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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           17th January 2012

                                                                  MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27540. It moved
                       Gold         Silver          Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)     (19 Jan-12)
                                                                  higher to touch an intra-day high of 27591. However, it failed to
                                                                  sustain and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 27463 on
 Open                    27,540        52,249          5,120      back of profit taking and selling pressure. It ended the day flat to
 High                    27,591        52,475          5,138      close at 27484.

 Low                     27,463        52,056          5,108      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                                                                  averages, which would result in selling pressure. However, the
 Close                   27,484        52,315          5,129
                                                                  Stochastic is still placed in the over sold zone which, would lead to
 Prev. Close             27,507        52,124          5,105      intermediate bouts of short covering at lower levels. The ADX line
 % Change                -0.08%        0.37%           0.47%
                                                                  and +DI line are moving sideways, while the -DI line is placed at
                                                                  31.13 level indicating sellers have an upper hare unwinding their
Source – MCX                                                      shorts. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and
                                                                  29212, while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992
                       Volume (In 000's)                          levels.
                       16/1/2012    14/1/2012        % Chg.       MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 52249. It moved
 Gold (gms)             22,236.0      2,227.0       898.47%       lower to touch an intra-day low of 52056. However, it managed to
                                                                  move higher on back of short covering and buying support. It
 Silver (kgs)              717.8           50.3    1328.48%       touched an intra-day high of 52475. It ended the day with modest
 Crude (bbl)             7,859.9        543.2      1346.96%       gains to close at 52315.
Source – MCX                                                      The RSI is placed above its averages, which would lead to
                                                                  intermediate bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic is
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                          placed below its average and would lead to profit taking and selling
                                                                  pressure at higher levels. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are
                       16/1/2012    14/1/2012        % Chg.       moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces
Gold                   611,976.6     61,261.0       898.97%       resistance at 53200, 54184, 56480 levels, while the supports are
                                                                  placed at 50410, 49809, 48477 and 45824 levels.
Silver                 375,231.9     26,197.6      1332.32%
                                                                  MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened higher at 5120 level. It
Crude                  402,684.0     27,755.5      1350.82%
                                                                  moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5108. it managed to move
Source – MCX                                                      higher on back of short covering and buying support. It touched an
                                                                  intra-day high of 5138. It ended the day with modest gains to close
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                      the day at 5129.

                       17/1/2012    16/1/2012        % Chg.       The RSI is placed below its average, which would result in
                                                                  intermediate bouts of selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has
Gold (oz)               1,650.70     1,630.40          1.25%
                                                                  moved above its average, which would lead to intermediate bouts of
Silver (oz)                29.70        29.49          0.70%      buying support and short covering. The ADX line and +DI line are
Crude (bbl)                99.94        98.70          1.26%
                                                                  moving sideways. However, -DI line is placed at 33.19 indicating
                                                                  sellers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 5174, 5200 and
Dollar Index               81.13        81.48         -0.43%      5380, while the supports are placed at 5115, 5065, 4950 and 4903
Source – www.cmegroup.com                                         levels.

                                                                              Intra-day Resistance                      Intra-day Support
 Commodities                       Close           Pivot Point             R1             R2        R3            S1            S2          S3

 CRUDE JAN 12                          5129                     5125         5142          5155       5185          5112         5095        5065

 GOLD FEB 12                         27484                  27513          27562          27641      27769        27434         27385       27257

 SILVER MAR 12                       52315                  52282          52508          52701      53120        52089         51863       51444


                                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

     Wednesday                     Thursday                       Friday                       Monday                       Tuesday
      Jan. 18                       Jan. 19                       Jan. 20                      Jan. 23                       Jan. 24
Producer Price Index       Consumer Price Index          Existing Home Sales          4-Week Bill                   FOMC Meeting Begins
                                                                                      Announcement
Industrial Production      Housing Starts                                             3-Month Bill Auction          Barack Obama Speaks

Housing Market Index       Jobless Claims                                             6-Month Bill Auction          ICSC-Goldman Store
                                                                                                                    Sales




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
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use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
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                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 170112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 17th January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27540. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Jan-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 27591. However, it failed to sustain and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 27463 on Open 27,540 52,249 5,120 back of profit taking and selling pressure. It ended the day flat to High 27,591 52,475 5,138 close at 27484. Low 27,463 52,056 5,108 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, which would result in selling pressure. However, the Close 27,484 52,315 5,129 Stochastic is still placed in the over sold zone which, would lead to Prev. Close 27,507 52,124 5,105 intermediate bouts of short covering at lower levels. The ADX line % Change -0.08% 0.37% 0.47% and +DI line are moving sideways, while the -DI line is placed at 31.13 level indicating sellers have an upper hare unwinding their Source – MCX shorts. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 Volume (In 000's) levels. 16/1/2012 14/1/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 52249. It moved Gold (gms) 22,236.0 2,227.0 898.47% lower to touch an intra-day low of 52056. However, it managed to move higher on back of short covering and buying support. It Silver (kgs) 717.8 50.3 1328.48% touched an intra-day high of 52475. It ended the day with modest Crude (bbl) 7,859.9 543.2 1346.96% gains to close at 52315. Source – MCX The RSI is placed above its averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic is Turnover (In Lacs) placed below its average and would lead to profit taking and selling pressure at higher levels. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are 16/1/2012 14/1/2012 % Chg. moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces Gold 611,976.6 61,261.0 898.97% resistance at 53200, 54184, 56480 levels, while the supports are placed at 50410, 49809, 48477 and 45824 levels. Silver 375,231.9 26,197.6 1332.32% MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened higher at 5120 level. It Crude 402,684.0 27,755.5 1350.82% moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5108. it managed to move Source – MCX higher on back of short covering and buying support. It touched an intra-day high of 5138. It ended the day with modest gains to close Global Market (Nymex - $) the day at 5129. 17/1/2012 16/1/2012 % Chg. The RSI is placed below its average, which would result in intermediate bouts of selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has Gold (oz) 1,650.70 1,630.40 1.25% moved above its average, which would lead to intermediate bouts of Silver (oz) 29.70 29.49 0.70% buying support and short covering. The ADX line and +DI line are Crude (bbl) 99.94 98.70 1.26% moving sideways. However, -DI line is placed at 33.19 indicating sellers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 5174, 5200 and Dollar Index 81.13 81.48 -0.43% 5380, while the supports are placed at 5115, 5065, 4950 and 4903 Source – www.cmegroup.com levels. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JAN 12 5129 5125 5142 5155 5185 5112 5095 5065 GOLD FEB 12 27484 27513 27562 27641 27769 27434 27385 27257 SILVER MAR 12 52315 52282 52508 52701 53120 52089 51863 51444 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Jan. 18 Jan. 19 Jan. 20 Jan. 23 Jan. 24 Producer Price Index Consumer Price Index Existing Home Sales 4-Week Bill FOMC Meeting Begins Announcement Industrial Production Housing Starts 3-Month Bill Auction Barack Obama Speaks Housing Market Index Jobless Claims 6-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Sales Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com