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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                         20th July 2011

        Indices                Close      % Chg.      The domestic markets witnessed a flat opening on back of
 BSE SENSEX                   18653.87     0.79       negative global market cues. The overall trend continued to
 S&P CNX NIFTY                5613.55      0.84       remained range bound and lackluster. Buying momentum
 NIFTY JULY FUT.              5624.30      0.92       picked up in the afternoon trade on back of positive cues from
 India VIX                     19.25       -4.70
                                                      European markets. The buying support also triggered short
                                                      covering helping the markets move higher above the 5600
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                level. Though, profit taking and selling pressure was visible
                    Level 1   Level 2     Level 3
                                                      the markets managed to hold on to the gains. The markets
                                                      ended the day with modest gains to close near the highs for
Support              5600      5500        5364
                                                      the days. The top gainers for the day were Kotak Bank, DLF,
Resistance           5727      5885        5911
                                                      Cairn India, Sterlite, Tata Power, Bharti Airtel, Rel.
                                                      Communication, Sun Pharma, ICICI Bank and ITC.
             Volume (Lacs Shares)
                  19/07/11    18/07/11    % Chg.      Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
BSE                 3411       4066        -16.11     higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets.
NSE                 5215       4217        23.65      The global market set of cues are positive. The domestic
Total               8626       8283        4.14       markets are likely to witness a gap up opening. The
Source – BSE & NSE                                    Stochastic remains placed comfortably above its
                                                      averages, which would lead to regular bouts of buying
              Turnover ( ` Crores)
                                                      support. Moreso, RSI and KST have moved above their
                  19/07/11    18/07/11    % Chg.
                                                      respective signal and trigger lines on the daily charts,
BSE                2863.12    2642.91      8.33       which is a positive sign and would help in garnering
NSE                9900.08    8276.66      19.61      follow up buying support at higher levels, which should
NSE F&O           118324.49   82265.22     43.83      help the Nifty in testing its 200-day SMA. However, the
Total             131087.69   93184.79     40.67      prevailing negatives continue to hold good and would
Source – BSE & NSE                                    lead to selling pressure at regular intervals. Nifty
             Market Breadth (NSE)
                                                      continues to trade below its 200-day SMA. Moreover, the
                                                      50-day SMA remains placed below the 100-day SMA. The
Advances                        900
                                                      MACD is placed below its average on the daily charts,
Declines                        545
                                                      which would lead to selling pressure at higher levels. The
Same                            68                    +DI line, ADX line and -DI line are moving sideways
Total                          1513                   indicating range bound trend. The market sentiment
A/D Ratio                     1.65 : 1                remain tentative but is likely to display occasional bouts
Source – NSE                                          of volatility and choppiness. In the meanwhile the
      Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                   markets would take cues from the forthcoming earnings
50 Day SMA                    5506.66
                                                      season, news flow on the progress of monsoon, crude
                                         ◄Negative    prices and the global markets. The support levels for Nifty
100 Day SMA                   5570.88
                                                      are placed at 5600, 5500, 5364 and 5262. The Nifty faces
200 Day SMA                   5726.33    ◄Negative
                                                      resistance at the 5727, 5885 and 5911 levels.

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
        Indices               Close        Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                      18654                18609      18736      18817          19026         18527        18400         18192
S&P CNX NIFTY                    5614                 5599       5642        5670          5740          5571          5529         5459
NIFTY JULY FUT.                  5624                 5616       5670        5716          5817          5570          5516         5415


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)


                                                                                Stop
                                                 Initiation       Stop          Loss                    Target
      Stock          CMP          Action           Price         Loss *          (%)       Target        (%)             Remarks
Adani Enterpr.        729.80    Buy Above               735            735        0.00          768          4.49
BGR Energy            478.35    Buy Above               485            485        0.00          515          6.19
Biocon                378.75    Buy Above               382            382        0.00          400          4.71
DLF                   239.85    Buy Above               242            242        0.00          264          9.09
Godrej Inds           231.60    Buy Above               233            233        0.00          248          6.44
* Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis.




                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                           www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report
is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or
solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal
recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its
accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability
arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own
professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide
for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment
grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying
charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a
reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us
from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be
subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are
inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy
or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities
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or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any
recommendation and related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
      th
     4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report 200711

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 20th July 2011 Indices Close % Chg. The domestic markets witnessed a flat opening on back of BSE SENSEX 18653.87 0.79 negative global market cues. The overall trend continued to S&P CNX NIFTY 5613.55 0.84 remained range bound and lackluster. Buying momentum NIFTY JULY FUT. 5624.30 0.92 picked up in the afternoon trade on back of positive cues from India VIX 19.25 -4.70 European markets. The buying support also triggered short covering helping the markets move higher above the 5600 S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels level. Though, profit taking and selling pressure was visible Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 the markets managed to hold on to the gains. The markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the highs for Support 5600 5500 5364 the days. The top gainers for the day were Kotak Bank, DLF, Resistance 5727 5885 5911 Cairn India, Sterlite, Tata Power, Bharti Airtel, Rel. Communication, Sun Pharma, ICICI Bank and ITC. Volume (Lacs Shares) 19/07/11 18/07/11 % Chg. Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst BSE 3411 4066 -16.11 higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets. NSE 5215 4217 23.65 The global market set of cues are positive. The domestic Total 8626 8283 4.14 markets are likely to witness a gap up opening. The Source – BSE & NSE Stochastic remains placed comfortably above its averages, which would lead to regular bouts of buying Turnover ( ` Crores) support. Moreso, RSI and KST have moved above their 19/07/11 18/07/11 % Chg. respective signal and trigger lines on the daily charts, BSE 2863.12 2642.91 8.33 which is a positive sign and would help in garnering NSE 9900.08 8276.66 19.61 follow up buying support at higher levels, which should NSE F&O 118324.49 82265.22 43.83 help the Nifty in testing its 200-day SMA. However, the Total 131087.69 93184.79 40.67 prevailing negatives continue to hold good and would Source – BSE & NSE lead to selling pressure at regular intervals. Nifty Market Breadth (NSE) continues to trade below its 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA remains placed below the 100-day SMA. The Advances 900 MACD is placed below its average on the daily charts, Declines 545 which would lead to selling pressure at higher levels. The Same 68 +DI line, ADX line and -DI line are moving sideways Total 1513 indicating range bound trend. The market sentiment A/D Ratio 1.65 : 1 remain tentative but is likely to display occasional bouts Source – NSE of volatility and choppiness. In the meanwhile the Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY markets would take cues from the forthcoming earnings 50 Day SMA 5506.66 season, news flow on the progress of monsoon, crude ◄Negative prices and the global markets. The support levels for Nifty 100 Day SMA 5570.88 are placed at 5600, 5500, 5364 and 5262. The Nifty faces 200 Day SMA 5726.33 ◄Negative resistance at the 5727, 5885 and 5911 levels. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18654 18609 18736 18817 19026 18527 18400 18192 S&P CNX NIFTY 5614 5599 5642 5670 5740 5571 5529 5459 NIFTY JULY FUT. 5624 5616 5670 5716 5817 5570 5516 5415 Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock CMP Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Adani Enterpr. 729.80 Buy Above 735 735 0.00 768 4.49 BGR Energy 478.35 Buy Above 485 485 0.00 515 6.19 Biocon 378.75 Buy Above 382 382 0.00 400 4.71 DLF 239.85 Buy Above 242 242 0.00 264 9.09 Godrej Inds 231.60 Buy Above 233 233 0.00 248 6.44 * Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com