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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                      19th December 2011

                                                                     MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 27536. It moved
                       Gold          Silver            Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)        (19 Dec-11)
                                                                     lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 27530 but
                                                                     managed to bounce back due to short covering and buying support.
 Open                    27,536        53,500              4,906     It touched an intra-day high of 27649. It ended the day with modest
 High                    27,649        53,770              4,955     gains to close at 27636.

 Low                     27,530        53,500              4,906     The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to
 Close                   27,636        53,714              4,950     further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above
                                                                     its average and is placed in the over sold zone and would lead to
 Prev. Close             27,492        53,458              4,903
                                                                     intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support at lower
 % Change                 0.52%         0.48%             0.96%      levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line has
                                                                     witnessed is placed at 38.65, indicating sellers have an upper hand.
Source – MCX
                                                                     MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212,
                                                                     while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)

                      17/12/2011    16/12/2011           % Chg.      MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 53500.
                                                                     Incidentally, this was also the lowest price for the day. It touched an
 Gold (gms)              3,218.0      56,533.0          -94.31%      intra-day high of 53770. It ended the day with modest gains to close
 Silver (kgs)               68.8       1,961.7          -96.49%      at 53714.
 Crude (bbl)               641.5      19,331.4          -96.68%
                                                                     The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to
Source – MCX                                                         further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above
                                                                     its average and is placed in the over sold zone and would lead to
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                             intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support at lower
                                                                     levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line has
                      17/12/2011    16/12/2011           % Chg.      witnessed is placed at 33.61, indicating sellers have an upper hand.
Gold                    88,842.4   1,550,956.3          -94.27%
                                                                     MCX Silver faces resistance at 54754, 61708, 61884 and 64605
                                                                     levels, while the supports are placed at 52725, 52365, 51226 and
Silver                  36,913.9   1,049,431.4          -96.48%      50223 levels.
Crude                   31,680.8   1,288,277.0          -97.54%
                                                                     MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened higher at 4906 level.
Source – MCX                                                         Incidentally, this was also the lowest price for the day. It touched an
                                                                     intra-day high of 4955. It ended the day with moderate gains to
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                         close at 4950.
                      19/12/2011    17/12/2011           % Chg.
                                                                     The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Gold (oz)               1,593.60      1,595.60           -0.13%      averages, which would lead to further selling pressure. However,
                                                                     the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to
Silver (oz)                29.33           29.62         -0.96%
                                                                     intermediate bouts of short covering. The ADX and +DI line are
Crude (bbl)                93.16           93.53         -0.40%      moving sideways, while -DI line is moving higher. It faces
Dollar Index               80.48           80.25          0.28%      resistance at 5115, 5174 and 5200 levels, while the supports are
                                                                     placed at 5008, 4647 and 4156 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance                           Intra-day Support
  Commodities                      Close           Pivot Point            R1                R2      R3             S1              S2         S3

 CRUDE DEC 11                       4950                 4937           4968           4986       5035           4919            4888        4839

   GOLD FEB 12                     27636                27605          27680          27724      27843          27561          27486        27367

 SILVER MAR 12                     53714                53661          53823          53931      54201          53553          53391        53121


                                                                    Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

       Monday                      Tuesday                     Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday
       Dec. 19                     Dec. 20                      Dec. 21                        Dec. 22                       Dec. 23

Housing Market Index       Housing Starts                Existing Home Sales          GDP Data                      Durable Goods Orders

4-Week Bill                ICSC-Goldman Store            EIA Petroleum Status
                                                                                      Jobless Claims                New Home Sales
Announcement               Sales                         Report
                                                         MBA Purchase                                               Personal Income and
2-Yr Note Auction          5-Yr Note Auction                                          Consumer Sentiment
                                                         Applications                                               Outlays




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 191211

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 19th December 2011 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 27536. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Dec-11) lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 27530 but managed to bounce back due to short covering and buying support. Open 27,536 53,500 4,906 It touched an intra-day high of 27649. It ended the day with modest High 27,649 53,770 4,955 gains to close at 27636. Low 27,530 53,500 4,906 The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to Close 27,636 53,714 4,950 further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above its average and is placed in the over sold zone and would lead to Prev. Close 27,492 53,458 4,903 intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support at lower % Change 0.52% 0.48% 0.96% levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line has witnessed is placed at 38.65, indicating sellers have an upper hand. Source – MCX MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) 17/12/2011 16/12/2011 % Chg. MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 53500. Incidentally, this was also the lowest price for the day. It touched an Gold (gms) 3,218.0 56,533.0 -94.31% intra-day high of 53770. It ended the day with modest gains to close Silver (kgs) 68.8 1,961.7 -96.49% at 53714. Crude (bbl) 641.5 19,331.4 -96.68% The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to Source – MCX further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above its average and is placed in the over sold zone and would lead to Turnover (In Lacs) intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support at lower levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line has 17/12/2011 16/12/2011 % Chg. witnessed is placed at 33.61, indicating sellers have an upper hand. Gold 88,842.4 1,550,956.3 -94.27% MCX Silver faces resistance at 54754, 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 52725, 52365, 51226 and Silver 36,913.9 1,049,431.4 -96.48% 50223 levels. Crude 31,680.8 1,288,277.0 -97.54% MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened higher at 4906 level. Source – MCX Incidentally, this was also the lowest price for the day. It touched an intra-day high of 4955. It ended the day with moderate gains to Global Market (Nymex - $) close at 4950. 19/12/2011 17/12/2011 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Gold (oz) 1,593.60 1,595.60 -0.13% averages, which would lead to further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to Silver (oz) 29.33 29.62 -0.96% intermediate bouts of short covering. The ADX and +DI line are Crude (bbl) 93.16 93.53 -0.40% moving sideways, while -DI line is moving higher. It faces Dollar Index 80.48 80.25 0.28% resistance at 5115, 5174 and 5200 levels, while the supports are placed at 5008, 4647 and 4156 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE DEC 11 4950 4937 4968 4986 5035 4919 4888 4839 GOLD FEB 12 27636 27605 27680 27724 27843 27561 27486 27367 SILVER MAR 12 53714 53661 53823 53931 54201 53553 53391 53121 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Dec. 19 Dec. 20 Dec. 21 Dec. 22 Dec. 23 Housing Market Index Housing Starts Existing Home Sales GDP Data Durable Goods Orders 4-Week Bill ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status Jobless Claims New Home Sales Announcement Sales Report MBA Purchase Personal Income and 2-Yr Note Auction 5-Yr Note Auction Consumer Sentiment Applications Outlays Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com