Back To Norms,
study about defining the seasonality patterned of Dubai Airport
Using Forecasting for both short term and long term - keeping the out come results.
Forecasting is an important tool for planning, so without planning, there will be a disaster that may happen, i.e what will happen in case of Force Major
For study new destinations, Gravity Model frequently use, which is a tough approach that may not work sometime due to many economic factors in the world and war crises.
Since we use small size of data, the model is not fit properly , but the approach is clearly defined.
Marsa Alam Airport should be supported by Airport Hotel,
Marsa Alam Tourism team, Egypt Air, and Egyptian Civil Aviation Authorities should talk the same language to setup an effective tourist package that will attractive the tourist.
Most of my published aviation articles are uploaded, this time it is Engish version, addressing Aircraft Evalution, Traffic Forecasting, Engine Stock Control and many unique topics
Aviation Articles In Arabic:
About 16 aviation articles that published in CAMA magazine, this is the Arabic version, yes it is a hard work, that exploring the philosophy of Learning by Concept, addressing many ideas as
U Curve Techniques, Two Dimensional Matrix, and Optimum Operating Curve.
Hope To enjoy
Check Interval Escalation is a hard task for small fleet operators, there are two approaches, the first is sampling , while the second is analytical approach. here we are deal with analytical approach
What make airlines gain profits while the others fall in losses !!!
How LCC creates profits in a recession time ….
Is Airline Industry a profitable Industry !!!
What are various strategies in such cases…
And how to survive in this miss !!!!!!!
Check Interval Escalation, this is a hard topic for airlines, it mostly deliver and governed by aircraft manufactures, it needs a strong back ground in statistics, but it has a great impact on maintenance cost, and it is not widely familiar and implemented in the airline industry.
Forecasting is an important tool for planning, so without planning, there will be a disaster that may happen, i.e what will happen in case of Force Major
For study new destinations, Gravity Model frequently use, which is a tough approach that may not work sometime due to many economic factors in the world and war crises.
Since we use small size of data, the model is not fit properly , but the approach is clearly defined.
Marsa Alam Airport should be supported by Airport Hotel,
Marsa Alam Tourism team, Egypt Air, and Egyptian Civil Aviation Authorities should talk the same language to setup an effective tourist package that will attractive the tourist.
Most of my published aviation articles are uploaded, this time it is Engish version, addressing Aircraft Evalution, Traffic Forecasting, Engine Stock Control and many unique topics
Aviation Articles In Arabic:
About 16 aviation articles that published in CAMA magazine, this is the Arabic version, yes it is a hard work, that exploring the philosophy of Learning by Concept, addressing many ideas as
U Curve Techniques, Two Dimensional Matrix, and Optimum Operating Curve.
Hope To enjoy
Check Interval Escalation is a hard task for small fleet operators, there are two approaches, the first is sampling , while the second is analytical approach. here we are deal with analytical approach
What make airlines gain profits while the others fall in losses !!!
How LCC creates profits in a recession time ….
Is Airline Industry a profitable Industry !!!
What are various strategies in such cases…
And how to survive in this miss !!!!!!!
Check Interval Escalation, this is a hard topic for airlines, it mostly deliver and governed by aircraft manufactures, it needs a strong back ground in statistics, but it has a great impact on maintenance cost, and it is not widely familiar and implemented in the airline industry.
This virtual simulation program was developed to help airline management teams understand competitive market dynamics and improve problem solving and decision-making skills.
Find out more at: http://www.iata.org/airline-business-simulation
The responsibilities of EASA include to:
Giving advice for the drafting of EU legislation, implementing and monitoring safety rules (including inspections in the member states),
Giving type-certification of aircraft and components as well as the approval of organizations involved in the design,
Authorizing foreign operators,
Manufacture and maintenance of aeronautical products.
Airport Forecasting, is a collection articles which published in CAMA magazine, most of the airports of the world are forecasted, by using a new concept, and approach i.e Max/Min signal tracking approach, while the accuracy of the model is addressing by mapping to main elements – Displacement and Rotational in the accuracy matrix. Hope to enjoy !
Back To Norms,
It is addressing the impact of Covid19, and when to recover, both IATA are used Pax and Cargo, then we used Dlephi method to reflect the judgment of expert people to reflect their opinion in real life.
This research is up todate - we used IATA information
Has Airline Forecasting changed forever?Mohammed Awad
it is concern forecasting in Aviation,
two case studies are addressded, i.e global world, and Delta Airline, which shows the impact of Covid19, and its recovery in the future.
This virtual simulation program was developed to help airline management teams understand competitive market dynamics and improve problem solving and decision-making skills.
Find out more at: http://www.iata.org/airline-business-simulation
The responsibilities of EASA include to:
Giving advice for the drafting of EU legislation, implementing and monitoring safety rules (including inspections in the member states),
Giving type-certification of aircraft and components as well as the approval of organizations involved in the design,
Authorizing foreign operators,
Manufacture and maintenance of aeronautical products.
Airport Forecasting, is a collection articles which published in CAMA magazine, most of the airports of the world are forecasted, by using a new concept, and approach i.e Max/Min signal tracking approach, while the accuracy of the model is addressing by mapping to main elements – Displacement and Rotational in the accuracy matrix. Hope to enjoy !
Back To Norms,
It is addressing the impact of Covid19, and when to recover, both IATA are used Pax and Cargo, then we used Dlephi method to reflect the judgment of expert people to reflect their opinion in real life.
This research is up todate - we used IATA information
Has Airline Forecasting changed forever?Mohammed Awad
it is concern forecasting in Aviation,
two case studies are addressded, i.e global world, and Delta Airline, which shows the impact of Covid19, and its recovery in the future.
Air Cargo Forecast 2023 for Aviation IndustryMohammed Awad
Air Cargo Forecast addresses the trends in terms of figures based on the IATA air cargo newsletter. It looks that Air Cargo is the only business unit in aviation that has not been impacted by Covid 19
This is the third issue of yemenia focus, it address the evaluation of two yemenia station i.e Jeddah and Doha, which the best one that earned a max passengers per flight.
Yemenia Focus (Issue No. 4)
BREAKING THE RULES
RIYADH OR KUWAIT OPERATION
This is the fourth issue of Yemenia focus, addressing the comparison between Riyadh and Kuwait Yemenia stations, during the crises period. The issue is solved by calculating the average trend line, and the seasonality index for the period of 2008-2010. That should be reflected for the period of 2015-2016.
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Airlines Industry ...SlideTeam
Major sectors affected by COVID 19 outbreak at global level are tourism and travel, retail and airlines. Following presentation will allow a firm to address a collection of COVID 19 outbreak impact assessment and mitigation strategies reported in airlines industry. This presentation consists mainly five sections namely airlines industry overview, airlines financial analysis, risk assessment and its impact, how risks are mitigated and risk maturity model survey questionnaire. Firstly, airlines industry overview section will help the organization in addressing coronavirus impact on aviation tourism trade and global economy, impact on passenger traffic and revenues, impact on average trip length and impact on global as well as domestic RPKs. Airlines financial analysis section will help the organisation in addressing financial impact of COVID 19 outbreak on airlines industry. Risk assessment and its impact section will cover five major risk caused by coronavirus in airlines industry namely disruption due to social distancing, plummeting employee productivity, stressed supply chain, recession, unemployment and amp; investment pullout, economic instability and amp; civic unrest. How risks are mitigated section will help the firm in addressing measure taken by airlines industry to tackle COVID 19 outbreak. Sub headings covered in the section are business impact analysis, risk readiness assessment, risk management plans, business continuity plans, policy management and incident management. Finally, risk maturity model survey questionnaire section will help the organisation to address survey results of questionnaires asked from frequent flyers. https://bit.ly/37F8iHL
BCG Matrix Analysis for Airlines for period Dec 2019Mohammed Awad
The BCG Matrix provides a visual representation that aids decision-makers in understanding the relative position of each business unit within the overall portfolio. It helps in resource allocation, strategic planning, and identifying areas that require attention or investment. Remember that the implementation may vary based on the specific dynamics and challenges each airline faces.
Rush Hour Analysis,
Every city has its own pattern of traffic congestion that may reflects by a rush hour. Here we use leveling approach, that define by two factors - Rotational and Displacement. the idea is to define the right repeated cycle with minimum errors, and define the Rush Hour !
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) is an international organisation that works to build better policies for better lives. their goal is to shape policies that foster prosperity, equality, opportunity and well-being for all. they draw on 60 years of experience and insights to better prepare the world of tomorrow.
Back to norms, is an article that address the event of Black Swan, which is a very hard situation for airline industry, but it shows that there is some light at the end of the tunnel. that may recover soon.
Fare Mapping Analysis,
It is the best way to establish a foundation for Fare, It gives a complete picture for the condition of the flight for sector SHJ-AMM using the input of G9 airline (Al Arabia). in terms of CASK, Aircraft capacity and Fares.
Is Low Cost Carrier Profitable, this time we hold differents senarios by varing load factors and fares, the network is huge and large 128 sectors. hope to enjoy
Setting KPIs level for measuring Airports Performance,
this addressing the traffic flow for airports, and how to set the a KPIs scale to define the performance of airport
Route Development - it is task of airlines that done by airports, as most of airports in world try to convince airlines to operate and used their airports, the issue, is not the huge facility and or service, but it is a business, if airline does not get a business, then it is no need to operate to that destination.
[Note: This is a partial preview. To download this presentation, visit:
https://www.oeconsulting.com.sg/training-presentations]
Sustainability has become an increasingly critical topic as the world recognizes the need to protect our planet and its resources for future generations. Sustainability means meeting our current needs without compromising the ability of future generations to meet theirs. It involves long-term planning and consideration of the consequences of our actions. The goal is to create strategies that ensure the long-term viability of People, Planet, and Profit.
Leading companies such as Nike, Toyota, and Siemens are prioritizing sustainable innovation in their business models, setting an example for others to follow. In this Sustainability training presentation, you will learn key concepts, principles, and practices of sustainability applicable across industries. This training aims to create awareness and educate employees, senior executives, consultants, and other key stakeholders, including investors, policymakers, and supply chain partners, on the importance and implementation of sustainability.
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
1. Develop a comprehensive understanding of the fundamental principles and concepts that form the foundation of sustainability within corporate environments.
2. Explore the sustainability implementation model, focusing on effective measures and reporting strategies to track and communicate sustainability efforts.
3. Identify and define best practices and critical success factors essential for achieving sustainability goals within organizations.
CONTENTS
1. Introduction and Key Concepts of Sustainability
2. Principles and Practices of Sustainability
3. Measures and Reporting in Sustainability
4. Sustainability Implementation & Best Practices
To download the complete presentation, visit: https://www.oeconsulting.com.sg/training-presentations
LA HUG - Video Testimonials with Chynna Morgan - June 2024Lital Barkan
Have you ever heard that user-generated content or video testimonials can take your brand to the next level? We will explore how you can effectively use video testimonials to leverage and boost your sales, content strategy, and increase your CRM data.🤯
We will dig deeper into:
1. How to capture video testimonials that convert from your audience 🎥
2. How to leverage your testimonials to boost your sales 💲
3. How you can capture more CRM data to understand your audience better through video testimonials. 📊
An introduction to the cryptocurrency investment platform Binance Savings.Any kyc Account
Learn how to use Binance Savings to expand your bitcoin holdings. Discover how to maximize your earnings on one of the most reliable cryptocurrency exchange platforms, as well as how to earn interest on your cryptocurrency holdings and the various savings choices available.
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024FelixPerez547899
This session provided an update as to the latest valuation data in the UK and then delved into a discussion on the upcoming election and the impacts on valuation. We finished, as always with a Q&A
Understanding User Needs and Satisfying ThemAggregage
https://www.productmanagementtoday.com/frs/26903918/understanding-user-needs-and-satisfying-them
We know we want to create products which our customers find to be valuable. Whether we label it as customer-centric or product-led depends on how long we've been doing product management. There are three challenges we face when doing this. The obvious challenge is figuring out what our users need; the non-obvious challenges are in creating a shared understanding of those needs and in sensing if what we're doing is meeting those needs.
In this webinar, we won't focus on the research methods for discovering user-needs. We will focus on synthesis of the needs we discover, communication and alignment tools, and how we operationalize addressing those needs.
Industry expert Scott Sehlhorst will:
• Introduce a taxonomy for user goals with real world examples
• Present the Onion Diagram, a tool for contextualizing task-level goals
• Illustrate how customer journey maps capture activity-level and task-level goals
• Demonstrate the best approach to selection and prioritization of user-goals to address
• Highlight the crucial benchmarks, observable changes, in ensuring fulfillment of customer needs
Top mailing list providers in the USA.pptxJeremyPeirce1
Discover the top mailing list providers in the USA, offering targeted lists, segmentation, and analytics to optimize your marketing campaigns and drive engagement.
The world of search engine optimization (SEO) is buzzing with discussions after Google confirmed that around 2,500 leaked internal documents related to its Search feature are indeed authentic. The revelation has sparked significant concerns within the SEO community. The leaked documents were initially reported by SEO experts Rand Fishkin and Mike King, igniting widespread analysis and discourse. For More Info:- https://news.arihantwebtech.com/search-disrupted-googles-leaked-documents-rock-the-seo-world/
3. Introduction
“The magnitude of the COVID-19 crisis for airlines is enormous.
Over the 2020-2022 period total losses could top $200 billion.
To survive airlines have dramatically cut costs and adapted their
business to whatever opportunities were available.
That will see the $137.7 billion loss of 2020 reduce to $52 billion this year. And that will
further reduce to $12 billion in 2022.
We are well past the deepest point of the crisis. While serious issues remain, the path to
recovery is coming into view. Aviation is demonstrating its resilience yet again.”
Willie Walsh
IATA’s Director General.
4. Forecasting, Goals and Targets
• Forecasting is valid only in a stable economic environments –
but not in the cases of a force major such as a natural disaster,
a sudden war, a financial collapse or a global outbreak of a
deadly virus such as the Covid-19 pandemic.
• So for time series, forecasting will be the mirror of the past with
an uncertain growth or not to repeat the hidden cycles ,
seasons and shocks that may will appear in the future with a
minimum acceptable margin errors .
Introduction
5. Introduction
Driver for Economic growth and
Air Traffic Methodologies
Demand vs Supply
In Aviation
Industry:
Forecasting
depends on the
analyst, data
sampling, and in
what scope should
we treat the
process of
forecast, as it is
involves many
drivers.
6. Introduction
• In Aviation Industry, Every One Has its own
Concept to Forecast and evaluate the Demand
based on their strategies and philosophy.
• Airbus philosophy is based on consolidation
“Hub-to-Hub”. Leadingto manufacture A380
• Boeing philosophy is based on Fragmentation
“Point-to-Point”. Leadingto manufacture B787
Dreamliner.
• That’s for longterm forecasting.
• But for short term forecasting, we always face the
seasonality term.
• General practice the Airline Industry Model can be
expressed by The ARIMA seasonal model.
• Yemenia – applied a new approach addressing
Signal tracking, that control the displacement and
rotational factors of the new model.
Manufacture Concept
8. Introduction
Black Swan Situation
Black Swan Theory:
A theory that suggests that rare events are unpredictable as if they were
impossible to happen.
The theory took its name from the swan, as it was widely believed that all birds
of this species were white, until black swans were discovered in Western
Australia in the 18th century.
- It is an unexpected surprise and have a significant impact, and
- After it occurs the explanations that it considers predictable appear.
The theory was described by The Black Swan in 2007. There are no agreed criteria by classifying an event as a "black
swan", so it could be a natural disaster, a sudden war, a financial collapse or a global outbreak of a deadly virus
such as the Covid-19 pandemic, but, according to Naseem Nicola, black swan events usually have three main
characteristics:
- It has not occurred in the recent past, and
- the forecasting and forecasting tools used at the time of their occurrence cannot be monitored.
- It has a profound impact on societies around the world.
- They are inexplicable at the time they occur, and can only be absorbed long enough after they have occurred.
16. Forecasting Model
• Leveling Approach :
(Slope = Zero)
Directional
Displacement
(The right Displacement factor define by
Minimum Least Square analysis which
consequently lead to the highest
Coefficient of Correlation )
23. Results
Airline Industry Back To Norms : May 2023 – Jan 2024
Polling (LinkedIn) - Recovery On : 2024
Airbus Analysis = Recovery 2023 - 2025
Dubai International Airport = Recovery On Nov. 2023
23
24. Summary 1/2
Forecasting is an important tool for
planning, so without planning, there will
be a disaster that may happen, i.e what
will happen in case of Force Major
Industry practice, we always use a point
to point analysis (Month by Month and
Year by Year – YoY ) in terms of
percentage which is reflected by V shape
Curve ( Black Swain Situation) in the
current situation. We just monitoring the
situation –as its beyond your plans and
controls.
In case of Airline industry, demand
evaluation and forecasting are a must.
But we have first to define the Recovery
Period. As everyone has its own word.
24
25. Summary 2/2
All signals indicate, that the airline industry will recovered by 2024.
Also for international operation still the world suffering from COVID 19 – especially
Europe. Due to most of countries practicing the COVID 19 travelling restriction
between them, and the crises between Russia and Ukraine is another factor.
While for Dubai Airport, its is obviously will be back to Norms on Nov. 2023.
25
26. References
Air Passengers Market Analysis
https://www.iata.org/en/iata-
repository/publications/economic-reports/air-
passenger-monthly-analysis---march-2022/
Airline Traffic Forecasting
https://www.slideshare.net/forecasting/presentations
Airport Traffic Forecasting
https://www.slideshare.net/wings_of_wisdom/airport-
forecasting-100-issues
Air Transport Monitor
https://www.icao.int/sustainability/pages/air-traffic-
monitor.aspx
26