Mohammed Asaduzzaman: Mitigation in Bangladesh's National Climate Change Action Plan and priorities for research (presentation from Mitigation session at CCAFS Science Workshop, December 2010)

1. Low Carbon Development in Bangladesh: Agriculture & BCCSAP 2009 M. Asaduzzaman Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies Dhaka Presented at Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in Agriculture Science Workshop Playa del Carmen, Mexico December 1, 2010

2. Trend in Rice Output by Season Over time boro , dry period irrigated rice has gained prominence in area & output– rainfed aus has lost out. Aman, part rainfed-part irrigated, area & output remain largely static

3. Despite Growth Seasonal Rice Output Remains Volatile Seasonal rice outputs are volatile - aman output growth may often be negative

4. Mechanisation and ownership of equipments in agriculture Mechanisation of tillage as well as irrigation is widespread among all types of farmers, large and small

5. Irrigation trends by mode Mainly mechanised ground water irrigation helped dry period cultivation – diesel operated shallow tube wells are the mainstay of the system. Surface irrigation with low lift pumps are more site-specific

6. Fuel choice by Mode of irrigation

8. Indirect Use of Energy in Crop Production Urea is the main fertiliser in use – mainly from domestic production using natural gas. Others are mainly imported. Sales of urea show the most prominent upward trend

9. Irrigation efficiency of Diesel-operated STW (ha/machine) Inefficiency in irrigation may be quite widespread as the graph indicates although part may be explained by soil quality and other such factors

11. Price movement of Diesel

12. Movement in electricity prices

13. Investment Trends in R&D, Extension and Marketing

15. Losses in Agricultural GDP due to Climatic Factors Now and in Future Cost of present climate variability - 7.4% output/yr mainly due to lower boro output. SW coast to be worst affected. Future CC lowers output further by nearly 4%/yr. GDP loss - US$ 26 bn for ag & US$ 121 for national over 2005-50 due present variability. CC to add more losses of US$7.7 and 26 bn.