This document discusses arbitrage and synthetic instruments. It begins by defining arbitrage as profiting from price discrepancies between markets through simultaneous transactions. It then discusses the history of arbitrage from ancient times to modern day. Key risks in arbitrage in India include execution lags, interest rate uncertainty, transaction risk, and default risk. The document also covers other types of arbitrage like pure arbitrage and futures arbitrage. It concludes by listing some impediments to arbitrage in India such as lack of liquidity, regulatory anomalies, inadequate infrastructure, and lack of knowledge.
Value at Risk (VAR) is a risk management measure used to calculate potential losses over a given time period at a specified confidence level. There are three key elements - the level of loss, time period, and confidence level. For example, there is a 5% chance losses will exceed $20M over 5 days. VAR does not provide information on potential losses above the VAR level. There are three main methodologies used to calculate VAR - historical simulation, variance-covariance, and Monte Carlo simulation. Each has its own strengths and weaknesses in terms of implementation and ability to capture risk.
Swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange cash flows over time. The key types of swaps discussed in the document are interest rate swaps, currency swaps, and credit default swaps. Interest rate swaps involve the exchange of interest payments in the same currency, while currency swaps exchange payments in different currencies and may also exchange principal amounts. Credit default swaps provide credit protection to the buyer in the event of default by a reference entity. Swaps are used for hedging risks and reducing borrowing costs.
Derivatives are financial contracts whose value is based on an underlying asset such as a commodity, bond, currency or stock. They can be used for hedging risks from price movements, speculating on prices, or gaining exposure to markets. Common derivatives include forwards, futures, options, and swaps. Most are traded over-the-counter or on exchanges. Derivatives are one of the three main categories of financial instruments along with stocks and debt.
1) Total risk of a security is composed of systematic risk, which stems from external market factors, and unsystematic risk, which is specific to a company.
2) Diversifying a portfolio by holding many securities with returns that are not perfectly positively correlated can reduce total risk through lowering unsystematic risk exposure.
3) The degree of risk reduction from diversification depends on the correlation between the returns of the securities in the portfolio. Perfectly negatively correlated securities eliminate risk, while perfectly positively correlated securities do not allow for risk reduction through diversification.
This document discusses the concepts of risk and return in investments. It defines risk as the uncertainty of expected returns, which can be caused by factors both related and unrelated to the investment. Systematic risk refers to uncertainty from broader market factors that affect all investments, while unsystematic risk is specific to a particular investment. Standard deviation and beta are introduced as quantitative measures of risk. Standard deviation measures how much returns vary from the average, while beta measures the volatility of a security compared to the overall market. The security market line equation is presented to demonstrate how beta is used to determine the required rate of return based on the risk-free rate and market risk premium.
A swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange cash flows over a period of time, where at least one cash flow is determined by a variable such as interest rate, foreign exchange rate, or equity price. The most common type is an interest rate swap, where parties exchange interest payments on a notional principal amount at fixed and floating rates. Swaps allow users to align the risk characteristics of their assets and liabilities.
The document discusses various types of financial derivatives including futures, forwards, options, and swaps. It explains that derivatives derive their value from underlying assets and are used to hedge risk or profit from price changes. Futures contracts are exchange-traded standardized agreements to buy or sell assets at a future date, while other derivatives like forwards and swaps are customized over-the-counter transactions.
A financial futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell a financial asset like a stock, bond, currency, or index at a predetermined price and date. These contracts are standardized and traded on an exchange. There are several types of financial futures including interest rate futures, foreign currency futures, stock index futures, and bond index futures. Participants in the futures market include hedgers who aim to reduce risk, speculators who try to earn profits from price movements, arbitrageurs who seek riskless profits from pricing discrepancies, and spreaders who take positions to lower risk. The key functions of futures markets are hedging risk, price discovery, financing, providing liquidity, and stabilizing prices.
Value at Risk (VAR) is a risk management measure used to calculate potential losses over a given time period at a specified confidence level. There are three key elements - the level of loss, time period, and confidence level. For example, there is a 5% chance losses will exceed $20M over 5 days. VAR does not provide information on potential losses above the VAR level. There are three main methodologies used to calculate VAR - historical simulation, variance-covariance, and Monte Carlo simulation. Each has its own strengths and weaknesses in terms of implementation and ability to capture risk.
Swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange cash flows over time. The key types of swaps discussed in the document are interest rate swaps, currency swaps, and credit default swaps. Interest rate swaps involve the exchange of interest payments in the same currency, while currency swaps exchange payments in different currencies and may also exchange principal amounts. Credit default swaps provide credit protection to the buyer in the event of default by a reference entity. Swaps are used for hedging risks and reducing borrowing costs.
Derivatives are financial contracts whose value is based on an underlying asset such as a commodity, bond, currency or stock. They can be used for hedging risks from price movements, speculating on prices, or gaining exposure to markets. Common derivatives include forwards, futures, options, and swaps. Most are traded over-the-counter or on exchanges. Derivatives are one of the three main categories of financial instruments along with stocks and debt.
1) Total risk of a security is composed of systematic risk, which stems from external market factors, and unsystematic risk, which is specific to a company.
2) Diversifying a portfolio by holding many securities with returns that are not perfectly positively correlated can reduce total risk through lowering unsystematic risk exposure.
3) The degree of risk reduction from diversification depends on the correlation between the returns of the securities in the portfolio. Perfectly negatively correlated securities eliminate risk, while perfectly positively correlated securities do not allow for risk reduction through diversification.
This document discusses the concepts of risk and return in investments. It defines risk as the uncertainty of expected returns, which can be caused by factors both related and unrelated to the investment. Systematic risk refers to uncertainty from broader market factors that affect all investments, while unsystematic risk is specific to a particular investment. Standard deviation and beta are introduced as quantitative measures of risk. Standard deviation measures how much returns vary from the average, while beta measures the volatility of a security compared to the overall market. The security market line equation is presented to demonstrate how beta is used to determine the required rate of return based on the risk-free rate and market risk premium.
A swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange cash flows over a period of time, where at least one cash flow is determined by a variable such as interest rate, foreign exchange rate, or equity price. The most common type is an interest rate swap, where parties exchange interest payments on a notional principal amount at fixed and floating rates. Swaps allow users to align the risk characteristics of their assets and liabilities.
The document discusses various types of financial derivatives including futures, forwards, options, and swaps. It explains that derivatives derive their value from underlying assets and are used to hedge risk or profit from price changes. Futures contracts are exchange-traded standardized agreements to buy or sell assets at a future date, while other derivatives like forwards and swaps are customized over-the-counter transactions.
A financial futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell a financial asset like a stock, bond, currency, or index at a predetermined price and date. These contracts are standardized and traded on an exchange. There are several types of financial futures including interest rate futures, foreign currency futures, stock index futures, and bond index futures. Participants in the futures market include hedgers who aim to reduce risk, speculators who try to earn profits from price movements, arbitrageurs who seek riskless profits from pricing discrepancies, and spreaders who take positions to lower risk. The key functions of futures markets are hedging risk, price discovery, financing, providing liquidity, and stabilizing prices.
This document discusses the key differences between investment and speculation. Investment involves committing money for long-term gains with low to moderate risk and returns based on fundamentals. Speculation involves short-term, high risk bets with potential for high returns based on market psychology. The document also outlines the traditional two-step investment decision process of security analysis and portfolio management to evaluate individual assets and construct a balanced portfolio.
A derivative is a security whose price is dependent on one or more underlying assets, such as a stock or bond. It is a contract between two parties based on the performance of that asset. The value of a derivative is determined by fluctuations in the underlying asset. Derivatives allow for efficient management of financial risks and help ensure opportunities are not ignored. They provide a tool for limiting risks faced by individuals and organizations in conducting business. Effective use of derivatives can both reduce costs and increase returns.
The document discusses the evolution and features of swap markets. It begins by defining a swap as an agreement between two counterparties to exchange cash flows in the future, with terms like payment dates, currencies, and calculation of cash flows determined by the parties. The origin of swap markets is traced back to the 1970s in response to exchange rate instability. In the 1980s, multinational corporations began using swaps as more flexible alternatives to loans. Standardized documentation helped fuel growth, and new types of swaps like interest rate and currency swaps emerged. The key features of swaps discussed are counterparties, facilitators, cash flows, documentation, benefits, termination, and default risk.
Portfolio performance evaluation is the last step in the portfolio management process where the investor examines how well the portfolio objectives have been achieved. It allows the investor to evaluate their own portfolio performance to identify mistakes and improve. Portfolio managers of mutual funds and investment companies also undergo evaluation to assess the performance of the portfolios they manage and their skills. Investors in mutual funds want to evaluate fund performance to select the best performing and lowest risk funds. Portfolio evaluation looks at performance from a transaction, security, or portfolio level perspective with the portfolio level being the best since it considers overall return and risk.
Futures contracts are exchange-traded contracts that specify the quality, quantity, and delivery details of an underlying asset. They are settled daily based on changes in the spot price. Margins are deposited to minimize the risk of default. Key features of futures include daily settlement, offsetting trades to close positions before maturity, and delivery or cash settlement at expiration unless closed out earlier. Basis risk arises from uncertainty about the relationship between futures and spot prices when hedges are closed out.
The document provides an overview of how stock exchanges work. It discusses that a stock exchange is a regulated market where brokers can buy and sell stocks, bonds, and other securities. It also describes the two phases of trading that occur - brokers first execute orders for their clients, then securities and cash are exchanged between traders using clearing houses and depositories. The document then discusses different types of trading systems, order types, speculators, and the basic process an investor follows to trade securities through a broker.
Forward market, arbitrage, hedging and speculationMohit Singhal
Covers various aspects related to forward market, forward rate, long and short forward position, arbitrage, hedging and speculation along with various illustrative examples.
This document provides an overview of the money market and capital market in India. It discusses the history and development of the money market in India from 1935 when the RBI was established through various committees and reforms. It describes key segments of the money market like the call money market, certificate of deposits, commercial paper market. It also compares organized and unorganized money markets. Similarly, for capital markets it discusses the regulator SEBI, functions, instruments, structure comparing primary and secondary markets and methods to float new issues.
Derivatives - Basics of Derivatives contract covered in this pptSundar B N
Derivatives - Basics of Derivatives including forward, futures, swap and options contracts which covers HISTORY OF DERIVATIVES, CHARACTERISTICS OF DERIVATIVES , FEATURES OF DERIVATIVES, FUNCTIONS OF DERIVATIVES MARKET, USES OF DERIVATIVES, DIFFERENCE BETWEEN SHARES AND DERIVATIVES SHARES DERIVATIVES, DEFINITION OF UNDERLYING ASSET, DERIVATIVES ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES, PARTICIPANTS/ TRADERS IN DERIVATIVES MARKET, SPECULATORS, ARBITRAGEURS, HEDGER
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https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjzpit_cXjdnzER_165mIiw
This document discusses foreign exchange risk and its management. It defines foreign exchange risk as the risk of an investment's value changing due to currency fluctuations. It identifies the main types of foreign exchange risk as transaction risk, translation risk, and economic risk. Transaction risk arises from currency movements between the signing and execution of contracts. Translation risk occurs when consolidating financial statements in different currencies. Economic risk affects the long-term expected profits and wealth of a company due to currency changes. The document outlines various hedging strategies to manage these risks, including the use of forwards, futures, and money markets.
The document provides an overview of derivatives presented by group "The Trio" comprising of Neelam, Fatima, and Benish. It discusses the history and development of derivatives markets dating back to medieval times. It describes the key players in derivatives markets as hedgers, speculators, and arbitrageurs. Hedgers use derivatives to reduce risk, while speculators aim to profit from price movements. Arbitrageurs exploit temporary price differences across markets. The document also covers various types of derivatives including forwards, futures, and options contracts. It provides details on how these contracts work, their risk-return characteristics, and the current status of derivatives markets in Pakistan.
A bond is a debt security where the issuer owes the holder a debt and is obliged to repay the principal and interest at maturity. Bonds have features like nominal value, coupon rate, maturity date, and call/put options. There are various types of bonds like fixed rate, floating rate, zero coupon bonds, and municipal bonds. Bond portfolio strategies include passive buy and hold strategies, active strategies like sector substitution, and semi-active strategies like immunization and duration matching to reduce interest rate risk. Bonds are evaluated based on the issuer's financial strength and past earnings, while valuation considers the present value of future cash flows and yield to maturity is the single discount rate that equals the current price.
The document provides an overview of derivatives concepts, including the different types of derivatives contracts such as forwards, futures, swaps, and options. It discusses key terms like underlying assets, features of derivatives, and important concepts in options. The history of derivatives trading in India is covered, along with the regulatory framework and guidelines put forth by committees like the L.C. Gupta Committee and J.R. Verma Committee.
The Interest Rate Parity states that the difference between interest rates of two countries equals the difference between the forward and spot exchange rates. It plays an essential role in foreign exchange markets by preventing arbitrage opportunities. When returns on two currencies are equal, interest rate parity prevails. Factors like expected inflation, monetary policy, and economic conditions influence market interest rates. Interest rate parity implies that if the domestic interest rate is lower than the foreign rate, domestic investors will invest abroad to benefit, and vice versa if the domestic rate is higher.
Hybrid securities combine elements from multiple markets into a single security. They are constructed from "building blocks" of elemental markets like interest rates, foreign exchange, commodities, and equities. The creation of a hybrid security involves analyzing investor objectives, available elemental markets, derivative products, and regulatory considerations to develop a new product that balances these factors. Hybrid securities provide investors and issuers ways to access new opportunities, deal with constraints, and transfer risks between markets.
A currency swap involves the exchange of principal and interest payments in one currency for the same in another currency at fixed intervals over the contract period. In a currency swap, counterparties can choose to exchange principal at the start and end of the swap or just exchange interest payments. An interest rate swap is an agreement where one party pays a fixed interest rate on a loan while receiving a floating rate, or vice versa, from the other party in order to reduce exposure to interest rate fluctuations. Common types of interest rate swaps include fixed to floating, floating to fixed, and float to float (basis) swaps. Swaps allow parties to achieve their desired interest rate exposure and are customized over-the-counter agreements.
There are two main categories of futures contracts: commodity futures and financial futures. Commodity futures include metals, energy, grains and oil seeds, livestock, and food and fiber. Financial futures include eurodollar futures, U.S. treasury futures, foreign government debt futures, swap futures, forex futures, single stock futures, and index futures. Commodity futures prices are influenced by factors like supply, demand, weather conditions and economic trends, while financial futures provide ways to manage risks related to interest rates, currencies, stocks, and indexes.
Arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of price differences between two or more markets. It involves striking a combination of deals to capitalize on imbalances, with the profit being the difference between the market prices. True arbitrage requires no negative cash flow and a positive cash flow in at least one state. It allows for a risk-free profit after transaction costs. However, in practice there are always some risks involved like minor price fluctuations reducing profits or major risks like currency devaluations. Arbitrageurs seek to exploit brief differences in price to earn small risk-free profits.
This document summarizes an experiment testing the theory of dynamic market completeness. The experiment compared portfolio choices and prices in complete versus incomplete asset markets. In an incomplete market, one asset was prohibited from trading but additional information was provided halfway through, allowing the market to potentially fulfill conditions for dynamic completeness. The experiment found portfolio choices were generally the same between markets, but some price predictions were not supported. More experiments are needed to determine if these results are typical.
This document discusses the key differences between investment and speculation. Investment involves committing money for long-term gains with low to moderate risk and returns based on fundamentals. Speculation involves short-term, high risk bets with potential for high returns based on market psychology. The document also outlines the traditional two-step investment decision process of security analysis and portfolio management to evaluate individual assets and construct a balanced portfolio.
A derivative is a security whose price is dependent on one or more underlying assets, such as a stock or bond. It is a contract between two parties based on the performance of that asset. The value of a derivative is determined by fluctuations in the underlying asset. Derivatives allow for efficient management of financial risks and help ensure opportunities are not ignored. They provide a tool for limiting risks faced by individuals and organizations in conducting business. Effective use of derivatives can both reduce costs and increase returns.
The document discusses the evolution and features of swap markets. It begins by defining a swap as an agreement between two counterparties to exchange cash flows in the future, with terms like payment dates, currencies, and calculation of cash flows determined by the parties. The origin of swap markets is traced back to the 1970s in response to exchange rate instability. In the 1980s, multinational corporations began using swaps as more flexible alternatives to loans. Standardized documentation helped fuel growth, and new types of swaps like interest rate and currency swaps emerged. The key features of swaps discussed are counterparties, facilitators, cash flows, documentation, benefits, termination, and default risk.
Portfolio performance evaluation is the last step in the portfolio management process where the investor examines how well the portfolio objectives have been achieved. It allows the investor to evaluate their own portfolio performance to identify mistakes and improve. Portfolio managers of mutual funds and investment companies also undergo evaluation to assess the performance of the portfolios they manage and their skills. Investors in mutual funds want to evaluate fund performance to select the best performing and lowest risk funds. Portfolio evaluation looks at performance from a transaction, security, or portfolio level perspective with the portfolio level being the best since it considers overall return and risk.
Futures contracts are exchange-traded contracts that specify the quality, quantity, and delivery details of an underlying asset. They are settled daily based on changes in the spot price. Margins are deposited to minimize the risk of default. Key features of futures include daily settlement, offsetting trades to close positions before maturity, and delivery or cash settlement at expiration unless closed out earlier. Basis risk arises from uncertainty about the relationship between futures and spot prices when hedges are closed out.
The document provides an overview of how stock exchanges work. It discusses that a stock exchange is a regulated market where brokers can buy and sell stocks, bonds, and other securities. It also describes the two phases of trading that occur - brokers first execute orders for their clients, then securities and cash are exchanged between traders using clearing houses and depositories. The document then discusses different types of trading systems, order types, speculators, and the basic process an investor follows to trade securities through a broker.
Forward market, arbitrage, hedging and speculationMohit Singhal
Covers various aspects related to forward market, forward rate, long and short forward position, arbitrage, hedging and speculation along with various illustrative examples.
This document provides an overview of the money market and capital market in India. It discusses the history and development of the money market in India from 1935 when the RBI was established through various committees and reforms. It describes key segments of the money market like the call money market, certificate of deposits, commercial paper market. It also compares organized and unorganized money markets. Similarly, for capital markets it discusses the regulator SEBI, functions, instruments, structure comparing primary and secondary markets and methods to float new issues.
Derivatives - Basics of Derivatives contract covered in this pptSundar B N
Derivatives - Basics of Derivatives including forward, futures, swap and options contracts which covers HISTORY OF DERIVATIVES, CHARACTERISTICS OF DERIVATIVES , FEATURES OF DERIVATIVES, FUNCTIONS OF DERIVATIVES MARKET, USES OF DERIVATIVES, DIFFERENCE BETWEEN SHARES AND DERIVATIVES SHARES DERIVATIVES, DEFINITION OF UNDERLYING ASSET, DERIVATIVES ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES, PARTICIPANTS/ TRADERS IN DERIVATIVES MARKET, SPECULATORS, ARBITRAGEURS, HEDGER
Subscribe to Vision Academy for Video assistance
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjzpit_cXjdnzER_165mIiw
This document discusses foreign exchange risk and its management. It defines foreign exchange risk as the risk of an investment's value changing due to currency fluctuations. It identifies the main types of foreign exchange risk as transaction risk, translation risk, and economic risk. Transaction risk arises from currency movements between the signing and execution of contracts. Translation risk occurs when consolidating financial statements in different currencies. Economic risk affects the long-term expected profits and wealth of a company due to currency changes. The document outlines various hedging strategies to manage these risks, including the use of forwards, futures, and money markets.
The document provides an overview of derivatives presented by group "The Trio" comprising of Neelam, Fatima, and Benish. It discusses the history and development of derivatives markets dating back to medieval times. It describes the key players in derivatives markets as hedgers, speculators, and arbitrageurs. Hedgers use derivatives to reduce risk, while speculators aim to profit from price movements. Arbitrageurs exploit temporary price differences across markets. The document also covers various types of derivatives including forwards, futures, and options contracts. It provides details on how these contracts work, their risk-return characteristics, and the current status of derivatives markets in Pakistan.
A bond is a debt security where the issuer owes the holder a debt and is obliged to repay the principal and interest at maturity. Bonds have features like nominal value, coupon rate, maturity date, and call/put options. There are various types of bonds like fixed rate, floating rate, zero coupon bonds, and municipal bonds. Bond portfolio strategies include passive buy and hold strategies, active strategies like sector substitution, and semi-active strategies like immunization and duration matching to reduce interest rate risk. Bonds are evaluated based on the issuer's financial strength and past earnings, while valuation considers the present value of future cash flows and yield to maturity is the single discount rate that equals the current price.
The document provides an overview of derivatives concepts, including the different types of derivatives contracts such as forwards, futures, swaps, and options. It discusses key terms like underlying assets, features of derivatives, and important concepts in options. The history of derivatives trading in India is covered, along with the regulatory framework and guidelines put forth by committees like the L.C. Gupta Committee and J.R. Verma Committee.
The Interest Rate Parity states that the difference between interest rates of two countries equals the difference between the forward and spot exchange rates. It plays an essential role in foreign exchange markets by preventing arbitrage opportunities. When returns on two currencies are equal, interest rate parity prevails. Factors like expected inflation, monetary policy, and economic conditions influence market interest rates. Interest rate parity implies that if the domestic interest rate is lower than the foreign rate, domestic investors will invest abroad to benefit, and vice versa if the domestic rate is higher.
Hybrid securities combine elements from multiple markets into a single security. They are constructed from "building blocks" of elemental markets like interest rates, foreign exchange, commodities, and equities. The creation of a hybrid security involves analyzing investor objectives, available elemental markets, derivative products, and regulatory considerations to develop a new product that balances these factors. Hybrid securities provide investors and issuers ways to access new opportunities, deal with constraints, and transfer risks between markets.
A currency swap involves the exchange of principal and interest payments in one currency for the same in another currency at fixed intervals over the contract period. In a currency swap, counterparties can choose to exchange principal at the start and end of the swap or just exchange interest payments. An interest rate swap is an agreement where one party pays a fixed interest rate on a loan while receiving a floating rate, or vice versa, from the other party in order to reduce exposure to interest rate fluctuations. Common types of interest rate swaps include fixed to floating, floating to fixed, and float to float (basis) swaps. Swaps allow parties to achieve their desired interest rate exposure and are customized over-the-counter agreements.
There are two main categories of futures contracts: commodity futures and financial futures. Commodity futures include metals, energy, grains and oil seeds, livestock, and food and fiber. Financial futures include eurodollar futures, U.S. treasury futures, foreign government debt futures, swap futures, forex futures, single stock futures, and index futures. Commodity futures prices are influenced by factors like supply, demand, weather conditions and economic trends, while financial futures provide ways to manage risks related to interest rates, currencies, stocks, and indexes.
Arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of price differences between two or more markets. It involves striking a combination of deals to capitalize on imbalances, with the profit being the difference between the market prices. True arbitrage requires no negative cash flow and a positive cash flow in at least one state. It allows for a risk-free profit after transaction costs. However, in practice there are always some risks involved like minor price fluctuations reducing profits or major risks like currency devaluations. Arbitrageurs seek to exploit brief differences in price to earn small risk-free profits.
This document summarizes an experiment testing the theory of dynamic market completeness. The experiment compared portfolio choices and prices in complete versus incomplete asset markets. In an incomplete market, one asset was prohibited from trading but additional information was provided halfway through, allowing the market to potentially fulfill conditions for dynamic completeness. The experiment found portfolio choices were generally the same between markets, but some price predictions were not supported. More experiments are needed to determine if these results are typical.
This document provides an introduction and table of contents to a project report on exotic options and their products and applications. It discusses forward contracts and vanilla options such as calls and puts in chapter 2. Chapter 3 covers exotic options including lookback options, compound options, binary options, barrier options, and mountain range options like Atlas and Himalayan options. The document aims to explain how these derivatives work and their benefits and drawbacks for investors seeking to hedge risks, speculate, or arbitrage pricing inefficiencies.
Options Pricing The Black-Scholes ModelMore or .docxhallettfaustina
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Options Pricing: The Black-Scholes ModelMore or less, the Black-Scholes (B-S) Model is really just a fancy extension of the Binomial Model.
(Fancy enough, however, to win a Nobel Prize…).
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How B-S extends the Binomial Model1. Instead of assuming two possible states for future exchange rates, and thus returns (i.e., “up” and “down”), B-S assumes a continuous distribution of returns, R, so that returns can take on a whole range of values.
Binomial B-S
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How B-S extends the Binomial ModelIn fact, exchange rate returns are approximately normally distributed, so this is a “reasonable” assumption:
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How B-S extends the Binomial Model2. Instead of just one time period, B-S assumes multiple time periods and that the time between periods is instantaneous (i.e., continuous).
(See lecture)
Also, the time between periods t=0, t=1, t=2, etc. shrinks to zero, so that spot rate is changing at every instant.
*
How B-S extends the Binomial ModelThis is more realistic, since actual currency trades take place on a second-to-second, nearly continuous basis.
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How B-S extends the Binomial ModelIt turns out that these two extensions are enough to make the math very hard. Thus, deriving the B-S model is no easy task.
The most important thing to recognize is that despite the above complications, the basic underlying approach of the B-S model remains the same…
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How B-S extends the Binomial Model3. Create a replicating portfolio and price the option using a no-arbitrage argument.Calculate NS and NB: Now, since these are constantly changing over time, this process is called “dynamic hedging”.Replicating portfolio:It turns out that it is possible to use a combination of foreign currency and USD, and now in addition, options themselves, to form a riskless portfolio (i.e., return is known for sure).No-arbitrage: Riskless portfolios must have the same price as risk-free securities, otherwise arbitrage is possible. Use this fact to figure out c.
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The Black-Scholes Options Pricing FormulaPutting the above all together, we get the Black-Scholes formula for pricing a European call option on foreign currency:
where
and S, X, T as before
r = domestic risk-free rate, r* = foreign risk-free rate
s = volatility of the foreign currency (sd of returns).
*
The Black-Scholes Options Pricing Formula
Also, N(x) = Prob that a random variable will be less than x under the standard normal distribution (i.e., cumulative distribution function).Calculate in EXCEL using “=NORMSDIST(x)”.
represents discounting when interest rates are continuously compounded, so basically it corresponds to:
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Quantum theory of securities price formation in financial marketsJack Sarkissian
1) The document proposes a quantum theory of price formation in financial markets that does not assume similarities to quantum mechanics. It models price as a probability amplitude whose absolute value squared represents the probability of a given price.
2) A price operator governs security prices and its eigenfunctions represent pure price states while eigenvalues are the price spectrum. Matrix elements of the price operator fluctuate, introducing randomness.
3) The model derives an evolution equation for the probability amplitude from total probability conservation. It represents price dynamics through a matrix exponential solution of the evolution equation.
There are three main types of traders in futures markets - hedgers who seek to reduce risk, speculators who take on risk in hopes of profiting from price movements, and arbitrageurs who exploit temporary mispricings across related markets. Futures contracts are standardized to specify the deliverable asset, amount, location, and timing of delivery. Daily mark-to-market and margin adjustments help minimize the risk of default on futures positions.
The marginal productivity theory of distribution states that in a competitive market, each factor of production will be paid a price equal to the value of its marginal product. The theory explains that firms will employ factors up to the point where the marginal productivity of the last unit equals its price. Demand for factors is derived from the demand for final goods. The Ricardian theory of rent argues that landowners receive economic rent for more fertile land due to differences in land quality and scarcity of the best land. Rent is a surplus over the costs of cultivating the least fertile land.
In this paper, we focus on a financial market with one riskless and one risky asset, and consider the
asset allocation problem in the form of semi-variable transaction costs. One of the basic ideas of this paper is to
transform the problem of maximizing the expected utility of terminal wealth in a friction market with semi
Derivatives are financial instruments whose value is derived from an underlying asset. There are several types of derivatives:
1) Forward contracts are customized agreements between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a future date for a fixed price, exposing the parties to counterparty risk.
2) Futures contracts are similar to forwards but are exchange-traded, with standardized terms, eliminating counterparty risk.
3) Options contracts give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a specified price on or before the expiration date.
4) Warrants and convertibles give holders the right to buy or convert into the underlying asset within a given time period.
Derivatives are financial instruments whose value is derived from an underlying asset. There are several types of derivatives:
1) Forward contracts are customized agreements between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a future date for a fixed price, exposing the parties to counterparty risk.
2) Futures contracts are similar to forwards but are exchange-traded, with standardized terms, eliminating counterparty risk.
3) Options contracts give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a specified price on or before the expiration date.
4) Warrants and convertibles give holders the right to buy or convert into the underlying asset within a given time period.
The document discusses the significance of arbitrage in financial economics. It makes three key points:
1) Arbitrage binds different subfields of finance by ensuring assets are correctly priced and there are no risk-free opportunities with positive returns. Agents engaging in arbitrage close opportunities and bring markets to equilibrium.
2) The arbitrage principle implies the "law of one price" where substitutable assets have the same price. This allows construction of a fundamental valuation relationship used in option pricing models.
3) The binomial option pricing model relies on the arbitrage principle by constructing a replicating portfolio that matches the option's payoff in each state to price the option correctly. The model assumes share price follows a
The document provides an overview of derivatives, including:
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2. CONTENTS
2
MEANING OF ARBITRAGE
ARBITRAGE: FROM ANCIENT TO MODERN
RISKS IN ARBITRAGE IN INDIA
MARKETS WHERE ARBITRAGE IS USED
OTHER TYPES OF ARBITRAGE
IMPEDIMENTS TO ARBITRAGE IN INDIA
3. 3
SYNTHETIC SECURITIES
CASH AND CARRY SYNTHETIC
CREATING SYNTHETIC LONG BONDS
USING SWAPS TO SYNTHESIZE POSITIONS
QUALITATIVE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN
SYNTHETICAND REAL SECURITIES
4. MEANING OF ARBITRAGE
4
Arbitrage is a profit-making activity which involves two
or more simultaneous transactions in different markets in
order to take advantage of price, time, space, legal,
regulatory discrepancies between them.
5. 5
Example:
Infosys is quoting at $250 on the BSE and $260 on the NSE.
Hence, one can sell stock on the NSE and buy from the BSE at
the same time.
This trade will lead to profit without any risk. This process is
known as arbitrage.
6. ARBITRAGE: FROM ANCIENT TO MODERN
6
As stated earlier, arbitrage involves simultaneous transactions in
two or more markets in order to exploit price, time, space, legal,
regulatory discrepancies between the markets.
There are many different forms of arbitrage. The most intuitively
obvious form involves the purchase of a commodity in one
market and the simultaneous sale of the same commodity in
different markets.
When a sufficiently large price discrepancy does develop,
arbitragers will quietly act to exploit it.
7. 7
Purchased in :
Lower Price Market(where it is said to be cheap) and,
Sold in :
High Priced Market (where it is said to be rich).
8. 8
The arbitrager, seeks to profit from the discrepancy between the
markets. This form of arbitrage is called Spatial Or Geographic
Arbitrage, and is one of the earliest forms of arbitrage.
Indeed, in the sense it is the functional in which the merchant
activity rests. In order, for spatial arbitrage to be profitable, the
price discrepancy between the two markets must be sufficiently
great to cover the transactions and transportation cost
involved.
9. 9
EXAMPLE:
Commodity can be moved between Market 1 and Market 2, at :
Transportation Cost : T 1, 2
Transactions Cost : R 1, 2
Then spatial arbitrage is only profitable if:
The price of the commodity is more than T 1, 2 + R 1, 2.
10. 10
If there are no artificial barriers to trade, the activities of the
spatial arbitragers described above should ensure that the
prices of the same commodity in the different market never
deviate by more then the cost of transportation and
transaction.
Indeed, this thinking led to the development of a theory of
geographic market equilibrium now known as the law of one
price.
11. 11
The law of one price states that:
Price in Market i, denotes P i
Price in Market j denotes P j
are related as defined by the following equation :
P i = P j + Z i, j (eq. 1)
Z i, j = (T i, j + R i, j)
In simple words, the price in Market i can be as high as
P j + (T i, j + R i, j) or as low as P j- (T i, j + R i, j) without
giving rise to profitable arbitrage opportunities.
12. 12
The law of one price can be generated to allow for different
currencies.
EXAMPLE:
If the price of the commodity in Market i is stated in Currency
iand the Price in Market j is stated in Currency j, then the law
of one price must also reflect the exchange rate between
Currency i and Currency j.
13. 13
If we denote, this exchange rate by E i, j , then the law of one
price is stated by the following equation :
P i = P j. E i,j + Z i,j ( eq. 2)
Equation 2 is interpreted as follows:
The Price of the commodity in Market i stated in Currency i
must be equal the Price in Market j in Currency j times the
exchange rate of Currency i for Currency j.
Z i, j is same as observed earlier stated in terms of Currency i.
14. 14
The law of one price can be expanded to allow for commodities that
are different but that are convertible into each other.
EXAMPLE:
Gold trades on some exchanges in 95% purity but on other exchange
in 99% purity. Thus, the 95% purity standard of is not deliverable
against the 99% purity standard of the other market. But, at some
expense, 95% gold can be converted to 99% gold by something the
gold and as convertibility cost.
Equation (2) then will become:
P i = P j . E i,j + Z i,j (eq. 3)
Here, Z i, j = (T i, j + R i, j+ Ci,j)
15. 15
Another type of arbitrage that has long been practiced is
temporal arbitrage, something called carrying – charge
arbitrage.
In this form of arbitrage the market in which the commodity is
bought and the market in which it is sold differ temporarily
rather than spatially.
16. 16
EXAMPLE:
An arbitrager observed that the commodity for immediate (spot)
delivery, can be purchased for Pi (t) and sold for later
(forward) delivery for Fi (t,T).
The difference between Fi (t,T) and Pi(t) should be equal to the
cost of carry, i.e. :
Fi (t,T) - Pi(t) = Gi (t,T)
or, Fi (t,T) = Pi(t) + Gi (t,T) (eq. 4)
Here, Gi (t,T) is the cost of carry.
17. 17
Equation 3: Spatial Equilibrium Condition
Equation 4: Temporal Equilibrium Condition
If Fi (t,T) was greater than the RHS of equation 4, the
arbitrager would long spot commodity and short commodity for
forward delivery.
If Fi (t,T) is less than the RHS of equation 4, then arbitrager
would short the spot commodity and long commodity for
forward delivery.
18. 18
The spatial equilibrium condition and the temporal
equilibrium conditions represented by equation 3 and equation
4 respectively, can be combined to provide a more general
equilibrium condition that can explain both spatial and temporal
price relationship:
Fi(t,T) = Pj(t). E i,j(t) + Gi(t,T) + Zi,j (eq. 5)
19. 19
Through proper structuring and diversification of a portfolio,
very risky individual positions can be held with very little overall
risk. If the parties bearing the individual risks are willing to pay a
sufficiently large premium to be relieved of them, then the
arbitrage can be profitable.
In academic circles, arbitrage is often described as a profitable
business activities involving no risk.
20. 20
Indeed, when using this definition, we often make our meaning
clear by specifying academic or pure arbitrage. The academic
definition, assumes that all transactions, including both the
purchase and sale, can be transacted simultaneously, and that the
positions can be financed entirely from loans (no equity).
In practice, real world arbitrage generally cannot be effectively
conducted without some, atleast, temporary, investment and it is
rarely completely risk free.
21. 21
For eg. Suppose an arbitrager spots an exploitable market
mispricing. He attempts to profit by buying in the cheap market
and selling in the (high-priced) rich market.
If the two transaction can be effected simultaneously by saying
“done” to the selling and buying parties, then there is no
transaction risk.
22. 22
But, in practice it will usually happen that the transactions are
only near simultaneous. A split second passes between the
buying and the selling transactions. It is possible that one of the
opposing parties may withdraw his or her bid or offer, before the
second transaction can be effected.
It is also possible that, even if both of the sides of arbitrage are
affected simultaneously, that one of the party may default.
Many potentially profitable arbitrage opportunities have gone
sour because of default.
23. 23
Given these realities, a better definition of arbitrage might be:
“A business transaction undertaken to even a low – risk profit
on little investment by exploiting a pricing discrepancy
between 2 or more markets.”
24. MARKETS WHERE ARBITRAGE IS USED
24
Stock Market
Bond Market
Derivatives Market
Commodity Market
Foreign Exchange Market
25. RISK IN ARBITRAGE IN INDIA
25
Execution
Lags
Interest
Rate
Uncertainty
Transaction
Risk
Default
Risk
26. 26
EXECUTION LAGS
In the ideal world, traders placed to capture an arbitrage
opportunity would be instantaneously executed. However, in the
real world, execution takes time. Very often, there can be
variations in price between the time an arbitrage opportunity is
entered into and the time the trade is actually executed on the
market.
27. 27
INTEREST RATE UNCERTAINTY
An arbitrator who enters into an arbitrage trade assumes that a
particular level of interest rate will remain constant. In the cash
and carry strategy, the arbitrager assumes that he will be able to
borrow at a certain rate till the expiration of future contract.
Similarly, he makes assumption in other strategies.
However, the uncertainty about the interest rate that will be
charged on the capital that is deployed and the returns that
would be generated from the funds deployed in money market,
have a bearing on the profits generated form arbitrage positions
undertaken.
28. 28
TRANSACTION RISK
Arbitrager attempts to make profit by buying in cheap market
and selling in rich market. In practice it usually happens that the
transactions are only near simultaneously.
A split second passes between the buying and the selling
transaction. It is possible that one of the opposing party may
withdraw his or her offer, before the second transaction is
affection, so this a transaction risk involved in arbitrage.
29. 29
DEFAULT RISK
Sometimes both sides of arbitrage are effected simultaneously,
but one of the party may default, that is known as default risk,
many potentially profitable arbitrage opportunities have gone
sour because of default.
30. OTHER TYPES OF ARBITRAGE
30
PURE ARBITRAGE
The pure arbitrage is the one in which, one has two assets with
identical cash flow and different market prices.
It includes two aspects:
1. Identical assets are not common in real world. No two
companies are exactly alike, and their stocks are therefore not
perfect substitutes.
2. Second, assuming two identical assets exists, one has to wonder
why financial markets would allow price differences to persist.
31. 31
FUTURE ARBITRAGE
A future contract is to deliver (sell) or take delivery (buy) of a
standardized quantity of an underlying commodity/instrument at
a pre-established price, agreed on a regulated exchange at a
specified future date.
In future contract one party agrees to deliver the asset at the
specified time in the future, and the other party agrees to pay a
fixed price and take delivery of the asset.
32. 32
OPTIONS ARBITRAGE
As derivative securities, options differ from futures in a very
important respect. There are rights rather than obligations, calls
gives you the right to buy and puts gives you the right the sell an
underlying asset at a fixed price called an exercise price.
Consequently, a key feature of options is that buyers of option
will exercise the options only if it is in their best interests to do so
and thus cannot lose more than what was paid for the option, i.e.
option premium.
33. 33
SPECULATIVE ARBITRAGE
It is really not an arbitrage in first place. In this investors take
advantage of what they see is mispriced, buying the cheaper one
and selling the expensive one, but it actually expose investors to
significant risk.
34. 34
UNCOVERED INTERST ARBITRAGE
In case of uncovered interest arbitrage, funds or monies are sent
to another country for availing the benefit of increased interest
rates in forex agencies.
REGULATORY ARBITRAGE
In this type of arbitrage, a regulated organization avails the
benefit of deviation between the regulatory positioning and the
economic risk.
35. 35
CASH AND CARRY ARBITRAGE
It is a combination of a long position in an asset and a short
position in underlying futures. This arbitrage strategy seeks to
exploit pricing inefficiencies for the same asset in cash and
future market, in order to make riskless profits.
The arbitrager “carry” the asset till the expiration of future
contract, at which point it would be delivered against future
contract.
36. IMPEDIMENTS TO ARBITRAGE IN INDIA
36
Lack of liquidity and depth
in the spot market
Anomalies in regulation and
taxation of arbitrage traders
Inadequate IT infrastructure
Lack of knowledge