More Related Content Similar to COVID-19 Update (International): August 5, 2020 (13) More from Steve Shafer (20) COVID-19 Update (International): August 5, 20202. Italy
253,832
35,393
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Italy projection as of 2020-08-05
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
800
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 248,419 (190) -- Deaths: 35,171 (5) -- Case Mortality: 14.2% -- Daily Change: -0.6% Cases, -1.7% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 2
3. Spain
347,517
28,752
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Spain projection as of 2020-08-05
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
250
500
750
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 302,814 (5,760) -- Deaths: 28,752 (0) -- Case Mortality: 9.5% -- Daily Change: +8.7% Cases, +0.0% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 3
4. Portugal
56,800
1,843
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Portugal projection as of 2020-08-05
0
200
400
600
800
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 51,681 (112) -- Deaths: 1,739 (1) -- Case Mortality: 3.4% -- Daily Change: -3.8% Cases, -5.4% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 4
5. France
247,327
30,492
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
France projection as of 2020-08-05
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 228,576 (3,378) -- Deaths: 30,297 (29) -- Case Mortality: 13.3% -- Daily Change: +3.2% Cases, +5.8% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 5
6. Germany
225,775
9,277
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Germany projection as of 2020-08-05
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
0
100
200
300
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 212,828 (717) -- Deaths: 9,163 (9) -- Case Mortality: 4.3% -- Daily Change: +2.0% Cases, -0.4% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 6
7. Switzerland
38,703
2,004
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Switzerland projection as of 2020-08-05
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 35,746 (130) -- Deaths: 1,981 (0) -- Case Mortality: 5.5% -- Daily Change: +0.9% Cases, -10.1% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 7
8. Austria
24,362
731
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Austria projection as of 2020-08-05
0
200
400
600
800
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 21,481 (96) -- Deaths: 719 (1) -- Case Mortality: 3.3% -- Daily Change: -1.8% Cases, +6.2% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 8
9. Sweden
86,161
6,014
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Sweden projection as of 2020-08-05
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 81,181 (169) -- Deaths: 5,747 (3) -- Case Mortality: 7.1% -- Daily Change: +0.7% Cases, -8.1% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 9
10. Netherlands
60,824
6,224
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Netherlands projection as of 2020-08-05
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 56,279 (493) -- Deaths: 6,178 (0) -- Case Mortality: 11.0% -- Daily Change: +7.9% Cases, -9.7% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 10
11. United Kingdom
323,197
48,123
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
United Kingdom projection as of 2020-08-05
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 307,256 (5) -- Deaths: 46,295 (0) -- Case Mortality: 15.1% -- Daily Change: -1.2% Cases, -3.7% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 11
12. Iceland
1,986
10
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Iceland projection as of 2020-08-05
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,918 (3) -- Deaths: 10 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.5% -- Daily Change: +11.9% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 12
13. Canada
130,500
9,195
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Canada projection as of 2020-08-05
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 119,659 (686) -- Deaths: 9,005 (10) -- Case Mortality: 7.5% -- Daily Change: -2.4% Cases, +1.6% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 13
14. Australia
32,221
694
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Australia projection as of 2020-08-05
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 19,445 (715) -- Deaths: 247 (15) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: +3.4% Cases, +6.2% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 14
15. New Zealand
1,586
22
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Zealand projection as of 2020-08-05
0
20
40
60
80
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,569 (2) -- Deaths: 22 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: +9.2% Cases, +0.0% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 15
16. China
91,732
4,710
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
China projection as of 2020-08-05
0
2,000
4,000
0
100
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 88,206 (107) -- Deaths: 4,676 (4) -- Case Mortality: 5.3% -- Daily Change: -0.1% Cases, +9.4% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 16
17. Taiwan
507
7
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Taiwan projection as of 2020-08-05
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 476 (1) -- Deaths: 7 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: +0.7% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 17
18. South Korea
15,510
316
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Korea projection as of 2020-08-05
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 14,456 (33) -- Deaths: 302 (1) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -5.7% Cases, -4.1% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 18
19. Singapore
61,805
27
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Singapore projection as of 2020-08-05
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
20
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 53,346 (295) -- Deaths: 27 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.1% -- Daily Change: -1.6% Cases, +0.0% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 19
20. Japan
74,142
1,068
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Japan projection as of 2020-08-05
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 41,347 (1,248) -- Deaths: 1,023 (5) -- Case Mortality: 2.5% -- Daily Change: +4.9% Cases, +7.1% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 20
21. South Africa
883,900
23,947
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Africa projection as of 2020-08-05
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 521,318 (4,456) -- Deaths: 8,884 (345) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -4.7% Cases, -0.1% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 21
22. Israel
129,746
941
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Israel projection as of 2020-08-05
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
25
50
75
100
125
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 76,198 (1,768) -- Deaths: 561 (15) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: -1.3% Cases, +3.1% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 22
23. Turkey
256,396
6,257
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Turkey projection as of 2020-08-05
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 234,934 (1,083) -- Deaths: 5,765 (18) -- Case Mortality: 2.5% -- Daily Change: +0.9% Cases, +0.2% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 23
24. Lebanon
10,972
145
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Lebanon projection as of 2020-08-05
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 5,062 (0) -- Deaths: 65 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: -0.3% Cases, +1.8% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 24
25. Iran
378,020
25,690
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Iran projection as of 2020-08-05
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
0
50
100
150
200
250
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 314,786 (2,751) -- Deaths: 17,617 (212) -- Case Mortality: 5.6% -- Daily Change: +0.7% Cases, +0.1% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 25
26. Iraq
215,753
8,502
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Iraq projection as of 2020-08-05
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 134,722 (2,836) -- Deaths: 5,017 (83) -- Case Mortality: 3.7% -- Daily Change: +0.7% Cases, -1.2% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 26
27. Egypt
108,204
6,412
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Egypt projection as of 2020-08-05
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 94,752 (112) -- Deaths: 4,912 (24) -- Case Mortality: 5.2% -- Daily Change: -9.7% Cases, -2.9% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 27
28. Saudi Arabia
336,335
4,181
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Saudi Arabia projection as of 2020-08-05
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 281,456 (1,363) -- Deaths: 2,984 (35) -- Case Mortality: 1.1% -- Daily Change: -4.6% Cases, -1.8% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 28
29. Kuwait
85,309
574
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kuwait projection as of 2020-08-05
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 68,774 (475) -- Deaths: 465 (4) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: -2.7% Cases, +0.3% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 29
30. United Arab Emirates
68,217
378
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
United Arab Emirates projection as of 2020-08-05
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 61,352 (189) -- Deaths: 351 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.6% -- Daily Change: -2.0% Cases, -2.7% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 30
31. Oman
110,857
816
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Oman projection as of 2020-08-05
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 79,159 (0) -- Deaths: 421 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.5% -- Daily Change: -16.1% Cases, -9.2% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 31
32. Qatar
96,991
222
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Qatar projection as of 2020-08-05
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
25
50
75
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 111,538 (216) -- Deaths: 177 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.2% -- Daily Change: -5.0% Cases, +0.3% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 32
33. Bahrain
50,414
214
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Bahrain projection as of 2020-08-05
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 42,132 (297) -- Deaths: 151 (1) -- Case Mortality: 0.4% -- Daily Change: -2.0% Cases, -3.6% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 33
34. Brazil
4,180,922
133,816
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Brazil projection as of 2020-08-05
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,801,921 (51,603) -- Deaths: 95,819 (1,154) -- Case Mortality: 3.4% -- Daily Change: -1.7% Cases, -0.9% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 34
35. Chile
414,391
13,792
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Chile projection as of 2020-08-05
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
300
600
900
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 362,962 (1,469) -- Deaths: 9,745 (38) -- Case Mortality: 2.7% -- Daily Change: -1.7% Cases, -1.5% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 35
36. Colombia
588,639
28,289
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Colombia projection as of 2020-08-05
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
12,500
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 334,979 (7,129) -- Deaths: 11,315 (298) -- Case Mortality: 3.4% -- Daily Change: +2.2% Cases, +2.2% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 36
37. Peru
562,902
45,008
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Peru projection as of 2020-08-05
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 439,890 (6,790) -- Deaths: 20,007 (196) -- Case Mortality: 4.5% -- Daily Change: +6.2% Cases, -10.0% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 37
38. Mexico
657,411
72,059
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Mexico projection as of 2020-08-05
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 449,961 (6,148) -- Deaths: 48,869 (857) -- Case Mortality: 10.9% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, -0.7% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 38
39. Ukraine
102,549
2,381
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Ukraine projection as of 2020-08-05
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 75,880 (1,099) -- Deaths: 1,788 (26) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: +2.2% Cases, +1.2% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 39
40. Russia
1,002,427
18,835
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Russia projection as of 2020-08-05
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 859,762 (5,121) -- Deaths: 14,327 (144) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, -1.2% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 40
41. India
3,336,657
75,679
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
India projection as of 2020-08-05
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,908,254 (52,509) -- Deaths: 39,795 (857) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: +1.5% Cases, +1.0% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 41
42. Pakistan
309,184
6,949
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Pakistan projection as of 2020-08-05
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
0
100
200
300
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 280,461 (0) -- Deaths: 5,999 (0) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -6.9% Cases, -5.9% Deaths
2020-08-05 International: 42