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The INEVITABLE
- 1. THE INEVITABLE -KEVIN KELLY Presented by Sowmya Bhuvanapalli
- 2. 12 Technological Forces •Becoming • Cognifying • Flowing • Screening • Accessing • Sharing • Filtering • Remixing • Interacting • Tracking • Questioning • Beginning
- 3. Becoming “The greatest productsof the next 20 years have not been invented yet” -Kevin Kelly
- 4. Becoming • Things willbe different , nothing is static /fixed • We are perpetual newbies • You Don’t believe this?? • The Internet • Online shopping, online communities • True Evidence – • Amish Websites • Technology rattles borders, because it is borderless • Great opportunity – Coolest stuff has not been invented yet
- 5. Cognifying “When this emergingAI arrives, its very ubiquity will hide it.” -Kevin Kelly
- 6. Cognifying ( Dumbthings + Intelligence = Cognifying ) • Hints has always been there • Calculator • GPS • Search • Second Industrial Revolution • Everything electronic ,electrified will now be cognified • It is already here (still in its first hour though) • Diagnoses X-Rays just doctors • Goes through legal evidence just like paralawyers do • Fly the plane , human pilots fly for 7 to 8 minutes • In Amazon , Netflix making recommendations • AlphaGo • Google’s Deepmind went a step further • It taught AI how to learn to play video games • What unleashed the long waited arrival ? • Cheap parallel computation • Big Data • Better Algorithms
- 7. Cognifying • How doyou define intelligence? • No real definition of our own intelligence • One mind can’t do all mindful things • AI that will diagnose your illness will be significantly different from the one that oversees your home • Self driving truck will be a different species than the one that evaluates mortgages • We are trying to make intelligence of different kinds • We might even advertise them as “Conscious free” • To solve problems in science which cannot solve by using human intelligence alone Dark energy, Quantum gravity
- 8. Cognifying • We arescared of robots replacing us in workforce • Jobs Humans can do but Robots can do even better • Humans can weave cloth with great effort , but automated looms make cloth with great efficiency • Jobs Humans can’t do but Robots can • Humans have trouble making single brass screw, but automation can produce thousands per hour • Jobs we didn’t know we wanted done • Google can tell where your phone is, it can match people suffering depression with doctors selling pills , it can predict when the next viral epidemic will erupt • Jobs only Humans can do (at first) • Decide what human wants to do • Efficiency is for Robots • What are Humans supposed to do then? (wasting time ) • Science • Innovation • Human relationships
- 9. Key Takeaways • IQas a service • Both general and specific • Nothing will be implausible with the combination of AI and Humans • Race with Machines, not against them • Let robots take our jobs, which were not meant to be done by us in the first place • Let them help us dream up new work that matters
- 10. Tracking “We will tracknot just ourselves and each other , We will track every object” - Kevin Kelly
- 11. Tracking • It hasalways been here • Small town coveillance • Health care • Personalized medicines and Personalized treatments • Introduce new senses • Quantification of digital tracking into a wholly new body sensation • Vibrating belt • Life streaming , life logging • As big as our life • Life streaming - conscious tracking • Life logging - tracking without prejudice • Total recall • Ted Nelson, Gordon Bell • Pre-crime detection
- 12. Tracking • The fastestincreasing quantity on this planet is amount of information • Bulk of data which we still can’t use • Big data, machine readable data • What is leading to the growth of Self Tracking? • Shrinking chips • Stronger batteries • Cloud connectivity
- 13. Key takeaways • Todaywe are uncomfortable because we don’t who is watching us. One way to civilize tracking • Symmetrical tracking • Wearables will grow rapidly • Tools for managing data will evolve • Entire new fields of Mathematics • New categories of Software Algorithms • Innovative hardware
- 14. Interacting “The emphasis onexperience is the new value in the world” Kevin Kelly
- 15. Interacting • VR isa fake world that feels absolutely authentic • Evolution • Phones are already close to perfect speech recognition • Talking to a device with hand gestures • Something which will not interact ,will be considered broken 3D movie on IMAX Screen Black goggles strapped to the head Virtual Avatar in a dream space Projected Reality (Holo Lens)
- 16. Interacting • What drivesVR? • Presence – Technology bends towards realism • Interaction • What can you expect in future • More Senses- Heat detection, Smell, X Ray vision • More Intimacy- Project Jacquard (funded by google) • Experimental smart fabrics that have conductive threads and thin flexible sensors woven into them, shirt will communicate how it wants to be washed • More Immersion- Technology becomes a second skin
- 17. Key takeaways • Thefuture of technology resides in discovery of new interactions • The more interactive it is, the more it should feel and sound beautiful • VR amplifies two paradoxically opposing traits • Enhances realness • Encourages fakeness to nth degree • Remove gravity , friction • Avatars
- 18. Points of Interest •To understand the directions of technological changes and make career choices • The actual path of a raindrop as it goes down the valley is unpredictable, but the general direction is inevitable • To accept the fact that “CHANGE” is the only thing that is constant • To realize that, We are just at the “BEGINNING” of the beginnings • We are not too late to invent something that will dominate the next 20 – 30 years
- 19.
Editor's Notes
- #5 This is a very general trend, supported by Lehman’s laws Law of continuing change No matter how long you have been using a tool/Software endless upgrades will make you a newbie, as clueless as a new user Facebook Well if you are not The Amish are known for simple living, plain dress, and reluctance to adopt many conveniences of modern technology.
- #7 Calculator is much smarter than you in arithmetic but it can do nothing else Navigation Physical power was replaced by Mechanical Power Background Constraints
- #8 Deductive Spatial Emotional Intelligence
- #9 Humans can weave cloth with great effort , but automated looms make cloth with great efficiency and no imperfections Imperfect car This is the greatest genius takeover of robots Google can tell where yor phone is,it can match people suffering depression with doctors selling pills,it can predicy when the next viral epidemic will erupt Decide what human wants to do You will be paid for how well you work with the robots.
- #12 Not too long ago, when small towns were norm,lady across the street from you tracked your every coming and going. She peeked out through window ,watched when you went to the doctor and saw that you brought home a new TV. You did the same. Mutual benefits from this mutual survelliance Symmetrical Accountable for accuracy and use Self tracking can create a personal database of your body’s records IT manager in Germany, took the guts of a small digital compasss and soldered it into leather belt and vibrators, whenever north ,belt vibrates, could feel northness on his waist. Within a week , he had sensation of nrth . Quantification of digital tracking intop a wholly new body sensation Diary of our electronic life Facebook’s time line
- #16 Harry potter ride, that kind of impact it has VR is projected into a semi transparent visual ,overlays the reality you normally see without the glasses. You could be standing ,see the robot right beside you in perfect resolution. Experimental smart fabrics have conductive threads and thin flexible sensors woven into them,shirt will communicate how it wants to be washed
- #17 Realism Starting from sound,to color,to 3D,to faster,smoother frame rates Author claims that after 10 years you will look into state of art virtual reality display and fooling into thinking that you are looking through a real window into areal world. Experimental smart fabrics have conductive threads and thin flexible sensors woven into them,shirt will communicate how it wants to be washed