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Sustainable Transport:
      Is There Anybody Here
     Who Can Win This Game?

                 Dr. Barry Wellar
                Professor Emeritus
               University of Ottawa,
          Distinguished Research Fellow
              Transport 2000 Canada




            Comments and Graphics for
               a Presentation at the

NATIONAL TRAVELWISE ASSOCIATION (NTWA) CONFERENCE

       Transport & Climate Change:
        Understand the Problem –
          Be Part of the Solution

              Belfast, Northern Ireland
                 8-9 NOVEMBER 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?



                               Sustainable Transport:
                               Is There Anybody Here
                              Who Can Win This Game?

                                      Dr. Barry Wellar
                                     Professor Emeritus
                                    University of Ottawa,
                               Distinguished Research Fellow
                                   Transport 2000 Canada

Presentation Objectives

1. Establish that transport is a climate change factor, that we are all part of the problem
and part of the solution, but so far our contributions to the problem far exceed our
contributions to the solution.
2. Demonstrate that while it is easy to access a huge body of documentation on sustainable
transport principles, it is much more difficult to find evidence of achieved sustainable
transport practices.
3. Persuade delegates that an accountable and transparent way to create a record of
practices that have been achieved is to use a framework that explicitly recognizes the
three stages of identifying, adopting, and implementing practices. Once that record begins
to be compiled, the bandwagon effect can occur among winners. As for the losers, there is
no place to hide a failure to act.
4. Promote discussion among delegates as to which sustainable transport practices belong
in the classes of worst, worse, bad, neutral, good, better, best. This critical part of the
sustainable transport debate has received very little attention, and the Belfast forum is an
excellent opportunity to put the matter on the public agenda.
5. Present an indicative selection of best and worst sustainable transport practices from
the Canadian experience, and make the argument that application of a similar approach in
Northern Ireland would be very informative in terms of learning how close NI is to turning
the tide in favour of sustainable transport contributing more to the climate change
solution, and unsustainable transport contributing less to the climate change problem.
6. Identify both conventional and unconventional ways to accelerate the sustainable
transport best practice process, with emphasis on the role of children ages 8-14 as a key to
winning the sustainable transport struggle in less than a decade.




                                                                                          1
Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Presentation Outline

The Belfast NTWA presentation in 2007 continues the author’s record of research,
publication, and public discourse in the field of sustainable transport that began in the
1970s. Excerpts from several published documents are used for background and context
purposes.

The first excerpts are from two publications by Wellar in 1975 titled, “Housing for the
future”, and “Taking steps towards the end of the automobile era”. The excerpts are
followed by a brief comment on the current pertinence of what was written in 1975, and
the extent to which sustainable transport initiatives identified in 1975 are regarded as
original ideas in 2007. As the reader no doubt appreciates, the tone of the Belfast
presentation in 2007 is shaped by what has been achieved, or not, over the intervening 32
years.

The second set of excerpts consists of several slides from a presentation in 2007 to the
Kiwanis Club of Ottawa. That presentation is titled “Sustainable transport: Does anybody
here know how to win this game?”. My objective in the Kiwanis paper was to establish that
in order to win the sustainable transport game you need to know how to play it. Brief
comments are provided to explain the content and purpose of the selected slides.

The closing Background and Context section contains a selection of excerpts from the 2007
Fleming Lecture that I presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association of American
Geographers in San Francisco. The Fleming Lecture is titled, “Sustainable Transport Best
Practices and Geography: Making Connections in Canada”, and represents one of the first
analyses of the extent to which considerations of geography are explicitly factored into
Canada’s experience with sustainable transport practices.

Building on those and other prior works, I then address the question, “Is there anybody here
who can win this game?”. (Please note the emphasis on can via the underline, as in can)

I do so by first establishing that the transport sector and climate change are related, and
then by discussing the sustainable transport practices and instruments that are available to
governments, corporations and individuals committed to winning the sustainable transport
game, and thereby being part of the Transport & Climate Change Solution.




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?



                            Background and Context Part1
                          Barry Wellar’s Early Questions and
                        Comments on Sustainable Transport:
                     Excerpts from two articles published in 1975

Introduction to Background and Context Part 1

These excerpts reveal a longstanding concern about sustainable transport
practices, and help to account for the ‘edge’ in the address.

“Will urban land uses, including housing, be so distributed that we profligately
consume scarce or non-renewable resources while travelling millions of journey-to-
work person-miles every day, that walking school children are put in competition
for space with driving adults, that city residence-to-recreation site distances are
routinely separated on a greater-than-walking distance basis?”
“If 1 million Canadians travel an average of 10 miles per day in cars yielding 100
miles per gallon of gas, we consume 100,000 gallons per day and 36,500,000 per
year… Change the input numbers to 20,000,000 trip-makers each driving 20 miles
per day at 20 miles per gallon, and our consumption numbers change to 20,000,000
gallons per day, and 7,300,000,000 per year. That is, 7 billion, 300 million gallons
of gasoline are burned off in order to drive the family automobile each year, every
year, as a minimum, most likely.”
“… Traffic counts … have so far yielded the following tally for both eastbound and
westbound traffic flow during the morning and evening rush hours: one-person cars
(273); two-person cars (19); three-person cars (2); four-person cars (3). That is,
out of a total of 297 cars, 92 per cent of them carried one person.”
“Buses carrying in excess of 70 passengers wait at lights and intersections while
one or a dozen cars (carrying one person each much more often than not) proceed
through.”
“… The Citizen (Oct.9, 1975) tells us that the City of Ottawa is installing a
computer to improve traffic flow. Presumably if the traffic flow improves, then we
can resolve current congestion problems, and maybe handle even more
automobiles at some 260 intersections. Is it the policy of officials to encourage
automobile traffic?”
“Transportation facilities consume resources that can be put to alternative uses
(housing, recreation, etc.), and cars consume resources that can be put to
alternative uses (chemicals, food, heating, etc.). Does anyone believe that
anything more than small percentages of the resources committed in the name of
the car are being put to their highest and best use?”
“Selected streets should have buses-only sections and lanes during the morning and
evening peak hours. Buses should be equipped with devices for changing light
signals upon approach. Buses in cities should have legal and acknowledged right-of-
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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?

way for turns at intersections and into traffic, regardless of street signals and
markings.”
“Capital expenditures by governments on prospective urban transportation
facilities with an automobile bias should be postponed for a minimum of five
years.”
“Operating costs for transportation facilities should be diverted into public transit-
related expenditures for a five-year period.”
“Gasoline prices in smaller or more remote communities which cannot support a
public transit service should be subsidized by revenues collected from gasoline
sales in places like … where there is no excuse for not having and not using public
transit for work and other trips.”
“Governments should begin to speak publicly, now, about the inevitable demise of
the automobile industry as we currently know it.”
“The futurists of a decade ago suggested that the negative aspects of the
automobile were increasing at an algebraic rate, and that problems of any
magnitude were a number of generations away. Unfortunately, things are coming
to a head at a geometric clip ….”
“While it has not reached tidal wave proportions, there is at least a groundswell
indication that many people have serious misgivings about the car continuing as a
dominant force in our way of life.”


Comment on Background and Context Part 1

It is now 32 years since the two articles were published, and without exception every
comment, finding, suggestion, exhortation, and recommendation presented in 1975 appears
today in Canadian-based government publications, newspapers, academic articles, trade
magazines, interest group publications, professional publications, and numerous Internet
site entries. Of direct relevance to the title of this presentation, and its content, is the fact
that many current speakers/writers on sustainable transport seem unaware that their
exhortations, proposals, etc., are at least three decades old!

(References for the two 1975 articles can be found in the report, “Sustainable Transport
Best Practices and Geography: Making Connections”. The report can be viewed at:
transport2000.ca, and at geotrans.hofstra.edu/geotrans/tgsg.




                                                                                               4
Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?



                             Background and Context Part 2
                         Some Recent Comments and Graphics
                        by Barry Wellar on Sustainable Transport:
                        Excerpts from a Presentation in 2007 to
                                 Kiwanis Club of Ottawa

Introduction to Background and Context Part 2

There are 12 PowerPoint slides in the Kiwanis presentation; six are selected as graphics for
the Belfast NTWA presentation.

Graphics and Comments in Background and Context Part 2

The full Kiwanis presentation is available, so the comments about the graphics are limited
to brief remarks tying the Kiwanis presentation to the Belfast address.

Figure 1. Meaning of win in sustainable transport: Principles are not enough.


                      If principles were enough, the sustainable transport
                      problem would not have arisen much less deepened!



Sustainable transport principles have been in the literature in detail for at least 30 years,
at a general level for 50 years before that, and their origins could likely be traced back
more than 150 years to the works of people like John Stuart Mill. In the interests of winning
as opposed to just playing games, let’s recognize the truth: principles are not enough to
create winners.

Figure 2. Meaning of win in sustainable transport: Get Real!


                                       Achieving Practices


                                 Achieving Practices

                     Achieving Practices
                                                                                             5
Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


People understand the importance of practice in order to be a winner in soccer, rugby,
cricket, hockey, piano, and maybe even keyboarding. However, when it comes to
transportation, a key element of every country’s economic, social, industrial, energy,
environmental, health, and security fabric, many people appear to hope that
transportation-related problems will resolve themselves. That do-nothing approach hasn’t
worked anywhere at any time. For those who can answer “Yes” or want to answer “Yes” to
the question, “Sustainable transport: Does anybody here know how to win this game?”, the
next several slides illustrate what it will take to move beyond rhetoric and make things
happen.

Figure 3. Sustainable transport suggestion: City of Ottawa. Sustainable transport test.




Being a winner in achieving sustainable transport practices requires a body of logic to guide
and support decision-making. The City of Ottawa makes decisions in the same ways they
have been made for the past 35 years. Top-of-the-head and seat-of-the-pants decision-
making in the land use-transportation domain is the modus operandi of losers. To be a
winner the City of Ottawa must apply a robust Sustainable Transport Test to its own
initiatives, as well as to initiatives of the Province of Ontario and Government of Canada
that affect the walk, cycle, transit, and private vehicle modes (people and freight) of
transport in Ottawa.

Figure 4. Sustainable transport suggestion: City of Ottawa. Annual achievement report.




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


The essence of achieving sustainable transport practices is to simultaneously increase the
share of walk, cycle, and transit trips while decreasing the share of private motor vehicle
trips. The time is long overdue for the City of Ottawa to produce a detailed yearly report
on exactly what it has done and achieved regarding sustainable transport practices.


Figure 5. Sustainable transport suggestion: Ottawa corporations. Annual achievement
report.




Corporations could do a lot more than they have to implement sustainable transport
practices. It is past time for the private sector to demonstrate the can do-will do attitude
necessary to achieve sustainable transport practices.

Figure 6. Sustainable transport suggestion: Ottawa residents. Leave your cars at home,
folks, leave your cars at home.




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


The notion that the transportation mess in Canada and Ottawa is “somebody else’s fault” is
an exercise in denial. Worse, looking to governments or corporations to do most of the
heavy lifting is fantasy. It has never happened, and there is no sign that it ever will;
individuals must do what has to be done to achieve sustainable transport in practice.

(The PowerPoint presentation to the Kiwanis Club of Ottawa on “Sustainable transport:
Does anybody here know how to win this game?” can be viewed at transport2000.ca and
www.geomatics.uottawa.ca)




                                               (Granddaughters)

                                               (Baseball Manager)

                                               (Football Coach)




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?



                            Background and Context Part 3
                         Some Recent Comments and Graphics
                       by Barry Wellar on Sustainable Transport:
                       Excerpts from the 2007 Fleming Lecture
                         Association of American Geographers
                                     San Francisco

Introduction to Background and Context Part 3

There are 46 PowerPoint slides in the Fleming Lecture address; 22 are selected as
background for the Belfast NTWA presentation.

Comments on Graphics in Background and Context Part 3

The text and the PowerPoint slide presentation of the Fleming Lecture are available, so the
comments are limited to brief remarks that relate the Lecture to the Belfast address.

Figure 7. It’s past time for a change!




For almost 100 years the private motor vehicle (pmv) has dominated the urban
transportation teeter totter. This graphic says “Whoa, there is a new day dawning”.


Figure 8. Scenes for the video ‘Automobilitis’.




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Figure 9. How long does it take to get it right?

Taking steps towards the end of the automobile era (Wellar, 1975)
Housing for the future (Wellar, 1975)




Hope springs eternal. After 30 years of sitting in the ST wilderness, Canadian cities are
slowly grasping the basics of sustainable transport practices.


Figure 10. Does anybody here understand the concept of half?




While ideologues and spin doctors argue about the differences between half full and half
empty, the fossil fuel gauge drops and the climate changes.

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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Figure 11. Language, an excellent tool for separating ST losers and winners.




Figure 12. The sustainable transport bandwagon is full only because tickets to ride are
so easily obtained.


      1. Sustainable Transport Test.
      2. Integrated Land Use and Transportation System Planning and Development.
      3. Smart Growth/New Urbanism.
      4. Development and Adoption of a Pedestrian Charter.
      5. Incorporating Time as a Criterion for Defining Sustainable Transport.
      6. Incorporating the Geo-Factor in Sustainable Transport Measures.
      7. Using Indexes for Decision Support.
      8. Defining Road/Highway “Improvements” in Sustainable Transport Terms.
      9. Implementing Measures to Simultaneously Increase Walk, Cycle, and
         Transit/Train Trips While Decreasing Trips by Private Motor Vehicle.


The ST bar has been set too low for too long; this initial list of ST practices raises the bar
and separates winners and losers in short order.


Figure 13. Where are the sustainable transport tests?




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Tests have been applied in every walk of life for decades, even centuries, and the time is
long overdue for sustainable transport tests in metropolitan regions, with emphasis on the
climate change aspect.

Figure 14. Bad sustainable transport practices occur by design!




Let us recall that bad, worse, and worst sustainable transport practices are rooted in part
in bad, worse, and worst land use planning and development practices.


Figure 15. Sustainable transport practices still not clear? Maybe pictures will help.




These images effectively illustrate the visual differences between less sustainable and more
sustainable modes of transport.

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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Figure 16. Sustainable transport practices begin with pedestrians.




Recognition that pedestrians are first-class citizens of sustainable transport practices is
long overdue, as are attitudes and instruments to transform recognition into reality.


Figure 17. “In the fullness of time” from the television series “Yes, Minister”.




“Absence of a time frame with set due dates has been central to sustainability avoidance
strategies, and concepts like JIT for truck shipments are sheer spin; those forms of
manipulation must be exposed, and then buried.”

“Yes, Minister”.

Figure 18. Geography, the overlooked dimension of intersection design for pedestrians.




                Direct Path                                         Ped-Based
                Cross Walks                                         Stop Bars


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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?




                                                         Square Corners
                             Channel Islands




Basic geography calls for shortest paths for people who walk, and extended separation
between oncoming vehicles and pedestrians in crosswalks. It is bizarre that these simple
concepts have overwhelmed intersection designers for decades.


Figure 19. Getting out the word on sustainability: Local media.




Sustainable transport practices have little appeal to the ‘big’ media which prefer the
sensational to the substantive. Look to community-based information outlets as earnest
purveyors of the ST story.


Figure 20. Look to children as the key people for achieving sustainable transport
practices by design rather than by default.




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Changing older generations’ proclivity to drive at every opportunity is no easy task, but if
change is to occur it appears evident that children must be the agents of change.


Figure 21. Look to children to pressure adults about acting on climate change issues.




The Doomsday Map concept has a 25-year history, and the Global Warming/Global Frying
slide is from a presentation that I made in 1992 in Washington, DC. Over the past 25 years,
children have asked more and better questions than adults about climate change, and cared
more about the answers.


Figure 22. A lament regarding ‘the great masses’.


                              “As for the great masses
                              They can be divided into two classes;
                              Those for whom thinking is painful
                              And those for whom it is impossible”.
                                                  H.L. Mencken


The final excerpt from the Fleming Lecture that I have selected for inclusion in this
presentation is a quote by U.S. essayist and social commentator H.L. Mencken. I do not
know whether Mr. Mencken was generalizing about the intellectual capacity of a population
on all matters, or whether he was provoked by a particular incident. Either way, his words
are cause for pause whenever a public initiative is contemplated in Canada, the United
States, Northern Ireland, or anywhere else.




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Figure 23. A solution regarding ‘the great masses’.


                          “Find ways to ease the burden of thinking in
                          order to achieve the desired actions.”
                                                           B. Wellar


In the case of this Lecture, Mr. Mencken’s lament is taken as a piece of sage advice. That
is, since I believe that the great masses are part of the sustainable transport problem, and
are a driving part of the sustainable transport solution, the message that I take from Mr.
Mencken is crystal clear. That is, rather than curse the darkness, light a candle; and,
instead of cursing the dullards, the selfish, and the disinterested, try to make them an offer
that they cannot refuse. Now there is a challenge to test anyone’s sustainability.

(The PowerPoint presentation and the text of the 2007 Fleming Lecture, “Sustainable
Transport Best Practices and Geography: Making Connections in Canada” can be viewed at
transport2000.ca/ and via several links at geotrans.hofstra.edu/geotrans/tgsg.)

A core message imbedded in the Background and Context materials is that the more you
know about playing the sustainable transport game, the greater the likelihood that you can
win the ST game. Or, to rephrase, achieving sustainable transport practices is a game of
skill rather than of chance, so the better you understand the issues behind the problem the
greater the prospects that you can obtain an effective, efficient, and equitable solution.

With the argument in place that knowing the game underpins winning the game, it is now
time to entertain the question that is the title of my remarks, Sustainable transport: Is
there anybody here who can win this game?




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?



                       Answering the Question about
               Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here
                         Who Can Win This Game?”
I am not going to name names or places, but I am going to do my best in a short span of
time to make it clear why we need ST winners, what is involved in achieving the status of
ST winner, and what it takes to become and remain an ST winner. The approach for this
part of the presentation is to use graphics to highlight key points, and include brief
comments to remind attendees of my comments on the graphics.

Figure 24. Is there a cause-effect relationship between the
transport sector and climate change?


              No less an authority than the Environment Commissioner of
              Canada has made the connection, with the industrial sector and
              the transport sector being ranked one-two as sources of
              greenhouse gases and contributors to climate change.



Figure 25. Does the Canadian federal government agree
that there is a cause-effect relationship between
the transport sector and climate change?


              The Government of Canada (first the Liberals,                now the
              Conservatives), ever a staunch supporter of economic        expansion
              and industrial development which is largely driven by       fossil fuel
              consumption across the country, agrees that transport       is a major
              contributor to greenhouse gases and climate change.



Figure 26. How does having a logical way of classifying practices
help to become a sustainable transport winner?


              There are at least six classes of sustainable transport practice:
              worst, worse, bad, good, better, best. Governments,
              corporations, and people using this or a similar rating system
              could be ST winners because of their ability to intelligently match
              practices to policy, plan, program or strategic objectives.


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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Figure 27. How can a record of performance promote progress in achieving
sustainable transport best practices?


              As shown in Graphic 28, the ST practice record of Panacea,
              Ontario is there for everyone to see, monitor, evaluate,
              replicate, improve on, etc. A current study did not yield any city
              in Canada with such a record in place, but responses indicate that
              cities wanting to be on the winning ST side will implement such a
              record-tracking instrument.



Figure 28. Experience of Panacea, Ontario with
sustainable transport best practices.

        Sustainable Transport                           Year in Which Practice
        Practice                               Identified    Adopted     Implemented
        Integration of land use and               1974         1991         --------
        transportation planning
        Application of sustainability test
        to transportation projects,               2006          --------        --------
        planning applications, and
        rezoning applications
        Bike rack requirement at private          1993           2001            2005
        commercial buildings and public
        facilities
        Signal activation by transmitters         1988           1999            2006
        in city buses
        Application of Walking Security           1998           2004           --------
        Index to assess intersection
        performance for pedestrians
        Use of traffic calming devices to         1983           1985            1987
        promote walking and cycling
        Moratorium on road or                     2000           2001            2003
        intersection widening
        Restrictive motor idling by-law           1991          --------        --------




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Figure 29. Good, better, best sustainable transport practices in
urban metro regions: List 1.

               •    Land use and transportation system integration based on
                    walk, cycle, and transit as primary transport modes
               •    Signal light priority given to pedestrians at intersections
               •    Intersections designed to achieve safety, comfort, and
                    convenience of pedestrians
               •    Roundabouts designed to achieve safety, comfort, and
                    convenience of pedestrians
               •    Intersections designed to achieve safety, comfort, and
                    convenience of cyclists
               •    Roundabouts designed to achieve safety, comfort, and
                    convenience of cyclists


Figure 30. Good, better, best sustainable transport practices in
urban metro regions: List 2.

               •    Transit vehicles equipped to change signal lights
               •    Transit vehicles given priority right-of-way to enter traffic lanes
               •    As private motor vehicle use declines, roads and streets are
                    removed from city networks and converted to alternative transport
                    uses, or other land uses
               •    Surface parking lots removed from areas served by transit
               •    Moratorium imposed on road and street expenditures
               •    Road maintenance budgets reduced to accelerate the shift from
                    private motor vehicle to walk, cycle and transit modes


Figure 31. Good, better, best sustainable transport practices in
urban metro regions: List 3.

               •    Sustainable transport test applied to transportation projects,
                    official plan amendments, rezoning applications
               •    Truck trailers loaded onto rail cars based on ST criteria
               •    Standard for high occupancy vehicle (HOV) lanes set at 4, 5, and 6
                    or more occupants in a private motor vehicle
               •    Standard for high efficiency vehicle (HEV) lanes set at 3 or
                    more occupants
               •    Strict, zero-tolerance enforcement of speed limits in school and
                    community traffic zones




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Figure 32. Comment on lists of winning sustainable transport practices.


           Known sustainable transport good, better and best practices number in
           the hundreds, and many governments, corporations, and individuals
           embrace at least some of them. It is most likely that any jurisdiction
           that has implemented those listed above would be a leading contender
           for the Sustainable Transport Challenge Cup.




Figure 33. Bad, worse, and worst sustainable transport practices in
urban metro regions: List 1.

               •    Uncontrolled ring roads built to increase speeds and
                    reduce trip times
               •    Intersections expanded to reduce private motor
                    vehicle congestion
               •    ‘Green’ private motor vehicle purchases subsidized
               •    Hiring of transit operators who dislike people
               •    Disconnected bike paths
               •    Bike paths in structural disrepair



Figure 34. Bad, worse, and worst sustainable transport practices in
urban metro regions: List 2.

               •    Construction of new inter-urban roads
               •    Reducing budgets for maintenance of sidewalks
                    and bicycle paths
               •    Traffic signals timed to increase flow speeds of
                    private motor vehicles
               •    Lack of sidewalks along arterial roads
               •    Inadequate sidewalk maintenance programs
               •    Inadequate vehicle traffic enforcement
               •    Tinted vehicle windshields and windows




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Figure 35. Bad, worse, and worst sustainable transport practices in
urban metro regions: List 3.

               •    Speed limits raised to appeal to vehicle operators
               •    Free parking for private motor vehicles at shopping centres
               •    Standard for ‘HOV’ lanes set at 2 occupants in
                    a private motor vehicle
               •    Roads widened to reduce congestion
               •    Transit service reduced to balance the transport budget
               •    Cutting transit fare subsidies for seniors and students


Figure 36. Comment on lists of losing sustainable transport practices.


              You could write a book about transport practices that are designed
              to increase the share of urban metro region trips by private motor
              vehicle, and reduce trips by the walk, cycle and transit modes. Any
              jurisdiction that is marked by the practices listed in slides H, I, J
              would be quickly relegated to the LOSERS bracket in the
              Sustainable Transport Challenge Cup competition.




Figure 37. Analysis of evidence based on share of trips by mode,
Swagger, Ontario, 1990-2007: LOSER.

                                                         % Share by Year
                      Mode             90      91   92   93   94   95   04   05   06     07
            Walk                       3       3     3   3    4    4     4    5    5      5
            Cycle                      1       1     1   1    1    2     2    2    2      2
            Transit                    12      12   12   13   13   13   13   13   14     14
            Private Motor              84      84   84   83   82   81   81   80   79     79
            Vehicle




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Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?


Figure 38. Analysis of evidence, share of trips by mode,
Exemplary, NI, 1990-2007: WINNER.

                                                     % Share by Year
                    Mode             90    91   92   93   94   95   04    05   06      07
            Walk                     10    12   14   16   16   17   22    23   24      25
            Cycle                    3      3   4    4    5    9    10    11   12      14
            Transit                  22    23   25   26   27   28   32    33   35      38
            Private Motor            65    62   57   54   52   46   36    33   29      23
            Vehicle



Figure 39. Comment on analysis of evidence, share of trips by mode.


        There appears to be very little public information on regional,
        national or global losers and winners when it comes to
        identifying, adopting and implementing good, better and best
        sustainable transport practices.

        It seems highly likely, however, that most governments,
        corporations and individuals would rather be among the
        winners than the losers.

        Evidence along the above lines would greatly assist in
        separating sustainable transport performers from pretenders.

        As a modest contribution towards that end, over the past
        several months I conducted an informal survey of a selection
        of Canadian municipal and provincial governments, and
        federal agencies. The purposes of the survey included testing
        the instrument shown in Figure 28, and gaining a sense of how
        sustainable transport practices are perceived and treated by
        governments. Initial analyses suggest that the instrument does
        indeed help to separate pretenders from performers, and I
        invite its application in other venues. I would be pleased to
        compare notes.




                                                                                            22
Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?




                                          Conclusion

                       Sustainable Transport:
                       Is There Anybody Here
                      Who Can Win This Game?


                     Yes, Anyone Who
                      Understands the
                 consequences of losing the
                 sustainable transport game

                            Has the wits to win

                            Has the will to win

                            Has the powers
                         of persuasion needed
                          to achieve the win


                                                                                       23
Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?



                                       Acknowledgements

I wish to acknowledge the support that my sustainable transport research has received from
Transport 2000 Canada, and from officials in a number of Canada’s municipal, provincial,
and federal government departments and agencies. In addition, I am pleased to
acknowledge the assistance of Sam Herold, a graduate student in the Laboratory for
Applied Geomatics and Geographic Information Systems Science, University of Ottawa, in
preparing the graphics for this document. Finally, a special thank you is due to Marjorie
Wellar for editorial assistance.

                                       Achieving Practices

                                 Achieving Practices

                     Achieving Practices




                                                                                       24
Barry Wellar
National TRAVELWISE Association Conference
Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007

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Sustainable Transport: Is Anyone Winning This Climate Change Game

  • 1. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Dr. Barry Wellar Professor Emeritus University of Ottawa, Distinguished Research Fellow Transport 2000 Canada Comments and Graphics for a Presentation at the NATIONAL TRAVELWISE ASSOCIATION (NTWA) CONFERENCE Transport & Climate Change: Understand the Problem – Be Part of the Solution Belfast, Northern Ireland 8-9 NOVEMBER 2007
  • 2. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Dr. Barry Wellar Professor Emeritus University of Ottawa, Distinguished Research Fellow Transport 2000 Canada Presentation Objectives 1. Establish that transport is a climate change factor, that we are all part of the problem and part of the solution, but so far our contributions to the problem far exceed our contributions to the solution. 2. Demonstrate that while it is easy to access a huge body of documentation on sustainable transport principles, it is much more difficult to find evidence of achieved sustainable transport practices. 3. Persuade delegates that an accountable and transparent way to create a record of practices that have been achieved is to use a framework that explicitly recognizes the three stages of identifying, adopting, and implementing practices. Once that record begins to be compiled, the bandwagon effect can occur among winners. As for the losers, there is no place to hide a failure to act. 4. Promote discussion among delegates as to which sustainable transport practices belong in the classes of worst, worse, bad, neutral, good, better, best. This critical part of the sustainable transport debate has received very little attention, and the Belfast forum is an excellent opportunity to put the matter on the public agenda. 5. Present an indicative selection of best and worst sustainable transport practices from the Canadian experience, and make the argument that application of a similar approach in Northern Ireland would be very informative in terms of learning how close NI is to turning the tide in favour of sustainable transport contributing more to the climate change solution, and unsustainable transport contributing less to the climate change problem. 6. Identify both conventional and unconventional ways to accelerate the sustainable transport best practice process, with emphasis on the role of children ages 8-14 as a key to winning the sustainable transport struggle in less than a decade. 1 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 3. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Presentation Outline The Belfast NTWA presentation in 2007 continues the author’s record of research, publication, and public discourse in the field of sustainable transport that began in the 1970s. Excerpts from several published documents are used for background and context purposes. The first excerpts are from two publications by Wellar in 1975 titled, “Housing for the future”, and “Taking steps towards the end of the automobile era”. The excerpts are followed by a brief comment on the current pertinence of what was written in 1975, and the extent to which sustainable transport initiatives identified in 1975 are regarded as original ideas in 2007. As the reader no doubt appreciates, the tone of the Belfast presentation in 2007 is shaped by what has been achieved, or not, over the intervening 32 years. The second set of excerpts consists of several slides from a presentation in 2007 to the Kiwanis Club of Ottawa. That presentation is titled “Sustainable transport: Does anybody here know how to win this game?”. My objective in the Kiwanis paper was to establish that in order to win the sustainable transport game you need to know how to play it. Brief comments are provided to explain the content and purpose of the selected slides. The closing Background and Context section contains a selection of excerpts from the 2007 Fleming Lecture that I presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers in San Francisco. The Fleming Lecture is titled, “Sustainable Transport Best Practices and Geography: Making Connections in Canada”, and represents one of the first analyses of the extent to which considerations of geography are explicitly factored into Canada’s experience with sustainable transport practices. Building on those and other prior works, I then address the question, “Is there anybody here who can win this game?”. (Please note the emphasis on can via the underline, as in can) I do so by first establishing that the transport sector and climate change are related, and then by discussing the sustainable transport practices and instruments that are available to governments, corporations and individuals committed to winning the sustainable transport game, and thereby being part of the Transport & Climate Change Solution. 2 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 4. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Background and Context Part1 Barry Wellar’s Early Questions and Comments on Sustainable Transport: Excerpts from two articles published in 1975 Introduction to Background and Context Part 1 These excerpts reveal a longstanding concern about sustainable transport practices, and help to account for the ‘edge’ in the address. “Will urban land uses, including housing, be so distributed that we profligately consume scarce or non-renewable resources while travelling millions of journey-to- work person-miles every day, that walking school children are put in competition for space with driving adults, that city residence-to-recreation site distances are routinely separated on a greater-than-walking distance basis?” “If 1 million Canadians travel an average of 10 miles per day in cars yielding 100 miles per gallon of gas, we consume 100,000 gallons per day and 36,500,000 per year… Change the input numbers to 20,000,000 trip-makers each driving 20 miles per day at 20 miles per gallon, and our consumption numbers change to 20,000,000 gallons per day, and 7,300,000,000 per year. That is, 7 billion, 300 million gallons of gasoline are burned off in order to drive the family automobile each year, every year, as a minimum, most likely.” “… Traffic counts … have so far yielded the following tally for both eastbound and westbound traffic flow during the morning and evening rush hours: one-person cars (273); two-person cars (19); three-person cars (2); four-person cars (3). That is, out of a total of 297 cars, 92 per cent of them carried one person.” “Buses carrying in excess of 70 passengers wait at lights and intersections while one or a dozen cars (carrying one person each much more often than not) proceed through.” “… The Citizen (Oct.9, 1975) tells us that the City of Ottawa is installing a computer to improve traffic flow. Presumably if the traffic flow improves, then we can resolve current congestion problems, and maybe handle even more automobiles at some 260 intersections. Is it the policy of officials to encourage automobile traffic?” “Transportation facilities consume resources that can be put to alternative uses (housing, recreation, etc.), and cars consume resources that can be put to alternative uses (chemicals, food, heating, etc.). Does anyone believe that anything more than small percentages of the resources committed in the name of the car are being put to their highest and best use?” “Selected streets should have buses-only sections and lanes during the morning and evening peak hours. Buses should be equipped with devices for changing light signals upon approach. Buses in cities should have legal and acknowledged right-of- 3 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 5. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? way for turns at intersections and into traffic, regardless of street signals and markings.” “Capital expenditures by governments on prospective urban transportation facilities with an automobile bias should be postponed for a minimum of five years.” “Operating costs for transportation facilities should be diverted into public transit- related expenditures for a five-year period.” “Gasoline prices in smaller or more remote communities which cannot support a public transit service should be subsidized by revenues collected from gasoline sales in places like … where there is no excuse for not having and not using public transit for work and other trips.” “Governments should begin to speak publicly, now, about the inevitable demise of the automobile industry as we currently know it.” “The futurists of a decade ago suggested that the negative aspects of the automobile were increasing at an algebraic rate, and that problems of any magnitude were a number of generations away. Unfortunately, things are coming to a head at a geometric clip ….” “While it has not reached tidal wave proportions, there is at least a groundswell indication that many people have serious misgivings about the car continuing as a dominant force in our way of life.” Comment on Background and Context Part 1 It is now 32 years since the two articles were published, and without exception every comment, finding, suggestion, exhortation, and recommendation presented in 1975 appears today in Canadian-based government publications, newspapers, academic articles, trade magazines, interest group publications, professional publications, and numerous Internet site entries. Of direct relevance to the title of this presentation, and its content, is the fact that many current speakers/writers on sustainable transport seem unaware that their exhortations, proposals, etc., are at least three decades old! (References for the two 1975 articles can be found in the report, “Sustainable Transport Best Practices and Geography: Making Connections”. The report can be viewed at: transport2000.ca, and at geotrans.hofstra.edu/geotrans/tgsg. 4 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 6. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Background and Context Part 2 Some Recent Comments and Graphics by Barry Wellar on Sustainable Transport: Excerpts from a Presentation in 2007 to Kiwanis Club of Ottawa Introduction to Background and Context Part 2 There are 12 PowerPoint slides in the Kiwanis presentation; six are selected as graphics for the Belfast NTWA presentation. Graphics and Comments in Background and Context Part 2 The full Kiwanis presentation is available, so the comments about the graphics are limited to brief remarks tying the Kiwanis presentation to the Belfast address. Figure 1. Meaning of win in sustainable transport: Principles are not enough. If principles were enough, the sustainable transport problem would not have arisen much less deepened! Sustainable transport principles have been in the literature in detail for at least 30 years, at a general level for 50 years before that, and their origins could likely be traced back more than 150 years to the works of people like John Stuart Mill. In the interests of winning as opposed to just playing games, let’s recognize the truth: principles are not enough to create winners. Figure 2. Meaning of win in sustainable transport: Get Real! Achieving Practices Achieving Practices Achieving Practices 5 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 7. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? People understand the importance of practice in order to be a winner in soccer, rugby, cricket, hockey, piano, and maybe even keyboarding. However, when it comes to transportation, a key element of every country’s economic, social, industrial, energy, environmental, health, and security fabric, many people appear to hope that transportation-related problems will resolve themselves. That do-nothing approach hasn’t worked anywhere at any time. For those who can answer “Yes” or want to answer “Yes” to the question, “Sustainable transport: Does anybody here know how to win this game?”, the next several slides illustrate what it will take to move beyond rhetoric and make things happen. Figure 3. Sustainable transport suggestion: City of Ottawa. Sustainable transport test. Being a winner in achieving sustainable transport practices requires a body of logic to guide and support decision-making. The City of Ottawa makes decisions in the same ways they have been made for the past 35 years. Top-of-the-head and seat-of-the-pants decision- making in the land use-transportation domain is the modus operandi of losers. To be a winner the City of Ottawa must apply a robust Sustainable Transport Test to its own initiatives, as well as to initiatives of the Province of Ontario and Government of Canada that affect the walk, cycle, transit, and private vehicle modes (people and freight) of transport in Ottawa. Figure 4. Sustainable transport suggestion: City of Ottawa. Annual achievement report. 6 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 8. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? The essence of achieving sustainable transport practices is to simultaneously increase the share of walk, cycle, and transit trips while decreasing the share of private motor vehicle trips. The time is long overdue for the City of Ottawa to produce a detailed yearly report on exactly what it has done and achieved regarding sustainable transport practices. Figure 5. Sustainable transport suggestion: Ottawa corporations. Annual achievement report. Corporations could do a lot more than they have to implement sustainable transport practices. It is past time for the private sector to demonstrate the can do-will do attitude necessary to achieve sustainable transport practices. Figure 6. Sustainable transport suggestion: Ottawa residents. Leave your cars at home, folks, leave your cars at home. 7 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 9. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? The notion that the transportation mess in Canada and Ottawa is “somebody else’s fault” is an exercise in denial. Worse, looking to governments or corporations to do most of the heavy lifting is fantasy. It has never happened, and there is no sign that it ever will; individuals must do what has to be done to achieve sustainable transport in practice. (The PowerPoint presentation to the Kiwanis Club of Ottawa on “Sustainable transport: Does anybody here know how to win this game?” can be viewed at transport2000.ca and www.geomatics.uottawa.ca) (Granddaughters) (Baseball Manager) (Football Coach) 8 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 10. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Background and Context Part 3 Some Recent Comments and Graphics by Barry Wellar on Sustainable Transport: Excerpts from the 2007 Fleming Lecture Association of American Geographers San Francisco Introduction to Background and Context Part 3 There are 46 PowerPoint slides in the Fleming Lecture address; 22 are selected as background for the Belfast NTWA presentation. Comments on Graphics in Background and Context Part 3 The text and the PowerPoint slide presentation of the Fleming Lecture are available, so the comments are limited to brief remarks that relate the Lecture to the Belfast address. Figure 7. It’s past time for a change! For almost 100 years the private motor vehicle (pmv) has dominated the urban transportation teeter totter. This graphic says “Whoa, there is a new day dawning”. Figure 8. Scenes for the video ‘Automobilitis’. 9 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 11. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Figure 9. How long does it take to get it right? Taking steps towards the end of the automobile era (Wellar, 1975) Housing for the future (Wellar, 1975) Hope springs eternal. After 30 years of sitting in the ST wilderness, Canadian cities are slowly grasping the basics of sustainable transport practices. Figure 10. Does anybody here understand the concept of half? While ideologues and spin doctors argue about the differences between half full and half empty, the fossil fuel gauge drops and the climate changes. 10 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 12. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Figure 11. Language, an excellent tool for separating ST losers and winners. Figure 12. The sustainable transport bandwagon is full only because tickets to ride are so easily obtained. 1. Sustainable Transport Test. 2. Integrated Land Use and Transportation System Planning and Development. 3. Smart Growth/New Urbanism. 4. Development and Adoption of a Pedestrian Charter. 5. Incorporating Time as a Criterion for Defining Sustainable Transport. 6. Incorporating the Geo-Factor in Sustainable Transport Measures. 7. Using Indexes for Decision Support. 8. Defining Road/Highway “Improvements” in Sustainable Transport Terms. 9. Implementing Measures to Simultaneously Increase Walk, Cycle, and Transit/Train Trips While Decreasing Trips by Private Motor Vehicle. The ST bar has been set too low for too long; this initial list of ST practices raises the bar and separates winners and losers in short order. Figure 13. Where are the sustainable transport tests? 11 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 13. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Tests have been applied in every walk of life for decades, even centuries, and the time is long overdue for sustainable transport tests in metropolitan regions, with emphasis on the climate change aspect. Figure 14. Bad sustainable transport practices occur by design! Let us recall that bad, worse, and worst sustainable transport practices are rooted in part in bad, worse, and worst land use planning and development practices. Figure 15. Sustainable transport practices still not clear? Maybe pictures will help. These images effectively illustrate the visual differences between less sustainable and more sustainable modes of transport. 12 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 14. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Figure 16. Sustainable transport practices begin with pedestrians. Recognition that pedestrians are first-class citizens of sustainable transport practices is long overdue, as are attitudes and instruments to transform recognition into reality. Figure 17. “In the fullness of time” from the television series “Yes, Minister”. “Absence of a time frame with set due dates has been central to sustainability avoidance strategies, and concepts like JIT for truck shipments are sheer spin; those forms of manipulation must be exposed, and then buried.” “Yes, Minister”. Figure 18. Geography, the overlooked dimension of intersection design for pedestrians. Direct Path Ped-Based Cross Walks Stop Bars 13 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 15. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Square Corners Channel Islands Basic geography calls for shortest paths for people who walk, and extended separation between oncoming vehicles and pedestrians in crosswalks. It is bizarre that these simple concepts have overwhelmed intersection designers for decades. Figure 19. Getting out the word on sustainability: Local media. Sustainable transport practices have little appeal to the ‘big’ media which prefer the sensational to the substantive. Look to community-based information outlets as earnest purveyors of the ST story. Figure 20. Look to children as the key people for achieving sustainable transport practices by design rather than by default. 14 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 16. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Changing older generations’ proclivity to drive at every opportunity is no easy task, but if change is to occur it appears evident that children must be the agents of change. Figure 21. Look to children to pressure adults about acting on climate change issues. The Doomsday Map concept has a 25-year history, and the Global Warming/Global Frying slide is from a presentation that I made in 1992 in Washington, DC. Over the past 25 years, children have asked more and better questions than adults about climate change, and cared more about the answers. Figure 22. A lament regarding ‘the great masses’. “As for the great masses They can be divided into two classes; Those for whom thinking is painful And those for whom it is impossible”. H.L. Mencken The final excerpt from the Fleming Lecture that I have selected for inclusion in this presentation is a quote by U.S. essayist and social commentator H.L. Mencken. I do not know whether Mr. Mencken was generalizing about the intellectual capacity of a population on all matters, or whether he was provoked by a particular incident. Either way, his words are cause for pause whenever a public initiative is contemplated in Canada, the United States, Northern Ireland, or anywhere else. 15 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 17. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Figure 23. A solution regarding ‘the great masses’. “Find ways to ease the burden of thinking in order to achieve the desired actions.” B. Wellar In the case of this Lecture, Mr. Mencken’s lament is taken as a piece of sage advice. That is, since I believe that the great masses are part of the sustainable transport problem, and are a driving part of the sustainable transport solution, the message that I take from Mr. Mencken is crystal clear. That is, rather than curse the darkness, light a candle; and, instead of cursing the dullards, the selfish, and the disinterested, try to make them an offer that they cannot refuse. Now there is a challenge to test anyone’s sustainability. (The PowerPoint presentation and the text of the 2007 Fleming Lecture, “Sustainable Transport Best Practices and Geography: Making Connections in Canada” can be viewed at transport2000.ca/ and via several links at geotrans.hofstra.edu/geotrans/tgsg.) A core message imbedded in the Background and Context materials is that the more you know about playing the sustainable transport game, the greater the likelihood that you can win the ST game. Or, to rephrase, achieving sustainable transport practices is a game of skill rather than of chance, so the better you understand the issues behind the problem the greater the prospects that you can obtain an effective, efficient, and equitable solution. With the argument in place that knowing the game underpins winning the game, it is now time to entertain the question that is the title of my remarks, Sustainable transport: Is there anybody here who can win this game? 16 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 18. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Answering the Question about Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game?” I am not going to name names or places, but I am going to do my best in a short span of time to make it clear why we need ST winners, what is involved in achieving the status of ST winner, and what it takes to become and remain an ST winner. The approach for this part of the presentation is to use graphics to highlight key points, and include brief comments to remind attendees of my comments on the graphics. Figure 24. Is there a cause-effect relationship between the transport sector and climate change? No less an authority than the Environment Commissioner of Canada has made the connection, with the industrial sector and the transport sector being ranked one-two as sources of greenhouse gases and contributors to climate change. Figure 25. Does the Canadian federal government agree that there is a cause-effect relationship between the transport sector and climate change? The Government of Canada (first the Liberals, now the Conservatives), ever a staunch supporter of economic expansion and industrial development which is largely driven by fossil fuel consumption across the country, agrees that transport is a major contributor to greenhouse gases and climate change. Figure 26. How does having a logical way of classifying practices help to become a sustainable transport winner? There are at least six classes of sustainable transport practice: worst, worse, bad, good, better, best. Governments, corporations, and people using this or a similar rating system could be ST winners because of their ability to intelligently match practices to policy, plan, program or strategic objectives. 17 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 19. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Figure 27. How can a record of performance promote progress in achieving sustainable transport best practices? As shown in Graphic 28, the ST practice record of Panacea, Ontario is there for everyone to see, monitor, evaluate, replicate, improve on, etc. A current study did not yield any city in Canada with such a record in place, but responses indicate that cities wanting to be on the winning ST side will implement such a record-tracking instrument. Figure 28. Experience of Panacea, Ontario with sustainable transport best practices. Sustainable Transport Year in Which Practice Practice Identified Adopted Implemented Integration of land use and 1974 1991 -------- transportation planning Application of sustainability test to transportation projects, 2006 -------- -------- planning applications, and rezoning applications Bike rack requirement at private 1993 2001 2005 commercial buildings and public facilities Signal activation by transmitters 1988 1999 2006 in city buses Application of Walking Security 1998 2004 -------- Index to assess intersection performance for pedestrians Use of traffic calming devices to 1983 1985 1987 promote walking and cycling Moratorium on road or 2000 2001 2003 intersection widening Restrictive motor idling by-law 1991 -------- -------- 18 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 20. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Figure 29. Good, better, best sustainable transport practices in urban metro regions: List 1. • Land use and transportation system integration based on walk, cycle, and transit as primary transport modes • Signal light priority given to pedestrians at intersections • Intersections designed to achieve safety, comfort, and convenience of pedestrians • Roundabouts designed to achieve safety, comfort, and convenience of pedestrians • Intersections designed to achieve safety, comfort, and convenience of cyclists • Roundabouts designed to achieve safety, comfort, and convenience of cyclists Figure 30. Good, better, best sustainable transport practices in urban metro regions: List 2. • Transit vehicles equipped to change signal lights • Transit vehicles given priority right-of-way to enter traffic lanes • As private motor vehicle use declines, roads and streets are removed from city networks and converted to alternative transport uses, or other land uses • Surface parking lots removed from areas served by transit • Moratorium imposed on road and street expenditures • Road maintenance budgets reduced to accelerate the shift from private motor vehicle to walk, cycle and transit modes Figure 31. Good, better, best sustainable transport practices in urban metro regions: List 3. • Sustainable transport test applied to transportation projects, official plan amendments, rezoning applications • Truck trailers loaded onto rail cars based on ST criteria • Standard for high occupancy vehicle (HOV) lanes set at 4, 5, and 6 or more occupants in a private motor vehicle • Standard for high efficiency vehicle (HEV) lanes set at 3 or more occupants • Strict, zero-tolerance enforcement of speed limits in school and community traffic zones 19 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 21. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Figure 32. Comment on lists of winning sustainable transport practices. Known sustainable transport good, better and best practices number in the hundreds, and many governments, corporations, and individuals embrace at least some of them. It is most likely that any jurisdiction that has implemented those listed above would be a leading contender for the Sustainable Transport Challenge Cup. Figure 33. Bad, worse, and worst sustainable transport practices in urban metro regions: List 1. • Uncontrolled ring roads built to increase speeds and reduce trip times • Intersections expanded to reduce private motor vehicle congestion • ‘Green’ private motor vehicle purchases subsidized • Hiring of transit operators who dislike people • Disconnected bike paths • Bike paths in structural disrepair Figure 34. Bad, worse, and worst sustainable transport practices in urban metro regions: List 2. • Construction of new inter-urban roads • Reducing budgets for maintenance of sidewalks and bicycle paths • Traffic signals timed to increase flow speeds of private motor vehicles • Lack of sidewalks along arterial roads • Inadequate sidewalk maintenance programs • Inadequate vehicle traffic enforcement • Tinted vehicle windshields and windows 20 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 22. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Figure 35. Bad, worse, and worst sustainable transport practices in urban metro regions: List 3. • Speed limits raised to appeal to vehicle operators • Free parking for private motor vehicles at shopping centres • Standard for ‘HOV’ lanes set at 2 occupants in a private motor vehicle • Roads widened to reduce congestion • Transit service reduced to balance the transport budget • Cutting transit fare subsidies for seniors and students Figure 36. Comment on lists of losing sustainable transport practices. You could write a book about transport practices that are designed to increase the share of urban metro region trips by private motor vehicle, and reduce trips by the walk, cycle and transit modes. Any jurisdiction that is marked by the practices listed in slides H, I, J would be quickly relegated to the LOSERS bracket in the Sustainable Transport Challenge Cup competition. Figure 37. Analysis of evidence based on share of trips by mode, Swagger, Ontario, 1990-2007: LOSER. % Share by Year Mode 90 91 92 93 94 95 04 05 06 07 Walk 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 Cycle 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 Transit 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 Private Motor 84 84 84 83 82 81 81 80 79 79 Vehicle 21 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 23. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Figure 38. Analysis of evidence, share of trips by mode, Exemplary, NI, 1990-2007: WINNER. % Share by Year Mode 90 91 92 93 94 95 04 05 06 07 Walk 10 12 14 16 16 17 22 23 24 25 Cycle 3 3 4 4 5 9 10 11 12 14 Transit 22 23 25 26 27 28 32 33 35 38 Private Motor 65 62 57 54 52 46 36 33 29 23 Vehicle Figure 39. Comment on analysis of evidence, share of trips by mode. There appears to be very little public information on regional, national or global losers and winners when it comes to identifying, adopting and implementing good, better and best sustainable transport practices. It seems highly likely, however, that most governments, corporations and individuals would rather be among the winners than the losers. Evidence along the above lines would greatly assist in separating sustainable transport performers from pretenders. As a modest contribution towards that end, over the past several months I conducted an informal survey of a selection of Canadian municipal and provincial governments, and federal agencies. The purposes of the survey included testing the instrument shown in Figure 28, and gaining a sense of how sustainable transport practices are perceived and treated by governments. Initial analyses suggest that the instrument does indeed help to separate pretenders from performers, and I invite its application in other venues. I would be pleased to compare notes. 22 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 24. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Conclusion Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Yes, Anyone Who Understands the consequences of losing the sustainable transport game Has the wits to win Has the will to win Has the powers of persuasion needed to achieve the win 23 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007
  • 25. Sustainable Transport: Is There Anybody Here Who Can Win This Game? Acknowledgements I wish to acknowledge the support that my sustainable transport research has received from Transport 2000 Canada, and from officials in a number of Canada’s municipal, provincial, and federal government departments and agencies. In addition, I am pleased to acknowledge the assistance of Sam Herold, a graduate student in the Laboratory for Applied Geomatics and Geographic Information Systems Science, University of Ottawa, in preparing the graphics for this document. Finally, a special thank you is due to Marjorie Wellar for editorial assistance. Achieving Practices Achieving Practices Achieving Practices 24 Barry Wellar National TRAVELWISE Association Conference Belfast, Northern Ireland, 8-9 November 2007