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What 5G means for the fibre industry
Raf Meersman
CEO Comsof
Project Manager for FCGA Project 2018
34409
September 11, 2018
FTTX Conference
Durban, South Africa
5G is better in
everything?
Yes, but all magic
comes with a price!
* Source ITU “IMT-2020”
5G ≠ 4G
5G ≠ 4G
* Source: Qualcomm
5G ≠ 4G
* Source: Siradel
5G is better in
everything?
Yes, but all magic
comes with a price!
5G means
densification
* Source ITU “IMT-2020”
5G ≠ 4G
Evolutions in Wireless Communication
25x
• Wider
spectrum
5x
• Smaller
slices
5x
• Better
modulation
1600x
• Reduced
cells
Densification
60y Wireless
Capacity
increase
Source: X. Tao, X. Xu, and Qimei Cui, “An Overview of
Cooperative Communications”, IEEE Communications,
June 2012, pp. 65-71.
5G requires a
completely
different
backhaul/fronthaul
connection
Fronthaul Link
3.5 – 7 Gbps
< 0.2ms Latency
Evolutions in Wireless Communication
From Backhaul to Fronthaul
Mobile
Switch center
Backhaul Link
RU: Radio Unit
RRU: Remote Radio Unit
BBU: Baseband Unit
RU
RU
RU
Cell Site
BBU
40 – 80 Mbps
< 5ms Latency
RRU RRU
RRU
BBU
5G needs Fibre
to every Cell Site
* Source: Corning
5G is an opportunity for Fibre
Because
There is no alternative technology for the
required speed and latency
And
Connectivity is needed in every street
5G = Densification + Fibre
5G Small cells: Site Optimisation
* Source: Siradel
-40 dBm
-95 dBm
5G needs Fibre in “every” street
Fronthaul
5G needs Fibre in “every” street
Backhaul
Aerial/Façade
Ducts
Mini/Micro
Synergy
Save costs by looking for alternatives
Trenching = High costs
Fibre Deployment: Cost Challenge
Medium Dense area:
• 12.32 km2 , 4.757 mi2
• 22.000 inhabitants
• 2746 SDUs
• 996 MDUs
5G Small cell network
• 634 Cell Sites
Example: 5G Small cell – Fibre network
Antenna
Aggregation Point
Feeder Cable
RAN Design:
• 634 Cells
Fibre Design:
• Underground network
(microduct)
• 2f per site
=> Fibre in every street
Example: 5G Small cell – Fibre network
* Source: Comsof
Example: FTTH network
Fibre Design:
• Underground network
(microduct)
• 1f per Home
=> Fibre in every street
(2 sides)
* Source: Comsof
Savings by
convergence
Cost(MillionsUSD)
Example Result
Synergy opportunities:
• Similar routes/trenches
• Share ducts
• Share cables?
• Share fibres and active components?
* Source: Comsof
Savings by
convergence
Cost(MillionsUSD)
Example Result
Synergy opportunities:
• Similar routes/trenches
• Share ducts
• Share cables?
• Share fibres and active components?
* Source: Comsof
Fully Allocated Cost for FTTA
Fully Allocated Cost for FTTH
Savings by
convergence
Cost(MillionsUSD)
Example Result
Synergy opportunities:
• Similar routes/trenches
• Share ducts
• Share cables?
• Share fibres and active components?
* Source: Comsof
Incremental cost for FTTA
Standalone cost for FTTH
Savings by
convergence
Cost(MillionsUSD)
Example Result
Synergy opportunities:
• Similar routes/trenches
• Share ducts
• Share cables?
• Share fibres and active components?
* Source: Comsof
Standalone cost for FTTA
Incremental cost for FTTH
FCGA Project: Objectives
This project intends to
• Demonstrate the potential cost savings of convergence between 5G and FTTH/B
• Illustrate the differences between various scenarios
 Full transparency on assumptions
• Illustrate the impact of key factors on the total cost savings of a converged network
 Stimulate discussions on importance of certain “assumptions”
and the “cost” of certain constraints
What we don’t intend to do is
• Report one figure as the only true value
Because that does not really exist
• Derive a total potential cost saving for a complete country or continent
Because that would require a lot of input data and assumptions
FCGA Project: Assumptions
We want to be very transparant about our assumptions
• Antenna locations for 5G
Small cell range
Target 5G coverage / number of 5G Antennas per 4G antenna location
• Design rules/architecture for Fiber
Fibers per Home, per Antenna?
Technology? (NGPON, Ethernet P2P, WDM PON, …)
• Unit costs / Labour rates
Trenching
Aerial cable deployment
Cables
Boxes
Assumptions are not going to be valid for every case, but should be realistic
FCGA Project: Scope
Work out several use cases, considering
Very Dense
City Centre
Medium
Dense
Residential
Lower Density
Micro
cells
Pico cells
Dark Fiber /
Wholesale
Vertically
integrated
operator
Underground
Overhead
Existing Duct
reuse
separate FTTH
and FTTA
A fully
converged
FTTH+FTTA
FTTH first,
then FTTA
FTTA first,
then FTTH
Timing
The end goal is to generate results by end of 2018
Target ongoing study (end 2018): Range of results
Conclusions
5G Densification Fiber
Significant overlap with FTTH
Value of convergence / Cost of non-convergence
Thank you for your attention!
Questions?
raf@comsof.com

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What 5G means for the fiber industry

  • 1. What 5G means for the fibre industry Raf Meersman CEO Comsof Project Manager for FCGA Project 2018 34409 September 11, 2018 FTTX Conference Durban, South Africa
  • 2. 5G is better in everything? Yes, but all magic comes with a price! * Source ITU “IMT-2020” 5G ≠ 4G
  • 3. 5G ≠ 4G * Source: Qualcomm
  • 4. 5G ≠ 4G * Source: Siradel
  • 5. 5G is better in everything? Yes, but all magic comes with a price! 5G means densification * Source ITU “IMT-2020” 5G ≠ 4G
  • 6. Evolutions in Wireless Communication 25x • Wider spectrum 5x • Smaller slices 5x • Better modulation 1600x • Reduced cells Densification 60y Wireless Capacity increase Source: X. Tao, X. Xu, and Qimei Cui, “An Overview of Cooperative Communications”, IEEE Communications, June 2012, pp. 65-71. 5G requires a completely different backhaul/fronthaul connection
  • 7. Fronthaul Link 3.5 – 7 Gbps < 0.2ms Latency Evolutions in Wireless Communication From Backhaul to Fronthaul Mobile Switch center Backhaul Link RU: Radio Unit RRU: Remote Radio Unit BBU: Baseband Unit RU RU RU Cell Site BBU 40 – 80 Mbps < 5ms Latency RRU RRU RRU BBU 5G needs Fibre to every Cell Site * Source: Corning
  • 8. 5G is an opportunity for Fibre Because There is no alternative technology for the required speed and latency And Connectivity is needed in every street 5G = Densification + Fibre
  • 9. 5G Small cells: Site Optimisation * Source: Siradel -40 dBm -95 dBm
  • 10. 5G needs Fibre in “every” street Fronthaul
  • 11. 5G needs Fibre in “every” street Backhaul
  • 12. Aerial/Façade Ducts Mini/Micro Synergy Save costs by looking for alternatives Trenching = High costs Fibre Deployment: Cost Challenge
  • 13. Medium Dense area: • 12.32 km2 , 4.757 mi2 • 22.000 inhabitants • 2746 SDUs • 996 MDUs 5G Small cell network • 634 Cell Sites Example: 5G Small cell – Fibre network
  • 14. Antenna Aggregation Point Feeder Cable RAN Design: • 634 Cells Fibre Design: • Underground network (microduct) • 2f per site => Fibre in every street Example: 5G Small cell – Fibre network * Source: Comsof
  • 15. Example: FTTH network Fibre Design: • Underground network (microduct) • 1f per Home => Fibre in every street (2 sides) * Source: Comsof
  • 16. Savings by convergence Cost(MillionsUSD) Example Result Synergy opportunities: • Similar routes/trenches • Share ducts • Share cables? • Share fibres and active components? * Source: Comsof
  • 17. Savings by convergence Cost(MillionsUSD) Example Result Synergy opportunities: • Similar routes/trenches • Share ducts • Share cables? • Share fibres and active components? * Source: Comsof Fully Allocated Cost for FTTA Fully Allocated Cost for FTTH
  • 18. Savings by convergence Cost(MillionsUSD) Example Result Synergy opportunities: • Similar routes/trenches • Share ducts • Share cables? • Share fibres and active components? * Source: Comsof Incremental cost for FTTA Standalone cost for FTTH
  • 19. Savings by convergence Cost(MillionsUSD) Example Result Synergy opportunities: • Similar routes/trenches • Share ducts • Share cables? • Share fibres and active components? * Source: Comsof Standalone cost for FTTA Incremental cost for FTTH
  • 20. FCGA Project: Objectives This project intends to • Demonstrate the potential cost savings of convergence between 5G and FTTH/B • Illustrate the differences between various scenarios  Full transparency on assumptions • Illustrate the impact of key factors on the total cost savings of a converged network  Stimulate discussions on importance of certain “assumptions” and the “cost” of certain constraints What we don’t intend to do is • Report one figure as the only true value Because that does not really exist • Derive a total potential cost saving for a complete country or continent Because that would require a lot of input data and assumptions
  • 21. FCGA Project: Assumptions We want to be very transparant about our assumptions • Antenna locations for 5G Small cell range Target 5G coverage / number of 5G Antennas per 4G antenna location • Design rules/architecture for Fiber Fibers per Home, per Antenna? Technology? (NGPON, Ethernet P2P, WDM PON, …) • Unit costs / Labour rates Trenching Aerial cable deployment Cables Boxes Assumptions are not going to be valid for every case, but should be realistic
  • 22. FCGA Project: Scope Work out several use cases, considering Very Dense City Centre Medium Dense Residential Lower Density Micro cells Pico cells Dark Fiber / Wholesale Vertically integrated operator Underground Overhead Existing Duct reuse separate FTTH and FTTA A fully converged FTTH+FTTA FTTH first, then FTTA FTTA first, then FTTH
  • 23. Timing The end goal is to generate results by end of 2018
  • 24. Target ongoing study (end 2018): Range of results Conclusions 5G Densification Fiber Significant overlap with FTTH Value of convergence / Cost of non-convergence
  • 25. Thank you for your attention! Questions? raf@comsof.com

Editor's Notes

  1. Pg. 24, 3g peak, 4g peak
  2. Pg. 24, 3g peak, 4g peak
  3. Pg. 24, 3g peak, 4g peak
  4. First we will look at the cost of running one fiber to each cell, and use this as a baseline cost