This document provides several college football picks and analysis for upcoming games. It summarizes lines and analysis for Utah vs. San Jose State, Louisiana Lafayette vs. Texas A&M, and Wisconsin vs. BYU. Key factors discussed include injuries, coaching changes, offensive and defensive rankings, and trends for teams in similar situations. The document also lists some of the biggest consensus picks among experts and largest line moves heading into this week.

1. Free College Football Pick Info
OffshoreInsiders.com

2. Joe Duffy’s Picks
• 28-13 football
• 10 Saturday led by Wise Guy
• Sunday NFL up, more coming
• 14-3 NFL since preseason
OffshoreInsiders.com

3. San Jose State vs. Utah
 Utah possible letdown played a terrible team off game at BYU
 Kyle Whittingham said “unequivocally he would not rest” anyone
 San Jose already crushed by USF and Texas by combined 98-22 and that was after getting ahead o
 Underdogs of 27 or more off a 56-point or more shutout loss are 10-16 (benefits Utes)
 SJS coach Brent Brennan is a first year coach
 Utes have only used 30 percent of playbook
 New OC Troy Taylor and QB Tyler Huntley
 Oregon transfer Darren Carrington III with 17 receptions
 Working in new offense, would be reason to keep throwing with big lead
Pick: UTAH -26

4. Louisiana Lafayette vs. Texas A&M
 Louisiana Lafayette over two games by an average of 47.8 points per game
 Teams that have gone over by an average of at least 40 points per game and with at least
two games under their belt over 4-0 all-time
 Total opened at 67, now 59.5
 Texas A&M 4-15 at home against the spread
Free pick: UL Lafayette OVER 59.5
Tulsa vs. Toledo
 Tulsa No. 2 over team, over both by an average of 30.5
Oregon vs. Wyoming
 Wyoming No. 2 UNDER team, going under both by -28 points per game but Oregon a big
over team going over both by 16.8 points per game

5. Utah State vs. Wake Forest
 Opened at Wake Forest -15, now -11.5
 Utah State will travel 1732 miles
 Total dropped 54.5 to 48.5
 Aggie QB Kent Myers already with four interceptions
 Wake Forest is experienced at dealing with up-tempo game of Utah State as they stopped BC’s ne
 Wake has had an outstanding defense, but offense has gotten much better last two years
Northern Illinois vs. Nebraska
 Nebraska down three starters, RB Tre Bryant, S Joshua Kalu, RT David Knevel
o Bryant leads team in rushing with 299 yards, rest of the team has 35
o Knevel started 11 games the last two years

6. Wisconsin vs. BYU
 Very good rushing teams (averaging 230 or more yards per game) playing on the road in a game th
 But big favorites in games expected to be low scoring just 71-104 (favors BYU)
 Teams averaging 39.5 points or more (Wisconsin), but total is 60 or less go under 617-486 rate
 Wisconsin thinned on OL as Beau Benzschawel (Ben-chawl) and Jon Dietzen questionable
 BYU has game sandwiched in between Utah and Utah State, while Wisconsin has off week
 BYU starting QB Tanner Mangum is doubtful
o Beau Hoge played three games as a freshman 10-of-17 137 yards, 16 carries for 49 yards
 BYU is 121th in nation in yards per play at 3.1
 Wisconsin defense 29st in nation allowing 4.3 yards per play
Pick: Wisconsin UNDER 41

7. Kansas vs. Ohio
 Kansas 26-58 road underdogs
Oregon State vs. Washington State
 Oregon State 0-3 against the spread and a nation’s worst -29.3 points per game
 Teams with an against the spread margin of -29 or worse are 18-32, which says go with Washingto
 Washington State 3rd in country in snaps at 99
Baylor vs. Duke
 Duke averaging 105 snaps per game, No. 1 in nation
o Baylor is actually 105 of 125 teams
Kent vs. Marshall
 Kent averages fewest snaps in nation at 49

8. Baylor vs. Duke
 Duke margin of cover in two games by an average of 21.5 points per game
compared to Baylor -28, which is second worst in nation
 Teams with a margin of cover difference relative to their opponent of 36 or better and
at least two games under their belt are 42-25 all-time unless they are a home
underdog (favors Duke)
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech
 Teams with a margin of cover difference relative to their opponent of 36 or better are
42-25 all-time unless they are a home underdog (favors Texas Tech)

9. Texas at USC
 Not fan Tom Herman
 Teams off games in which rushed for at least 300 yards have gone under 415-269
(Texas)
 Teams off win of 43 or more and getting 14 or more are 58-34 against the spread
(Texas)
 USC got most yards against Stanford in David Shaw era
 Texas got a great effort from Sam Ehlinger a true freshman starting ahead of Shane
Buechele
 Bit of a letdown situation for Trojans, though not much of a look-ahead with Cal
 USC will be without starting LB Porter Gustin and DT Marlon Tuipulotu
o Gustin led USC in tackles for a loss last year

10. Army vs. Ohio State
 Teams off a loss as a top 5 team are 46-73 against the spread at 38.7 percent (favors Army)
 Ohio State should get WR Austin Mack back
 Starting RB Mike Weber questionable for OSU
 He had 1096 yards rushing last year on 6.0 yards per carry and was averaging 9.7 this
season
LSU vs. Mississippi State
 Miss State No. 1 sweat barometer team, covering two games by an average of 27.5 points
per game
 However home underdogs of 7 or more with margin of cover 25 or better are 2-11 all-time
(favors LSU)
 Going with teams off a dominant win is 599-431 (Miss State)

11. Biggest consensus using 4 major sources
 Virginia Tech
 Alabama
 Oklahoma State
 Purdue
 North Carolina
 Iowa State
After that: Notre Dame, Texas Tech, Oregon
Biggest line moves:
 Western Michigan -14 to -20.5 to Idaho
 Washington State -16 to -21 to Oregon State
 Wake Forest -11.5, down from -15 to Utah State
 North Carolina -10.5 from -7.5 to ODU