The Saturday Economist Manufacturing Update September 2015
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The Saturday Economist, Manufacturing Update September 2015. Based on ONS data from 2000:Q1 to 2015:Q2 this is our working file / graph set we use to analyse manufacturing in the UK. Over 50 slides are available as a FREE download to students and lovers of economics. The trend decline in textiles and tobacco is evident, offset by the evident strength of transport equipment - water, wheels and wings.
![Long Term Decline - Textiles, tobacco, chemicals
Textiles, tobacco, chemicals, rubber products, furniture, energy, (oil and gas extraction)
consumer durables, electrical equipment, computer, electronic and optical equipment.
Paints, varnishes and printing inks, dyestuffs, agro chemicals. Printing and production of
recorded media. Paper and Paper Products.
Production as a wider definition - avoid Mining and Quarrying.
Decline
Structural
Stable - Beverages, Food, Dairy
Food, beverages, (alcohol and soft drinks), utilities especially water, waste and power
transmission
Stable
Non cyclical
Growth Transport, transport equipment, aerospace, contract maintenance, repair &
maintenance of aircraft, ships and boats, machinery and equipment. Excitement in
excrement provided by development in sewerage installation and maintenance.
Good consumer sectors Soap, Detergents, Polishing, Perfumes, Toilet Preparations. In
the food sector - good growth in consumption of fish and fish products. Other foodstuffs
stable with meat consumption showing a steady increase.
Growth
Set Back Gas, other household fuels, fabricated metals, basic metals and casting,
[basic metals - iron and steel (big setback)].
Glass, clay, porcelain, stone products. [Stable and unexciting before the recession, now
stunned by the setback]
Industrial gases, [reasonable growth before setback, slow recovery]
Some chemicals, chemical products.
Set Back
Cyclical
Construction
Recovery
Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
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The Saturday Economist Manufacturing Update September 2015
- 2. Long Term Decline - Textiles, tobacco, chemicals Textiles, tobacco, chemicals, rubber products, furniture, energy, (oil and gas extraction) consumer durables, electrical equipment, computer, electronic and optical equipment. Paints, varnishes and printing inks, dyestuffs, agro chemicals. Printing and production of recorded media. Paper and Paper Products. Production as a wider definition - avoid Mining and Quarrying. Decline Structural Stable - Beverages, Food, Dairy Food, beverages, (alcohol and soft drinks), utilities especially water, waste and power transmission Stable Non cyclical Growth Transport, transport equipment, aerospace, contract maintenance, repair & maintenance of aircraft, ships and boats, machinery and equipment. Excitement in excrement provided by development in sewerage installation and maintenance. Good consumer sectors Soap, Detergents, Polishing, Perfumes, Toilet Preparations. In the food sector - good growth in consumption of fish and fish products. Other foodstuffs stable with meat consumption showing a steady increase. Growth Set Back Gas, other household fuels, fabricated metals, basic metals and casting, [basic metals - iron and steel (big setback)]. Glass, clay, porcelain, stone products. [Stable and unexciting before the recession, now stunned by the setback] Industrial gases, [reasonable growth before setback, slow recovery] Some chemicals, chemical products. Set Back Cyclical Construction Recovery Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 3. 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 Manufacturing Index …
- 4. Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 -16 -12 -8 -4 0 4 8 12 16 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Manufacturing Quarter Rate of Change year on year …
- 5. 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Production … K222 IOP: B-E: PRODUCTION: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 6. 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Mining and Quarrying … K224 IOP: B:MINING AND QUARRYING: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 7. 50 100 150 200 250 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Oil and Natural Gas … K226 IOP: 06:Extraction Of Crude Petroleum And Natural Gas: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 8. 90 95 100 105 110 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacturing … K22A IOP: C:MANUFACTURING: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 9. 90 95 100 105 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Food, Beverages and Tobacco … K22B IOP: CA:Manufacture of Food products beverages and tobacco: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 10. 90 95 100 105 110 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Food … K22C IOP: 10:Manufacture Of Food Products: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 11. 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Food - Meat … K22D IOP: 10.1:Processing & preserving of meat & production of meat products: Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 12. 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Food - Fish … K22E IOP: 10.2-3:Process & preserve of fish crustaceans molluscs fruit veg:CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 13. 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Food - Dairy … K22G IOP: 10.5:Manufacture of dairy products: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 14. 80 90 100 110 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Grain Mill Products … K22H IOP: 10.6:Manufacture of grain mill products starches & starch products: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 15. 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Bakery Products … K22I IOP: 10.7:Manufacture of bakery and farinaceous products: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 16. 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Animal Feeds … K22K IOP: 10.9:Manufacture of prepared animal feeds: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 17. 70 80 90 100 110 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Beverages … K22L IOP: 11:Manufacture Of Beverages: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 18. 60 70 80 90 100 110 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Beverages Alcoholic … K22M IOP: 11.01-6:Manufacture of alcoholic beverages: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 19. 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Tobacco … K22O IOP: 12:Manufacture Of Tobacco Products: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 20. 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Textiles … K22Q IOP: 13:Manufacture Of Textiles: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 21. 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Wearing Apparel … K22R IOP: 14:Manufacture Of Wearing Apparel: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 22. 50 68.75 87.5 106.25 125 143.75 162.5 181.25 200 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Leather and Related Products … K22S IOP: 15:Manufacture Of Leather And Related Products: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 23. 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Wood, Paper Products and Printing … K22T IOP: CC:Manufacture of wood and paper products and printing: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 24. 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Paper and Paper Products… K22V IOP: 17:Manufacture Of Paper And Paper Products: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 25. 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Recorded Media … K22W IOP: 18:Printing And Reproduction Of Recorded Media: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 26. 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Chemicals and Chemical Products … K22Z IOP: CE:Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 27. 50 70 90 110 130 150 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Petrochemicals … K234 IOP: 20B:Manufacture of petrochemicals - 20.14/16/17/60: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 28. 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Paints,Varnishes … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K236 IOP: 20.3:Manuf of paintsvarnishessimilar coatingsprinting ink/mastics:CVMSA
- 29. 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Soaps, detergents, polish, perfumes Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K237 IOP: 20.4:Manuf of soapdetergentspolishingperfumestoilet preparations:CVMSA
- 30. 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacture of Rubber and Plastic Products… Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23C IOP: 22:Manufacture Of Rubber And Plastic Products: CVMSA
- 31. 80 90 100 110 120 130 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacture of Glass, Clay, Porcelain, Ceramics … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23E IOP: 23OTH:Manuf of glassclayporcelainceramicstone prods-23.1-4/7-9:CVMSA
- 32. 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacture of Basic Metals … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23H IOP: 24:Manufacture Of Basic Metals: CVMSA
- 33. 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Basic Iron and Steel … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23I IOP: 24.1-3:Manufacture of basic iron and steel: CVMSA
- 34. 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Other Basic Metals and Casting … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23J IOP: 24.4-5:Manufacture of other basic metals and casting: CVMSA
- 35. 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Other Fabrications … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23K IOP: 25:Manuf Of Fabricated Metal Products Except Machinery & Equipment: CVMSA
- 36. 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunition … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23M IOP: 25.4:Manufacture of weapons and ammunition: CVMSA
- 37. 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacture of Computer, Electronic & Optical … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23N IOP: CI:Manufacturing of computer electronic & optical products: CVMSA
- 38. 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacture of Electrical Equipment … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23Q IOP: 27:Manufacture Of Electrical Equipment: CVMSA
- 39. 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacture of Cement, Plaster … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23F IOP: 23.5-6:Manuf of cementlimeplaster;concretecementplaster articles:CVMSA
- 40. 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Machinery and Equipment … K23R IOP: CK:Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c.: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 41. 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacture of Transport Equipment … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23T IOP: CL:Manufacture of transport equipment: CVMSA
- 42. 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 MotorVehicles, Trailers and Semi Trailers … K23U IOP: 29:Manufacture Of Motor Vehicles Trailers And Semi-Trailers: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 43. 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacture of Other Transport Equipment … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23V IOP: 30:Manufacture Of Other Transport Equipment: CVMSA
- 44. 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Building of Ships and Boats Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23W IOP: 30.1:Building of ships and boats: CVMSA
- 45. 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Aerospace and related machinery … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K23X IOP: 30.3:Manufacture of air and spacecraft and related machinery: CVMSA
- 46. 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacture of Furniture … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K242 IOP: 31:Manufacture Of Furniture: CVMSA
- 47. 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Utilities .. Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K248 IOP: D:ELECTRICITY GAS STEAM AND AIR CONDITIONING SUPPLY: CVMSA
- 48. 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Sewerage .. Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K24E IOP: 37:Sewerage: CVMSA
- 49. 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Engineering and Allied Industries … Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015 K24L IOP: EAI:Engineering and Allied Industries: CVMSA
- 50. 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Energy K24T IOP: MIG-NRG:Main Industrial Groupings - Energy: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 51. 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Consumer Durables … K24Q IOP: MIG-CD:Main Industrial Groupings - Consumer Durables: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 52. 90 95 100 105 110 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Consumer Non Durables … K24R IOP: MIG-CND:Main Industrial Groupings - Consumer Non-Durables: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
- 53. 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Capital Goods K24S IOP: MIG-CAG:Main Industrial Groupings - Capital Goods: CVMSA Manufacturing UpdateSeptember 2015 Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015