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Independent Statistics & Analysis
Drilling Productivity Report
The seven regions analyzed in this report accounted for 92% of domestic oil production growth
and all domestic natural gas production growth during 2011-14.
December 2015
For key tight oil and shale gas regions
U.S. Energy Information
Administration
Contents
Year-over-year summary 2
Bakken Region 3
Eagle Ford Region 4
Haynesville Region 5
Marcellus Region 6
Niobrara Region 7
Permian Region 8
Utica Region 9
Explanatory notes 10
Sources 11
Bakken
Marcellus
Niobrara
Haynesville
Eagle Ford
Permian
Utica
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
2,400
2,800
Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica
January-2015 January-2016
Oil production
thousand barrels/day
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
18,000
Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica
January-2015 January-2016
Natural gas production
million cubic feet/day
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica
January-2015 January-2016
New-well oil production per rig
barrels/day
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica
January-2015 January-2016
New-well gas production per rig
thousand cubic feet/day
(700)
(600)
(500)
(400)
(300)
(200)
(100)
0
Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica
January-2015 January-2016
Legacy gas production change
million cubic feet/day
(150)
(125)
(100)
(75)
(50)
(25)
0
Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica
January-2015 January-2016
Legacy oil production change
thousand barrels/day
drilling data through November
projected production through January
December 2015
Drilling Productivity Report
Year-over-year summary
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica
January-2015 January-2016
thousand barrels/day
Indicated monthly change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica
January-2015 January-2016
million cubic feet/day
Indicated monthly change in gas production (Jan vs. Dec)
2
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Oil production
thousand barrels/day
Bakken Region
-50
0
50
100
Dec
1,125
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
1,098
Mbbl/d
thousand barrels/day
Bakken Region
+45 -72 -27
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)
-50
0
50
100
Dec
1,578
MMcf/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
1,559
MMcf/d
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)
million cubic feet/day
Bakken Region
+56 -75 -19
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well oil production per rig
rig count
New-well oil production per rig
barrels/day
Bakken Region
Rig count
rigs
(80)
(70)
(60)
(50)
(40)
(30)
(20)
(10)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy oil production change
thousand barrels/day
Bakken Region
(80)
(70)
(60)
(50)
(40)
(30)
(20)
(10)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy gas production change
million cubic feet/day
Bakken RegionBakken Region
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Bakken Region
Natural gas production
million cubic feet/day
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
600
1,200
1,800
2,400
3,000
3,600
4,200
4,800
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well gas production per rig
rig count
New-well gas production per rig
thousand cubic feet/day
Bakken Region
Rig count
rigs
drilling data through November
projected production through January
December 2015
Drilling Productivity Report
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
January
barrels/day
December
barrels/day
month over month
Oil
+2
Gas
thousand cubic feet/day
month over month
+23
Bakken Region
million cubic feet/day
month over month
896January
thousand cubic feet/day
December 873
719
717
thousand barrels/day
month over month
Oil -27 Gas -19
3
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report
0
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
1,800
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Oil production
thousand barrels/day
Eagle Ford Region
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
Dec
1,278
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
1,201
Mbbl/d
thousand barrels/day
Eagle Ford Region
+66 -143 -77
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
Dec
6,578
MMcf/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
6,406
MMcf/d
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)
million cubic feet/day
Eagle Ford Region
+197 -369 -172
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well oil production per rig
rig count
New-well oil production per rig
barrels/day
Eagle Ford Region
Rig count
rigs
(160)
(140)
(120)
(100)
(80)
(60)
(40)
(20)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy oil production change
thousand barrels/day
Eagle Ford Region
(400)
(350)
(300)
(250)
(200)
(150)
(100)
(50)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy gas production change
million cubic feet/day
Eagle Ford RegionEagle Ford Region
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Eagle Ford Region
Natural gas production
million cubic feet/day
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0
600
1,200
1,800
2,400
3,000
3,600
4,200
4,800
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well gas production per rig
rig count
New-well gas production per rig
thousand cubic feet/day
Eagle Ford Region
Rig count
rigs
drilling data through November
projected production through January
December 2015
Drilling Productivity Report
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
January
barrels/day
December
barrels/day
month over month
Oil
0
Gas
thousand cubic feet/day
month over month
+44
Eagle Ford Region
million cubic feet/day
month over month
2,370January
thousand cubic feet/day
December 2,326
795
795
thousand barrels/day
month over month
Oil -77 Gas -172
4
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report
barrels/day
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Oil production
thousand barrels/day
Haynesville Region
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
Dec
54
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
53
Mbbl/d
thousand barrels/day
Haynesville Region
+1 -2 -1
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)
-150
-50
50
150
250
Dec
6,313
MMcf/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
6,337
MMcf/d
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)
million cubic feet/day
Haynesville Region
+186 -162 +24
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well oil production per rig
rig count
New-well oil production per rig
barrels/day
Haynesville Region
Rig count
rigs
(3)
(2)
(1)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy oil production change
thousand barrels/day
Haynesville Region
(600)
(500)
(400)
(300)
(200)
(100)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy gas production change
million cubic feet/day
Haynesville RegionHaynesville Region
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Haynesville Region
Natural gas production
million cubic feet/day
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well gas production per rig
rig count
New-well gas production per rig
thousand cubic feet/day
Haynesville Region
Rig count
rigs
drilling data through November
projected production through January
December 2015
Drilling Productivity Report
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
January
December
barrels/day
month over month
Oil
+1
Gas
thousand cubic feet/day
month over month
+39
Haynesville Region
million cubic feet/day
month over month
5,586January
thousand cubic feet/day
December 5,547
28
27
thousand barrels/day
month over month
Oil -1 Gas +24
5
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report
Marcellus Region
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Oil production
thousand barrels/day
Marcellus Region
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
Dec
52
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
50
Mbbl/d
thousand barrels/day
Marcellus Region
+3 -5 -2
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Dec
15,663
MMcf/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
15,450
MMcf/d
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)
million cubic feet/day
Marcellus Region
+394 -607 -213
0
30
60
90
120
150
0
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well oil production per rig
rig count
New-well oil production per rig
barrels/day
Marcellus Region
Rig count
rigs
(5)
(4)
(3)
(2)
(1)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy oil production change
thousand barrels/day
Marcellus Region
(700)
(600)
(500)
(400)
(300)
(200)
(100)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy gas production change
million cubic feet/day
Marcellus RegionMarcellus Region
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Marcellus Region
Natural gas production
million cubic feet/day
0
30
60
90
120
150
0
1,500
3,000
4,500
6,000
7,500
9,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well gas production per rig
rig count
New-well gas production per rig
thousand cubic feet/day
Marcellus Region
Rig count
rigs
drilling data through November
projected production through January
December 2015
Drilling Productivity Report
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
January
barrels/day
December
barrels/day
month over month
Oil
+1
Gas
thousand cubic feet/day
month over month
+128
million cubic feet/day
month over month
9,016January
thousand cubic feet/day
December 8,888
63
62
thousand barrels/day
month over month
Oil -2 Gas -213
6
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Oil production
thousand barrels/day
Niobrara Region
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Dec
368
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
344
Mbbl/d
thousand barrels/day
Niobrara Region
+24 -48 -24
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
Dec
4,172
MMcf/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
4,106
MMcf/d
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)
million cubic feet/day
Niobrara Region
+78 -144 -66
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well oil production per rig
rig count
New-well oil production per rig
barrels/day
Niobrara Region
Rig count
rigs
(60)
(50)
(40)
(30)
(20)
(10)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy oil production change
thousand barrels/day
Niobrara Region
(180)
(150)
(120)
(90)
(60)
(30)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy gas production change
million cubic feet/day
Niobrara RegionNiobrara Region
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Niobrara Region
Natural gas production
million cubic feet/day
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
600
1,200
1,800
2,400
3,000
3,600
4,200
4,800
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well gas production per rig
rig count
New-well gas production per rig
thousand cubic feet/day
Niobrara Region
Rig count
rigs
drilling data through November
projected production through January
December 2015
Drilling Productivity Report
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
January
barrels/day
December
barrels/day
month over month
Oil
+19
Gas
thousand cubic feet/day
month over month
+54
Niobrara Region
million cubic feet/day
month over month
2,212January
thousand cubic feet/day
December 2,158
686
667
thousand barrels/day
month over month
Oil -24 Gas -66
7
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Oil production
thousand barrels/day
Permian Region
0
25
50
75
100
Dec
2,021
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
2,035
Mbbl/d
thousand barrels/day
Permian Region
+94 -80 +14
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)
0
50
100
150
200
Dec
6,878
MMcf/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
6,892
MMcf/d
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)
million cubic feet/day
Permian Region
+181 -167 +14
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0
100
200
300
400
500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well oil production per rig
rig count
New-well oil production per rig
barrels/day
Permian Region
Rig count
rigs
(90)
(80)
(70)
(60)
(50)
(40)
(30)
(20)
(10)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy oil production change
thousand barrels/day
Permian Region
(180)
(160)
(140)
(120)
(100)
(80)
(60)
(40)
(20)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy gas production change
million cubic feet/day
Permian RegionPermian Region
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Permian Region
Natural gas production
million cubic feet/day
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well gas production per rig
rig count
New-well gas production per rig
thousand cubic feet/day
Permian Region
Rig count
rigs
drilling data through November
projected production through January
December 2015
Drilling Productivity Report
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
January
barrels/day
December
barrels/day
month over month
Oil
+4
Gas
thousand cubic feet/day
month over month
+14
Permian Region
million cubic feet/day
month over month
797January
thousand cubic feet/day
December 783
416
412
thousand barrels/day
month over month
Oil +14 Gas +14
8
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report
Utica Region
0
100
200
300
400
500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Oil production
thousand barrels/day
Utica Region
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
Dec
79
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
80
Mbbl/d
thousand barrels/day
Utica Region
+5 -4 +1
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)
0
25
50
75
100
125
Dec
3,139
MMcf/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Jan
3,206
MMcf/d
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)
million cubic feet/day
Utica Region
+127 -60 +67
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well oil production per rig
rig count
New-well oil production per rig
barrels/day
Utica Region
Rig count
rigs
(5)
(4)
(3)
(2)
(1)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy oil production change
thousand barrels/day
Utica Region
(70)
(60)
(50)
(40)
(30)
(20)
(10)
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Legacy gas production change
million cubic feet/day
Utica RegionUtica Region
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Utica Region
Natural gas production
million cubic feet/day
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0
1,200
2,400
3,600
4,800
6,000
7,200
8,400
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
new-well gas production per rig
rig count
New-well gas production per rig
thousand cubic feet/day
Utica Region
Rig count
rigs
drilling data through November
projected production through January
December 2015
Drilling Productivity Report
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
January
barrels/day
December
barrels/day
month over month
Oil
+12
Gas
thousand cubic feet/day
month over month
+197
million cubic feet/day
month over month
6,511January
thousand cubic feet/day
December 6,314
282
270
thousand barrels/day
month over month
Oil +1 Gas +67
9
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report
December 2015Explanatory notes
Drilling Productivity Report
The Drilling Productivity Report uses recent data on the total number of drilling rigs in operation along
with estimates of drilling productivity and estimated changes in production from existing oil and natural
gas wells to provide estimated changes in oil1 and natural gas2 production for seven key regions. EIA’s
approach does not distinguish between oil-directed rigs and gas-directed rigs because once a well is
completed it may produce both oil and gas; more than half of the wells do that.
Monthly additions from one average rig
Monthly additions from one average rig represent EIA’s estimate of an average rig’s3 contribution to
production of oil and natural gas from new wells.4 The estimation of new-well production per rig uses
several months of recent historical data on total production from new wells for each field divided by the
region's monthly rig count, lagged by two months.5 Current- and next-month values are listed on the top
header. The month-over-month change is listed alongside, with +/- signs and color-coded arrows to
highlight the growth or decline in oil (brown) or natural gas (blue).
New-well oil/gas production per rig
Charts present historical estimated monthly additions from one average rig coupled with the number of
total drilling rigs as reported by Baker Hughes.
Legacy oil and natural gas production change
Charts present EIA’s estimates of total oil and gas production changes from all the wells other than the
new wells. The trend is dominated by the well depletion rates, but other circumstances can influence the
direction of the change. For example, well freeze-offs or hurricanes can cause production to significantly
decline in any given month, resulting in a production increase the next month when production simply
returns to normal levels.
Projected change in monthly oil/gas production
Charts present the combined effects of new-well production and changes to legacy production. Total
new-well production is offset by the anticipated change in legacy production to derive the net change in
production. The estimated change in production does not reflect external circumstances that can affect
the actual rates, such as infrastructure constraints, bad weather, or shut-ins based on environmental or
economic issues.
Oil/gas production
Charts present all oil and natural gas production from both new and legacy wells since 2007. This
production is based on all wells reported to the state oil and gas agencies. Where state data are not
immediately available, EIA estimates the production based on estimated changes in new-well oil/gas
production and the corresponding legacy change.
Footnotes:
1. Oil production represents both crude and condensate production from all formations in the region. Production is
not limited to tight formations. The regions are defined by all selected counties, which include areas outside of
tight oil formations.
2. Gas production represents gross (before processing) gas production from all formations in the region.
Production is not limited to shale formations. The regions are defined by all selected counties, which include
areas outside of shale formations.
3. The monthly average rig count used in this report is calculated from weekly data on total oil and gas rigs
reported by Baker Hughes.
4. A new well is defined as one that began producing for the first time in the previous month. Each well belongs to
the new-well category for only one month. Reworked and recompleted wells are excluded from the calculation.
5. Rig count data lag production data because EIA has observed that the best predictor of the number of new
wells beginning production in a given month is the count of rigs in operation two months earlier.
10
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report
December 2015Sources
Drilling Productivity Report
The data used in the preparation of this report come from the following sources. EIA is solely
responsible for the analysis, calculations, and conclusions.
Drilling Info (http://www.drillinginfo.com) Source of production, permit, and spud data for counties
associated with this report. Source of real-time rig location to estimate new wells spudded and completed
throughout the United States.
Baker Hughes (http://www.bakerhughes.com) Source of rig and well counts by county, state, and basin.
North Dakota Oil and Gas Division (https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas) Source of well production, permit,
and completion data in the counties associated with this report in North Dakota
Railroad Commission of Texas (http://www.rrc.state.tx.us) Source of well production, permit, and
completion data in the counties associated with this report in Texas
Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
(https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx) Source
of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in
Pennsylvania
West Virginia Department of Environmental Protection (http://www.dep.wv.gov/oil-and-
gas/Pages/default.aspx) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties
associated with this report in West Virginia
Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission (http://cogcc.state.co.us) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Colorado
Wyoming Oil and Conservation Commission (http://wogcc.state.wy.us) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Wyoming
Louisiana Department of Natural Resources (http://dnr.louisiana.gov) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Louisiana
Ohio Department of Natural Resources (http://oilandgas.ohiodnr.gov) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Ohio
11

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U.S. EIA's Drilling Productivity Report - December 2015

  • 1. Independent Statistics & Analysis Drilling Productivity Report The seven regions analyzed in this report accounted for 92% of domestic oil production growth and all domestic natural gas production growth during 2011-14. December 2015 For key tight oil and shale gas regions U.S. Energy Information Administration Contents Year-over-year summary 2 Bakken Region 3 Eagle Ford Region 4 Haynesville Region 5 Marcellus Region 6 Niobrara Region 7 Permian Region 8 Utica Region 9 Explanatory notes 10 Sources 11 Bakken Marcellus Niobrara Haynesville Eagle Ford Permian Utica
  • 2. U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2,400 2,800 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica January-2015 January-2016 Oil production thousand barrels/day 0 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 15,000 18,000 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica January-2015 January-2016 Natural gas production million cubic feet/day 0 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica January-2015 January-2016 New-well oil production per rig barrels/day 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica January-2015 January-2016 New-well gas production per rig thousand cubic feet/day (700) (600) (500) (400) (300) (200) (100) 0 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica January-2015 January-2016 Legacy gas production change million cubic feet/day (150) (125) (100) (75) (50) (25) 0 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica January-2015 January-2016 Legacy oil production change thousand barrels/day drilling data through November projected production through January December 2015 Drilling Productivity Report Year-over-year summary -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica January-2015 January-2016 thousand barrels/day Indicated monthly change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) -600 -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica January-2015 January-2016 million cubic feet/day Indicated monthly change in gas production (Jan vs. Dec) 2
  • 3. U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Oil production thousand barrels/day Bakken Region -50 0 50 100 Dec 1,125 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 1,098 Mbbl/d thousand barrels/day Bakken Region +45 -72 -27 Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) -50 0 50 100 Dec 1,578 MMcf/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 1,559 MMcf/d Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) million cubic feet/day Bakken Region +56 -75 -19 0 50 100 150 200 250 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well oil production per rig rig count New-well oil production per rig barrels/day Bakken Region Rig count rigs (80) (70) (60) (50) (40) (30) (20) (10) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy oil production change thousand barrels/day Bakken Region (80) (70) (60) (50) (40) (30) (20) (10) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy gas production change million cubic feet/day Bakken RegionBakken Region 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Bakken Region Natural gas production million cubic feet/day 0 50 100 150 200 250 0 600 1,200 1,800 2,400 3,000 3,600 4,200 4,800 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well gas production per rig rig count New-well gas production per rig thousand cubic feet/day Bakken Region Rig count rigs drilling data through November projected production through January December 2015 Drilling Productivity Report Monthly additions from one average rig January barrels/day December barrels/day month over month Oil +2 Gas thousand cubic feet/day month over month +23 Bakken Region million cubic feet/day month over month 896January thousand cubic feet/day December 873 719 717 thousand barrels/day month over month Oil -27 Gas -19 3
  • 4. U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 0 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Oil production thousand barrels/day Eagle Ford Region -100 -50 0 50 100 150 Dec 1,278 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 1,201 Mbbl/d thousand barrels/day Eagle Ford Region +66 -143 -77 Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) -200 -100 0 100 200 300 Dec 6,578 MMcf/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 6,406 MMcf/d Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) million cubic feet/day Eagle Ford Region +197 -369 -172 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well oil production per rig rig count New-well oil production per rig barrels/day Eagle Ford Region Rig count rigs (160) (140) (120) (100) (80) (60) (40) (20) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy oil production change thousand barrels/day Eagle Ford Region (400) (350) (300) (250) (200) (150) (100) (50) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy gas production change million cubic feet/day Eagle Ford RegionEagle Ford Region 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Eagle Ford Region Natural gas production million cubic feet/day 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 0 600 1,200 1,800 2,400 3,000 3,600 4,200 4,800 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well gas production per rig rig count New-well gas production per rig thousand cubic feet/day Eagle Ford Region Rig count rigs drilling data through November projected production through January December 2015 Drilling Productivity Report Monthly additions from one average rig January barrels/day December barrels/day month over month Oil 0 Gas thousand cubic feet/day month over month +44 Eagle Ford Region million cubic feet/day month over month 2,370January thousand cubic feet/day December 2,326 795 795 thousand barrels/day month over month Oil -77 Gas -172 4
  • 5. U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report barrels/day 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Oil production thousand barrels/day Haynesville Region -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 Dec 54 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 53 Mbbl/d thousand barrels/day Haynesville Region +1 -2 -1 Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) -150 -50 50 150 250 Dec 6,313 MMcf/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 6,337 MMcf/d Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) million cubic feet/day Haynesville Region +186 -162 +24 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well oil production per rig rig count New-well oil production per rig barrels/day Haynesville Region Rig count rigs (3) (2) (1) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy oil production change thousand barrels/day Haynesville Region (600) (500) (400) (300) (200) (100) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy gas production change million cubic feet/day Haynesville RegionHaynesville Region 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Haynesville Region Natural gas production million cubic feet/day 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well gas production per rig rig count New-well gas production per rig thousand cubic feet/day Haynesville Region Rig count rigs drilling data through November projected production through January December 2015 Drilling Productivity Report Monthly additions from one average rig January December barrels/day month over month Oil +1 Gas thousand cubic feet/day month over month +39 Haynesville Region million cubic feet/day month over month 5,586January thousand cubic feet/day December 5,547 28 27 thousand barrels/day month over month Oil -1 Gas +24 5
  • 6. U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report Marcellus Region 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Oil production thousand barrels/day Marcellus Region -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 Dec 52 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 50 Mbbl/d thousand barrels/day Marcellus Region +3 -5 -2 Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) -400 -200 0 200 400 600 Dec 15,663 MMcf/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 15,450 MMcf/d Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) million cubic feet/day Marcellus Region +394 -607 -213 0 30 60 90 120 150 0 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well oil production per rig rig count New-well oil production per rig barrels/day Marcellus Region Rig count rigs (5) (4) (3) (2) (1) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy oil production change thousand barrels/day Marcellus Region (700) (600) (500) (400) (300) (200) (100) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy gas production change million cubic feet/day Marcellus RegionMarcellus Region 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Marcellus Region Natural gas production million cubic feet/day 0 30 60 90 120 150 0 1,500 3,000 4,500 6,000 7,500 9,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well gas production per rig rig count New-well gas production per rig thousand cubic feet/day Marcellus Region Rig count rigs drilling data through November projected production through January December 2015 Drilling Productivity Report Monthly additions from one average rig January barrels/day December barrels/day month over month Oil +1 Gas thousand cubic feet/day month over month +128 million cubic feet/day month over month 9,016January thousand cubic feet/day December 8,888 63 62 thousand barrels/day month over month Oil -2 Gas -213 6
  • 7. U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Oil production thousand barrels/day Niobrara Region -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Dec 368 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 344 Mbbl/d thousand barrels/day Niobrara Region +24 -48 -24 Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) -100 -50 0 50 100 150 Dec 4,172 MMcf/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 4,106 MMcf/d Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) million cubic feet/day Niobrara Region +78 -144 -66 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well oil production per rig rig count New-well oil production per rig barrels/day Niobrara Region Rig count rigs (60) (50) (40) (30) (20) (10) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy oil production change thousand barrels/day Niobrara Region (180) (150) (120) (90) (60) (30) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy gas production change million cubic feet/day Niobrara RegionNiobrara Region 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Niobrara Region Natural gas production million cubic feet/day 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 600 1,200 1,800 2,400 3,000 3,600 4,200 4,800 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well gas production per rig rig count New-well gas production per rig thousand cubic feet/day Niobrara Region Rig count rigs drilling data through November projected production through January December 2015 Drilling Productivity Report Monthly additions from one average rig January barrels/day December barrels/day month over month Oil +19 Gas thousand cubic feet/day month over month +54 Niobrara Region million cubic feet/day month over month 2,212January thousand cubic feet/day December 2,158 686 667 thousand barrels/day month over month Oil -24 Gas -66 7
  • 8. U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Oil production thousand barrels/day Permian Region 0 25 50 75 100 Dec 2,021 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 2,035 Mbbl/d thousand barrels/day Permian Region +94 -80 +14 Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) 0 50 100 150 200 Dec 6,878 MMcf/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 6,892 MMcf/d Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) million cubic feet/day Permian Region +181 -167 +14 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 100 200 300 400 500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well oil production per rig rig count New-well oil production per rig barrels/day Permian Region Rig count rigs (90) (80) (70) (60) (50) (40) (30) (20) (10) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy oil production change thousand barrels/day Permian Region (180) (160) (140) (120) (100) (80) (60) (40) (20) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy gas production change million cubic feet/day Permian RegionPermian Region 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Permian Region Natural gas production million cubic feet/day 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well gas production per rig rig count New-well gas production per rig thousand cubic feet/day Permian Region Rig count rigs drilling data through November projected production through January December 2015 Drilling Productivity Report Monthly additions from one average rig January barrels/day December barrels/day month over month Oil +4 Gas thousand cubic feet/day month over month +14 Permian Region million cubic feet/day month over month 797January thousand cubic feet/day December 783 416 412 thousand barrels/day month over month Oil +14 Gas +14 8
  • 9. U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report Utica Region 0 100 200 300 400 500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Oil production thousand barrels/day Utica Region 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 Dec 79 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 80 Mbbl/d thousand barrels/day Utica Region +5 -4 +1 Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) 0 25 50 75 100 125 Dec 3,139 MMcf/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Net change Jan 3,206 MMcf/d Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) million cubic feet/day Utica Region +127 -60 +67 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well oil production per rig rig count New-well oil production per rig barrels/day Utica Region Rig count rigs (5) (4) (3) (2) (1) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy oil production change thousand barrels/day Utica Region (70) (60) (50) (40) (30) (20) (10) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Legacy gas production change million cubic feet/day Utica RegionUtica Region 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Utica Region Natural gas production million cubic feet/day 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 0 1,200 2,400 3,600 4,800 6,000 7,200 8,400 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 new-well gas production per rig rig count New-well gas production per rig thousand cubic feet/day Utica Region Rig count rigs drilling data through November projected production through January December 2015 Drilling Productivity Report Monthly additions from one average rig January barrels/day December barrels/day month over month Oil +12 Gas thousand cubic feet/day month over month +197 million cubic feet/day month over month 6,511January thousand cubic feet/day December 6,314 282 270 thousand barrels/day month over month Oil +1 Gas +67 9
  • 10. U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report December 2015Explanatory notes Drilling Productivity Report The Drilling Productivity Report uses recent data on the total number of drilling rigs in operation along with estimates of drilling productivity and estimated changes in production from existing oil and natural gas wells to provide estimated changes in oil1 and natural gas2 production for seven key regions. EIA’s approach does not distinguish between oil-directed rigs and gas-directed rigs because once a well is completed it may produce both oil and gas; more than half of the wells do that. Monthly additions from one average rig Monthly additions from one average rig represent EIA’s estimate of an average rig’s3 contribution to production of oil and natural gas from new wells.4 The estimation of new-well production per rig uses several months of recent historical data on total production from new wells for each field divided by the region's monthly rig count, lagged by two months.5 Current- and next-month values are listed on the top header. The month-over-month change is listed alongside, with +/- signs and color-coded arrows to highlight the growth or decline in oil (brown) or natural gas (blue). New-well oil/gas production per rig Charts present historical estimated monthly additions from one average rig coupled with the number of total drilling rigs as reported by Baker Hughes. Legacy oil and natural gas production change Charts present EIA’s estimates of total oil and gas production changes from all the wells other than the new wells. The trend is dominated by the well depletion rates, but other circumstances can influence the direction of the change. For example, well freeze-offs or hurricanes can cause production to significantly decline in any given month, resulting in a production increase the next month when production simply returns to normal levels. Projected change in monthly oil/gas production Charts present the combined effects of new-well production and changes to legacy production. Total new-well production is offset by the anticipated change in legacy production to derive the net change in production. The estimated change in production does not reflect external circumstances that can affect the actual rates, such as infrastructure constraints, bad weather, or shut-ins based on environmental or economic issues. Oil/gas production Charts present all oil and natural gas production from both new and legacy wells since 2007. This production is based on all wells reported to the state oil and gas agencies. Where state data are not immediately available, EIA estimates the production based on estimated changes in new-well oil/gas production and the corresponding legacy change. Footnotes: 1. Oil production represents both crude and condensate production from all formations in the region. Production is not limited to tight formations. The regions are defined by all selected counties, which include areas outside of tight oil formations. 2. Gas production represents gross (before processing) gas production from all formations in the region. Production is not limited to shale formations. The regions are defined by all selected counties, which include areas outside of shale formations. 3. The monthly average rig count used in this report is calculated from weekly data on total oil and gas rigs reported by Baker Hughes. 4. A new well is defined as one that began producing for the first time in the previous month. Each well belongs to the new-well category for only one month. Reworked and recompleted wells are excluded from the calculation. 5. Rig count data lag production data because EIA has observed that the best predictor of the number of new wells beginning production in a given month is the count of rigs in operation two months earlier. 10
  • 11. U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report December 2015Sources Drilling Productivity Report The data used in the preparation of this report come from the following sources. EIA is solely responsible for the analysis, calculations, and conclusions. Drilling Info (http://www.drillinginfo.com) Source of production, permit, and spud data for counties associated with this report. Source of real-time rig location to estimate new wells spudded and completed throughout the United States. Baker Hughes (http://www.bakerhughes.com) Source of rig and well counts by county, state, and basin. North Dakota Oil and Gas Division (https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in North Dakota Railroad Commission of Texas (http://www.rrc.state.tx.us) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Texas Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Pennsylvania West Virginia Department of Environmental Protection (http://www.dep.wv.gov/oil-and- gas/Pages/default.aspx) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in West Virginia Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission (http://cogcc.state.co.us) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Colorado Wyoming Oil and Conservation Commission (http://wogcc.state.wy.us) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Wyoming Louisiana Department of Natural Resources (http://dnr.louisiana.gov) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Louisiana Ohio Department of Natural Resources (http://oilandgas.ohiodnr.gov) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Ohio 11