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FIT
PRODUCT MARKET
NOT EVERY NEW BUSINESS IS A STARTUP
A startup is scalable. It has the potential to
grow exponentially rather than linearly.
Growth
Innovation
A startup is testing assumptions that haven’t
been tested before, be it new technologies,
products/services or markets.
34%


Lack of Product-Market Fit
22%


Marketing problems
18%


Team problems
16%


Finance problems
6%


Tech problems
4%


Legal problems
WHY 9 OUT OF 10 STARTUPS FAIL
source Failory
“There is just one mistake that kills startups.
Not making something users want.”
— Paul Graham
— Paul Graham
“If you wonder how someone crazy or incompetent can be the
CEO of a successful startup, the answer is that some startups
are so viral that they'll grow almost regardless of who's in charge.”
WORD-OF-MOUTH
“We knew we were on to something when our
friends who were using it were asking if they could
invite their friends, and those people invited their
friends, and those people invited their friends. We
put up a waiting list and it
fi
rst CEO Uber
“Before, we were struggling for tra
fl
ix
MARKET PULL
USERS PULL OUT THEIR WALLETS
“We o
Lack of Product-Market Fit
22%


Marketing problems
18%


Team problems
16%


Finance problems
6%


Tech problems
4%


Legal problems
WHY 9 OUT OF 10 STARTUPS FAIL
source Failory
PMF UNLOCKS GROWTH
Growth
Innovation
To grow, the startup must consistently…


❋ generate more revenue per customer than it …


❋ … costs to reach and serve that customer
- marketing cost to reach customer


- operation cost to serve customer


+ revenue from paying customer
= pro
fi
t
FLYWHEEL
1. Market


Who you serve.


2. Product


What you sell.


3. Business model


How you make money.


4. Channels


Where you get new customers.
↪ Willingness-for-friction
Users perceive enough value to justify labor,
price and risk of switching to the product.
↪ Enthusiasm
Users want the product right away.
↪ Intuitive value
Users see the value of the product without
needing extensive explanations.
Users tell others like them
about the product.
↪ Word-of-mouth
“A PRODUCT THAT SELLS ITSELF.”
1. Intuitive value


Users see the value of the product without needing extensive explanations.


2. Willingness-for-friction


Users perceive enough value to justify labor, price and risk of switching to the
product.


3. Enthusiasm


Users want the product right away.


4. Word-of-mouth


Users tell others like them about the product.
“A PRODUCT THAT SELLS ITSELF.”
PRODUCT-MARKET FIT = RETENTION
%
active
users
0
25
50
75
100
time since signup
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
PMF
PMF
FREEMIUM
more upgrades
increased ARPU
increased virality
more revenue
ADVERTISING
more attention to sell
increased ARPU
increased virality
more revenue
TRANSACTIONAL
more transactions
increased ARPU
increased virality
more revenue
SUBSCRIPTION
longer subscriptions
increased ARPU
increased virality
more revenue
Who are the users that stay?
→ Why do they love the product?


→ Where can I
fi
nd more users like them?


Who are the users that leave?
→ What holds them back from loving the product?
“HOW WOULD YOU FEEL IF YOU COULD
NO LONGER USE SUPERHUMAN?”
Not disappointed
23%
Somewhat disappointed
45%
Very disappointed
32%
“How Superhuman built an engine to
=
 
Speed
Main value from Superhuman?


=
 
Speed
Main value from Superhuman?
=
 
Mobile app
NOT DISAPPOINTED
+
SPEED, FOCUS, SHORTCUTS MOBILE, INTEGRATIONS
MARKET PRODUCT
expat
Open your account in seconds without street address or
credit checks.
digital nomad
Spend, withdraw, get and send money anywhere in the
world, in real-time. No hidden fees.
bank account holder
Smart budgeting with goals, alerts and analytics. Freeze
and cards and withdrawals with one click. All from your
phone.
credit card spender
Spend securely with single-use cards. Get daily discounts
and cashbacks.
crypto-curious Buy crypto from your phone with one click.
1. Build a product you think wonderful.


2. Never
fi
nd a market that needs it.
PRODUCT → MARKET
1. Find a market with a need.


2. Build a product that solves the need.
MARKET → PRODUCT
— Michal Bohanes, founder Dinnr
"This will be the number one lesson I will never forget
and the absolute key to understanding Dinnr’s
failure: we were not solving anyone’s problem."
MARKET PUSH
— Rohit Nallapeta, founder Eloquis
"Personalization was not an immediate need. We failed to
realize how big a problem like that was, and somehow
assumed the market would see the value in the product."
MARKET PUSH
— Josh Fraser, co-founder EventVue
"EventVue was 'a vitamin instead of a painkiller.' Conference
organizers typically
build for many.
Build for many,
build for none.
HOW TO BUILD A STARTUP
FINDING YOUR MARKET PRE-PRODUCT
“The real metric is ‘do someone’s pupils dilate?’
Ask them directly. Even try to get them to pay you now to get early access to the
product.
 
There is no better PMF signal than a paying customer.
2. People are willing to pay (now)
1. Find at least 100 potential customers that are representative of the target audience.


2. Ask each to rank your idea or prototype out of 10 on how likely they are to put down a cash deposit for it.


3. Count the percentage of 9-10 respondents. That gets you an idea the market share you appeal to and
therefore how big your idea is,


4. Understand what makes the 9s-10s di
ff
erent from the others. What do they have in common that is
di
ff
erent from the others? Use that insight to
fi
nd more of those people.


↺ Rinse and repeat.
FINDING YOUR MARKET PRE-PRODUCT
FINDING YOUR MARKET PRE-PRODUCT
If no 9s and 10s, focus on 7-8s and understand why they’re on the fence (i.e.
what keeps them from 9-10). Use that insight to refocus the idea.


❋ How are you currently solving this problem?


❋ What annoys you about your current approach?


❋ If you had a magic wand, how would you solve this problem?


❋ How much would you pay for this if it existed?


❋ Why is this a problem for you?


↺ Rinse and repeat.
“Ask yourself: who wants this right now? Who wants
this so much they’ll use it even when made by a
crappy two-people startup they’ve never heard of?”
— Paul Graham
FINDING YOUR MARKET PRE-PRODUCT
LEARN, ITERATE, SHIP ↺
SOLVE THROUGH ITERATION
GET PAID THROUGH REPETITION
FIT
MARKET PRODUCT

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25_07_Product Market Fit_Gilles de Clark_EIA Porto 2022.pdf

  • 2. NOT EVERY NEW BUSINESS IS A STARTUP A startup is scalable. It has the potential to grow exponentially rather than linearly. Growth Innovation A startup is testing assumptions that haven’t been tested before, be it new technologies, products/services or markets.
  • 3. 34% Lack of Product-Market Fit 22% Marketing problems 18% Team problems 16% Finance problems 6% Tech problems 4% Legal problems WHY 9 OUT OF 10 STARTUPS FAIL source Failory
  • 4. “There is just one mistake that kills startups. Not making something users want.” — Paul Graham
  • 5. — Paul Graham “If you wonder how someone crazy or incompetent can be the CEO of a successful startup, the answer is that some startups are so viral that they'll grow almost regardless of who's in charge.”
  • 6. WORD-OF-MOUTH “We knew we were on to something when our friends who were using it were asking if they could invite their friends, and those people invited their friends, and those people invited their friends. We put up a waiting list and it
  • 8. “Before, we were struggling for tra fl ix MARKET PULL
  • 9. USERS PULL OUT THEIR WALLETS “We o
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Lack of Product-Market Fit 22% Marketing problems 18% Team problems 16% Finance problems 6% Tech problems 4% Legal problems WHY 9 OUT OF 10 STARTUPS FAIL source Failory
  • 14. To grow, the startup must consistently… ❋ generate more revenue per customer than it … ❋ … costs to reach and serve that customer
  • 15. - marketing cost to reach customer - operation cost to serve customer + revenue from paying customer = pro fi t
  • 17. 1. Market 
 Who you serve. 2. Product 
 What you sell. 3. Business model 
 How you make money. 4. Channels 
 Where you get new customers.
  • 18.
  • 19. ↪ Willingness-for-friction Users perceive enough value to justify labor, price and risk of switching to the product.
  • 20. ↪ Enthusiasm Users want the product right away.
  • 21. ↪ Intuitive value Users see the value of the product without needing extensive explanations.
  • 22. Users tell others like them about the product. ↪ Word-of-mouth
  • 23. “A PRODUCT THAT SELLS ITSELF.” 1. Intuitive value 
 Users see the value of the product without needing extensive explanations. 2. Willingness-for-friction 
 Users perceive enough value to justify labor, price and risk of switching to the product. 3. Enthusiasm 
 Users want the product right away. 4. Word-of-mouth 
 Users tell others like them about the product.
  • 24. “A PRODUCT THAT SELLS ITSELF.”
  • 25. PRODUCT-MARKET FIT = RETENTION % active users 0 25 50 75 100 time since signup 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 PMF PMF
  • 26. FREEMIUM more upgrades increased ARPU increased virality more revenue ADVERTISING more attention to sell increased ARPU increased virality more revenue TRANSACTIONAL more transactions increased ARPU increased virality more revenue SUBSCRIPTION longer subscriptions increased ARPU increased virality more revenue
  • 27. Who are the users that stay? → Why do they love the product? → Where can I fi nd more users like them? Who are the users that leave? → What holds them back from loving the product?
  • 28. “HOW WOULD YOU FEEL IF YOU COULD NO LONGER USE SUPERHUMAN?” Not disappointed 23% Somewhat disappointed 45% Very disappointed 32% “How Superhuman built an engine to
  • 29. =   Speed Main value from Superhuman? =   Speed Main value from Superhuman?
  • 30.
  • 32.
  • 33. SPEED, FOCUS, SHORTCUTS MOBILE, INTEGRATIONS
  • 34. MARKET PRODUCT expat Open your account in seconds without street address or credit checks. digital nomad Spend, withdraw, get and send money anywhere in the world, in real-time. No hidden fees. bank account holder Smart budgeting with goals, alerts and analytics. Freeze and cards and withdrawals with one click. All from your phone. credit card spender Spend securely with single-use cards. Get daily discounts and cashbacks. crypto-curious Buy crypto from your phone with one click.
  • 35.
  • 36. 1. Build a product you think wonderful. 2. Never fi nd a market that needs it. PRODUCT → MARKET 1. Find a market with a need. 2. Build a product that solves the need. MARKET → PRODUCT
  • 37. — Michal Bohanes, founder Dinnr "This will be the number one lesson I will never forget and the absolute key to understanding Dinnr’s failure: we were not solving anyone’s problem." MARKET PUSH
  • 38. — Rohit Nallapeta, founder Eloquis "Personalization was not an immediate need. We failed to realize how big a problem like that was, and somehow assumed the market would see the value in the product." MARKET PUSH
  • 39. — Josh Fraser, co-founder EventVue "EventVue was 'a vitamin instead of a painkiller.' Conference organizers typically
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43. build for many. Build for many, build for none.
  • 44.
  • 45. HOW TO BUILD A STARTUP
  • 46.
  • 47. FINDING YOUR MARKET PRE-PRODUCT “The real metric is ‘do someone’s pupils dilate?’
  • 48.
  • 49. Ask them directly. Even try to get them to pay you now to get early access to the product.   There is no better PMF signal than a paying customer. 2. People are willing to pay (now)
  • 50. 1. Find at least 100 potential customers that are representative of the target audience. 2. Ask each to rank your idea or prototype out of 10 on how likely they are to put down a cash deposit for it. 3. Count the percentage of 9-10 respondents. That gets you an idea the market share you appeal to and therefore how big your idea is, 4. Understand what makes the 9s-10s di ff erent from the others. What do they have in common that is di ff erent from the others? Use that insight to fi nd more of those people. 
 ↺ Rinse and repeat. FINDING YOUR MARKET PRE-PRODUCT
  • 51. FINDING YOUR MARKET PRE-PRODUCT If no 9s and 10s, focus on 7-8s and understand why they’re on the fence (i.e. what keeps them from 9-10). Use that insight to refocus the idea. ❋ How are you currently solving this problem? ❋ What annoys you about your current approach? ❋ If you had a magic wand, how would you solve this problem? ❋ How much would you pay for this if it existed? ❋ Why is this a problem for you? ↺ Rinse and repeat.
  • 52. “Ask yourself: who wants this right now? Who wants this so much they’ll use it even when made by a crappy two-people startup they’ve never heard of?” — Paul Graham FINDING YOUR MARKET PRE-PRODUCT
  • 53.
  • 55. SOLVE THROUGH ITERATION GET PAID THROUGH REPETITION