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POL 303
Fall 2017
 Most common form of participation is voting.
 How often do people participate?
 To what extent?
 How much information relayed to candidates?
VOICE EXIT
LOYALTY NEGLECT
ACTIVE
PASSIVE
CONSTRUCTIVE DESTRUCTIVE
 U.S. rates have lagged behind those in
industrialized countries.
 Why might this be the case?
 Answers:
 Voting Not Compulsory
 Registration Laws
 Election Day is Weekday
Historical and Constitutional Barriers
Whites used several techniques
to disallow Blacks from voting.
This amendment to the U.S. Constitution gave women the right to vote.
This act prohibited unequal application of voter
registration requirements while banning discrimination
in public places and employment practices.
TheVRA eliminated past discriminatory practices,
like literacy tests and grandfather clauses.
Current Issue:VoterTurnout
 Competitiveness – “Battleground States”
 Voter Laws – Same-Day Registration
 Cultural Factors – Idea of “Dirty” Politics
 Demographic Factors – Mobility Rate
 Can “turnout” be operationalized?
 Age Older >Younger
 Gender Women > Men
 Income Richer > Poorer
 Education College Degree > HS Graduate
 Race and Ethnicity Mixed Evidence
Truman Dewey
Panel Study: Use a sample of the population and ask them
throughout campaign if their views have changed over time.
• Our voting decision takes places in a social context.
• Inherit partisanship from family and peers
• Strong pull when similar socio-economic status (SES) and religion
• Impact of political homogeneity
• What about “Cross-Pressured” voters?
 Political Socialization
 Party ID
 Political Attitudes
 Voting Decision
 How are attitudes formed?
 Feelings toward the
Democratic and
Republican candidates
 How well each party
manages government
 Group interests (“knows
people like me”)
 Domestic policy issues
 Foreign policy issues
 Voting based on past performance
 If you are the incumbent:
 Remember great things?
 “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”
 If you are the challenger:
 Remember problems?
 “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”
 Voting based off of future considerations
 If you are the incumbent:
 Plans for a new term
 What will future look like with challenger?
 If you are the challenger:
 Reject incumbent’s policies
 Vote for change
 Based on costs and benefits
 Voting Components:
 Probability ofVote Mattering (“P)
 Benefits ofVoting (“B”)
 Costs ofVoting (“C”)
 “Civic Duty” (“D”)
 Individuals weigh these items
and make their voting decision
POCKETBOOKVOTING SOCIOTROPICVOTING
Personal Finances
National Financial Health
(e.g. deficit)
Proportion of Sample Proportion ofVoters
Ideologues
2.5 3.5
Near-Ideologues
9 12
Group Interest
42 45
Nature of theTimes
24 22
No Conceptualization
22.5 17.5
Converse (1964). The Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics.
Table 1. 1956Voters, By Level of Conceptualization
Citizens’ political
knowledge hasn’t increased
in the last few decades.
 Party ID
 Interpersonal Communications
 The Media
 Idea of “Representativeness”
INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS
 Rationality
 Registration Laws
 Frequency of Elections
 Two-Party System
NON-INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS
 Voting is Habit-Forming
 Cynicism about Govt.
 Political Knowledge
 SES and Demographics
 Campaign Factors
 Legal Obstacles
 Attitude Changes
 Voter Mobilization
 Decrease in Social Connectedness
 Generational Changes
 The “Rational Nonvoter”

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Voter Turnout

  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.  Most common form of participation is voting.  How often do people participate?  To what extent?  How much information relayed to candidates?
  • 5.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.  U.S. rates have lagged behind those in industrialized countries.  Why might this be the case?  Answers:  Voting Not Compulsory  Registration Laws  Election Day is Weekday
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Whites used several techniques to disallow Blacks from voting.
  • 18. This amendment to the U.S. Constitution gave women the right to vote.
  • 19. This act prohibited unequal application of voter registration requirements while banning discrimination in public places and employment practices.
  • 20.
  • 21. TheVRA eliminated past discriminatory practices, like literacy tests and grandfather clauses.
  • 22.
  • 24.  Competitiveness – “Battleground States”  Voter Laws – Same-Day Registration  Cultural Factors – Idea of “Dirty” Politics  Demographic Factors – Mobility Rate
  • 25.  Can “turnout” be operationalized?
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.  Age Older >Younger  Gender Women > Men  Income Richer > Poorer  Education College Degree > HS Graduate  Race and Ethnicity Mixed Evidence
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. Truman Dewey Panel Study: Use a sample of the population and ask them throughout campaign if their views have changed over time.
  • 36. • Our voting decision takes places in a social context. • Inherit partisanship from family and peers • Strong pull when similar socio-economic status (SES) and religion • Impact of political homogeneity • What about “Cross-Pressured” voters?
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.  Political Socialization  Party ID  Political Attitudes  Voting Decision  How are attitudes formed?  Feelings toward the Democratic and Republican candidates  How well each party manages government  Group interests (“knows people like me”)  Domestic policy issues  Foreign policy issues
  • 40.  Voting based on past performance  If you are the incumbent:  Remember great things?  “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”  If you are the challenger:  Remember problems?  “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”
  • 41.  Voting based off of future considerations  If you are the incumbent:  Plans for a new term  What will future look like with challenger?  If you are the challenger:  Reject incumbent’s policies  Vote for change
  • 42.
  • 43.  Based on costs and benefits  Voting Components:  Probability ofVote Mattering (“P)  Benefits ofVoting (“B”)  Costs ofVoting (“C”)  “Civic Duty” (“D”)  Individuals weigh these items and make their voting decision
  • 45.
  • 46. Proportion of Sample Proportion ofVoters Ideologues 2.5 3.5 Near-Ideologues 9 12 Group Interest 42 45 Nature of theTimes 24 22 No Conceptualization 22.5 17.5 Converse (1964). The Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics. Table 1. 1956Voters, By Level of Conceptualization
  • 47. Citizens’ political knowledge hasn’t increased in the last few decades.
  • 48.  Party ID  Interpersonal Communications  The Media  Idea of “Representativeness”
  • 49.
  • 50. INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS  Rationality  Registration Laws  Frequency of Elections  Two-Party System NON-INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS  Voting is Habit-Forming  Cynicism about Govt.  Political Knowledge  SES and Demographics  Campaign Factors
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53.  Legal Obstacles  Attitude Changes  Voter Mobilization  Decrease in Social Connectedness  Generational Changes  The “Rational Nonvoter”