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Mechanics of Futures
Markets
1
Futures Contracts
Available on a wide range of assets
Exchange traded
Specifications need to be defined:
What can be delivered,
Where it can be delivered, &
When it can be delivered
Settled daily
2
Convergence of Futures to Spot (Figure
2.1, page 27)
3
Time Time
(a) (b)
Futures
Price
Futures
Price
Spot Price
Spot Price
Margins
A margin is cash or marketable securities
deposited by an investor with his or her
broker
The balance in the margin account is
adjusted to reflect daily settlement
Margins minimize the possibility of a loss
through a default on a contract
4
Some Terminology
Open interest: the total number of contracts
outstanding
equal to number of long positions or number of short
positions
Settlement price: the price just before the final
bell each day
used for the daily settlement process
Volume of trading: the number of trades in one
day
5
Key Points About Futures
They are settled daily
Closing out a futures position involves
entering into an offsetting trade
Most contracts are closed out before
maturity
6
Crude Oil Trading on May 26,
2010
7
Open High Low Settle Change Volume Open Int
Jul 2010 70.06 71.70 69.21 71.51 2.76 6,315 388,902
Aug 2010 71.25 72.77 70.42 72.54 2.44 3,746 115,305
Dec 2010 74.00 75.34 73.17 75.23 2.19 5,055 196,033
Dec 2011 77.01 78.59 76.51 78.53 2.00 4,175 100,674
Dec 2012 78.50 80.21 78.50 80.18 1.86 1,258 70,126
Delivery
If a futures contract is not closed out before
maturity, it is usually settled by delivering the
assets underlying the contract. When there are
alternatives about what is delivered, where it is
delivered, and when it is delivered, the party
with the short position chooses.
A few contracts (for example, those on stock
indices and Eurodollars) are settled in cash
8
Types of Orders
Limit
Stop-loss
Stop-limit
Market-if touched
Discretionary
Time of day
Open
Fill or kill
9
Forward Contracts vs Futures Contracts (Table
2.3, page 41)
10
Contract usually closed out
Private contract between 2 parties Exchange traded
Non-standard contract Standard contract
Usually 1 specified delivery date Range of delivery dates
Settled at end of contract Settled daily
Delivery or final cash
settlement usually occurs prior to maturity
FORWARDS FUTURES
Some credit risk Virtually no credit risk
Long & Short Hedges
A long futures hedge is appropriate when
you know you will purchase an asset in
the future and want to lock in the price
A short futures hedge is appropriate
when you know you will sell an asset in
the future and want to lock in the price
11
Basis Risk
Basis is usually defined as the spot
price minus the futures price
Basis risk arises because of the
uncertainty about the basis when
the hedge is closed out
12
Choice of Contract
Choose a delivery month that is as close as
possible to, but later than, the end of the life
of the hedge
When there is no futures contract on the
asset being hedged, choose the contract
whose futures price is most highly correlated
with the asset price. This is known as cross
hedging.
13
Stack and Roll (page 65-66)
We can roll futures contracts forward to
hedge future exposures
Initially we enter into futures contracts to
hedge exposures up to a time horizon
Just before maturity we close them out an
replace them with new contract reflect the
new exposure
etc
14

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Futures contract

  • 2. Futures Contracts Available on a wide range of assets Exchange traded Specifications need to be defined: What can be delivered, Where it can be delivered, & When it can be delivered Settled daily 2
  • 3. Convergence of Futures to Spot (Figure 2.1, page 27) 3 Time Time (a) (b) Futures Price Futures Price Spot Price Spot Price
  • 4. Margins A margin is cash or marketable securities deposited by an investor with his or her broker The balance in the margin account is adjusted to reflect daily settlement Margins minimize the possibility of a loss through a default on a contract 4
  • 5. Some Terminology Open interest: the total number of contracts outstanding equal to number of long positions or number of short positions Settlement price: the price just before the final bell each day used for the daily settlement process Volume of trading: the number of trades in one day 5
  • 6. Key Points About Futures They are settled daily Closing out a futures position involves entering into an offsetting trade Most contracts are closed out before maturity 6
  • 7. Crude Oil Trading on May 26, 2010 7 Open High Low Settle Change Volume Open Int Jul 2010 70.06 71.70 69.21 71.51 2.76 6,315 388,902 Aug 2010 71.25 72.77 70.42 72.54 2.44 3,746 115,305 Dec 2010 74.00 75.34 73.17 75.23 2.19 5,055 196,033 Dec 2011 77.01 78.59 76.51 78.53 2.00 4,175 100,674 Dec 2012 78.50 80.21 78.50 80.18 1.86 1,258 70,126
  • 8. Delivery If a futures contract is not closed out before maturity, it is usually settled by delivering the assets underlying the contract. When there are alternatives about what is delivered, where it is delivered, and when it is delivered, the party with the short position chooses. A few contracts (for example, those on stock indices and Eurodollars) are settled in cash 8
  • 9. Types of Orders Limit Stop-loss Stop-limit Market-if touched Discretionary Time of day Open Fill or kill 9
  • 10. Forward Contracts vs Futures Contracts (Table 2.3, page 41) 10 Contract usually closed out Private contract between 2 parties Exchange traded Non-standard contract Standard contract Usually 1 specified delivery date Range of delivery dates Settled at end of contract Settled daily Delivery or final cash settlement usually occurs prior to maturity FORWARDS FUTURES Some credit risk Virtually no credit risk
  • 11. Long & Short Hedges A long futures hedge is appropriate when you know you will purchase an asset in the future and want to lock in the price A short futures hedge is appropriate when you know you will sell an asset in the future and want to lock in the price 11
  • 12. Basis Risk Basis is usually defined as the spot price minus the futures price Basis risk arises because of the uncertainty about the basis when the hedge is closed out 12
  • 13. Choice of Contract Choose a delivery month that is as close as possible to, but later than, the end of the life of the hedge When there is no futures contract on the asset being hedged, choose the contract whose futures price is most highly correlated with the asset price. This is known as cross hedging. 13
  • 14. Stack and Roll (page 65-66) We can roll futures contracts forward to hedge future exposures Initially we enter into futures contracts to hedge exposures up to a time horizon Just before maturity we close them out an replace them with new contract reflect the new exposure etc 14