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Decision Making &
Problem Solving
 Define the problem (GIVENS).
 Clarify your objectives (GOAL).
 Identify alternatives (OPERATIONS).
 Analyze the consequences.
 Make a choice.
The Decision-Making /
Problem-Solving Process
The Decision-Making /
Problem-Solving Process
• Is this how you make all your
decisions?
• Subjective Utility
• Satisficing or “Take the Best”
• Algorithm
–methodical, logical rule or procedure that
guarantees solving a particular problem
Problem Solving
• Heuristic
–rule-of-thumb strategy that often allows
us to make judgments and solve problems
efficiently
–rule of thumb for judging the likelihood of
things in terms of how well they seem to
represent, or match, particular
prototypes
–Conjunction fallacy
• Linda is a bank teller
• Linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist
movement.
Representative Heuristic
–judging the likelihood of an event
based on how readily available other
instances are in memory
–Fluency
Availability Heuristic
Studying Problem Solving
• Types of problems
–Well-defined problems
–Ill-defined problems
Classic Problems and Solutions
• Generate-and-test
• Means-ends analysis
Current State Goal
• Means-
• Workin
• End State
Classic Problems and Solutions
• Means-ends analysis versus
• Working backwards
• Initial State
Classic Problems and Solutions
• Solving by analogy
– Using a solution to a related problem
– Requires seeing the similar structure & inference
Classic Problems and Solutions
• Solving by analogy
– What factors determine if an analogy is seen as
appropriate?
– Time - Similarity
Gestalt Problem Solving
• Köhler’s chimps demonstrated insight learning
(sudden understanding of a problem that implies
the solution).
Insight Learning Chimpanzee Problem Solving
Insight Problem Solving
• Using these
materials, how
would you
mount the
candle on a
bulletin board?
The Candle-Mounting Problem
9-Dot Problem
• Belief Bias
– the tendency for one’s preexisting beliefs to
distort logical reasoning
– Confirmation bias
• Belief Perseverance
– clinging to one’s initial conceptions after the basis
on which they were formed has been discredited
Further Obstacles to
Problem Solving
• Overconfidence
• Framing: the way an issue is posed
–how an issue is framed can significantly
affect decisions and judgments
Overcoming Obstacles to
Problem Solving

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CP wk12

  • 2.  Define the problem (GIVENS).  Clarify your objectives (GOAL).  Identify alternatives (OPERATIONS).  Analyze the consequences.  Make a choice. The Decision-Making / Problem-Solving Process
  • 3. The Decision-Making / Problem-Solving Process • Is this how you make all your decisions? • Subjective Utility • Satisficing or “Take the Best”
  • 4. • Algorithm –methodical, logical rule or procedure that guarantees solving a particular problem Problem Solving • Heuristic –rule-of-thumb strategy that often allows us to make judgments and solve problems efficiently
  • 5. –rule of thumb for judging the likelihood of things in terms of how well they seem to represent, or match, particular prototypes –Conjunction fallacy • Linda is a bank teller • Linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist movement. Representative Heuristic
  • 6. –judging the likelihood of an event based on how readily available other instances are in memory –Fluency Availability Heuristic
  • 7. Studying Problem Solving • Types of problems –Well-defined problems –Ill-defined problems
  • 8. Classic Problems and Solutions • Generate-and-test • Means-ends analysis Current State Goal
  • 9. • Means- • Workin • End State Classic Problems and Solutions • Means-ends analysis versus • Working backwards • Initial State
  • 10. Classic Problems and Solutions • Solving by analogy – Using a solution to a related problem – Requires seeing the similar structure & inference
  • 11. Classic Problems and Solutions • Solving by analogy – What factors determine if an analogy is seen as appropriate? – Time - Similarity
  • 12. Gestalt Problem Solving • Köhler’s chimps demonstrated insight learning (sudden understanding of a problem that implies the solution). Insight Learning Chimpanzee Problem Solving
  • 14. • Using these materials, how would you mount the candle on a bulletin board? The Candle-Mounting Problem
  • 16. • Belief Bias – the tendency for one’s preexisting beliefs to distort logical reasoning – Confirmation bias • Belief Perseverance – clinging to one’s initial conceptions after the basis on which they were formed has been discredited Further Obstacles to Problem Solving
  • 17. • Overconfidence • Framing: the way an issue is posed –how an issue is framed can significantly affect decisions and judgments Overcoming Obstacles to Problem Solving