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1. WEEKLY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 07 OCTOBER 2014
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2. Weekly Wrap Up
2
MONTH
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
% CHG
VOL
MONTH
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
% CHG
VOL
DHANIYA
OCT
11879
12365
11853
12040
+1.20
69320
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP.1
11807
SUPP. 2
11574
PIVOT
12086
Dhaniya short term trend is up, and further more up is expected in comimg days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
12319
RES. 2
12598
CASTORSEED
OCT
4500
4609
4475
4518
0.30
437200
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
4459
SUPP. 2
4400
PIVOT
4534
Castorseed short term is up,Prices expected to go up in coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
4593
RES. 2
4668
TURMERIC
OCT
5954
6100
5910
5944
-1.20
11230
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
5869
SUPP. 2
5795
PIVOT
5985
Turmeric price is in down trend and may continue in coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
6059
RES. 2
6175
GUARGUM
OCT
16000
16370
15540
15640
-2.70
15307
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
15330
SUPP. 2
15020
PIVOT
15850
Guargum Short term trend is down, Expecting price may go down in coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
16160
RES. 2
16680

3. Weekly Recommendations
3
BUY DHANIYA OCT. ABOVE 12150 TGTS 12250,12350 SL 12000
SELL DHANIYA OCT. BELOW 11950 TGTS 11850,11750 SL 12100
BUY GUARGUM OCT. ABOVE 16100 TGTS 16250,16400 SL 15900
SELL GUARGUM OCT. BELOW 15500 TGTS 15350,15200 SL 15700

4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
India'sSouthWestmonsoonendeditsstreakonTuesdaywithashortfallofaround12%.Despitethedeficittheslowfinishofthemonsoonislikelytobetterthesoilmoistureandsowingprospectsforrabicrops.“Therainfallreceivedduringtheseasoniswithintheforecastlimits,”accordingtoIMD.Themonsoonseasonthisyearwastheworstinfiveyears.Thefarmsectoraccountsfor14percentofthenationaleconomyandhalfofIndia'sfarmlandlacksirrigation.ThismakesthemonsoonvitalforIndia.Themonsoonalsoimpactsthefoodpricestherebyinfluencingtheinflationrateofthecountry."Grainsuppliesareunlikelytodroptoalevelthatwouldtriggerdouble-digitinflation,“Meanwhile,IndianCottonFederationhassaidrainshavebeenabundantinmostofthecottongrowingareas.However,incertainpartsofRajasthanandHaryana,theremayhavebeensomedamagestothecottoncrop.TheAssociationsaidnewcropBunnyisarrivinginverysmallquantitiesinsomepocketsofPunjab,HaryanaandKarnataka.Averagekappasarrivalsarearound10,000balesaday,includingnewcropasperreports.FreshlyharvestedpaddyhasstartedarrivinginthemarketsofPunjabandHaryanawhilelaterainshavehelpedboosttheareaunderthecroptomorethanlastyear'slevels.Sowingareaofkharifcropsshowedasteadyincreaseduringthisweek.India'stotalkhariffoodgrainsoutputprojectionsfor2014-15isdownby8.97milliontonnesduetotheimpactoferraticrainfallactivitywhichputdentonacreageandproductivity.Productionofrice, coarsecereals,oilseeds,cottonandsugarcanearealsosettodecline.TotalproductionofKhariffoodgrainsisestimatedat120.27milliontonnesascomparedtorecordproductionof129.24milliontonnesin2013-14.
Paddyprocurementfromthe2014-15kharifcrop,scheduledtocommencefromWednesday,isexpectedtofallbehindthetarget.TheUnionfoodministryputthetargetat30milliontonnesatameetingthisMondayontheissue,aslightrevisionfromthe30.5mtprojectedearlier.Sourcesinvariousprocurementagenciessaytheactualfiguremightbe27.5-28mtThereasonisn'tonlyduetoadeficiencyinmonsoonrain.InPunjab,about300,000hectareshasbeendivertedtobasmatifromnon-basmatithisseason,owingtohigherreturnfortheformer.Thiscouldbringdownthepaddy(non-basmati)productionbyclosetoamilliontonnes,sayofficialsintheagriculturedepartment.ApolicychangeinAndhraPradesh,underwhichthelevyriceobligationhasbeenreducedfrom75percentto25percent,wouldalsomakeadentinprocurement.Levyriceistheportion, millersarerequiredtoprovidetothegovernmentattheMinimumSupportPrice.Themillerswillnowbuylessbutgovernmentagencieswillhavetogearupoperationsandtherecouldbeanadjustmentlaginthis,hamperingtheprocurement,saidanofficialinFoodCorporationofIndia(FCI).
Jeerafuturesslippedforseconddayonsubdueddemandamidadequatestocks,goodcropprospectsinRabiseason.TheNCDEXJeeraNovemberdeliveryendedthedayatRs10,715,downRs200or1.83%.Themarketsourcessuggestedthatheavystocksofaround61lakhbagsinlocalmandieswilleasilycateranydomesticandinternationaldemand.Thetotalstocksinlocalmandieswerealmostdoubleofthepreviousyear'slevelof30lakhbagsduetorecordproductioninthelastseason.Goodexportdemandduetolowerglobalstockshadrestrictedthefall.TradersstatedthatnotmanyarrivalshavebeenreportedininternationalmarketduetolimitedsuppliesfromSyriaandTurkey.Upcomingfestivedemandislikelytoprovidetheunderlyingsupporttopricesandattractthebuyersatlowerlevels.JeerafuturesNovemberdeliveryfailedtocrossRs11klevelasshortsellersactiveinthemarkettriggeredbysubdueddemandfromretailersandstockiestamidadequatestocks.JeeraparedalmostRs400perquintalinthelasttwosessions,afterswellingalmostRs550inlastthreesessions.

5. 5
NEWS RECAP
COMMODITY HEADLINESIndia Monsoon ends streak with 12% shortfall. Exports of spices increase by 35% in four months. Area under kharif crops crosses 100 million hectare. NCDEX to launch pan-India forward contract for trade. Turmeric prices seen weak on reports of higher acreage and sluggish demand. Farmers, traders unhappy with onions inclusion in EC Act. India's Water Storage Availability 93% Compared To Last Year. Fiscal deficit at 75% of year's estimate in first five months of current FY. Lower basmati prices due to softening of international rates. Malaysia Palm Oil Exports Up 16% During September 2014. Punjab and Haryana markets receive new paddy crops.

6. SPOT QUOTES
6
COMMODITY NAME
LOCATION
PRICE
Cotton Seed Oilcake
Kadi
1437.5
Crude Palm Oil
Kandla
472
Guar Gum
Jodhpur
15356.95
Guar Seed 10 MT
Jodhpur
5434.4
Guarseed
Jodhpur
5434.4
Guarseed
Bikaner
5375
Gur
MuzaffarNagar
1043.45
Jeera
Unjha
10762.5
Maize -Feed/Industrial Grade
Gulabbagh
1121
Maize -Feed/Industrial Grade
Nizamabad
1234.25
Maize -Feed/Industrial Grade
Davengere
1270
Maize -Feed/Industrial Grade
Karimnagar
1205
COMMODITY NAME
LOCATION
PRICE
Bajra
Jaipur
1150
Barley
Jaipur
1555.2
Castor Seed
Disa
4450
Castor Seed 1 MT
Disa
4450
Chana
Bikaner
2720
Chana
Delhi
2875.8
Chana
Indore
2766.25
Chana 1 MT
Delhi
2875.8
Chilli
Guntur
7544.45
Chilli Teja
Khammam
10363.6
Coriander
Kota
11360.25
Cotton
Kadi
16337.9
Cotton Seed (Industrial Grade)
Akola
1889
Cotton Seed Oilcake
Akola
1465.7

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