This document analyzes COVID-19 case and death data from 18 countries on March 18, 2020. It places the countries on a matrix based on their new cases and new deaths that day. Italy is in a "very critical situation" with the highest rates. Spain, France, and Iran are also in "critical situations." The US and Germany have "high impact" but may recover sooner. China and South Korea, with lower rates, are "more likely to recover." The analysis aims to classify countries by level of impact and recovery potential to inform the global response.