User requirements assessment to support the integrated risk management decision-making process
•
0 likes•544 views
Sara BOUCHON, Carmelo DIMAURO Risk Governance Solutions S.r.l., Italy, Republic of
Recommended
Recommended
More Related Content
Similar to User requirements assessment to support the integrated risk management decision-making process
Similar to User requirements assessment to support the integrated risk management decision-making process (11)
More from Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
More from Global Risk Forum GRFDavos (20)
Recently uploaded
Recently uploaded (20)
User requirements assessment to support the integrated risk management decision-making process
- 1. + Sara BOUCHON, Carmelo DI MAURO RGS Srl – Risk Governance Solutions User Requirements Assessment to Support the Integrated Risk Management decision-making process 4th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC "Integrative Risk Management in a Changing World - Pathways to a Resilient Society” 26-30 August 2012 Davos (CH)
- 2. Main issues 1. What are the main conceptual, technical and scientific issues raised by multi-risk assessment? 2. How are the decision-makers challenged by multi- risk situations on their territories? 3. How can the multi-risk approach support a more effective risk reduction process? © RGS S.r.l. 2012 2
- 3. Complexity of the territory: how to define a multi-risk situation? e.g. Multi-risk expressed as potential casualties e.g. Multi-risk expressed as potential economic losses CSI-Piemonte © RGS S.r.l. 2012 3
- 4. The Risk Management Decision-Making Process © RGS S.r.l. 2012 4
- 5. Multi-risk raises scientific and technical challenges Data availability and accuracy Multi-hazard assessment: different phenomenology, different frequency, different magnitudes of impact. Multi-vulnerability assessment: different targets, different impacts, different consequences Multi-risk analysis: level of aggregation/disaggregation of risks Multi-risk assessment: comparison and prioritization © RGS S.r.l. 2012 5
- 6. Multi-risk assessment is a “support” to the decision-makers Requirements Stake Consultation holders Decision- maker Scientific Experts Support Requirements © RGS S.r.l. 2012 6
- 7. De c is DSS info at the detailed scale io St n- ra m te ak gi in ca g Risk Assessment Pr lE GRID 20m x 20m oc va es lu s at io n Pr 1st level aggregated GRID Te oc ch 200m x 200m e nic ss al Sp & ec Ag iali stic 2nd level aggregated GRID gr Pro eg 500m x 500m ce ss at io n Pr 3rd level aggregated GRID oc 1000m x 1000m es DSS at the large scale s © RGS S.r.l. 2012 7
- 8. Main issues 1. What are the main conceptual, technical and scientific issues raised by multi-risk assessment? 2. How are the decision-makers challenged by multi- risk situations on their territories? 3. How can the multi-risk approach support a more effective risk reduction process? © RGS S.r.l. 2012 8
Editor's Notes
- Multirisk can be defined as: a combination in space of multiple hazard sources and multiple vulnerable elements Multirisk can be expressed in different ways, following the types of consequences considered, eg potential casualties or economic losses First issue to address when dealing with multirisk is CONCEPTUAL: What do I mean when I speak about multirisk? In particular, decision makers need to raise this question: how will they define multirisk in a way to capture the complexity of the territory they are managing?
- Answer to this question should happen at a very early stage of the risk management decision-making process (Identification of goals) The decision making process is challenged by two major issues: It entails different steps from the risk analysis to the risk evaluation and the definition of risk reduction strategies. Each step requires a specific set of information: for instance if the decision maker has to decide between reducing the susceptibility of exposed targets or increasing the coping capacities, he will need for instance to understand how the susceptibility (e.g. the building robustness to earthquakes and floods) impact the final risk as well as understanding how the coping capacities (e.g. training of population) help reducing the risk. Besides he must be able to understand this information. Second challenge is the involvement of different stakeholders and the necessity to reach consensus. eg earthquake/floods in Italy = this decision making process requires adequate support from tehcnical and scientific community
- From the technico- scientific standpoint the challenges raised by a multirisk approach are often seen as technical problems: Data availability Technical issues are so complex and challenging, that the risk for the scientific community is to end up woorking on multirisk addressing it only as a technical issue. BUT Multi-risk assessment should not be seen as and end to itself but as a way to support the DM process.
- Iterative