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1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 12 NOVEMBER 2014
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
% CHG
VOL
MONTH
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
% CHG
VOL
DHANIYA
DEC
12330
12655
12283
12540
+2.06
27180
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP.1
12330
SUPP. 2
12121
PIVOT
12493
Dhaniya shortterm trend is up , further more upsideis expected in comimg days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
12702
RES. 2
12865
CASTORSEED
DEC
4801
4907
4994
4868
0.97
167850
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
4806
SUPP. 2
4743
PIVOT
4856
Castorseed short term trend is up,Prices expected to go up in coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
4919
RES. 2
4969
TURMERIC
DEC
6490
6620
6406
6560
+1.71
8265
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
6437
SUPP. 2
6315
PIVOT
6529
Turmeric shortterm trend is up and may continue in coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
6651
RES. 2
6743
GUARGUM
DEC
14690
14700
14170
14260
-3.39
11139
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
14033
SUPP. 2
13807
PIVOT
14397
Guargum Short term trend is downExpecting price may go downin coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
14623
RES. 2
14987

3. Most Active Contract
3
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL
EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE %
JEERA
20-11-2014
12020.00
460.00
3.98%
CORIANDER
20-11-2014
12063.00
186.00
1.57%
CASTOR SEED NEW
20-11-2014
4775.00
72.00
1.53%
TURMERIC
20-11-2014
6342.00
86.00
1.37%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA
19-12-2014
1349.00
9.00
0.67%
CHANA
20-11-2014
3230.00
14.00
0.44%
BARLEY
20-11-2014
1624.50
4.50
0.28%
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL
EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE %
SOYABEAN
20-11-2014
3223.00
-21.00
-0.65%
GUR
20-11-2014
955.00
-3.00
-0.31%
REFINED SOY OIL
20-11-2014
582.40
-0.85
-0.15%
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
Pre. Close
% Change
CASTORSEED
4868
4821
0.97
CHANA
3211
3195
0.50
CORIANDER
12540
12287
2.06
GUARGUM
14260
14760
-3.39
JEERA
12140
11745
3.36
MUSTARD SEED
3830
3833
-0.08
SOYABEAN
3285
3299
-0.42
TURMERIC
6560
6450
1.71

4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Inflationisexpectedtoslowtoarecord-lowinOctober, draggedbysharpdropinfoodandoilprices,aReuterspollshowed,probablyintensifyingcallsforaninterestratecutbytheReserveBankofIndia.Thesurveyof27economistsandanalystspredictedconsumerpriceinflation(CPI),scheduledforreleaseonWednesday,cooledtoanannual5.80%inOctober.Iftheforecastismet,itwillbeevenlowerthanSeptember's6.46%andtheslowestpaceofpricerisesinceretailinflationnumberswerefirstpublishedinJanuary2012.ItwouldalsomaketheRBI'sinflationtargets-8%byJanuary2015and6%ayearlater-appearmoreattainable.Wholesalepriceinflationisforecasttoeasetoanearfive-yearlowof2.20%inOctoberfromSeptember's2.38%,theReuterspollshowed.ThisdatawillbereleasedonFriday.Therecentslowdownininflationhaslargelybeenduetofallinlocalfoodprices,whichaccountfor50%oftheCPIbasket,andCapitalEconomics'IndiaeconomistShilanShahsaiditcouldstillgolower."Overthecomingmonths,wesuspectthatbothmeasuresofinflationwillremainsubduedbypaststandards,Thepollalsopredictedindustrialproductiontohaveincreasedameager0.6%inSeptember,albeitbetterthanAugust's0.4%.ApoorfactoryoutputnumberonWednesdaywillimplyAsia'sthird- largesteconomymaystruggletomaintainarecentpickupingrowth."Monetarylooseningcouldcomeontotheagendasoonerthanmostseemtoexpect,".HesaidtheRBIcouldcutitsbenchmarkreporateby100basispointsto7%overthenext12to18months.
CorianderfuturesarelikelytotradebullishonNCDEX.CorianderDecembercontracttradedupby2.06%to12540levelonTuesdayatNCDEX.However,corianderpricesinthespotmarketalsoroseduetofallinstocksindomesticandglobalmarkets.Thegovernment'sthirdadvanceestimatepeggedallIndiacorianderoutputat428000tonnesin2013-14(Oct-Sep)asagainst524000tonneslastyear.ExportsofcorianderduringApril-July2014haveincreased40percentto16000tonnesfrom11412tonnesayearago,accordingtothedatabytheSpicesBoardofIndia.However,aspermarketsource,robustexportsarelikelytoincreasetheacreageintherabiseason.CorianderiscommoninSouthAsian,MiddleEastern,CentralAsian,Mediterranean,Indian, Tex-Mex,LatinAmerican,Portuguese,Chinese,African,andScandinaviancuisine.
Jeerafuturesareexpectedtotradeonapositivenote.Goodexportdemandanddemandfromthedomesticmarketsmaysupportprices. However,comfortablesuppliesmaycapsharpgains.JeeraDecembercontractsurgedupby3.36percentto12140onTuesdayatIndia'sNationalCommodity&DerivativeExchange(NCDEX).Pricesgainedoverthelastfewweeksonoverseasdemandandfirmexportsdata. Arrivalsbetweenat14000-15000bagsagainst10000bagsyesterdayinUnjhamarket.AreaunderjeerainGujaratwasreportedat455,000haasagainst335,200halastyearwhileabout390,000haweresowninRajasthan.Geo-politicaltensionsinSyriaandTurkeyhaveledtoasupplycrunchintheglobalmarketsraisingsupplyconcernsfromthetwomajorexportingcountries.ExportordersaredivertedtoIndia. ProductionisalsoexpectedtofallinSyriaandTurkeyduetocropfailure.ExportsofJeerabetweenApr-July2014stoodat58,000tn,up40%asagainst43,898tnbetweenApr-July2013,accordingtoSpicesBoard.

5. 5
FundamentalWatch : Sugar
SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKET
Steadytoweaksentimentsrecordedinkeysugarspotmarketstoday.Lacklustertradeandsluggishdemandledthepricessteadytoweakfortheday.TendersareinvitedbyTHEKAITHALCO- OPERATIVESUGARMILLSLIMITEDfortransportationofsugarcaneforCrushingSeason2014-15.Openingdatefortenderhasbeenfixedat12thDec,2014.Maharashtriangovt.formedSugarcanePriceControlBoardinthestateTamilNadugovt.hadexemptedpurchasetaxonsugarcanebutimposedanadditional5% VATonsugar.Theactislikelytohurtthelocalmillerswhoarealreadyfacingastiffpricecompetitionfromtheadjoiningareas(amidbetterrecoveryandlowercostofproduction)anddraughtconditioninthestate.Reportedly,sugarproductioninthestatedeclined43%from25.99lakhtonsin2006-07to14.73lakhtonsin2013-14.Totalaround14538bagsofgurstoredincoldstoragestill27thOct,2014lowercomparedto21599bagsatsameperiodlastyear.GurpricesfelldownandareexpectedtoscrolldownfurtheramidstgoodstockavailabilityintheMaharashtramarkets.ItisnotablethatcanehasdivertedmoretowardsgurproductioninPuneandSangliareathisyear.Inadditiontoit,marketparticipantsisexpectingearlyarrivalsofgurforthenextmarketingyearwhichdrivethepricessouthwardsinthemediumterm.
Braziliangovt.furnishedanexportof2.1milliontonsofrawsugarinOctober,2014comparedto1.7milliontonslastmonth. Alsotheresawariseof0.03milliontonsofrawexportwhenmadecomparisonony-o-ybasis.
CENTER
11-Nov-14
10-Nov-14
%Change
DELHI
3050
3050
UNCH
DHAMPUR
NA
NA
-
MUMBAI
2956
2986
-30
KOLHAPUR
2800
2900
-100
VIJAYWADA
3450
3450
UNCH
NAGPUR
3150
3150
UNCH
KOLKATA
NA
3125
-

6. Technical Outlook
6
BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 12575 TGTS 12605,12655 SL 12525
SELL GUARGUM DEC BELOW 14170 TGTS 14120,14020 SL 14260
BUY CASTORSEED DEC ABOVE 4925 TGTS 4955,5005 SL 4875
BUY TMC DEC ABOVE 6610 TGTS 6660,6760 SL 6520

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