Derivative Classroom
Arbitrage- Series VIII

      November 18, 2009
 Derivative Classroom -Series V                                                            `
                                                   Arbitrage

                                                   An arbitrage is the practice of capitalizing on mis-pricing existing between two
                                                   markets. It is a combination of deals that takes advantage of the imbalance
                                                   prevailing in cash and future market. In the field of investing, arbitrage can be
                                                   bifurcated into two types- Deterministic Arbitrage and Statistical Arbitrage
  Implied Volatility                               Deterministic Arbitrage

                                                   In deterministic arbitrage a sure profit can be obtained from being long some
                                                   securities and short others
 ssss                                              Example:

                                                       1.     Cash and carry Arbitrage

                                                       2.     Reverse Cash and Carry Arbitrage
         Long on stock, Buy Put
         View: Extremely bullish                   Statistical Arbitrage

                                                   Statistical Arbitrage attempts to profit from pricing inefficiencies identified with
                                                   mathematical models. Statistical arbitrage attempts to profit from the probability
                                                   that prices will move toward a historical average. Unlike Deterministic arbitrage,
                                                   statistical arbitrage has risk.

                                                   Example:

                                                       1.     Pair Strategy Arbitrage



     Basis                                         I- Cash and Carry Arbitrage

                                                   Cash and carry arbitrage entails making profit from the price differential
                                                   between cash and futures market, when the basis is positive (Future is quoting
                                                   at a premium).

                                                                             Basis = Futures price- Cash Price

                                                   During the month basis can turn in to premium or discount. However as time
                                                   decays future price starts converging cash price and eventually expire at the

              Spot Price            Future Price   closing of cash price (VWAP) on expiry.

                                                                           Profit: (Future price- Cash Price)*Qty

                                                   Illustration 1

                                                   Suppose Larsen & Turbo November future is quoting at a premium of Rs.25.00.
                                                   Mr. Shah is a conservative investor and wants to make a risk less profit. He can
   Karun Mutha
                                                   execute the following trade. Lot size: 200
   Sr. Vice President& Head Derivatives
   Tel +91-22-67897833                                                                   Initiation   Reversal
   Email: Karun.mutha@hsbcinv.com                    Action     Scrip       Type                                    Yield(%)      Days
                                                                                           Price        Price


   Tina Khetan                                        Buy         LT        Cash          1600.00     1710.00
    Analyst - Derivatives
   Tel +91-22-67897828
   Email: Tina.khetan@hsbcinv.com                     Sell        LT       Futures        1630.00     1710.00        15.27        30.00



                                                                         Difference       30.00         0.00




                                                       Page 1
Derivative Classroom
Arbitrage- Series VIII

 Derivative Classroom -Series V
      Long on stock, sell a call option               II- Reverse Cash and Carry Arbitrage
      View: Neutral/ moderately bullish
                                                      Reverse Cash and Carry arbitrage opportunity arises when future is quoting at a
                                                      discount to cash price.

                                                      Profit = (Cash price of stock – Future price of Stock) * Qty.

  Implied Volatility
        Profit: (Cash Price of stock- Future          Illustration II
                 Price of stock) * Qty
                                                      Suppose Mr. Mehta has 1500 shares of Sesa Goa. Currently Sesa Goa is quoting
 ssss                                                 at a discount of Rs.10.00. Following trade can be executed

                                                                                            Initiation   Reversal
                                                       Action     Scrip          Type                                 Yield(%)   Days
                                                                                              Price       Price


                                                         Buy       LT        Futures         335.00       290.00


                                                         Sell      LT            Cash        345.00       290.00       24.18     30.00


                                                                           Difference         10.00       0.00




                                                      III-Pair Strategy Arbitrage


                                                      As a trading strategy, statistical arbitrage is a quantitative and computational
                                                      approach to equity trading. It involves data mining and statistical methods.

                                                      Pair trading strategy is one of the statistical arbitrage, in which stocks are put
                                                      into pairs based on quantitative simulation or market-based similarities. When
                                                      one stock in a pair outperforms the other, the poorer performing stock is bought
                                                      long with the expectation that it will climb towards its outperforming partner,
                                                      the other is sold short.
                                                      Example:

                                                          1.    Buy Tata Steel- Sell Sail

                                                          2.    Buy Infosys-Sell Wipro

                                                          3.    Buy HDFC – Sell Rel Capital




                                                      IV-Corporate Action based Arbitrage

                                                      Corporate action like Open Offer, Buy back, Mergers and Acquisition too provide
                                                      various arbitrage opportunities. In open offer and buy back risk – reward is
                                                      determined based on acceptance ratio and we can hedged the likely unaccepted
             Buying a lower strike Call and selling   shares using futures contract. Profitability varies depending on the purchase
             higher strike call                       price of shares, days for acceptance and acceptance ratio.

             View: Bullish



                                                        Page 2
Disclaimer:
Issuer of the Document:- HSBC InvestDirect Securities (India) Limited*
Registered Office:-
Dhana Singh Processor Premises
J B Nagar, Andheri - Kurla Road
Andheri (East)
Mumbai – 400 059
Telephone: +91 22 6789 7830
Fax: +91 22 6789 7700
Website: www.hsbcinvestdirect.co.in

Disclosure
HSBC InvestDirect Securities (India) Limited (“HISL”), its associate and group companies, its directors, associates and employees may
have various positions in any of the stocks, securities and financial.
Instruments dealt in this document or may make sale or purchase or other deals in the securities from time to time or may deal in other
securities of the companies / organizations described in this document.

Certification
The views and opinions expressed by the author in the document are his own and do not reflect the views of HSBC InvestDirect
Securities (India) Limited or any of its associate and group companies.

Disclaimer Clause
The above is for customer information only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to purchase or subscribe for any
investment. This document is not directed to or intended for display, downloading, printing, reproducing or for distribution to or use by
any person or entity who is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution,
publication, reproduction, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or would subject HSBC InvestDirect Securities (India)
Limited (HISL) or its associates or group companies to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. If this document
is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender.
This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written approval of HISL.

This document is not intended to provide legal, accounting or tax advice and should not be relied upon in that regard. Persons accessing
this document are advised to obtain appropriate legal, accounting or tax advice where necessary. Financial advice provided has not been
prepared taking into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular investor. As a result,
investors using the advice should assess whether it is appropriate in the light of their own individual circumstances before acting on it.

* Formerly known as IL&FS Investsmart Securities Limited

Arbitrage

  • 1.
    Derivative Classroom Arbitrage- SeriesVIII November 18, 2009 Derivative Classroom -Series V ` Arbitrage An arbitrage is the practice of capitalizing on mis-pricing existing between two markets. It is a combination of deals that takes advantage of the imbalance prevailing in cash and future market. In the field of investing, arbitrage can be bifurcated into two types- Deterministic Arbitrage and Statistical Arbitrage Implied Volatility Deterministic Arbitrage In deterministic arbitrage a sure profit can be obtained from being long some securities and short others ssss Example: 1. Cash and carry Arbitrage 2. Reverse Cash and Carry Arbitrage Long on stock, Buy Put View: Extremely bullish Statistical Arbitrage Statistical Arbitrage attempts to profit from pricing inefficiencies identified with mathematical models. Statistical arbitrage attempts to profit from the probability that prices will move toward a historical average. Unlike Deterministic arbitrage, statistical arbitrage has risk. Example: 1. Pair Strategy Arbitrage Basis I- Cash and Carry Arbitrage Cash and carry arbitrage entails making profit from the price differential between cash and futures market, when the basis is positive (Future is quoting at a premium). Basis = Futures price- Cash Price During the month basis can turn in to premium or discount. However as time decays future price starts converging cash price and eventually expire at the Spot Price Future Price closing of cash price (VWAP) on expiry. Profit: (Future price- Cash Price)*Qty Illustration 1 Suppose Larsen & Turbo November future is quoting at a premium of Rs.25.00. Mr. Shah is a conservative investor and wants to make a risk less profit. He can Karun Mutha execute the following trade. Lot size: 200 Sr. Vice President& Head Derivatives Tel +91-22-67897833 Initiation Reversal Email: Karun.mutha@hsbcinv.com Action Scrip Type Yield(%) Days Price Price Tina Khetan Buy LT Cash 1600.00 1710.00 Analyst - Derivatives Tel +91-22-67897828 Email: Tina.khetan@hsbcinv.com Sell LT Futures 1630.00 1710.00 15.27 30.00 Difference 30.00 0.00 Page 1
  • 2.
    Derivative Classroom Arbitrage- SeriesVIII Derivative Classroom -Series V Long on stock, sell a call option II- Reverse Cash and Carry Arbitrage View: Neutral/ moderately bullish Reverse Cash and Carry arbitrage opportunity arises when future is quoting at a discount to cash price. Profit = (Cash price of stock – Future price of Stock) * Qty. Implied Volatility Profit: (Cash Price of stock- Future Illustration II Price of stock) * Qty Suppose Mr. Mehta has 1500 shares of Sesa Goa. Currently Sesa Goa is quoting ssss at a discount of Rs.10.00. Following trade can be executed Initiation Reversal Action Scrip Type Yield(%) Days Price Price Buy LT Futures 335.00 290.00 Sell LT Cash 345.00 290.00 24.18 30.00 Difference 10.00 0.00 III-Pair Strategy Arbitrage As a trading strategy, statistical arbitrage is a quantitative and computational approach to equity trading. It involves data mining and statistical methods. Pair trading strategy is one of the statistical arbitrage, in which stocks are put into pairs based on quantitative simulation or market-based similarities. When one stock in a pair outperforms the other, the poorer performing stock is bought long with the expectation that it will climb towards its outperforming partner, the other is sold short. Example: 1. Buy Tata Steel- Sell Sail 2. Buy Infosys-Sell Wipro 3. Buy HDFC – Sell Rel Capital IV-Corporate Action based Arbitrage Corporate action like Open Offer, Buy back, Mergers and Acquisition too provide various arbitrage opportunities. In open offer and buy back risk – reward is determined based on acceptance ratio and we can hedged the likely unaccepted Buying a lower strike Call and selling shares using futures contract. Profitability varies depending on the purchase higher strike call price of shares, days for acceptance and acceptance ratio. View: Bullish Page 2
  • 3.
    Disclaimer: Issuer of theDocument:- HSBC InvestDirect Securities (India) Limited* Registered Office:- Dhana Singh Processor Premises J B Nagar, Andheri - Kurla Road Andheri (East) Mumbai – 400 059 Telephone: +91 22 6789 7830 Fax: +91 22 6789 7700 Website: www.hsbcinvestdirect.co.in Disclosure HSBC InvestDirect Securities (India) Limited (“HISL”), its associate and group companies, its directors, associates and employees may have various positions in any of the stocks, securities and financial. Instruments dealt in this document or may make sale or purchase or other deals in the securities from time to time or may deal in other securities of the companies / organizations described in this document. Certification The views and opinions expressed by the author in the document are his own and do not reflect the views of HSBC InvestDirect Securities (India) Limited or any of its associate and group companies. Disclaimer Clause The above is for customer information only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment. This document is not directed to or intended for display, downloading, printing, reproducing or for distribution to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, reproduction, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or would subject HSBC InvestDirect Securities (India) Limited (HISL) or its associates or group companies to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. If this document is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written approval of HISL. This document is not intended to provide legal, accounting or tax advice and should not be relied upon in that regard. Persons accessing this document are advised to obtain appropriate legal, accounting or tax advice where necessary. Financial advice provided has not been prepared taking into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular investor. As a result, investors using the advice should assess whether it is appropriate in the light of their own individual circumstances before acting on it. * Formerly known as IL&FS Investsmart Securities Limited