2007
2007
,500,000
Subscr
133%
2
14
1
Subscr
3
3G Subscr
Subscrib
2008
2008
6,200,000
ribers
%
2008
48.0
55.5
ribers
3G Service
Tel
ribers (20
bers (AGR
2009
200
0 12,000
3G
2009
93.5
132.9
s 3G
s & Infrast
lkom
006-2009)
R & CAGR
09
0,000
11
tructure
msel
R)

12. Harew
http://
Fi
Figu
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
igure Tab
ure Table
1,
1,
2,
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
#BT
A
1
1
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
ble 7 Grow
e 8 Growt
0
500
,000
500
000
500
000
500
000
20
2006
TS 942
AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
m/harewos
wth of TS
th of TSE
006
20
6
2
TSEL
6
2007
105.9
105.9
TSEL
SEL’s Nod
EL’s Node
007
2
2007
1,940
L - #BT
62%
2
6
8
L - #BT
3
de-B Dep
-B Deploy
2008
2008
3,218
TS 3G
2008
65.9
84.8
TS 3G
3G Service
ployment
yment (A
2009
200
4,0
2009
24.3
61.9
s & Infrast
(2006-200
AGR & CA
09
00
12
tructure
09)
AGR)

13. Harew
http://
Fi
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure T
igure Tab
1
2
3
4
5,
6,
7,
8,
#Su
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
Table 9 G
ble 10 Gro
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
000,000
000,000
20
ubs. 45,0
ISA
AGR
CAGR
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
000.0
200.0
400.0
ISA
m/harewos
Growth of
owth of I
2006
006
000 6
AT - #S
2007
1233.3
1233.3
AT - #S
f ISAT’s 3
SAT’s 3G
2007
2007
600,000
Subscr
462%
2
5
84
Subscr
3
G Subscr
G Subscrib
2008
2008
4,000,000
ribers
%
2008
66.7
42.8
ribers
3G Service
I
ribers (20
bers (AGR
2009
200
0 8,000,
3G
2009
100.0
462.3
3G
s & Infrast
Indo
006-2009)
R & CAG
09
,000
0
3
13
tructure
osat
GR)

14. Harew
http://
Fi
Figu
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
gure Tab
ure Table
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
#BT
A
1
1
1
1
1
2
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
ble 11 Gro
12 Grow
0
200
400
600
800
000
200
400
600
800
20
2006
TS 279
AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
m/harewos
owth of IS
wth of ISA
006
20
6
9
ISAT
2007
186.7
186.7
ISAT
SAT’s No
AT’s Node
007
2
2007
800
T - #BT
86%
2
8
1
T - #BT
3
de-B Dep
e-B Deplo
2008
2008
1,485
TS 3G
2008
85.6
30.7
TS 3G
3G Service
ployment
oyment (A
2009
200
1,8
2009
21.2
86.2
s & Infrast
(2006-200
AGR & CA
09
800
14
tructure
09)
AGR)

15. Harew
http://
F
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure
Figure Ta
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
#S
A
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
Table 13
able 14 Gr
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
,000,000
20
ubs. 50,
XL
AGR
CAGR
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
000.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
000.0
XL
m/harewos
Growth o
rowth of
2006
006
,000 1
L - #Su
2007
1900.0
1900.0
L - #Su
of XL’s 3G
XL’s 3G S
2007
2007
1,000,000
ubscri
443%
2
10
5
ubscri
3
G Subscr
Subscrib
2008
2008
2,000,000
ibers 3
%
2008
00.0
32.5
ibers 3
3G Service
ibers (200
ers (AGR
2009
200
0 8,000,
3G
2009
300.0
442.9
3G
s & Infrast
06-2009)
R & CAGR
9
000
0
9
15
tructure
XL
R)

16. Harew
http://
F
Fig
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure Ta
gure Tabl
1,
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
2,0
#BT
A
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
able 15 Gr
le 16 Grow
0
200
400
600
800
000
200
400
600
800
000
20
2006
TS 981
AGR
CAGR
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
m/harewos
rowth of X
wth of XL
006
20
6
XL
2007
40.2
40.2
XL -
XL’s Nod
L’s Node-B
007
2
2007
1,375
- #BTS
23%
2
2
3
- #BTS
3
de-B Depl
B Deploy
2008
2008
1,700
S 3G
2008
23.6
31.6
S 3G
3G Service
oyment (
yment (AG
2009
200
1,8
2009
8.2
23.3
s & Infrast
(2006-2009
GR & CAG
09
840
16
tructure
9)
GR)

17. Harew
http://
Fi
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure T
igure Tab
#S
#
rch
rvirtual.com
Table 17 G
ble 18 Gro
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
Subs.
NT
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
#BTS
m/harewos
Growth o
owth of N
2008
2008
130,000
TS - #S
2
2008
2008
750
NTS
of NTS’s 3
NTS’s Nod
8
0
Subscr
208%
S - #BT
33
3
3G Subscr
de-B Dep
2009
40
ribers
2009
2
1,
TS 3G
3%
3G Service
ribers (20
loyment
2009
00,000
3G
009
,000
s & Infrast
N
006-2009)
(2006-200
17
tructure
NTS
09)

18. Harew
http://
F
Fig
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure Ta
gure Tab
4
4
5
#S
A
1
1
2
2
3
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
able 19 G
ble 20 Gro
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
Subs. 1
HC
AGR
CAGR
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
HC
m/harewos
Growth of
owth of H
2007
2007
100,000
PT - #
2008
250.0
250.0
PT - #
f HCPT’s
HCPT’s 3G
2008
200
350,
Subsc
124%
8
0
0
Subsc
3
3G Subsc
G Subscri
20
08
000
cribers
cribers
3G Service
cribers (2
ibers (AG
009
2009
500,000
s 3G
2009
42.9
123.6
s 3G
s & Infrast
HC
2006-2009
GR & CAG
18
tructure
CPT
9)
GR)

19. Harew
http://
Fig
Figu
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
gure Tabl
re Table
1
2
30
40
50
60
70
#BT
A
1
1
1
1
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
le 21 Gro
22 Growt
0
00
00
00
00
00
00
0
20
20
TS 2
AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
m/harewos
wth of H
th of HCP
007
007
200
HCPT
8
2008
150.0
150.0
HCPT
CPT’s No
PT’s Node
2008
200
500
T - #BT
87%
8
0
0
T - #BT
3
ode-B Dep
e-B Deplo
20
08
0
TS 3G
TS 3G
3G Service
ployment
oyment (A
009
2009
700
2009
40.0
87.1
s & Infrast
t (2006-20
AGR & CA
19
tructure
009)
AGR)

20. 20
3G Services & Infrastructure
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Abbreviations & Notes
AGR Annual Growth Rate
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
2008E End of 2008
2009Nov As of November 2009
MD Mobile Data
MI Mobile Internet
i.e. Internet access via cellular & FWA networks
MI-I Mobile Internet - Intensive
MBB Mobile Broadband
TSEL PT. Telekomunikasi Selular (Telkomsel)
ISAT PT. Indosat
XL PT. XL Axiata (formerly Excelcomindo Pratama)
NTS PT. Natrindo Telepon Selular
HCPT PT. Hutchison CP Telecommunication