The document discusses disaster risk management at the EU level. It outlines the EU's Civil Protection Mechanism and key stakeholders. It then describes the scientific support provided by the JRC, including early warning systems, risk assessment tools, and the European Crisis Management Laboratory. It also discusses the development and goals of risk metrics like INFORM and the Global Conflict Risk Index. Finally, it outlines the Global Flood Partnership and European Network of Crisis Management Labs along with the timeline and goals for the new EU Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre.

1. www.jrc.ec.europa.eu
Serving society
Stimulating innovation
Supporting legislation
EU Disaster Risk Management
Knowledge Centre
Science Policy Partnerships

2. Disaster Risk Management at EU level
• Union Civil Protection Mechanism
(Decision No 1313/2013/EU)
§ The European Union should promote
solidarity and
§ should support, complement, and
facilitate the coordination of Member
States' actions in the field of civil
protection
§ with a view to improving the
effectiveness of systems for preventing,
preparing for and responding to natural
and man-made disasters
• Stakeholders
§ Member States, scientific institutions,
response institutions, policy institutions
UN
EU
Member State
Region
Province
Municipality
28 June 2015

3. EU Added Value in DRM and DRR
Response
Measuring
Impact
PlanningPrevention
Early
warning
38 June 2015
Emergency
Response
Coordination
Centre (ERCC)
EU / Global early
warning and
monitoring
systems
Disaster Risk
Management
Capacity
Guidelines
EU Voluntary
Pool
Damage and Loss
Data Collection
Compensation
(Solidarity Fund)
Flood Risk
Management
National Risk
Assessments

4. JRC scientific support
Response
Measuring
Impact
PlanningPrevention
Early
warning
48 June 2015
European Crisis Management
Laboratory (ECML)
ERCC Portal (communication,
collaboration)
GDACS (global disaster alerts)
EFAS (floods)
EFFIS (forest fires)
EDO (droughts)
Tsunami and storm surges
Damage and Loss
Data standards
EU-wide scenarios
Pan-European multi-hazard
probabilistic risk assessment
Indicator-based risk assessment
Reference data (urban)
EUROCODES
Flood Directive

5. Risk metrics – informing policy
• INFORM – Index for Risk Management
§ Risk for Humanitarian Crises and
Disasters
• Policies
§ Disaster Risk Reduction (EU Civil
Protection Mechanism, Sendai)
§ Humanitarian Response (WHS)
§ Risk-aware Development (SDG)
• Partners
§ UN agencies
§ Development banks
§ Donors: UK, Germany, US
• GCRI – Global Conflict Risk Index
§ Risk for internal conflict in next 4
years
• Policies
§ Peace and Stability (EEAS)
• Political & Security Committee
§ Responsible mining (TRADE)
• Partners
§ Academics: PRIO (NO), HIIK (DE),
PITF (US), UCL (UK), ETHZ (CH)
§ OSCE, UN, WB, AU
58 June 2015

6. Risk metrics – methodologies
Composite indicator
• 50 indicators
• 3 dimensions, 6 categories
• “Theory” driven: expertise
Statistical Regression model
• 26 indicators
• 5 risk areas, 3 conflict types
• Data driven: quantitative output
68 June 2015

7. INFORM – Concrete product
November 2014 – Launch of global INFORM
78 June 2015

8. INFORM – Process of learning
Growing partnership: trust, ownership, balance
88 June 2015

9. INFORM – Latest improvements
Developments
• Updated indicators
§ Remittances, DRR funding, displaced
from disasters
• Probabilistic hazard data
• Statistical improvements
§ Fixed thresholds for risk categories
Further research
• Case loads: from relative risk to
absolute risk (number of people)
• Seasonal risk (with WFP, FAO)
• Calibration of INFORM (with
OCHA)
98 June 2015
Hazard:
probabilistic
(GAR2015)
[UNISDR]
Conflict
(GCRI)
[*]
Aid
(remittances)
[*]
Uprooted
(IDP)
[IDMC]
Road density
(OSM)
[OSM]
Food Sec
[FAO,WFP]

10. INFORM – Regional and national pilots
INFORM as Product INFORM as Process
108 June 2015

11. Global Flood Partnership
• Multiple scientific communities
• Science / Users (Pub/Private)
• Community development
§ 2011: working group (JRC)
…
§ 2014: informal partnership
§ 2015: formal partnership
• Concrete output
§ Data access
§ Ensemble risk map
§ Global Flood Observatory
§ Funding
118 June 2015

12. GFP Global Flood Risk
128 June 2015

13. GFP Flood Observatory
• Daily update of floods in the world
§ Operational value
• Unique flood identifier
§ Connecting information across
communities
• Risk models
• Satellite mapping
• Response actions
138 June 2015

14. Global Flood Partnership
148 June 2015
Research &
Development
Integration, Global to
local, Assimilation,
Climate risk, Tailored
services, Impact
Flood Toolbox
Data, models,
services
Flood Observatory
Operational advice with
data, models, services
International aid
and development
organisations
National flood
disaster
management
authorities
Flood Record
Losses, hydrological
data, maps
Training
Capacity building
and maintaining
improve
run
10 day
forecast
Maps
Impact
integrate
participate
maintain
build
risk
mainstream
User Forum
User conference, feedback
loop

15. European Network of Crisis
Management Labs (ENCML)
158 June 2015
• Objective: Experimenting with
crisis management technology
§ Generating convincing evidence for
users
§ Realistic setting
§ Identifying challenges
• Further research
• Bringing to market
• Learning and awareness
• Link to FP7 project
• Crisis management technology
§ Hardware, software, mobile
§ HQ, field
• Standard Operating Procedures

16. Putting it all together
• Challenges with R&D projects:
exploitation
§ Many projects, few outcomes
§ Participation of users is fragmented
• Challenges with networks: missing
the big picture
§ Many parallel networks, little
interaction
§ Large effort to build and maintain
community
• Challenges with data and
technology: ownership and trust
§ Local relevance
§ Cost/benefit
168 June 2015
Operations
Policy
R&D Project
Results
Networks of
networks
Subsidiarity
in data and
methods

17. 178 June 2015

18. DRMKC: timeline
Timeline
• Sep 2014 – Concept
• Mar 2015 – Launch at Sendai
WCDRR
• Sep 2015 – Work plan / web site
• Oct/Nov 2015 – DRMKC Science
Advice Seminar
• Jan 2016 – Start operations
Goal
• Long term initiative
• Reference point for public
administration, industries and
citizens
Steering committee
• ECHO, RTD, JRC, ENTR
• Member States
Annual Seminar
• Oct/Nov 2015 (tbc), London, UK
Priorities
• Consolidate existing networks
• Pilot EU-wide science advice for
major disasters
• Repository of FP7/H2020 results
• Community of Users
• Network of CM Labs
• Helpdesk for national risk
assessments
188 June 2015