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Strategic Risk Management by a Roads
                   Provider



                 Christian Kellerhals
                 Swiss Federal Roads Office (FEDRO)
                 Head: Corporate Services and Development
Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO                            1
Content
                                   Introduction

                                   Objectives of FEDRO

                                   FEDRO‘s risk management process

                                   FEDRO‘s main strategic risks

                                   Conclusion




Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO                                      2
Switzerland

    • 8 million inhabitants

    • 41,285 square kilometres

    • 26 cantons
    • 4 national languages

    • Zurich        358,000
    • Geneva        180,000
    • Basel         163,000
    • Bern          122,000
    •Lausanne       119,000




Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO   3
The Swiss national
     motorway network

        • 1799 km network
        • 228 tunnels
        • 3390 bridges
        • 440 access points
        • 34 service stations




Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO   4
Traffic volume on the
     motorway network                         Basel

        • up to 140’000                               Zurich
          vehicles/cross-section

                                              Berne
        • Traffic growth 2010 –
          2011: 2.8%
                                   Lausanne

        • heavy traffic: 3-8%,
          Gotthard tunnel: 15%
                                   Geneva




Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO                               5
Objectives and duties of Swiss Federal
                   Roads Office (FEDRO)


                        • To secure the functionality of the country’s
                          motorways
                        • To complete the motorway network
                        • To improve road safety
                        • To reduce the burden on the environment
                          attributable to road traffic



Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO                                         6
Risks:
     What could prevent
     us from reaching our
     goals?

   •Where are the banana
    peels?
   •How big are they?
   •How likely will we step
    on them?
   •What happens if we
    step on them ?



Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO   7
Risk management                 Annual
   cycle over one year             report




Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO            8
Gauging the risks:
                                                 very
                                                 likely
   Risk =                                                                                           high
                                                 likely
   impact x probability


                                   probability
                                                 possible

                                                                              medium
                                                 rare


                                                 unlikely
                                                                low
                                                 yery
                                                 unlikely
                                                            very low   low   moderate substan-   high   very high
                                                                                        tial

                                                                               impact


Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO                                                                               9
Identified risks I

   Inadequate separation
    of regulation and
    operation

   Effect: Insufficient
    supervision of
    operations, mistakes
    are not detected

   Impact: Financial
    damage, loss of
    credibility
Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO   10
Identified risks II

   Staff vacancies due to
    dry job market

   Effect: Stress,
    superficial work,
    errors, outsourcing of
    core tasks

   Impact: Financial
    damage, loss of
    credibility

Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO   11
Identified risks III

   Corruption

   Effect: Reputational
    damage, financial
    loss, time loss

   Impact: Loss of
    credibility of office and
    management, lack of
    funds, lack of staff



Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO   12
Identified risks IV

   Natural hazards

   Effect: Loss of life,
    damage to
    infrastructure, road
    closures, media
    presence

   Impact: Economic
    damage, possibly
    claims, reputational
    damage
Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO   13
Identified risks V

  Accident with
   hazardous goods

  Effect: Loss of life,
   damage to
   infrastructure, road
   closures, media
   presence

  Impact: Economic
   damage, possibly
   claims, reputational
   damage
Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO   14
Identified risks VI

  Undetected
  maintenance needs

  Effect: Inadequate
   maintenance, higher
   repair cost due to
   immediate
   interventions

  Impact: Deterioration of
   road condition, greater
   financial needs in
   future
Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO   15
Conclusion



                                    Strategic risk management is
                                    an essential part of FEDRO‘s
                                      quality assurance efforts,
                                   without which the Office would
                                     not be able to maintain and
                                    further improve the qualtiy of
                                             its services.




Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO                                     16
Thank you
          for your attention!




Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO   17

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Strategic risk management by a roads provider

  • 1. Strategic Risk Management by a Roads Provider Christian Kellerhals Swiss Federal Roads Office (FEDRO) Head: Corporate Services and Development Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 1
  • 2. Content Introduction Objectives of FEDRO FEDRO‘s risk management process FEDRO‘s main strategic risks Conclusion Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 2
  • 3. Switzerland • 8 million inhabitants • 41,285 square kilometres • 26 cantons • 4 national languages • Zurich 358,000 • Geneva 180,000 • Basel 163,000 • Bern 122,000 •Lausanne 119,000 Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 3
  • 4. The Swiss national motorway network • 1799 km network • 228 tunnels • 3390 bridges • 440 access points • 34 service stations Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 4
  • 5. Traffic volume on the motorway network Basel • up to 140’000 Zurich vehicles/cross-section Berne • Traffic growth 2010 – 2011: 2.8% Lausanne • heavy traffic: 3-8%, Gotthard tunnel: 15% Geneva Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 5
  • 6. Objectives and duties of Swiss Federal Roads Office (FEDRO) • To secure the functionality of the country’s motorways • To complete the motorway network • To improve road safety • To reduce the burden on the environment attributable to road traffic Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 6
  • 7. Risks: What could prevent us from reaching our goals? •Where are the banana peels? •How big are they? •How likely will we step on them? •What happens if we step on them ? Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 7
  • 8. Risk management Annual cycle over one year report Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 8
  • 9. Gauging the risks: very likely Risk = high likely impact x probability probability possible medium rare unlikely low yery unlikely very low low moderate substan- high very high tial impact Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 9
  • 10. Identified risks I Inadequate separation of regulation and operation Effect: Insufficient supervision of operations, mistakes are not detected Impact: Financial damage, loss of credibility Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 10
  • 11. Identified risks II Staff vacancies due to dry job market Effect: Stress, superficial work, errors, outsourcing of core tasks Impact: Financial damage, loss of credibility Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 11
  • 12. Identified risks III Corruption Effect: Reputational damage, financial loss, time loss Impact: Loss of credibility of office and management, lack of funds, lack of staff Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 12
  • 13. Identified risks IV Natural hazards Effect: Loss of life, damage to infrastructure, road closures, media presence Impact: Economic damage, possibly claims, reputational damage Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 13
  • 14. Identified risks V Accident with hazardous goods Effect: Loss of life, damage to infrastructure, road closures, media presence Impact: Economic damage, possibly claims, reputational damage Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 14
  • 15. Identified risks VI Undetected maintenance needs Effect: Inadequate maintenance, higher repair cost due to immediate interventions Impact: Deterioration of road condition, greater financial needs in future Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 15
  • 16. Conclusion Strategic risk management is an essential part of FEDRO‘s quality assurance efforts, without which the Office would not be able to maintain and further improve the qualtiy of its services. Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 16
  • 17. Thank you for your attention! Swiss Federal Roads Office FEDRO 17

Editor's Notes

  1. 8 million inhabitants 41,285 square kilometres 184 inhabitants per square kilometre Importance of the major urban centres The most important towns and urban centres are Zurich, Basel, Bern, Geneva and Lausanne. However, these are small in comparison with those in other countries. The population of Zurich, for example, is less than 400,000. 75 percent of the population live in urban centres.
  2. The Swiss motorway network There are 2,300 kilometres of cantonal roads in Switzerland, which are the responsibility of the authorities of the 26 cantons. And there are around 1,760 kilometres of motorway, which are the responsibility of FEDRO. As of the end of 2008 a total of 1,760 kilometres of motorway were in operation: 7-lane sections: 1.2 kilometres 6-lane stretches: 80.7 kilometres 4-lane stretches: 1,300.8 kilometres 3-lane stretches: 1.9 kilometres 2-lane stretches: 269.5 kilometres Mixed stretches: 111.5 kilometres
  3. 26 billion vehlicle km/year 10000h of traffic jams 40% of all Swiss road traffic (on 7 % of the road surface)
  4. The objectives of the Swiss Federal Roads Office To complete the motorway network To secure the functionality of the country’s motorways (routine and periodic maintenance, upgrades to current standards) To regulate access for road users and vehicles To improve road safety To reduce the burden on the environment attributable to road traffic
  5. Responsibilities: Mitigate: Risk manager/staff Monitor: Risk manager/risk owner Identify: Staff, Risk manager, risk owner Gauge: risk owner, board of directors
  6. Probability and impact need to be defined! Large office, several different divisions do their assessment independently Probability: According to the definitions of the confederation Impact: Aspects such as financial damage, personal damage, environmental damage, impact on operations of the office low: monitor medium: measures high: additional measures Gauging: Current/actual status and target status
  7. Particular if management commits obvious mistakes.
  8. Particular if management commits obvious mistakes.
  9. Particular if management commits obvious mistakes.
  10. Natural hazards 2 FEDRO has launched a project focusing on a risk-based, nation-wide and network-related approach to dealing with severe natural hazards. In summer 2008 we initiated a pilot project in the Reuss Valley in order to put the developed methodology to the test, and the goal is to apply it throughout the entire motorway network in the course of the next four years.
  11. Natural hazards 2 FEDRO has launched a project focusing on a risk-based, nation-wide and network-related approach to dealing with severe natural hazards. In summer 2008 we initiated a pilot project in the Reuss Valley in order to put the developed methodology to the test, and the goal is to apply it throughout the entire motorway network in the course of the next four years.
  12. Natural hazards 2 FEDRO has launched a project focusing on a risk-based, nation-wide and network-related approach to dealing with severe natural hazards. In summer 2008 we initiated a pilot project in the Reuss Valley in order to put the developed methodology to the test, and the goal is to apply it throughout the entire motorway network in the course of the next four years.