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Ian Miles Manchester Institute of Innovation Research,  MBS [email_address] Foresight and Business Futures MBA course Manchester April 2008
Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Foresight ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Japan number one STI policy tools Innovation system Technological revolutions Technological problems Distributed knowledge Expertise and legitimacy
What sort of Business Foresight? ,[object Object],Economic forecasts Market trendspotting Technology watch Business environment scanning Geopolitical outlook Labour market assessment Risk analysis
Foresight for What? ,[object Object],Economic forecasts Market trendspotting Technology watch Business environment scanning Geopolitical outlook Labour market assessment Risk analysis
Knowledge of Actual and Potential Evolution Competitors Clients Suppliers Collaborators Regulators Financiers Markets Social & Institutional Env Natural & Physical Env Process Technology Management Organisational Structure/ Design Routines Techniques Human Resources Product Technology & Design Health and Safety  Sustainability Business Ethics CSR Science & Technology Location
Knowledge of Actual and Potential Evolution Internal Environment External Environment Strategies Formal versus informal foresight; Routine versus emergency; Internal “versus” External   Trend detecting and watching – main trends, weak signals Envisaging possible and plausible futures Opportunities as well as challenges - Coping with, changing, creating the future
Functions of Foresight Public Relations Building Markets Influencing other stakeholders – Regulators, financiers, business partners,  Standards-setters… Building a shared vision of a desirable future – or one to avoid at all costs Selecting priorities Designing strategies, assessing robustness Different functions may require different legitimation and expertise Exchanging knowledge, creating awareness
Some examples
Shell ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Daimler Chrysler From Frank Ruff
Daimler Chrysler From Frank Ruff
Swiss Re - SONAR
Swiss Re - SONAR
Few overviews but… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Can managers afford NOT to? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
End of Presentation

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corporate foresight - an introduction

  • 1. Ian Miles Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, MBS [email_address] Foresight and Business Futures MBA course Manchester April 2008
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Knowledge of Actual and Potential Evolution Competitors Clients Suppliers Collaborators Regulators Financiers Markets Social & Institutional Env Natural & Physical Env Process Technology Management Organisational Structure/ Design Routines Techniques Human Resources Product Technology & Design Health and Safety Sustainability Business Ethics CSR Science & Technology Location
  • 7. Knowledge of Actual and Potential Evolution Internal Environment External Environment Strategies Formal versus informal foresight; Routine versus emergency; Internal “versus” External Trend detecting and watching – main trends, weak signals Envisaging possible and plausible futures Opportunities as well as challenges - Coping with, changing, creating the future
  • 8. Functions of Foresight Public Relations Building Markets Influencing other stakeholders – Regulators, financiers, business partners, Standards-setters… Building a shared vision of a desirable future – or one to avoid at all costs Selecting priorities Designing strategies, assessing robustness Different functions may require different legitimation and expertise Exchanging knowledge, creating awareness
  • 10.
  • 11. Daimler Chrysler From Frank Ruff
  • 12. Daimler Chrysler From Frank Ruff
  • 13. Swiss Re - SONAR
  • 14. Swiss Re - SONAR
  • 15.
  • 16.