This document discusses how emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, digital biology, robotics, and nanotechnology are advancing exponentially and will transform our future in unprecedented ways. It summarizes key points about how within a few decades, machines may surpass human-level intelligence, leading to a technological singularity. It also emphasizes the importance of developing these technologies in a way that aligns with human values like democracy, liberty, and compassion to ensure they are beneficial to humanity. The document provides examples of the impact technologies may have on jobs, health, and other aspects of society, as well as perspectives on how to guide technological progress responsibly.
15. Exponential technological growth
at reduced cost for performance
Bandwidth
Storage Cost
Computing Cost
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
$ per gB per Sec.
$ per 1M transistors
$ per gB
1992 Today
$
Time
Video conferencing
Digital camera
GPS
Scanning
Calculator
Cloud storage
Digital dictaphone
Music player
Video player
Etc.
Software solutions for free
20. Effect that we see, experience
All technology that will digitize, add information to itDigitize
1
Stages of innovation to understand that disruption is just one phase
The 6 D’s according to P. Diamandis
In the early stage small doublings => once it hits the knee
you’re 10 doublings away from a thousand, twenty doublings to
reach a million; thirty doublings to get to a billion
Deceptive
2
Any innovation that creates a new market and disrupts an
existing one
Disruptive
3
You don’t have separated solutions (flashlight, GPS or
camera,….) Instead => apps on your smartphone
Dematerializatio
n
5
You can reach very quickly very large groups of peopleDemocratization
6
An existing product or service will available for free or way
cheaper (Uber, Airbnb, FB, Skype, Whatsapp, etc)
Demonetizatio
n
4
ReshapedourworldRevolutionizeour
world
38. 24/7 Connectivity: The Internet of Medical Things
38
Always-on personalized connected health services at the point of care
Population health management
39. Perceived Benefits and Negative Consequences of 12 Emerging Technologies (WEF’17)
75 % will affect
HC!
48. Three forms of Artificial Intelligence
1. Artificial Narrow Intelligence
2. Artificial General Intelligence
3. Artificial Super Intelligence
These three
are often
lumped
together as
AI
This
confuses
the
discussion
about AI
51. Our brains are getting augmented, but socially we
are weakening
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52. And all connected to the internet…
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53. Steve Jobs and Bill Gates 1991
By 2030-2050 millions of
people could become
augmented geniuses, and
what could they create?
59. AI will dominate us… and now?
R
L
Merge typical human values
like love, liberty, democracy,
compassion, tolerance
with AI.
This inheritance will be an
opportunity for a better world.
63. The 6 Epochs:
Evolution works through
indirection: it creates a
capability and then uses
that capability to evolve
the next stage.
16-03-17 63
64. My key learnings
• Change yourself or you will be changed
• Exponential growth of technology will force us to change gears
• Unprecedented confluence of disruptive technologies (synthetic biology, AI, nano, sensors, robots,
etc.) will improve our physical health
• Machines will surpass human intelligence soon and cross an irreversible point
• No future for diseases: genomics – nano - AI- digital biology
• Merging human values with AI for co-existential sustainability
• Lost of millions of jobs < 10 years, but are we ready to focus on opportunities (education)?
• By 2020 we have 2 billion new minds joining the internet, 2 billion inventors…
• Many organizations build their strategies on linear foundations whereas the exponential world is
around the corner. New business models are needed
• There will be a world of abundance, but who will benefit from that?
• Technology encourages superficiality (millenniums)