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Foreign-Exchange Risk
Management of Exposure Risk




          FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Authors of Presentation
           Vipin Das
           Sreejith
           Saranya S R
           Renjil Mathew
           Rinto Mathew
           Likhitha
           Jishnu
           Lijo Stalin                 FOREX Risk Management
           Manu C Pillali


  FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Foreign-Exchange Risk



• The risk of an investment's value changing due
  to changes in currency exchange rates.

• The risk that an investor will have to close out
  a long or short position in a foreign currency
  at a loss due to an adverse movement in
  exchange rates. Also known as "currency risk"
  or "exchange-rate risk".

                  FOREX-Management of exposure risks
• This risk usually affects businesses that export
  and/or import
• But also affect investors making international
  investments
• Financial risk management is the practice of
  creating economic value in a firm by
  using financial instruments to manage
  exposure to risk

                  FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Foreign Exchange Exposure


• Foreign Exchange Exposure is a measure of
  the potential change in a firm's profitability,
• net cash flow and /or market value of net
  assets due to a change in exchange rates.

 “When a US company sells to a foreign buyer and accepts the
buyers currency for payment, the US company bears the risk that
 the foreign currency depreciates and that it will receive fewer
  dollars once the foreign currency is converted back into the
                             dollar.”

                      FOREX-Management of exposure risks
TYPES OF RISK FROM FOREIGN
EXCHANGE EXPOSURE

 • Transaction Risk
 • Translation Risk
 • Economic Risk




  FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Transaction Risk


When a firm or individual has a receivable or a
payable in a foreign currency the foreign
exchange rate may change, causing an increase
in the liability of the home country's currency or
a decrease in receipts in the home country's
currency.




                 FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Transaction Risk


• The risk of changes in the expected value of a
  contract between its signing and its execution
  as a result of unexpected changes in foreign
  exchange rates.
• Whoever makes a contract denominated in a
  foreign currency bears transaction risk.
“Ocean Drilling has transaction risk if it borrows money
 in French francs or Japanese yen, and Hintz-Kessels-
 Kohl has transaction risk if it agrees to accept future
       payments for its vehicles in U.S. dollars.”
                   FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Passive Transaction Risk Management


• Denominate all contracts in domestic
  currency. This is a possible strategy for
  companies with market power.
• Do nothing about transaction risk. This is a
  possible strategy for companies with a large
  number of small contracts in a large number
  of currencies


                 FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Hedging


• Insuring against transaction risk to reduce or
  eliminate the effects of unexpected changes in
  exchange rates.
• You can hedge only at market rates. The
  effects of expected changes in exchange rates
  are incorporated in these market rates.
 Hedging is insurance. The purpose of hedging
   is to reduce or eliminate risks, not to make
                      profits.

                 FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Hedging


The purpose of hedging is to manage a firm's
foreign exchange exposure by minimizing home
currency outflows (payables/liabilities) and
maximizing home currency inflows
(receivables/assets).




               FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Natural Transaction Risk Hedging


• Centralize cash management to net all
  offsetting transactions, transactions which are
  long and short the same currency.
• Time, lead and lag, offsetting business
  transactions in the same currency.
• Create offsetting business transactions in the
  same currency.


                 FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Translation Risk


When a home country entity is required to
consolidate its foreign subsidiaries' income
statements and balance sheets into the home
currency. Exchange rates may change, causing
an increase in liabilities or a decrease in assets
as measured in home country currency terms.




                  FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Translation Risk


• Gains or losses from exchange rate changes that
   occur as a result of converting financial
   statements from one currency to another in
   order to consolidate them.
• Every company having at least one subsidiary
   using a different functional currency bears
   translation risk.
 “MSDI has translation risk from having a subsidiary,
       MSDI Alcala de Henares, whose financial
  statements are kept in Spanish pesetas and not in
                      U.S. dollars.”

                  FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Hedging Translation Risk


• Translation risk is hedged in the same ways as
  transaction risk.
• It appears as if investors are indifferent to
  foreign currency translation gains and losses.




                 FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Market Translation Risk Hedging



• Forward Markets
• Futures Markets
• Money Markets




        FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Forward and Futures Markets

1. Any currency, any amount,           1. Selected currencies, standard
   any maturity                           contracts, standard maturities
2. Illiquid                            2. Liquid
3. Self-regulated OTC market           3. Government-regulated
4. Contract with dealer                   exchange-based market
5. Requires credit-worthiness          4. Contract with exchange
6. Cash flow only at maturity          5. Requires margin account
7. Settled by executing                6. Marked to market daily
   contract                            7. Settled by offsetting trade
8. Hedge by buying forward             8. Hedge by making a
   the short currency or
   selling forward the long               transaction whose gains or
   currency                               losses offset those of the
                                          underlying position


                      FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Forward and Money Markets


• Money markets can always be used to synthesize
  forward markets.
• Money market rates are used to set forward
  market rates.
• Money market transactions are likely to be more
  costly than forward market transactions, since
  three transactions having their own bid-ask
  spreads are required to duplicate one forward
  market transaction with one bid-ask spread.
• Money market transactions appear on the
  balance sheet; forward market transactions do
  not.

                 FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Economic Risk


The effect of exchange rate changes on the long
term expected income streams, i.e., expected
net wealth of home country stockholders. This
risk is usually managed with physical location of
assets and liabilities.




                 FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Economic Risk


• Changes in competitive position as a result of
  permanent changes in exchange rates.
• Every company buying or selling abroad or
  even just competing with foreign companies
  has economic risk.
 “Maybach has economic risk from manufacturing its
  automobiles in Germany for export to the United
    States, where it competes with Rolls Royces
             manufactured in England.”

                 FOREX-Management of exposure risks
CONCLUSION

By incorporating foreign exchange risk solutions
into broader business strategy, we can help
protect your profitability by managing your
exposure to exchange rates – whatever your risk
appetite maybe.




             FOREX-Management of exposure risks
THANK YOU




FOREX-Management of exposure risks

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Foreign exchange risk

  • 1. Group - 4 Foreign-Exchange Risk Management of Exposure Risk FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 2. Authors of Presentation Vipin Das Sreejith Saranya S R Renjil Mathew Rinto Mathew Likhitha Jishnu Lijo Stalin FOREX Risk Management Manu C Pillali FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 3. Foreign-Exchange Risk • The risk of an investment's value changing due to changes in currency exchange rates. • The risk that an investor will have to close out a long or short position in a foreign currency at a loss due to an adverse movement in exchange rates. Also known as "currency risk" or "exchange-rate risk". FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 4. • This risk usually affects businesses that export and/or import • But also affect investors making international investments • Financial risk management is the practice of creating economic value in a firm by using financial instruments to manage exposure to risk FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 5. Foreign Exchange Exposure • Foreign Exchange Exposure is a measure of the potential change in a firm's profitability, • net cash flow and /or market value of net assets due to a change in exchange rates. “When a US company sells to a foreign buyer and accepts the buyers currency for payment, the US company bears the risk that the foreign currency depreciates and that it will receive fewer dollars once the foreign currency is converted back into the dollar.” FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 6. TYPES OF RISK FROM FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE • Transaction Risk • Translation Risk • Economic Risk FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 7. Transaction Risk When a firm or individual has a receivable or a payable in a foreign currency the foreign exchange rate may change, causing an increase in the liability of the home country's currency or a decrease in receipts in the home country's currency. FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 8. Transaction Risk • The risk of changes in the expected value of a contract between its signing and its execution as a result of unexpected changes in foreign exchange rates. • Whoever makes a contract denominated in a foreign currency bears transaction risk. “Ocean Drilling has transaction risk if it borrows money in French francs or Japanese yen, and Hintz-Kessels- Kohl has transaction risk if it agrees to accept future payments for its vehicles in U.S. dollars.” FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 9. Passive Transaction Risk Management • Denominate all contracts in domestic currency. This is a possible strategy for companies with market power. • Do nothing about transaction risk. This is a possible strategy for companies with a large number of small contracts in a large number of currencies FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 10. Hedging • Insuring against transaction risk to reduce or eliminate the effects of unexpected changes in exchange rates. • You can hedge only at market rates. The effects of expected changes in exchange rates are incorporated in these market rates. Hedging is insurance. The purpose of hedging is to reduce or eliminate risks, not to make profits. FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 11. Hedging The purpose of hedging is to manage a firm's foreign exchange exposure by minimizing home currency outflows (payables/liabilities) and maximizing home currency inflows (receivables/assets). FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 12. Natural Transaction Risk Hedging • Centralize cash management to net all offsetting transactions, transactions which are long and short the same currency. • Time, lead and lag, offsetting business transactions in the same currency. • Create offsetting business transactions in the same currency. FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 13. Translation Risk When a home country entity is required to consolidate its foreign subsidiaries' income statements and balance sheets into the home currency. Exchange rates may change, causing an increase in liabilities or a decrease in assets as measured in home country currency terms. FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 14. Translation Risk • Gains or losses from exchange rate changes that occur as a result of converting financial statements from one currency to another in order to consolidate them. • Every company having at least one subsidiary using a different functional currency bears translation risk. “MSDI has translation risk from having a subsidiary, MSDI Alcala de Henares, whose financial statements are kept in Spanish pesetas and not in U.S. dollars.” FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 15. Hedging Translation Risk • Translation risk is hedged in the same ways as transaction risk. • It appears as if investors are indifferent to foreign currency translation gains and losses. FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 16. Market Translation Risk Hedging • Forward Markets • Futures Markets • Money Markets FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 17. Forward and Futures Markets 1. Any currency, any amount, 1. Selected currencies, standard any maturity contracts, standard maturities 2. Illiquid 2. Liquid 3. Self-regulated OTC market 3. Government-regulated 4. Contract with dealer exchange-based market 5. Requires credit-worthiness 4. Contract with exchange 6. Cash flow only at maturity 5. Requires margin account 7. Settled by executing 6. Marked to market daily contract 7. Settled by offsetting trade 8. Hedge by buying forward 8. Hedge by making a the short currency or selling forward the long transaction whose gains or currency losses offset those of the underlying position FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 18. Forward and Money Markets • Money markets can always be used to synthesize forward markets. • Money market rates are used to set forward market rates. • Money market transactions are likely to be more costly than forward market transactions, since three transactions having their own bid-ask spreads are required to duplicate one forward market transaction with one bid-ask spread. • Money market transactions appear on the balance sheet; forward market transactions do not. FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 19. Economic Risk The effect of exchange rate changes on the long term expected income streams, i.e., expected net wealth of home country stockholders. This risk is usually managed with physical location of assets and liabilities. FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 20. Economic Risk • Changes in competitive position as a result of permanent changes in exchange rates. • Every company buying or selling abroad or even just competing with foreign companies has economic risk. “Maybach has economic risk from manufacturing its automobiles in Germany for export to the United States, where it competes with Rolls Royces manufactured in England.” FOREX-Management of exposure risks
  • 21. CONCLUSION By incorporating foreign exchange risk solutions into broader business strategy, we can help protect your profitability by managing your exposure to exchange rates – whatever your risk appetite maybe. FOREX-Management of exposure risks

Editor's Notes

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