1) The document summarizes a presentation about exponential technologies given by Rob Nail of Singularity Education Group. 2) It discusses how technologies are being digitized and accelerated exponentially, disrupting industries through dematerialization, demonetization, and democratization. 3) Exponential technologies like computing, networks, artificial intelligence, and biotechnology are developing and converging rapidly according to "the law of accelerating returns", bringing both opportunities and challenges.

1. PRESENTATION SUMMARY
© Singularity Education Group 2014
Introduction to
Exponentials
Rob Nail
CEO & Associate Founder
rob@singularityu.org
@robnail
www.singularityu.org

2. INTRO TO EXPONENTIALS
• As technologies are “Digitized” and accelerate
exponentially, they
• Are “Deceptive” and Disruptive”
• Result in the “Dematerialization”,
“Demonetization”, and “Democratization”
of products, services, and industries.
Digitalization Drives Exponentials
§ Zero friction to move/copy
§ Zero marginal cost
§ Never consumed
§ Allows for advanced computation & Machine
Learning , Modeling & Simulations
Scarce àAbundant
© Singularity Education Group 2014www.SingularityU.org
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• Exponential Technologies exhibit doubling
patterns in the price, performance,
capabilities, and/or size
“The average lifespan of a company listed in
the S&P 500 has decreased from 67 years in
the 1920’s to 15 years today.”
- Richard Foster, Yale University
Technology – empowered by information
layers (“digitized”) - progresses
exponentially per Ray Kurzweil’s
“Law of Accelerating Returns” Faster,(
Cheaper,(
Computing(
Power
Exponential Technologies
Ubiquitous(
Computing(
Networks/(
Sensors((((
Artificial(
Intelligence(&(
Robotics(
Nanotech/(
Digital(
Manufacturing(
(
Digital(Biology(
6D’s%of%Disruption%
Exponential Technologies are
driving disruptions in our lives,
businesses, total industries, and
society as a whole.

3. BREAKTHROUGHS
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Are we entering an age of Perfect Knowledge? :
Anything, Anywhere, Anytime
Nanosat
Constellations
Quad Copter Google Glass Knightscope
Security
Autonomous
Vehicles
Artificial Intelligence
• IBM Watson goes open source with new Development Platform
• Kaggle & other data science competitions empower machine learning algorithms
Computers, Networking
• Quantum Computing may be next paradigm to continue Moore’s Law – watch D-
Wave - New waves of applications are possible with Quantum computing capabilities
• Google Loon, Constellation Satellites, and other proposals suggest potential for new,
global data distribution networks – connecting the next 3Billion people?
3-5 Billion New Minds are coming
on line in the next decade –
potentially the greatest force for
change humanity has ever
witnessed – new ideas,
connections, commerce, and
more…

4. BREAKTHROUGHS
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Samsung Gear VR
Collab. w/ Oculus – Dec 2014
Google Cardboard
June 30, 2014
Disrupting Reality? - Virtual Reality and Augmented Reality
• Many new platforms are adding new layers of information to our world
• New ecosystem of content developers
• Every business can take advantage of or be threatened by virtual reality layers
Robotics
• Rethink Robotics (Baxter) & Universal Robots work alongside humans not replace
them
• Google, Softbank, other buying robotics companies for the integrated future
• Social robot are here!
• Robots have emotional understanding through facial expression and voice analysis
• Concierge robots in business replace tasks and create new engagement, connections,
and value chains

5. BREAKTHROUGHS
© Singularity Education Group 2014www.SingularityU.org
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Digital Manufacturing Disruption
3D Printing, New Robotics, Enhanced Automation Capabilities
• How we design, make, test, and distribute products is being disrupted
Biotechnology
• Cost of human genome sequencing today ~$1,000 (down from $2.5 Billion in 2001)
• Forecast cost of $0.01 in 2022, suggests boom of new applications – security, disease
correlations,etc
• Data will be public
If you can read it, you can rewrite it!
• Synthetic Biology is coming to form – Glowing Plants, personalized foods & medicines,
functional bacteria, etc … and humans

6. CONTROVERSIES
• Technology is disrupting jobs. While many new jobs will develop, there
will likely be a technological knowledge gap that results in significant
jobs disruption
• Ethics of Technology and morality are challenging discussions –
requiring new forums and critical thinking
• Robotic Warfare?
• Synthetic Biological Organisms?
• GMOs?
• Politics of Grand Challenges – Poverty, Education, Food, etc.
“Permissionless Innovation” vs Regulation
• How to balance opportunities and value with risks?
• What does the next generation think?
• Huge challenges with Security, Privacy, Safety, Stability in every industry
• DNA Sequencing will make all individual information public
• Industrial food will morph dramatically with synthetic biology, lab
meat, and personalized foods
• Commercial drones are no longer “illegal” – many risks around
drones carrying payloads
• A.I. trading and high freq trading will have market implications
• Crowdfunding will allow non-accredited investors to purchase
equity in organizations. Fear of fraud slows regulation
• Bitcoin Blockchain Protocol a breakthrough for registry systems –
rather than currency but disrupts existing infrastructure
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“Information is power. But like all power, there are those who want to
keep it for themselves” - Aaron Swartz, 1996 - 2013
“About 47% of total US employment is at risk…
(due to) expected impacts of future computerization”
- Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael A. Osborne, Oxford Sep 7, 2013

7. MISCONCEPTIONS
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“Technology can take that
which was scarce and make
it Abundant”
- Peter Diamandis
Typical “linear” biases include
overestimating progress in
the short-term, and
underestimating potential in
the long-term.
• Early product launches do not necessarily represent a failed or lacking market – just
that it is a prototype.
• Google Glass may not be useful today, but in 2 years there will be a
proliferation of apps and boom of useful (and probably necessary) wearable
devices.
“No matter who you are, most of the smartest people
work for someone else.” - Bill Joy
• Crowdsourcing isn’t perfect
• Use established platforms to rapidly experiment
We must move from
our Local & Linear
mindset to a Global &
Exponential one

8. Websites
Rob Nail
§ @Robnail
§ rob@singularityu.org
© Singularity Education Group 2014www.SingularityU.org
Books
http://singularityu.org/
www.kurzweilai.net
www.xprize.org
TOOLS + RESOURCES
S I N G U LA R I T Y
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http://singularityhub.com/
Impact Report:
http://singularityu.org/impact
Technology is a “Resource Liberating Force…”
– Peter Diamandis, Abundance

9. RECOMMENDATIONS
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Disrupt yourself or be disrupted!
• Identify new business models leveraging “abundant”
data/info (essentially free and ubiquitous)
• Launch “skunkworks” projects outside of the org
• Choose Open Collaborations, Competitions, and
Crowdsourced projects
Mine and integrate information from disparate
technology platforms
• Affiliate partnerships with channels, supply chain
organizations, and competitors can result in new
Value Propositions for clients and customers
• Virtual wallets and data sharing for retailers creates
potential for new relationship with customer at the
storefront
• Look at customer incentive programs connecting
personal health data and activity to financial incentives
– see SU project Jumiya and Walkmore
Get Hands On!
• Experience Exponential Technologies first hand to
understand the capabilities and potential
• Get your kids into F.I.R.S.T
Beam Remote Presence –
Suitable Technologies

10. SINGULARITY UNIVERSITY - THINK EXPONENTIALLY
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“The best way to predict the future is to
create it yourself.”
- Peter’s Laws (inspired by A. Lincoln)
Singularity University’s mission is to
educate, inspire and empower leaders to
apply exponentially advancing technologies
to address humanity’s grand challenges.
Environment Food Energy Water
Security Prosperity
Educa7on
Global Health Space Governance Disasters

11. THANK YOU!
Keep pace with exponential technologies
at Singularity University’s Executive Program.
Learn more now!
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