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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                         30th April 2012
        Indices *             Close               Chg.        Mirroring the positive global market cues, the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                  17187.34        0.31        %    markets opened on a positive note. Steady buying support
 S&P CNX NIFTY               5209.00         0.35        %    was witnessed in this special 90 minute trading session. The
 NIFTY May FUT.              5232.20         0.41        %    markets held on to the gains and did not show any signs of
 India VIX                    17.61          -1.56       %    weakness. The markets ended the day with modest gains to
 Nifty May Fut                23.20           Premium         close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day
                                                              were Axis Bank, Serlite, Ranbaxy, Jindal Steel, Sesa Goa,
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        IDFC, JP Associates, ICICI Bank, Maruti and Hindalco.
                    Level 1       Level 2           Level 3
Support              5161          5037              4955     Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
Resistance           5400          5681              5728     lower volumes. The global market cues are largely
                                                              positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         positive opening. The prevailing technical negatives
50 Day SMA                        5311.22                     continued to weigh on market sentiment. The KST,
100 Day SMA                       5131.71                     Stochastic and RSI are still placed below their respective
200 Day SMA                       5125.13         â—„ Crucial   averages. This would lead to selling pressure. However,
                                                              positive technical conditions still hold good and would
             Volume (Lacs Shares)             *               help the markets take support at lower levels. The
                28/04/12          27/04/12          % Chg.    Stochastic has moved in the over sold zone. The MACD
BSE                  398           1826              -78.20   remains placed above its average. The Nifty continues to
NSE                  779           5703              -86.33   sustain above its long-term moving average the 200-day
Total               1177           7529              -84.36
                                                              SMA. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed
                                                              above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later
              Turnover ( ` Crores)           *                being called the “Golden Cross” breakout. Moreso, the
                28/04/12          27/04/12           % Chg.   Nifty’s 100-day SMA has crossed above the Nifty’s 200-
BSE                 282.22        2021.54            -86.04
                                                              day SMA. These positive technical conditions would
                                                              prompt buying support at lower levels. However, The
NSE                 908.73        9948.12            -90.87
                                                              ADX line, +DI line and –DI line continue to move
NSE F&O         7195.67          85215.03            -91.56
                                                              sideways, indicating that markets would continue to
Total           8386.62          97184.69            -91.37   remain range bound. The market sentiment remains
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)                  *        cautious. Now, it is important that the markets witness
                                                              buying support at lower levels for the Nifty to take
                28/04/12          27/04/12           % Chg.
                                                              support. The 200-day SMA remains a crucial support
Index Fut.          32850         442887             -92.58
                                                              level for the markets. In the meanwhile the markets
Stock Fut.          46715         464543             -89.94   would take cues from the forthcoming Q4 results along
Index Opt.      184433            2233508            -91.74   with global markets and the crude prices. The support
Stock Opt.          13278         154841             -91.42   levels for Nifty are placed at 5161, 5037 and 4955. The Nifty
Total           277276            3295779            -66.47   faces resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728 and 5885 levels.
             Market Breadth (NSE) *
Advances                              770
Declines                              502
Same                                  66
Total                              1338
A/D Ratio                         1.53 : 1
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                       Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                                    Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                        th
                           The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)

                                                                               Stop
                                                   Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock            Close         Action          Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Asian Paints           3550.00      Buy Above            3560         3497         1.77        3700          3.93
Divis Labs              836.15      Buy Above             840          813         3.21         900          7.14
Tata Chemicals         336.00    Buy Above            337              331         1.85         350          3.78
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  17187               17175      17225       17262         17348        17138        17089        17002
S&P CNX NIFTY                5209                5207        5218       5227          5247            5198        5187       5167
NIFTY MAY FUT.               5232                5229        5243       5254          5279            5218        5204       5179




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                               th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Arvind, Central Bank of India, Mcleod Russel, NMDC, OBC, Petronet, PTC, Renuka Sugar, Syndicate Bank, Tata
Chemicals, TCS, Titan, Videocon




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     required to observe these restrictions.
     This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
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     Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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     We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
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     with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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     written consent.




                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                             th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 300412

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 30th April 2012 Indices * Close Chg. Mirroring the positive global market cues, the domestic BSE SENSEX 17187.34 0.31 % markets opened on a positive note. Steady buying support S&P CNX NIFTY 5209.00 0.35 % was witnessed in this special 90 minute trading session. The NIFTY May FUT. 5232.20 0.41 % markets held on to the gains and did not show any signs of India VIX 17.61 -1.56 % weakness. The markets ended the day with modest gains to Nifty May Fut 23.20 Premium close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were Axis Bank, Serlite, Ranbaxy, Jindal Steel, Sesa Goa, S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels IDFC, JP Associates, ICICI Bank, Maruti and Hindalco. Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Support 5161 5037 4955 Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst Resistance 5400 5681 5728 lower volumes. The global market cues are largely positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY positive opening. The prevailing technical negatives 50 Day SMA 5311.22 continued to weigh on market sentiment. The KST, 100 Day SMA 5131.71 Stochastic and RSI are still placed below their respective 200 Day SMA 5125.13 â—„ Crucial averages. This would lead to selling pressure. However, positive technical conditions still hold good and would Volume (Lacs Shares) * help the markets take support at lower levels. The 28/04/12 27/04/12 % Chg. Stochastic has moved in the over sold zone. The MACD BSE 398 1826 -78.20 remains placed above its average. The Nifty continues to NSE 779 5703 -86.33 sustain above its long-term moving average the 200-day Total 1177 7529 -84.36 SMA. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later Turnover ( ` Crores) * being called the “Golden Cross” breakout. Moreso, the 28/04/12 27/04/12 % Chg. Nifty’s 100-day SMA has crossed above the Nifty’s 200- BSE 282.22 2021.54 -86.04 day SMA. These positive technical conditions would prompt buying support at lower levels. However, The NSE 908.73 9948.12 -90.87 ADX line, +DI line and –DI line continue to move NSE F&O 7195.67 85215.03 -91.56 sideways, indicating that markets would continue to Total 8386.62 97184.69 -91.37 remain range bound. The market sentiment remains F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * cautious. Now, it is important that the markets witness buying support at lower levels for the Nifty to take 28/04/12 27/04/12 % Chg. support. The 200-day SMA remains a crucial support Index Fut. 32850 442887 -92.58 level for the markets. In the meanwhile the markets Stock Fut. 46715 464543 -89.94 would take cues from the forthcoming Q4 results along Index Opt. 184433 2233508 -91.74 with global markets and the crude prices. The support Stock Opt. 13278 154841 -91.42 levels for Nifty are placed at 5161, 5037 and 4955. The Nifty Total 277276 3295779 -66.47 faces resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728 and 5885 levels. Market Breadth (NSE) * Advances 770 Declines 502 Same 66 Total 1338 A/D Ratio 1.53 : 1 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Asian Paints 3550.00 Buy Above 3560 3497 1.77 3700 3.93 Divis Labs 836.15 Buy Above 840 813 3.21 900 7.14 Tata Chemicals 336.00 Buy Above 337 331 1.85 350 3.78 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17187 17175 17225 17262 17348 17138 17089 17002 S&P CNX NIFTY 5209 5207 5218 5227 5247 5198 5187 5167 NIFTY MAY FUT. 5232 5229 5243 5254 5279 5218 5204 5179 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Arvind, Central Bank of India, Mcleod Russel, NMDC, OBC, Petronet, PTC, Renuka Sugar, Syndicate Bank, Tata Chemicals, TCS, Titan, Videocon Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com