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1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 27 NOVEMBER 2014
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
% CHG
VOL
MONTH
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
% CHG
VOL
DHANIYA
DEC
12978
13149
12926
13045
+0.46
12260
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP.1
12931
SUPP. 2
12817
PIVOT
13040
Dhaniya shortterm trend is down , further more downsideis expected in comimg days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
13154
RES. 2
13263
CASTORSEED
DEC
4667
4681
4512
4600
-1.71
255740
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
4524
SUPP. 2
4449
PIVOT
4603
Castorseed short term trend is down,Prices expected to go down in coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
4678
RES. 2
4757
TURMERIC
DEC
6542
6578
6480
6522
+0.37
3350
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
6483
SUPP. 2
6433
PIVOT
6531
Turmeric shortterm trend is up and may continue in coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
6581
RES. 2
6629
GUARGUM
DEC
13830
14030
13650
13690
-2.21
7362
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
13550
SUPP. 2
13410
PIVOT
13790
Guargum Short term trend isdown, Expecting price may go downin coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
13930
RES. 2
14170

3. Most Active Contract
3
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL
EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE %
TURMERIC
19-12-2014
6536.00
26.00
0.40%
JEERA
19-12-2014
12065.00
45.00
0.37%
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL
EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE %
CASTOR SEED NEW
19-12-2014
4630.00
-50.00
-1.07%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED
19-12-2014
3882.00
-29.00
-0.74%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA
19-12-2014
1352.00
-7.00
-0.52%
SOYABEAN
19-12-2014
3335.00
-14.00
-0.42%
REFINED SOY OIL
19-12-2014
591.75
-1.20
-0.20%
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
Pre. Close
% Change
CASTORSEED
4600
4680
-1.71
CHANA
3105
3110
-0.16
CORIANDER
13045
12985
0.46
GUARGUM
13690
14000
-2.21
JEERA
12050
12020
0.25
MUSTARD SEED
3875
3911
-0.92
SOYABEAN
3338
3349
-0.33
TURMERIC
6534
6510
0.37

4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMICNEWS
Thereisa19%dipinIndia'scottonsupplysofarinthenewseasonthatbeganonOctober1,accordingtothestate-runCottonCorporationofIndia(CCI).CCIislikelytopurchase60lakhbales(of170kgeach)ofcottonacrossTelangana, AndhraPradesh,MadhyaPradeshandMaharashtra. Currently,ithasaninventoryofeightlakhbales.Inthespotmarketssofarfarmershavebroughtinaround3.9millionbalesof170kgeach,downfrom4.8millionbalesduringthesameperiodayearearlier,B.K.Mishra,managingdirectorofCCItoldReuters.CottonPricesinIndiahaveplungedbelowtheminimumsupportprice(MSP)fixedbytheCentreinTelanganaandAndhraPradeshwhereprocurementisalreadyunderway.TheNarendraModiGovernmenthaddeclaredasupportpriceofRs4,050aquintalforthecurrentseasonthatbeganthismonth.TheModi-ledgovernmenthadaskedCCItoprocureCottonattheminimumsupportprice(MSP)inTelangana,Karnataka,MaharashtraandOdisha.TheCottonAssociationofIndia(CAI)estimatesoutputat40.55millionbalesthisyear,amarginaldeclinefrom40.73mnlastyear.India'sexportprospectswerehurtbyChina’sdecisiontoplaceanimportquota.Indiaexportsnearly60percentofitscottontoChina,theworld’slargestimporter,whichhasastockpilenearly63millioncottonbales. Thegovernmentisnowthinkingofneedtoboostexploringnewdestinationstoboostcottonexports.
Localsugarpricesarebeinghitfromlackofdemandinreadymarkets.Oldstocksareunlikelytoseeanybuyingandthoughthemillersaretryingtosellthenewstocksatanelevatedlevel,notmuchofanupsideispossible.
Guardedpricesarewitnessingsomecorrectionasdemandiswaning. Thearrivalsinmajormandiesarehoveringaround1-1.25lakhbangs. Overallscenarioremainslaxafterasteadytrendwaswitnessedinthecommodityafterthemassivearrayoflossesinthelastfewdays.Notmuchofanupsideisseeninthecommodityamidlackofexportdemandforguarmeal.Thepricesarelikelytolingertheirfivemonthlows.
Jeerapricesaresteadyafteramassivearrayofgainsinlastfewweeks.ThedemandremainsstrongandtherecentboutofweaknessintheIndianRupeeislikelytokeeptheexportsbuoyant.HugedeclineisestimatedinJeerasowinginthecurrentyear.Thepricesarelikelytobesupportiveinthenearterm.Arrivalsarethinningnowastheseasonaltrendsswingintoaction.
Upbeatglobalcuesaresupportingsoycomplexinlocalmarkets. Tradersarelikelytokeeponprovidinggoodbuyingsupportasthesuppliesarethinninginreadymarkets..SomesellingpressureisbeingobservedinmealmarketonreportsofanoutbreakofBirdFluinkerala.
Chanaiswitnessinggooddemandandpricesarepickingupstrengthinreadymarketsastradersareeyingtheupcomingrabisowingseason. However,aslightlyweakundertoneinotherpulsesiskeepingtheupsidelimitedforChana.

5. 5FundamentalWatch : Sugar
SUGAR PRICE AT KEY SPOT MARKETS National & International Market Update
Marketsentimentstradedsteadytoweakassellingpressuresurgedoutcompellingdomesticproducerstoselloldstocksevenatalowerrate.India’srawsugarimportreachestoitsweeklyhighasthecountryimported85.45thousandtonsofsugar(fromBrazil)fortheweekending23rdNov,2014.Notably,itistheweakBrazilianrealcurrencythatsupportedforthemasspurchasemade.Maharashtrahadchurnedaround36.01lakhMTofsugarcane(asby13thNov,2014)toproduce2.97lakhMTofsugarforthenewmarketingsession2014-15.Notably, 97sugarmills(bothprivateandcooperative)hadparticipatedinthecrushingprocessyieldinganaveragecanerecoveryof8.26%.SugarproductioninKarnatakafor2014-15(1stOct-15thNov)stoodoutat1.59lactonswhichis27%higherthanthelevelachievedlastyear. Thiswasprimarilyduetoasurgeinproductivityandcanecrushinginthearea.Reportedly,Karnatakahadcrushed1.83lacstonsofsugarcanein2014(1stOct-15thNov)asagainst1.45lacstonsin2013(1stOct- 15thNov).
SugarproductioninThailandisexpectedtorangeinbetween10-11milliontonsforMY2014-15againstarecordhighof11.3milliontonsthepreviousyear.Hotandhumidclimateconditioncoupledwithscantyrainfallthisyearcitedcuesforthisfallinexpectation.
Braziliangovt.furnishedanexportof2.1milliontonsofrawsugarinOctober,2014comparedto1.7milliontonslastmonth.Alsotheresawariseof0.03milliontonsofrawexportwhenmadecomparisonony-o-ybasis.
CENTER
26-Nov-14
25-Nov-14
Change
DELHI
2900
2900
UNCH
DHAMPUR
2830
2830
UNCH
MUMBAI
3125
3156
-31
KOLHAPUR
2800
2850
-50
VIJAYWADA
3380
3380
UNCH
NAGPUR
3100
3100
UNCH
KOLKATA
3005
3000
5

6. Technical Outlook
6
BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 13060 TGTS 13090,13140 SL 13020
SELL GUARGUM DEC BELOW 13860 TGTS 13810,13710 SL 13950
SELL CASTORSEED DEC BELOW 4585 TGTS 4555,4505 SL 4635
BUY TMC DEC ABOVE 6575 TGTS 6625,6725 SL 6485

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