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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                      21st December 2011

                                                                     MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 27685. It moved
                       Gold          Silver            Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)        (19 Jan-12)
                                                                     lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 27652 but
                                                                     managed to bounce back due to short covering and buying support.
 Open                    27,685        52,795              5,024     It touched an intra-day high of 27905. It ended the day with
 High                    27,905        53,575              5,170     moderate gains to close at 27867.

 Low                     27,652        52,595              5,012     The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to
                                                                     selling pressure at higher levels. However, the Stochastic is placed
 Close                   27,867        53,487              5,153
                                                                     above its average, which would lead to buying support at lower
 Prev. Close             27,692        52,961              5,016     levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line has
 % Change                 0.63%         0.99%             2.73%
                                                                     witnessed is placed at 34.66, indicating sellers have an upper hand.
                                                                     MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212,
Source – MCX                                                         while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.

                       Volume (In 000's)                             MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 52795. It moved
                                                                     lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 53575 but
                      20/12/2011    19/12/2011           % Chg.      managed to bounce back due to short covering and buying support.
 Gold (gms)             36,711.0      41,775.0          -12.12%      It touched an intra-day high of 23575. It ended the day with
                                                                     moderate gains to close at 53487.
 Silver (kgs)            1,653.8       2,018.3          -18.06%
                                                                     The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to
 Crude (bbl)            20,207.2      10,750.9           87.96%
                                                                     further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has again moved
Source – MCX                                                         above its average and it is placed in the over sold zone, which
                                                                     would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                             support at lower levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways,
                                                                     while -DI line has witnessed is placed at 34.70, indicating sellers
                      20/12/2011    19/12/2011           % Chg.      have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces resistance at 54754, 61708,
Gold                 1,020,621.9   1,154,199.6          -11.57%      61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 52725,
                                                                     52365, 51226 and 50223 levels.
Silver                 880,475.3   1,067,364.1          -17.51%
                                                                     MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened higher at 5024 level. It
Crude                1,031,084.5     536,905.9           92.04%
                                                                     moved lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 5012 but
Source – MCX                                                         managed to bounce back due to short covering and buying support.
                                                                     It touched an intra-day high of 5170. It ended the day with large
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                         gains to close at 5153.

                      21/12/2011    20/12/2011           % Chg.      The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying
                                                                     support. Moreover, the Stochastic is placed above its average but is
Gold (oz)               1,620.20      1,615.60            0.28%
                                                                     still placed near the over sold zone, which would lead to
Silver (oz)                29.65           29.49          0.54%      intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support. The ADX
Crude (bbl)                98.02           97.24          0.80%
                                                                     and -DI line are moving sideways, while the +DI line is moving
                                                                     higher and is placed at 34.54 indicating buyers have an upper hand.
Dollar Index               79.69           79.83         -0.18%      It faces resistance at 5174, 5200 and 5342 levels, while the
Source – www.cmegroup.com                                            supports are placed at 5115, 5008 and 4877levels.

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance                           Intra-day Support
  Commodities                      Close           Pivot Point            R1                R2      R3              S1             S2         S3

 CRUDE JAN 12                       5153                 5112           5211           5270        5428           5053           4954        4796

   GOLD FEB 12                     27867                27808          27964          28061      28314           27711          27555       27302

 SILVER MAR 12                     53487                53219          53843          54199      55179           52863          52239       51259


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

     Wednesday                    Thursday                       Friday                       Tueday                     Wednesday
      Dec. 21                      Dec. 22                       Dec. 23                      Dec. 27                     Dec. 28
                                                                                                                   EIA Petroleum Status
Existing Home Sales       GDP Data                      Durable Goods Orders         Consumer Confidence
                                                                                                                   Report
EIA Petroleum Status                                                                 State Street Investor         Bank Reserve
                          Jobless Claims                New Home Sales
Report                                                                               Confidence Index              Settlement
MBA Purchase                                            Personal Income and          ICSC-Goldman Store            MBA Purchase
                          Consumer Sentiment
Applications                                            Outlays                      Sales                         Applications




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        4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 211211

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 21st December 2011 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 27685. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Jan-12) lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 27652 but managed to bounce back due to short covering and buying support. Open 27,685 52,795 5,024 It touched an intra-day high of 27905. It ended the day with High 27,905 53,575 5,170 moderate gains to close at 27867. Low 27,652 52,595 5,012 The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to selling pressure at higher levels. However, the Stochastic is placed Close 27,867 53,487 5,153 above its average, which would lead to buying support at lower Prev. Close 27,692 52,961 5,016 levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line has % Change 0.63% 0.99% 2.73% witnessed is placed at 34.66, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, Source – MCX while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 52795. It moved lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 53575 but 20/12/2011 19/12/2011 % Chg. managed to bounce back due to short covering and buying support. Gold (gms) 36,711.0 41,775.0 -12.12% It touched an intra-day high of 23575. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 53487. Silver (kgs) 1,653.8 2,018.3 -18.06% The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to Crude (bbl) 20,207.2 10,750.9 87.96% further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has again moved Source – MCX above its average and it is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying Turnover (In Lacs) support at lower levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line has witnessed is placed at 34.70, indicating sellers 20/12/2011 19/12/2011 % Chg. have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces resistance at 54754, 61708, Gold 1,020,621.9 1,154,199.6 -11.57% 61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 52725, 52365, 51226 and 50223 levels. Silver 880,475.3 1,067,364.1 -17.51% MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened higher at 5024 level. It Crude 1,031,084.5 536,905.9 92.04% moved lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 5012 but Source – MCX managed to bounce back due to short covering and buying support. It touched an intra-day high of 5170. It ended the day with large Global Market (Nymex - $) gains to close at 5153. 21/12/2011 20/12/2011 % Chg. The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying support. Moreover, the Stochastic is placed above its average but is Gold (oz) 1,620.20 1,615.60 0.28% still placed near the over sold zone, which would lead to Silver (oz) 29.65 29.49 0.54% intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support. The ADX Crude (bbl) 98.02 97.24 0.80% and -DI line are moving sideways, while the +DI line is moving higher and is placed at 34.54 indicating buyers have an upper hand. Dollar Index 79.69 79.83 -0.18% It faces resistance at 5174, 5200 and 5342 levels, while the Source – www.cmegroup.com supports are placed at 5115, 5008 and 4877levels. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JAN 12 5153 5112 5211 5270 5428 5053 4954 4796 GOLD FEB 12 27867 27808 27964 28061 28314 27711 27555 27302 SILVER MAR 12 53487 53219 53843 54199 55179 52863 52239 51259 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Tueday Wednesday Dec. 21 Dec. 22 Dec. 23 Dec. 27 Dec. 28 EIA Petroleum Status Existing Home Sales GDP Data Durable Goods Orders Consumer Confidence Report EIA Petroleum Status State Street Investor Bank Reserve Jobless Claims New Home Sales Report Confidence Index Settlement MBA Purchase Personal Income and ICSC-Goldman Store MBA Purchase Consumer Sentiment Applications Outlays Sales Applications Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com