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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                  2nd November 2011

        Indices               Close      % Chg.       Mirroring the weak set of global market cues, the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                  17480.83      -1.27      markets witnessed a negative opening. Selling pressure was
 S&P CNX NIFTY               5257.95       -1.29      witnessed in early morning deals as markets traded with a
 NIFTY NOV. FUT.             5291.40       -1.04      negative bias. The markets showed no resilience against
 India VIX                    24.02        6.00
                                                      selling pressure as markets lacked buying support. The
                                                      markets ended the day with moderate losses to close near
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                the lows for the day. The top losers for the day were ICICI
                   Level 1   Level 2      Level 3
                                                      Bank, Dr. Reddys, Rel. Infra, M&M, Sterlite, HCL Tech., Rel.
                                                      Comm., Tata Motors, ITC, Tata Steel.
Support             5230      5161         4987
Resistance          5325      5405         5517       Technically, the market breadth remained negative
                                                      amidst lower volumes. The global market set of cues are
             Volume (Lacs Shares)                     negative. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
                  01/11/11   31/10/11     % Chg.      gap down opening. The Nifty remains placed above its
BSE                2031       2069         -1.84      50-day SMA, which is a short term positive and triggering
NSE                5525       6093         -9.32      the current phase of uptrend. The, RSI, KST and MACD
Total              7556       8162         -7.42      are placed above their respective averages and in the
Source – BSE & NSE                                    positive territory. All these conditions would lead to
                                                      buying support at lower levels. However, the prevailing
              Turnover ( ` Crores)
                                                      technical negatives are likely to weigh on the bourses.
                  01/11/11   31/10/11     % Chg.
                                                      The Stochastic is placed below its average and is also
BSE               2238.26    2190.68       2.17       placed near the over bought zone on the daily charts.
NSE               9772.01    10712.71      -8.78      The Nifty continues to trade below its 200-day SMA.
NSE F&O           93324.75   73233.00      27.44      Further the 50-day SMA remains placed below the 100-
Total                        86136.39                 day SMA. All these conditions would lead to selling
Source – BSE & NSE                                    pressure and profit taking especially at higher levels.
             Market Breadth (NSE)
                                                      The ADX and –DI line are moving sideways, but +DI line
                                                      is placed at 34.21 but has started moving lower. The
Advances                       501
                                                      market sentiment remains cautious as Nifty poised
Declines                       963
                                                      crucially. Now, it is important that the Nifty moves and
Same                            72                    sustains above the 5325 level for it to move higher and
Total                         1536                    test the 200-day SMA. In the meanwhile the markets
A/D Ratio                    0.52 : 1                 would take cues from the global markets and the
Source – NSE                                          earnings season. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
      Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                   5230, 5161 and 4987. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5325,
50 Day SMA                   5015.19
                                                      5405, 5517, 5634 and 5681.
                                        ◄Negative
100 Day SMA                  5235.16
200 Day SMA                  5404.29    ◄Negative

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
        Indices              Close        Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                     17481                17522       17621      17761          18000         17382        17282         17043
S&P CNX NIFTY                   5258                 5269        5300        5342          5414          5227          5196         5124
NIFTY NOV. FUT.                 5291                 5296        5331        5370          5444          5257          5222         5148

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)


                                                                                   Stop
                                                      Initiation      Stop         Loss                      Target
        Stock           Close          Action           Price        Loss *         (%)        Target         (%)          Remarks
ABB                       687.85      Sell Below          684.00       700.00         2.34       650.00          4.97
Cipla                     289.00      Sell Below          286.00       292.50         2.27       272.00          4.90
HCC                        27.75      Sell Below           27.00        28.35         5.00        24.00         11.11
* Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis only.




                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
           4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
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redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report
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solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal
recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its
accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability
arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own
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for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment
grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying
charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a
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related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
      th
     4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report 021111

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 2nd November 2011 Indices Close % Chg. Mirroring the weak set of global market cues, the domestic BSE SENSEX 17480.83 -1.27 markets witnessed a negative opening. Selling pressure was S&P CNX NIFTY 5257.95 -1.29 witnessed in early morning deals as markets traded with a NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5291.40 -1.04 negative bias. The markets showed no resilience against India VIX 24.02 6.00 selling pressure as markets lacked buying support. The markets ended the day with moderate losses to close near S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels the lows for the day. The top losers for the day were ICICI Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Bank, Dr. Reddys, Rel. Infra, M&M, Sterlite, HCL Tech., Rel. Comm., Tata Motors, ITC, Tata Steel. Support 5230 5161 4987 Resistance 5325 5405 5517 Technically, the market breadth remained negative amidst lower volumes. The global market set of cues are Volume (Lacs Shares) negative. The domestic markets are likely to witness a 01/11/11 31/10/11 % Chg. gap down opening. The Nifty remains placed above its BSE 2031 2069 -1.84 50-day SMA, which is a short term positive and triggering NSE 5525 6093 -9.32 the current phase of uptrend. The, RSI, KST and MACD Total 7556 8162 -7.42 are placed above their respective averages and in the Source – BSE & NSE positive territory. All these conditions would lead to buying support at lower levels. However, the prevailing Turnover ( ` Crores) technical negatives are likely to weigh on the bourses. 01/11/11 31/10/11 % Chg. The Stochastic is placed below its average and is also BSE 2238.26 2190.68 2.17 placed near the over bought zone on the daily charts. NSE 9772.01 10712.71 -8.78 The Nifty continues to trade below its 200-day SMA. NSE F&O 93324.75 73233.00 27.44 Further the 50-day SMA remains placed below the 100- Total 86136.39 day SMA. All these conditions would lead to selling Source – BSE & NSE pressure and profit taking especially at higher levels. Market Breadth (NSE) The ADX and –DI line are moving sideways, but +DI line is placed at 34.21 but has started moving lower. The Advances 501 market sentiment remains cautious as Nifty poised Declines 963 crucially. Now, it is important that the Nifty moves and Same 72 sustains above the 5325 level for it to move higher and Total 1536 test the 200-day SMA. In the meanwhile the markets A/D Ratio 0.52 : 1 would take cues from the global markets and the Source – NSE earnings season. The support levels for Nifty are placed at Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY 5230, 5161 and 4987. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5325, 50 Day SMA 5015.19 5405, 5517, 5634 and 5681. ◄Negative 100 Day SMA 5235.16 200 Day SMA 5404.29 ◄Negative Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17481 17522 17621 17761 18000 17382 17282 17043 S&P CNX NIFTY 5258 5269 5300 5342 5414 5227 5196 5124 NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5291 5296 5331 5370 5444 5257 5222 5148 Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks ABB 687.85 Sell Below 684.00 700.00 2.34 650.00 4.97 Cipla 289.00 Sell Below 286.00 292.50 2.27 272.00 4.90 HCC 27.75 Sell Below 27.00 28.35 5.00 24.00 11.11 * Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis only. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com