Overall manufacturing output remains some 7% below the pre recession peak and in line with levels experienced at the end of 1989. We expected too much from manufacturing in the rebalancing agenda. The average rate of growth since 1950 has been just 1.5% hence the share of output decline in an economy growing at 2.5% plus.
Hopes for a manufacturing rally were rhetoric without reason. The prospect of re shoring was illusory as the plans for Jaguar Land Rover to expand output overseas demonstrate. The UK does not have a revealed comparative advantage in manufacturing to stimulate export growth. The balance of payments trade in goods will continue to deteriorate despite some improvement this year from international energy, oil and commodity prices.
The UK does have a varied manufacturing base, with real strengths in transport, food, drink and capital goods. The sector can only achieve so much in international trade and will offer so little to the rebalancing agenda. We should not expect too much from our manufacturers.
The theme for this quarter is inorganic. Although prices climbed in the fourth quarter as the balance of supply and demand tilted in favour of demand, OPEC + restraint was fundamental.
The market is conscious of downside pressures that loom. OPEC + has announced production cuts through to the end of the first quarter. Beyond the first quarter, there is a risk that OPEC + grows weary of supporting the market and reverts to a strategy of growing production, protecting market share and placing pressure on the economics of unconventional producers. Production growth in Brazil and Norway has the potential to consume a significant portion of demand growth expected in 2020. Whether, or the extent to which, US shale output growth continues despite escalating financial strain across the E&P sector will be key in determining whether OPEC + cuts will be sufficient to balance the market in 2020.
In the longer-term, focus remains on the energy mix of the future and its impact on the demand for petroleum products. A number of significant uncertainties remain, including electric vehicle (EV) penetration. EY’s ‘Fueling the Future’ analyzes the outlook under four distinct scenarios. The analysis shows that an inflection point in EV penetration is required by 2022 if the terms of the Paris Accord are to be met.
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
EY Price Point: global oil and gas market outlookEY
As we close the second quarter of 2020, in most of Europe and Asia, the first (and hopefully last) wave of the COVID-19 crisis appears to be abating. In the parts of the US where the virus hit early, the profile has largely matched Europe’s, while in other parts, the urge to reopen businesses has trumped the desire to contain the virus and uncertainty looms. In the developing world, the crisis has just begun, but without the economic headroom and resources necessary to contain it. As the crisis unfolded, the effect on oil and gas demand has been predictable but difficult to gauge precisely and therefore difficult to manage.
Oil prices have crept up steadily as production has been curtailed through coordinated action (OPEC+) and because of economic reality (unconventional oil in North America). That trend has been subject to momentary spasms when bad news hit the market. It would be understandable if traders were nervous, and it seems that they are. Although nowhere near where it was at the peak of the crisis, option implied volatility is still at historically high levels. Gas markets, without the benefit of coordination on the supply side, continue to deal with the market implications of storage at or near capacity. Interfuel competition in power generation has always provided something of a floor, but those lows have been, and will continue to be, tested.
SPG Trend Advisors and its affiliate, Sage Policy Group, have made presentations on local and regional economies, the national economy, international and geopolitical issues and capital market events. We offer these presentations for our readers to gain additional information from our commentaries and further explanation of our analyses and forecasts.
The theme for this quarter is inorganic. Although prices climbed in the fourth quarter as the balance of supply and demand tilted in favour of demand, OPEC + restraint was fundamental.
The market is conscious of downside pressures that loom. OPEC + has announced production cuts through to the end of the first quarter. Beyond the first quarter, there is a risk that OPEC + grows weary of supporting the market and reverts to a strategy of growing production, protecting market share and placing pressure on the economics of unconventional producers. Production growth in Brazil and Norway has the potential to consume a significant portion of demand growth expected in 2020. Whether, or the extent to which, US shale output growth continues despite escalating financial strain across the E&P sector will be key in determining whether OPEC + cuts will be sufficient to balance the market in 2020.
In the longer-term, focus remains on the energy mix of the future and its impact on the demand for petroleum products. A number of significant uncertainties remain, including electric vehicle (EV) penetration. EY’s ‘Fueling the Future’ analyzes the outlook under four distinct scenarios. The analysis shows that an inflection point in EV penetration is required by 2022 if the terms of the Paris Accord are to be met.
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
EY Price Point: global oil and gas market outlookEY
As we close the second quarter of 2020, in most of Europe and Asia, the first (and hopefully last) wave of the COVID-19 crisis appears to be abating. In the parts of the US where the virus hit early, the profile has largely matched Europe’s, while in other parts, the urge to reopen businesses has trumped the desire to contain the virus and uncertainty looms. In the developing world, the crisis has just begun, but without the economic headroom and resources necessary to contain it. As the crisis unfolded, the effect on oil and gas demand has been predictable but difficult to gauge precisely and therefore difficult to manage.
Oil prices have crept up steadily as production has been curtailed through coordinated action (OPEC+) and because of economic reality (unconventional oil in North America). That trend has been subject to momentary spasms when bad news hit the market. It would be understandable if traders were nervous, and it seems that they are. Although nowhere near where it was at the peak of the crisis, option implied volatility is still at historically high levels. Gas markets, without the benefit of coordination on the supply side, continue to deal with the market implications of storage at or near capacity. Interfuel competition in power generation has always provided something of a floor, but those lows have been, and will continue to be, tested.
SPG Trend Advisors and its affiliate, Sage Policy Group, have made presentations on local and regional economies, the national economy, international and geopolitical issues and capital market events. We offer these presentations for our readers to gain additional information from our commentaries and further explanation of our analyses and forecasts.
EY Price Point: Global Oil and Gas Market Outlook - Q3EY
The oil and gas sector is constantly changing. Increasingly uncertain energy policies, geopolitical complexities, cost management and climate change all present significant challenges. EY’s Global Oil & Gas Sector supports a global network of more than 10,000 oil and gas professionals with extensive experience in providing assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services across the upstream, midstream, downstream and oil field sub-sectors.
Customer magazine from ERIKS covering the latest news, industry developments and technologies, this edition of Know+How focuses on the food and beverage industry and what solutions are available to help maintenance engineers meet the strict hygiene requirements the sector demands
Q2 – Analyst Themes of Quarterly Oil & Gas EarningsEY
Most companies reported strong earnings growth in the second quarter, but investors were disappointed. Expectations had risen in line with oil prices and profits, but cash flow generation of some companies fell short of consensus estimates.
Az eddig beérkezett adatok alapján akár 5%-kal is nőhetett a hazai GDP az első negyedévben. Az év első felében nagyon erős dinamikára számítunk, a második félévben azonban az egyre intenzívebb import-kereslet és bázishatás miatt már lassulni fog a gazdaság bővülése, 2019-ben pedig 3%-ig mérséklődhet a növekedési ütem.
FLSmidth annual report for 2012 was released on 12 February 2013. Best viewed on a full screen mode, this annual report informs the reader about how well FLSmidth's business is doing financially, as well as FLSmidth's growth strategies and new financial targets projected for the next year.
EY Price Point: global oil and gas market outlookEY
The theme for this quarter is resilience. A 6% supply outage in September was unable to push Brent prices above US$70/bbl. Demand concerns, driven by slowing world economic growth and the need to decarbonize, quickly retook the stage despite output from Venezuela and Iran being hindered by political turmoil and international sanctions.
Technology enhancements are a significant contributor to the market’s sanguine attitude towards supply disruption. Operators are able to produce greater volumes, quicker, and at a lower cost. That trend can only continue.
LNG markets continue to mature as traders play an increasing role in directing cargoes and setting prices. The pipeline for LNG projects remains healthy as market participants aim to establish a position in a market that is seen as the best opportunity for growth in oil and gas.
The saturday economist uk economic outlook september 2015John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, UK Economic Outlook, September 2015. Latest forecasts following ONS Second Estimate of GDP released at the end of August. We still forecast growth of 2.8% this year and into next despite the fears about China and sluggish growth in Europe.
FLSmidth first quarter report presentation 2012 was released on 15 May, 2012. Best viewed on a full screen mode, this quarterly report informs the reader about how well FLSmidth's business has performed in the 1st quarter of 2012.
EY Price Point: Global oil and gas market outlook Q4 2018EY
A range of upside forces have shifted market sentiment and some parties are talking of $90, or even $100/bbl oil in the short to medium term. Our insights on the outlook for the global oil price in Q4 2018.
The saturday economist, uk economic outlook june 2015John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, UK Economic Outlook Q2 June 2015. In the UK we expect the economy to grow by 2.8% in 2015 following growth of 2.8% last year. In the US the recovery continues with growth of 2.9% expected in the year ahead.
The inflation outlook is much more benign, with the fall in world oil, energy, food and commodity prices continuing to dominate headline inflation.
The UK economy grew by just 2.4% in the first quarter, weakness in construction and manufacturing growth largely to blame. The service sector continues to drive growth. Check out our quarterly update from The Saturday Economist, now mailing to 50,000 businesses every week.
Yara’s second-quarter net income after non-controlling interests was NOK
2,916 million, compared with NOK 2,285 million a year earlier. Excluding
net foreign exchange gain/(loss) and special items, the result was
NOK 2,637 million, compared with NOK 2,142 million in second quarter
2014. The corresponding earnings per share were NOK 9.58 compared
with NOK 7.74 a year earlier.
“Yara reports strong second-quarter results with higher deliveries and
improved margins, reflecting continued lower natural gas cost in Europe
and a stronger US dollar,” said Torgeir Kvidal, acting Chief Executive
Officer of Yara.
“Sales of our premium products continue to grow in Latin America
and Asia, reflecting both the acquisition of OFD and continued organic
growth“ said Torgeir Kvidal.
Uk gilt holdings and qe - money for nothing gilts for freeJohn Ashcroft
Since QE began in early 2009, UK gilts in issue have increased from £600 billion to £1.6 trillion. Bank of England holdings have increased from zero to £400 billion accounting for 25% of all gilts in issue. BoE holdings peaked at almost 30% of total holdings in 2012. Overseas holdings of gilts, have doubled from £200 billion to £400 billion. In the most recent period, overseas holdings have fallen to 25% of all gilts in issue, compared to an historical average of 30%. UK institutional holdings of gilts have increased from £400 billion to £800 billion accounting for 50% of all gilts in issue. Holdings of gilts by pension funds and insurance funds have increased from just over £200 billion to almost £500 billion. As a share of total gilts in issue, pension fund and insurance company holdings have been steady at around 28% over the six year period. Other UK financial institutions have seen a fluctuation in holdings with some suggestion of “front running” i.e. buying gilts ahead of the Bank of England purchase programme to benefit from rising prices. in the initial stages. In fact, all major stakeholders in gilts have increased holdings over the five year period. This raises an interesting question about from whom has the Bank of England bought gilts as part of the QE process? Only in the very early stages of QE is there evidence of purchased from the private sector (note 7). In reality it would appear the Bank of England purchases gilts from the Debt Management Office and not from financial institutions. Asset values are guaranteed by Treasury. JKA
Dividends, yields and coupons are also returned to Treasury, which effectively enables the government to finance borrowing with a Dire Straits underpin “Money for nothing - Gilts for Free.”
EY Price Point: Global Oil and Gas Market Outlook - Q3EY
The oil and gas sector is constantly changing. Increasingly uncertain energy policies, geopolitical complexities, cost management and climate change all present significant challenges. EY’s Global Oil & Gas Sector supports a global network of more than 10,000 oil and gas professionals with extensive experience in providing assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services across the upstream, midstream, downstream and oil field sub-sectors.
Customer magazine from ERIKS covering the latest news, industry developments and technologies, this edition of Know+How focuses on the food and beverage industry and what solutions are available to help maintenance engineers meet the strict hygiene requirements the sector demands
Q2 – Analyst Themes of Quarterly Oil & Gas EarningsEY
Most companies reported strong earnings growth in the second quarter, but investors were disappointed. Expectations had risen in line with oil prices and profits, but cash flow generation of some companies fell short of consensus estimates.
Az eddig beérkezett adatok alapján akár 5%-kal is nőhetett a hazai GDP az első negyedévben. Az év első felében nagyon erős dinamikára számítunk, a második félévben azonban az egyre intenzívebb import-kereslet és bázishatás miatt már lassulni fog a gazdaság bővülése, 2019-ben pedig 3%-ig mérséklődhet a növekedési ütem.
FLSmidth annual report for 2012 was released on 12 February 2013. Best viewed on a full screen mode, this annual report informs the reader about how well FLSmidth's business is doing financially, as well as FLSmidth's growth strategies and new financial targets projected for the next year.
EY Price Point: global oil and gas market outlookEY
The theme for this quarter is resilience. A 6% supply outage in September was unable to push Brent prices above US$70/bbl. Demand concerns, driven by slowing world economic growth and the need to decarbonize, quickly retook the stage despite output from Venezuela and Iran being hindered by political turmoil and international sanctions.
Technology enhancements are a significant contributor to the market’s sanguine attitude towards supply disruption. Operators are able to produce greater volumes, quicker, and at a lower cost. That trend can only continue.
LNG markets continue to mature as traders play an increasing role in directing cargoes and setting prices. The pipeline for LNG projects remains healthy as market participants aim to establish a position in a market that is seen as the best opportunity for growth in oil and gas.
The saturday economist uk economic outlook september 2015John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, UK Economic Outlook, September 2015. Latest forecasts following ONS Second Estimate of GDP released at the end of August. We still forecast growth of 2.8% this year and into next despite the fears about China and sluggish growth in Europe.
FLSmidth first quarter report presentation 2012 was released on 15 May, 2012. Best viewed on a full screen mode, this quarterly report informs the reader about how well FLSmidth's business has performed in the 1st quarter of 2012.
EY Price Point: Global oil and gas market outlook Q4 2018EY
A range of upside forces have shifted market sentiment and some parties are talking of $90, or even $100/bbl oil in the short to medium term. Our insights on the outlook for the global oil price in Q4 2018.
The saturday economist, uk economic outlook june 2015John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, UK Economic Outlook Q2 June 2015. In the UK we expect the economy to grow by 2.8% in 2015 following growth of 2.8% last year. In the US the recovery continues with growth of 2.9% expected in the year ahead.
The inflation outlook is much more benign, with the fall in world oil, energy, food and commodity prices continuing to dominate headline inflation.
The UK economy grew by just 2.4% in the first quarter, weakness in construction and manufacturing growth largely to blame. The service sector continues to drive growth. Check out our quarterly update from The Saturday Economist, now mailing to 50,000 businesses every week.
Yara’s second-quarter net income after non-controlling interests was NOK
2,916 million, compared with NOK 2,285 million a year earlier. Excluding
net foreign exchange gain/(loss) and special items, the result was
NOK 2,637 million, compared with NOK 2,142 million in second quarter
2014. The corresponding earnings per share were NOK 9.58 compared
with NOK 7.74 a year earlier.
“Yara reports strong second-quarter results with higher deliveries and
improved margins, reflecting continued lower natural gas cost in Europe
and a stronger US dollar,” said Torgeir Kvidal, acting Chief Executive
Officer of Yara.
“Sales of our premium products continue to grow in Latin America
and Asia, reflecting both the acquisition of OFD and continued organic
growth“ said Torgeir Kvidal.
Uk gilt holdings and qe - money for nothing gilts for freeJohn Ashcroft
Since QE began in early 2009, UK gilts in issue have increased from £600 billion to £1.6 trillion. Bank of England holdings have increased from zero to £400 billion accounting for 25% of all gilts in issue. BoE holdings peaked at almost 30% of total holdings in 2012. Overseas holdings of gilts, have doubled from £200 billion to £400 billion. In the most recent period, overseas holdings have fallen to 25% of all gilts in issue, compared to an historical average of 30%. UK institutional holdings of gilts have increased from £400 billion to £800 billion accounting for 50% of all gilts in issue. Holdings of gilts by pension funds and insurance funds have increased from just over £200 billion to almost £500 billion. As a share of total gilts in issue, pension fund and insurance company holdings have been steady at around 28% over the six year period. Other UK financial institutions have seen a fluctuation in holdings with some suggestion of “front running” i.e. buying gilts ahead of the Bank of England purchase programme to benefit from rising prices. in the initial stages. In fact, all major stakeholders in gilts have increased holdings over the five year period. This raises an interesting question about from whom has the Bank of England bought gilts as part of the QE process? Only in the very early stages of QE is there evidence of purchased from the private sector (note 7). In reality it would appear the Bank of England purchases gilts from the Debt Management Office and not from financial institutions. Asset values are guaranteed by Treasury. JKA
Dividends, yields and coupons are also returned to Treasury, which effectively enables the government to finance borrowing with a Dire Straits underpin “Money for nothing - Gilts for Free.”
En la charla estaremos mostrando los puntos importantes a considerar en un proyecto de integración de componentes electrónicos para ser procesados por un sistema de alto nivel. Abordaremos la elección del micro-procesador, protocolos de comunicación, técnicas de ahorro de energía y estrategias de integración con el sistema del alto nivel utilizando Arduino, Raspberry PI y la plataforma Java. En la presentación estaremos mostrando un sistema embebido para procesar la temperatura de ambiente y su integración en una aplicación Web.
Vicente Díaz - Birds, bots and machines - Fraud in Twitter and how to detect ...RootedCON
La popularidad de las redes sociales durante los últimos años han atraído la atención de los cibercriminales para la distribución de SPAM y otros contenidos maliciosos, remplazando al correo electrónico como método tradicional.
Además, no parece tan claro cómo monetizan los cibercriminales sus estafas, pero no existe un modelo de ingresos para los atacantes insospechado: ¡la privacidad de los usuarios está bien pagada!
En esta presentación, por primera vez presentará cómo trabajan estas campañas maliciosas y mostrar algunos ejemplos reales de distribución de contenido malicioso. No sólo se limita a Twitter, estas campañas son comunes en otras redes sociales como Facebook.
Se explicará cómo los ciberdelincuentes obtienen beneficios con estas estafas. Al principio, esto podría no ser evidente, sin embargo, sus beneficios están relacionados con la privacidad. Muchas veces el objetivo de la campaña es el llegar a un sitio web controlado por compañías de publicidad en línea que ofrecen una lotería y que le pide una dirección de correo electrónico. Este correo electrónico (después de tomar una huella digital) les permitirá el seguimiento de su navegación y verificar sus datos en línea con lo que se es en el mundo real. De esta manera, se perfila a los usuarios mediante las redes sociales.
Después de eso, se presentarán los resultados de mi investigación para la detección de perfiles maliciosos en Twitter. Para esta investigación, que dio seguimiento a más de 30 campañas durante 6 meses, lo que resultó en más de 6.000 perfiles sospechosos analizados. Voy a explicar cómo mediante el uso de técnicas de aprendizaje automático es posible conseguir un porcentaje de éxito del 90% en la identificación de perfiles sospechosos utilizando la información disponible para cualquier usuario.
Por último, voy a concluir con cómo estas estafas se están trasladando del correo electrónico a las redes sociales, como las estafas son una amenaza a la vida privada de la víctima y un método para la detección de perfiles maliciosos utilizando aprendizaje automático.
FACILITATING THE BIM COORDINATOR WITH AUTOMATED DATA COMPLIANCE CHECKINGLéon Berlo
FACILITATING THE BIM COORDINATOR WITH AUTOMATED DATA COMPLIANCE CHECKING.
Presentatie voor de 'expersessie' tijdens de BuildingSMART Benelux workshop over de 'Informatie Levering specificatie'
2 juni 2016 te Ede
The Saturday Economist Manufacturing Update September 2015John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, Manufacturing Update September 2015. Based on ONS data from 2000:Q1 to 2015:Q2 this is our working file / graph set we use to analyse manufacturing in the UK. Over 50 slides are available as a FREE download to students and lovers of economics. The trend decline in textiles and tobacco is evident, offset by the evident strength of transport equipment - water, wheels and wings.
The Ten slides you need to see to understand the manufacturing recovery in th...John Ashcroft
The Ten slides you need to see to understand the manufacturing recovery in the UK : The Saturday Economist October 2014.
Superstars : Engineering, Automotive, Transport, Aerospace, Marine and Capital Investment; Products;
Steady State : Food, Drink and Utilities e.g. water and energy.
Sectors Recovering : Paper, Plastics, Furniture, Basic Metals;
The Terminals : Textiles, tobacco;
Overall …Still too many sectors, including building products
awaiting recovery.
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
The Saturday Economist UK Economic Outlook December 2015John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, UK Economic Outlook December 2015 is out now. We have lowered our forecasts for growth in 2015 and 2016. Check out over twenty pages of analysis
CAL Investments latest think piece “Global & Local Economic Insights” entails a broad analysis on the global economic overview and a more comprehensive analysis on the local fiscal outlook.
CAL Investments latest think piece “Global & Local Economic Insights” entails a broad analysis on the global economic overview and a more comprehensive analysis on the local fiscal outlook.
The Saturday Economist Private Client GroupJohn Ashcroft
This is the brochure for The Saturday Economist Private Client Group. We continue to work with a number of clients in addition to the Saturday Economist and The Saturday Economist Live. Join our Private Client group. You will have access to all of the Premium Subscriber content plus our work on scenario modelling, digital accommodation, disruptive innovation and platforms for growth. You will have access to personalized on line updates and our "Lunch at The Lowry" events.
The Saturday Economist Bond Market SentinelJohn Ashcroft
This is the Bond Market Sentinel analysis available
to members of the Saturday Economist Club. We monitor ten year gilt and bond yields in the US and the UK together with a look along the yield curve.
For exchange rates check out our weekly exchange rate updates. For the outlook on copper and metals check out our weekly metals update.
The comments on markets should not be construed as the giving of investment advice. Markets do not always behave according to trend.
The Saturday Economist Monday Morning MarketsJohn Ashcroft
This is the Monday Morning Markets analysis available
to members of the Saturday Economist Club. We monitor ten markets across the world together with an update on commodity prices and bond yields.
For exchange rates check out our weekly exchange
rate updates. For the outlook on copper and metals
check out our weekly metals update.
The comments on markets should not be construed as the giving of investment advice. Markets do not always behave according to trend! JKA
This the Crypto Wallet Chart analysis available to members of the Saturday Economist Club. We monitor five cryptos including Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum, Litecoin and Dogecoin.
The comments on markets should not be construed as the giving of investment advice. We do not invest nor trade in crypto.
Markets do not always behave according to trend!
Dogecoin and the speculative bubble mapJohn Ashcroft
In May we warned of the comparison between the Dogecoin price chart and the speculative bubble map. This is the update with the July price footnote. Dogecoin is down in price by 70% since we first published the note. JKA
The Saturday Economist Empires of the Cloud Fund TrackerJohn Ashcroft
This is our Empires of the Cloud Fund Tracker. We model the fortunes of Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Facebook. Together that have a combined market cap of over $9 trillion dollars. $10,000 dollars invested in April 2016 wouuld be worth over $40,000 in 2021.
The Saturday Economist UK Forecast update june 2021John Ashcroft
This is the Saturday Economist Forecast Update for June 2021. Available with Quarterly Updates forr members of The Saturday Economist Club and Premium Subscribers.
The Saturday Economist Live Slide Deck June 2020 ppJohn Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist Live on Zoom. This is the data slide deck from our presentation on the 26th June. Sign up at the Saturday Economist dot com for news of future events.
The Saturday Economist Webinar May Slide SelectionJohn Ashcroft
This pack includes a selection of slides from The Saturday Economist Webinar for May, held on the 29th May 2020.
Videos of the presentation are available on Youtube and LinkedIn
The Saturday Economist Slide Pack April 2020John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, Quarterly Economics Presentation with Brabners LLP. The April Webinar was held on the 28th April using GoToWebinar with almost 300 in attendance. Our theme was Animal Crossing. JKA
Several years ago, a good friend of mine made the move to set up his own business. He asked me “What should I do to develop my social media profile?”
The Eight “Letters to a friend on Social Media" followed over the next few weeks and months. The basic guide to creating and nurturing a social media profile.
The themes were developed over many years of experience and at great expense. Here the letters are reproduced as a PDF. The eight letters pulled together in this short guide. Here are the first three!
1. Ten Things you must do now to set up your social media profile!
2. Fingerprints, footprints and photographs...laying a trail
3. Beacons, Cascades and R(0)s...how to improve the performance of your social media messaging...
Our Guide to Digital disruption Update 2019John Ashcroft
A collection of our articles on Digital Disruption and Change Management updated for 2019.
Don't thumb your nose at Digital Disruption
So what do we mean by digital disruption
The six forces shaping digital disruption
Digital Disruption Industries of the future
Which jobs will be at risk in the years ahead
Digital Disruption and the UK Banking System
Using our GDP(O) model we forecast growth of 1.5% in the U.K. this year. Here are the data sets and charts we use to develop the forecast. The Saturday Economist ... We don't just make up the numbers JKA
John Ashcroft's The Digital Marketing Guide to the Empires of the Cloud John Ashcroft
The Empires of the Cloud have a combined market capitalisation of almost $3 trillion dollars. Facebook has access to FIVE billion points of contact with internet users. Who are they? Check out the latest update from The Dimensions of Strategy Team! Don't Miss Out! JKA
The slides accompany the Yahoo Case Study 2016 and Teaching Notes available from the web site. The Yahoo Case Study Dot com. John Ashcroft Dimensions of Strategy
The Saturday Economist, UK Economic Outlook June 2016John Ashcroft
Growth in 2015 was 2.3% down from 2.9% in 2014. We now expect growth of 2.2% in 2016 … following the disappointing performance of manufacturing and construction in the first quarter.
The inflation outlook is still muted, with the fall in world oil, energy, food and commodity prices continuing to dominate headline inflation.
The UK economy grew by 2.0% in the first quarter, revisions to construction and manufacturing growth pulling total output lower. The service sector continues to drive growth.
In this June economics update we forecast world growth of 3.2% in 2016 up from 3.1% in 2015. UK Inflation will average just 0.3%, CPI basis, over the balance of the year 2016. Unemployment will continue to fall, government borrowing will also fall. The service sector will lead the recovery as manufacturing and construction output falls slightly.
We are forecasting a modest fall in manufacturing of around 0.2% in 2016 with a 0.9% fall in construction activity based on the latest data. The trade figures will continue to disappoint, offset by a further £2 billion oil dividend, despite a moderate oil price recovery. The challenge to the current account following the drop in overseas investment income continues and will present a significant problem to the outlook for sterling over the medium term.
Our forecast is based on a "remain" referendum outcome! .
The Saturday Economist Brexit Briefing, all the information needed to make an...John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist on Brexit. All the information you need to make and informed decision. We analyse the arguments in to the business, economic, political and social. The political arguments relate to who governs Britain. The social argument largely dealing with immigration and implications for education, health care and welfare.
The economics case argues against Brexit, largely because of the uncertainty relating to the alternative options. Brexit will damage investment prospects in the short term (uncertainty) and in the long term (strategic). We consider that motor, aerospace and financial services industries are particularly at risk.
As for business ... there is no business case to support the "Brexit" argument. The level of uncertainty is too severe JKA
The Saturday Economist Brexit Briefing, all the information needed to make an...John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist on Brexit. All the information you need to make and informed decision. We analyse the arguments in to the business, economic, political and social. The political arguments relate to who governs Britain. The social argument largely dealing with immigration and implications for education, health care and welfare.
The economics case argues against Brexit, largely because of the uncertainty relating to the alternative options. Brexit will damage investment prospects in the short term (uncertainty) and in the long term (strategic). We consider that motor, aerospace and financial services industries are particularly at risk.
As for business ... there is no business case to support the "Brexit" argument. The level of uncertainty is too severe JKA
The saturday economist uk economic outlook march 2016John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist : UK Economic Outlook March 2016, Drink with me to days gone by : Service Sector (Leisure Sector) continues to drive output in the UK economy, We expect GDP growth of 2.6% this year slowing to 2.5% in 2017.
Modelling Investment - Forecasts for the UK Economy 2016John Ashcroft
Modelling Investment - Forecasts for the UK Economy 2016. Published in association with the December Economic Outlook, we outline our sectoral forecasts of investment in the UK
Cracking the Workplace Discipline Code Main.pptxWorkforce Group
Cultivating and maintaining discipline within teams is a critical differentiator for successful organisations.
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2. Long Term Decline - Textiles, tobacco, chemicals
Textiles, tobacco, chemicals, rubber products, furniture, energy, (oil and gas extraction)
consumer durables, electrical equipment, computer, electronic and optical equipment.
Paints, varnishes and printing inks, dyestuffs, agro chemicals. Printing and production of
recorded media. Paper and Paper Products.
Production as a wider definition - avoid Mining and Quarrying.
Decline
Structural
Stable - Beverages, Food, Dairy
Food, beverages, (alcohol and soft drinks), utilities especially water, waste and power
transmission
Stable
Non cyclical
Growth Transport, transport equipment, aerospace, contract maintenance, repair &
maintenance of aircraft, ships and boats, machinery and equipment. Excitement in
excrement provided by development in sewerage installation and maintenance.
Good consumer sectors Soap, Detergents, Polishing, Perfumes, Toilet Preparations. In
the food sector - good growth in consumption of fish and fish products. Other foodstuffs
stable with meat consumption showing a steady increase.
Growth
Set Back Gas, other household fuels, fabricated metals, basic metals and casting,
[basic metals - iron and steel (big setback)].
Glass, clay, porcelain, stone products. [Stable and unexciting before the recession, now
stunned by the setback]
Industrial gases, [reasonable growth before setback, slow recovery]
Some chemicals, chemical products.
Set Back
Cyclical
Construction
Recovery
Manufacturing UpdateOctober 2015
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
3. Manufacturing UpdateOctober 2015
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
Gloomy data on manufacturing released by ONS …
The latest data from the Office for National Statistics continue to present a gloomy outlook for
the manufacturing sector. Output in August fell by 0.8% following a drop of -1.2% in July. We
expect manufacturing output in Q3 to fall by 1% compared to the same period last year.
For the year as a whole, we now expect growth of just 0.5% in the current year compared to
growth of 2.7% last year. Next year we forecast a slight improvement with growth up by 1.5%.
That’s more or less in line with the long run [fifty year] average. The march of the makers will
be unable to rebuild the workshop of the world any time soon and won’t hit the government £1
trillion export target by 2020.
So why is the performance of the manufacturing sector so dismal?
In the UK, retail sales are booming with sales volumes up by almost 5% in the year to date.
Car sales are soaring with registrations up 7% year on year. The housing market is
experiencing strong growth with the volume of transactions up by 6% in August following
growth of 15% last year.
Consumer confidence is improving, earnings are increasing and the jobs market presents little
threat to household prospects in the months ahead. Manufacturers should be benefitting from
sales of construction and home products but are they?
Internationally the picture is less attractive …
Internationally the picture is less attractive. World trade limps along despite a recovery in the
US and Europe. Prices are undermined by low energy and commodity prices. Margins are
under pressure as the trade weighted value of sterling is up by 5% compared to last year. The
“Sterling Effect” is much exaggerated. The pound was up by almost 7% in 2014 compared to
prior year and manufacturers still managed growth of almost 3% in the year
Sectoral Analysis holds the clue ..
In our research we analyse over 50 sectors within the manufacturing sector. Not all sectors tell
the same story. Some sectors continue in a process of long term decline, notably tobacco,
textiles clothing, computers, electrical equipment, optical equipment and consumer durables.
The housing market is bringing benefits to construction products including cement and plaster
and also leading to a rally in furniture output to levels last experienced pre recession.
Other sectors especially transport equipment are experiencing strong growth. Transport
equipment output continues to expand in the areas of wheels, wings and water i.e. Marine,
Motor and Aerospace activity. Capital goods have also enjoyed strong growth with a big
recovery in engineering and allied industries.
The food and beverages sector to experience steady and strong growth. Meat, fish and dairy
products have experienced a strong rally since 2009. Output in the dairy sector has increased
by 50% over the last six years. Bakery products are up by 25% from 2009 but have
experienced a set back into 2015, possible victims of the Mary Berry home baking craze.
Beverage sales are up especially the manufacture of alcohol products. Soaps, detergents,
polish and perfumes remain as one of the great performers in the sector with steady growth
through the recession
The manufacture of wood, rubber, paints and paper products demonstrate a shock to output in
2008/9 with little recovery to date. In the chemical and petrochemical sectors, the shock to
output is also evident with a limited recovery so far. The manufacture and processing of basic
metals remains flat with a continued setback in casting and fabrications. The manufacture of
weapons and ammunition remains some 40% below the pre recession high.
Summary …
Overall manufacturing output remains some 7% below the pre recession peak and in line with
levels experienced at the end of 1989. We expected too much from manufacturing in the
rebalancing agenda. The average rate of growth since 1950 has been just 1.5% hence the
share of output decline in an economy growing at 2.5% plus.
Hopes for a manufacturing rally were rhetoric without reason. The prospect of re shoring was
illusory as the plans for Jaguar Land Rover to expand output overseas demonstrate. The UK
does not have a revealed comparative advantage in manufacturing to stimulate export growth.
The balance of payments trade in goods will continue to deteriorate despite some improvement
this year from international energy, oil and commodity prices.
The UK does have a varied manufacturing base, with real strengths in transport, food, drink
and capital goods. The sector can only achieve so much in international trade and will offer so
little to the rebalancing agenda. We should not expect too much from our manufacturers.
JKA October 2015
5. Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
-16
-12
-8
-4
0
4
8
12
16
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Manufacturing Quarter Rate of Change year on year …
October 2015
6. 90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Production …
K222 IOP: B-E: PRODUCTION: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
7. 80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Mining and Quarrying …
K224 IOP: B:MINING AND QUARRYING: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
8. 50
100
150
200
250
300
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Oil and Natural Gas …
K226 IOP: 06:Extraction Of Crude Petroleum And Natural Gas: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
9. 90
95
100
105
110
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Manufacturing …
K22A IOP: C:MANUFACTURING: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
10. 90
95
100
105
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Food, Beverages and Tobacco …
K22B IOP: CA:Manufacture of Food products beverages and tobacco: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
11. 90
95
100
105
110
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Food …
K22C IOP: 10:Manufacture Of Food Products: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
12. 80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Food - Meat …
K22D IOP: 10.1:Processing & preserving of meat & production of meat products:
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
13. 60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Food - Fish …
K22E IOP: 10.2-3:Process & preserve of fish crustaceans molluscs fruit veg:CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
14. 80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Food - Dairy …
K22G IOP: 10.5:Manufacture of dairy products: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
15. 80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Grain Mill Products …
K22H IOP: 10.6:Manufacture of grain mill products starches & starch products: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
16. 60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Bakery Products …
K22I IOP: 10.7:Manufacture of bakery and farinaceous products: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
17. 70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Animal Feeds …
K22K IOP: 10.9:Manufacture of prepared animal feeds: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
18. 70
80
90
100
110
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Beverages …
K22L IOP: 11:Manufacture Of Beverages: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
19. 60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Beverages Alcoholic …
K22M IOP: 11.01-6:Manufacture of alcoholic beverages: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
20. 80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Tobacco …
K22O IOP: 12:Manufacture Of Tobacco Products: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
21. 80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Textiles …
K22Q IOP: 13:Manufacture Of Textiles: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
22. 80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Wearing Apparel …
K22R IOP: 14:Manufacture Of Wearing Apparel: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
23. 70
90
110
130
150
170
190
210
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Leather and Related Products …
K22S IOP: 15:Manufacture Of Leather And Related Products: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
24. 80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Wood, Paper Products and Printing …
K22T IOP: CC:Manufacture of wood and paper products and printing: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
25. 90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Paper and Paper Products…
K22V IOP: 17:Manufacture Of Paper And Paper Products: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
26. 80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Recorded Media …
K22W IOP: 18:Printing And Reproduction Of Recorded Media: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
27. 80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Chemicals and Chemical Products …
K22Z IOP: CE:Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
28. 70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Petrochemicals …
K234
IOP: 20B:Manufacture of petrochemicals -
20.14/16/17/60: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
29. 70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Paints,Varnishes …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K236 IOP: 20.3:Manuf of paintsvarnishessimilar coatingsprinting ink/mastics:CVMSA
October 2015
30. 70
80
90
100
110
120
130
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Soaps, detergents, polish, perfumes
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K237 IOP: 20.4:Manuf of soapdetergentspolishingperfumestoilet preparations:CVMSA
October 2015
31. 90
100
110
120
130
140
150
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Manufacture of Rubber and Plastic Products…
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23C IOP: 22:Manufacture Of Rubber And Plastic Products: CVMSA
October 2015
32. 80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Manufacture of Glass, Clay, Porcelain, Ceramics …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23E IOP: 23OTH:Manuf of glassclayporcelainceramicstone prods-23.1-4/7-9:CVMSA
October 2015
33. 60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Manufacture of Basic Metals …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23H IOP: 24:Manufacture Of Basic Metals: CVMSA
October 2015
34. 70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Basic Iron and Steel …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23I IOP: 24.1-3:Manufacture of basic iron and steel: CVMSA
October 2015
35. 70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Other Basic Metals and Casting …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23J IOP: 24.4-5:Manufacture of other basic metals and casting: CVMSA
October 2015
36. 80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Other Fabrications …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23K IOP: 25:Manuf Of Fabricated Metal Products Except Machinery & Equipment: CVMSA
October 2015
37. 50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunition …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23M IOP: 25.4:Manufacture of weapons and ammunition: CVMSA
October 2015
38. 90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Manufacture of Computer, Electronic & Optical …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23N IOP: CI:Manufacturing of computer electronic & optical products: CVMSA
October 2015
39. 70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Manufacture of Electrical Equipment …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23Q IOP: 27:Manufacture Of Electrical Equipment: CVMSA
October 2015
40. 80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Manufacture of Cement, Plaster …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23F IOP: 23.5-6:Manuf of cementlimeplaster;concretecementplaster articles:CVMSA
October 2015
41. 70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Machinery and Equipment …
K23R IOP: CK:Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c.: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
42. 50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Manufacture of Transport Equipment …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23T IOP: CL:Manufacture of transport equipment: CVMSA
October 2015
43. 50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
MotorVehicles, Trailers and Semi Trailers …
K23U IOP: 29:Manufacture Of Motor Vehicles Trailers And Semi-Trailers: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
44. 40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Manufacture of Other Transport Equipment …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23V IOP: 30:Manufacture Of Other Transport Equipment: CVMSA
October 2015
45. 40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Building of Ships and Boats
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23W IOP: 30.1:Building of ships and boats: CVMSA
October 2015
46. 50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Aerospace and related machinery …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K23X IOP: 30.3:Manufacture of air and spacecraft and related machinery: CVMSA
October 2015
47. 80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Manufacture of Furniture …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K242 IOP: 31:Manufacture Of Furniture: CVMSA
October 2015
48. 80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Utilities ..
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K248 IOP: D:ELECTRICITY GAS STEAM AND AIR CONDITIONING SUPPLY: CVMSA
October 2015
49. 80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sewerage ..
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K24E IOP: 37:Sewerage: CVMSA
October 2015
50. 80
85
90
95
100
105
110
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Engineering and Allied Industries …
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
K24L IOP: EAI:Engineering and Allied Industries: CVMSA
October 2015
51. 80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Energy
K24T IOP: MIG-NRG:Main Industrial Groupings - Energy: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
52. 90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Consumer Durables …
K24Q IOP: MIG-CD:Main Industrial Groupings - Consumer Durables: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
53. 90
95
100
105
110
115
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Consumer Non Durables …
K24R IOP: MIG-CND:Main Industrial Groupings - Consumer Non-Durables: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015
54. 80
85
90
95
100
105
110
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Capital Goods
K24S IOP: MIG-CAG:Main Industrial Groupings - Capital Goods: CVMSA
Manufacturing Update
Data Based on the ONS Index of Production Data : Q2 2015
October 2015