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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                        5th December 2011

                                                                    MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 29172. It moved
                       Gold          Silver           Crude
                      (4 Feb-11)    (5 Mar-11)      (19 Dec-11)
                                                                    lower to touch an intra-day low of 29159. However, it managed to
                                                                    move higher on back of buying support and touched an intra-day
 Open                    29,172         57,100           5,160      high of 29205. It ended the day flat to close at 29198.
 High                    29,205         57,211           5,180
                                                                    The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying
 Low                     29,159         57,079           5,160
                                                                    support. However, Stochastic is placed below its average, which
 Close                   29,198         57,196           5,175      would result in regular bouts of profit taking and selling pressure.
 Prev. Close             29,181         57,131           5,148
                                                                    The ADX, +DI and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
                                                                    bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212, 29500 and
 % Change                 0.06%         0.11%            0.52%      30000, while the supports are placed at 28960, 28152, 27954,
Source – MCX                                                        26768 and 26000 levels.

                       Volume (In 000's)                            MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 57100. It moved
                                                                    lower to touch an intra-day low of 57079. However, it managed to
                       3/12/2011     2/12/2011          % Chg.      move higher on back of buying support and touched an intra-day
 Gold (gms)              1,048.0      32,036.0         -96.73%      high of 57211. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at
                                                                    57196.
 Silver (kgs)               51.0       1,959.9         -97.40%

 Crude (bbl)               616.8      19,217.1         -96.79%      The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying
Source – MCX                                                        support. However, the Stochastic remains placed below its average,
                                                                    which would lead to selling pressure and profit taking. The ADX, -DI
                                                                    and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend.
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                    MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels,
                       3/12/2011     2/12/2011          % Chg.      while the supports are placed at 54754, 52725, 52365 and 51226
                                                                    levels.
Gold                    30,589.8     935,736.4         -96.73%

Silver                  29,143.1   1,129,588.2         -97.42%      MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened higher at 5160 level.
                                                                    Incidentally, this was also the lowest point of the day. It moved
Crude                   31,904.8     990,870.0         -96.78%
                                                                    higher to touch an intra-day high of 5180. It ended the day with
Source – MCX                                                        modest gains to close at 5175.

                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                        The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                                                                    averages, which would lead to selling pressure and profit taking.
                       5/12/2011     3/12/2011          % Chg.
                                                                    The ADX and -DI line are moving sideways, but +DI line has started
Gold (oz)               1,748.00      1,747.00           0.06%      moving lower but is still placed at 31.79, indicating buyers have
Silver (oz)                32.74           32.62         0.35%
                                                                    started unwinding their long positions. It faces resistance at 5200,
                                                                    5223, 5250 and 5300 levels, while the supports are placed at 5174,
Crude (bbl)              101.50         100.96           0.53%      4889, and 4618 levels.
Dollar Index               78.56           78.63        -0.08%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                  Intra-day Resistance                            Intra-day Support
  Commodities                      Close         Pivot Point            R1                 R2       R3             S1              S2         S3

 CRUDE DEC 11                       5175                5172           5183           5192        5212           5163            5152        5132

   GOLD FEB 11                     29198              29187          29216           29233       29279          29170          29141        29095

 SILVER MAR 11                     57196              57162          57245           57294       57426          57113          57030        56898


                                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

       Monday                      Tuesday                     Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday
       Dec. 05                     Dec. 06                      Dec. 07                        Dec. 08                       Dec. 09
                           ICSC-Goldman Store            EIA Petroleum Status
Factory Orders                                                                        Jobless Claims                International Trade
                           Sales                         Report
                                                         MBA Purchase
ISM Non-Mfg Index          4-Week Bill Auction                                        Wholesale Trade               Consumer Sentiment
                                                         Applications

6-Month Bill Auction       Treasury STRIPS               Consumer Credit              Money Supply Data




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 051211

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 5th December 2011 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 29172. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-11) (5 Mar-11) (19 Dec-11) lower to touch an intra-day low of 29159. However, it managed to move higher on back of buying support and touched an intra-day Open 29,172 57,100 5,160 high of 29205. It ended the day flat to close at 29198. High 29,205 57,211 5,180 The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying Low 29,159 57,079 5,160 support. However, Stochastic is placed below its average, which Close 29,198 57,196 5,175 would result in regular bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. Prev. Close 29,181 57,131 5,148 The ADX, +DI and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212, 29500 and % Change 0.06% 0.11% 0.52% 30000, while the supports are placed at 28960, 28152, 27954, Source – MCX 26768 and 26000 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 57100. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 57079. However, it managed to 3/12/2011 2/12/2011 % Chg. move higher on back of buying support and touched an intra-day Gold (gms) 1,048.0 32,036.0 -96.73% high of 57211. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 57196. Silver (kgs) 51.0 1,959.9 -97.40% Crude (bbl) 616.8 19,217.1 -96.79% The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying Source – MCX support. However, the Stochastic remains placed below its average, which would lead to selling pressure and profit taking. The ADX, -DI and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. Turnover (In Lacs) MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, 3/12/2011 2/12/2011 % Chg. while the supports are placed at 54754, 52725, 52365 and 51226 levels. Gold 30,589.8 935,736.4 -96.73% Silver 29,143.1 1,129,588.2 -97.42% MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened higher at 5160 level. Incidentally, this was also the lowest point of the day. It moved Crude 31,904.8 990,870.0 -96.78% higher to touch an intra-day high of 5180. It ended the day with Source – MCX modest gains to close at 5175. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, which would lead to selling pressure and profit taking. 5/12/2011 3/12/2011 % Chg. The ADX and -DI line are moving sideways, but +DI line has started Gold (oz) 1,748.00 1,747.00 0.06% moving lower but is still placed at 31.79, indicating buyers have Silver (oz) 32.74 32.62 0.35% started unwinding their long positions. It faces resistance at 5200, 5223, 5250 and 5300 levels, while the supports are placed at 5174, Crude (bbl) 101.50 100.96 0.53% 4889, and 4618 levels. Dollar Index 78.56 78.63 -0.08% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE DEC 11 5175 5172 5183 5192 5212 5163 5152 5132 GOLD FEB 11 29198 29187 29216 29233 29279 29170 29141 29095 SILVER MAR 11 57196 57162 57245 57294 57426 57113 57030 56898 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Dec. 05 Dec. 06 Dec. 07 Dec. 08 Dec. 09 ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status Factory Orders Jobless Claims International Trade Sales Report MBA Purchase ISM Non-Mfg Index 4-Week Bill Auction Wholesale Trade Consumer Sentiment Applications 6-Month Bill Auction Treasury STRIPS Consumer Credit Money Supply Data Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com