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THANK
YOU
7th Conference for Diabetes in Upper Egypt
‫التاريخ‬ ‫مصر‬ ‫اسم‬ ‫على‬
‫يشاء‬ ‫ما‬ ‫يقول‬ ‫يقدر‬
‫و‬ ‫أحب‬ ‫عندي‬ ‫مصر‬ ‫أنا‬
‫األشياء‬ ‫أجمل‬
Watching Elephants Fly
conflict of Interest Declaration
No other conflicts to report
and I dislike pharaohsI like Tahreer Square
7th Conference for Diabetes in Upper Egypt
Does reduction of hyperglycemia reduce
the risk of cardiovascular disease?
No
Yes
Does reduction of hyperglycemia reduce
the risk of cardiovascular disease?
Maybe no
Maybe yes,
but
9
Why Care
Risk reduction
of CVD in
diabetics
?
Can we prevent CVD risk in diabetics
Risk reduction of CVD in diabetics
Primary prevention of diabetes
.
- Hypertension
- Dsylipidemia
- Obesity
- Microalbuminuria
- Smoking
- Sedentary lifestyle
- Diet
Risk reduction of CVD in diabetics
- Hyperglycemia
Targeting all risk factors:
Rationale For Intensive Glycemic
Control To Reduce CV Risk
Does hyperglycemia increase the
risk of cardiovascular disease?
Does reduction of hyperglycemia reduce the
risk of cardiovascular disease?
What is the Evidence?
What is the
Evidence?
HbA1c and Coronary Risk in the EPIC Study
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
5 5.5 6 6.5 >7 DM
Men Women
Khaw et al Ann Int Med 2004;141:413-420
RR
Does reduction
of hyperglycemia
reduce the risk of
cardiovascular
disease?
1- DCCT Study
2- EDIC Study
Glycemic Control and Prevention of
Complications in type 1 diabetes
Why Doesn’t
Glucose Reduction
Lower the Risk of
Macrovascular
Disease?
winston churchill
122 kg
Lazy
Legendary gluttony
Smoker
Died age 90
68 kg
Marathon runner
Healthy lifestyle promoter
Died MI,age 52(while
running)
Father died MI age 42
Jim Fixx
Steno-2
Why Doesn’t
Glucose
Reduction Lower
the Risk of
Macrovascular
Disease?
Would more
intensive glucose
control (targeting
6-6.5%) or longer
follow-up result
in decreased CV
complications?
Would longer
follow-up
result in decreased
CV complications?
“All Good
Things Come
to Those
Who Wait”
EDIC Study
NEJ MED
JAN - 2006
DCCT/EDIC: Intensive glucose control associated
with reduced long-term CV risk
DCCT/EDIC Study Research Group.
N Engl J Med. 2005;353:2643-53.
Any initial
CV event*
Time (years)
N = 1441 with type 1 diabetes, mean baseline age 27
42% Risk
(9%–63%)
P = 0.02
57% Risk
(12%–79%)
P = 0.02
CV death,
nonfatal MI,
stroke*
52 events
31 events
25 events
11 events
0
0.12
0.08
0.10
0.06
0.04
0.02
0 5 10 15 20
0
0.12
0.08
0.10
0.06
0.04
0.02
0 5 10 15 20
DCCT
ends
DCCT
endsA1C 7.4% vs 9.1%
Conventional Intensive
Would more
intensive
result in
decreased CV
complications?
 ACCORD TRIAL.
 ADVANCE TRIAL.
 VADT
Glycemic control and CHD
A tale of three studies
Intensive glycemic arm of ACCORD
stopped
February 7, 2008
ACCORD & ADVANCE: Differences
ACCORD ADVANCE
Baseline A1C 8.1 7.2
Months to final A1c 12 36
Treatment
Insulin 66% 33%
TZD 75% 14%
ACCORD & ADVANCE: Differences
ACCORD ADVANCE
Weight Gain (kg)
Intensive 3.5 0.0
Standard 0.4 -1.0
Severe Hypoglycemia
Intensive 16.2% 2.7%
Standard 5.1% 1.5%
THANK YOU FOR TRYING TO STAY
AWAKE
has confused me
as to the
relationship of
glucose control
and heart
disease
The ACCORD study
• Drug-drug interaction
• Imperfect glucose-
lowering drugs
• Weight gain
• Hypoglycemia
Potential causes of increased mortality
during intensified therapy
ACCORD:
putting the
results into
perspective
One size fits all
Was Mao correct?
One size fits all
One size fits all
With different sizes
One size doesn’t fit all
There has been recent change from
“standerdized” to “personalized”
approaches
One size doesn’t fit all
Big change from one size fits all
Subgroup analysis
Paradise and small details
The good
physician treats
the disease; the
great physician
treats the patient
who has the
disease.
William Osler
12 July 1849 – 29 December 1919
1. Different subgroups may need different
goals
2. Randomized controlled trial subgroup
analysis
3. It may be rational to treat specific
patients at specific times
Subgroup approach
Blood Pressure, Lipids and
Glucose in Type 2 Diabetes
How Low Should We Go
European Heart Journal. Sep 2011
Re-Discovering Personalized Care
Recent clinical trials have suggested that
some patient subgroups might
respond differently to aggressive risk
factor management. Our challenge is
how to identify these patients and
deliver truly personalized diabetes care
that maximizes benefit and minimizes
harm
Blood Pressure, Lipids and Glucose in Type 2 Diabetes
How Low Should We Go? Re-Discovering Personalized Care
European Heart Journal. Sep 2011
Subgroup analysis
HR p- value
Prior known CVD 3,116 <0.01
Age 2,090 <0.01
HDL-Cholestrol 0,699 0.01
HbA1c 1.213 0.02
Hypoglycemic epesodes 4,042 0.01
VADT: CVD martality predictors
- Patients had longest duration since diabetes
diagnosis at baseline (>10 years)
- Had highest baseline HbA1c concentrations
- Greater risk of hypoglycemia
. ACCORD & VADT mortality, but:
Can we make
sense of recent
outcome trials in
type 2 diabetes?
• End point HR(95% Cl)
• MACE 0.91(0.84-0.99)
• MI 0.85(0.76-0.94)
• Stroke 0.96(0.83- 1.10)
• CVD death 1.10(0.84-1.42)
• All-cause mortality 1.04(0.9-1.2)
Overall odds ratios for clinical end
points in meta-analysis
Glycemic Control & CVD: meta-analysis
•CVD death 1.10(0.84-1.42)
•All-cause mortality 1.04(0.9-1.2)
Diabetologia 2009
MACE=CVD non-fatal MI, non-fatal stroke
Subgroup analysis
Pre-specified
subgroups
More
intensive
Less
intensive
Hazard ratio
(95% CD)
p value for test
of difference
Sex
Male
Female
Age
<65 years
≥65 years
HbA1c
<7.5%
7.5% - 8.5%
>8.5%
Duration of diabetes
<5 years
5 – 10 years
>10 years
History of macrovascular disease
Present
Absent
8,870/849
5,450/345
7,940/851
4,789/325
8,937/573
5,383/621
7,338/518
5,391/658
5,891/423
4,392/343
3,785/406
4,906/405
4,119/376
3,570/389
4,910/334
2,218/249
2,053/257
3,314/279
2,222/248
2,060/276
3,974/555
10,346/639
3,947/544
8,782/632
1,523/222
12,554/940
1,595/223
10,891/917
0.90 (0.82 – 0.99)
0.94 (0.81 – 1.10)
0.89 (0.79 – 1.01)
0.93 (0.83 – 1.04)
0.83 (0.64 – 1.06)
0.84 (0.73 – 0.98)
0.99 (0.86 – 1.14)
0.84 (0.71 – 0.98)
1.00 (0.84 – 1.20)
0.93 (0.78 – 1.10)
1.00 (0.89 – 1.13)
0.84 (0.75 – 0.94)
History of microvascular disease
Present
Absent
1.02 (0.85 – 1.23)
0.89 (0.81 – 0.98)
0.19
0.04
0.32
0.22
0.64
0.64
Favours more
intensive
0.5 2.01.0
Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Favours less
intensive
Diabetologia 2009
Effects of more- vs less-intensive glycaemic control
on CV events by participant group
Subgroup
analysis
History of macrovascular disease
Present
Absent
1.00 (0.89 – 1.13)
0.84 (0.75 – 0.94)
3,974/555
10,346/639
3,947/544
8,782/632
Favours more
intensive
0.5 2.01.0
Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Favours less
intensive
Diabetologia 2009
Duration of diabetes
<5 years
5 – 10 years
>10 years
4,910/334
2,218/249
2,053/257
3,314/279
2,222/248
2,060/276
0.84 (0.71 – 0.98)
1.00 (0.84 – 1.20)
0.93 (0.78 – 1.10)
Effects of more- vs less-intensive glycaemic
control on CV events
Subgroup
analysis
Diagnosis
[UKPDS]
Early treatment should emphasise glucose
control and prevention of vascular
disease
Age, vascular complications
[ACCORD, ADVANCE, VADT]
Diagnosis
Later treatment should emphasise
non-glycaemic risk factors
Clinically apparent
vascular disease
No vascular disease
Disabling
vascular disease
PRIMARY
prevention
SECONDARY
prevention
GLUCOSE
BP, Lipids
What did we learn from
the recent megatrials?
● timing: short disease duration
● baseline HbA1c value: 7.5- 8.0%
● age of patient: young/middle aged
● speed and degree of glycemic control: gradual lowering
of HbA1c, and a target HbA1c between 6.5– 7.0%
● co-morbidity: absence of overt CVD of multiple CVD risk factors.
● patient-specific conditions: education, finance and family support.
Criteria in favour of intensive glycemic control
MY Take
Home
Message:
Was Mao correct?
MY Take Home Message:
THANK
YOU
‫شكرا‬
THANK YOU

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ueda2012 reducing risk of cardiovascular diseases-d.nabil

  • 1.
  • 2. THANK YOU 7th Conference for Diabetes in Upper Egypt
  • 3. ‫التاريخ‬ ‫مصر‬ ‫اسم‬ ‫على‬ ‫يشاء‬ ‫ما‬ ‫يقول‬ ‫يقدر‬ ‫و‬ ‫أحب‬ ‫عندي‬ ‫مصر‬ ‫أنا‬ ‫األشياء‬ ‫أجمل‬
  • 5.
  • 6. conflict of Interest Declaration No other conflicts to report and I dislike pharaohsI like Tahreer Square 7th Conference for Diabetes in Upper Egypt
  • 7. Does reduction of hyperglycemia reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease? No Yes
  • 8. Does reduction of hyperglycemia reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease? Maybe no Maybe yes, but
  • 9. 9 Why Care Risk reduction of CVD in diabetics ?
  • 10.
  • 11. Can we prevent CVD risk in diabetics
  • 12. Risk reduction of CVD in diabetics Primary prevention of diabetes
  • 13. . - Hypertension - Dsylipidemia - Obesity - Microalbuminuria - Smoking - Sedentary lifestyle - Diet Risk reduction of CVD in diabetics - Hyperglycemia Targeting all risk factors:
  • 14. Rationale For Intensive Glycemic Control To Reduce CV Risk Does hyperglycemia increase the risk of cardiovascular disease? Does reduction of hyperglycemia reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease? What is the Evidence?
  • 16. HbA1c and Coronary Risk in the EPIC Study 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 5 5.5 6 6.5 >7 DM Men Women Khaw et al Ann Int Med 2004;141:413-420 RR
  • 17. Does reduction of hyperglycemia reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease?
  • 18. 1- DCCT Study 2- EDIC Study Glycemic Control and Prevention of Complications in type 1 diabetes
  • 19.
  • 20. Why Doesn’t Glucose Reduction Lower the Risk of Macrovascular Disease?
  • 21. winston churchill 122 kg Lazy Legendary gluttony Smoker Died age 90 68 kg Marathon runner Healthy lifestyle promoter Died MI,age 52(while running) Father died MI age 42 Jim Fixx
  • 22.
  • 24.
  • 25. Why Doesn’t Glucose Reduction Lower the Risk of Macrovascular Disease?
  • 26. Would more intensive glucose control (targeting 6-6.5%) or longer follow-up result in decreased CV complications?
  • 27. Would longer follow-up result in decreased CV complications?
  • 28. “All Good Things Come to Those Who Wait”
  • 30. DCCT/EDIC: Intensive glucose control associated with reduced long-term CV risk DCCT/EDIC Study Research Group. N Engl J Med. 2005;353:2643-53. Any initial CV event* Time (years) N = 1441 with type 1 diabetes, mean baseline age 27 42% Risk (9%–63%) P = 0.02 57% Risk (12%–79%) P = 0.02 CV death, nonfatal MI, stroke* 52 events 31 events 25 events 11 events 0 0.12 0.08 0.10 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 5 10 15 20 0 0.12 0.08 0.10 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 5 10 15 20 DCCT ends DCCT endsA1C 7.4% vs 9.1% Conventional Intensive
  • 31.
  • 33.  ACCORD TRIAL.  ADVANCE TRIAL.  VADT Glycemic control and CHD A tale of three studies
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. Intensive glycemic arm of ACCORD stopped February 7, 2008
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. ACCORD & ADVANCE: Differences ACCORD ADVANCE Baseline A1C 8.1 7.2 Months to final A1c 12 36 Treatment Insulin 66% 33% TZD 75% 14%
  • 40. ACCORD & ADVANCE: Differences ACCORD ADVANCE Weight Gain (kg) Intensive 3.5 0.0 Standard 0.4 -1.0 Severe Hypoglycemia Intensive 16.2% 2.7% Standard 5.1% 1.5%
  • 41. THANK YOU FOR TRYING TO STAY AWAKE
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46. has confused me as to the relationship of glucose control and heart disease The ACCORD study
  • 47. • Drug-drug interaction • Imperfect glucose- lowering drugs • Weight gain • Hypoglycemia Potential causes of increased mortality during intensified therapy
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 55.
  • 58. There has been recent change from “standerdized” to “personalized” approaches One size doesn’t fit all Big change from one size fits all
  • 59.
  • 62. The good physician treats the disease; the great physician treats the patient who has the disease. William Osler 12 July 1849 – 29 December 1919
  • 63. 1. Different subgroups may need different goals 2. Randomized controlled trial subgroup analysis 3. It may be rational to treat specific patients at specific times Subgroup approach
  • 64. Blood Pressure, Lipids and Glucose in Type 2 Diabetes How Low Should We Go European Heart Journal. Sep 2011 Re-Discovering Personalized Care
  • 65. Recent clinical trials have suggested that some patient subgroups might respond differently to aggressive risk factor management. Our challenge is how to identify these patients and deliver truly personalized diabetes care that maximizes benefit and minimizes harm Blood Pressure, Lipids and Glucose in Type 2 Diabetes How Low Should We Go? Re-Discovering Personalized Care European Heart Journal. Sep 2011
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69. HR p- value Prior known CVD 3,116 <0.01 Age 2,090 <0.01 HDL-Cholestrol 0,699 0.01 HbA1c 1.213 0.02 Hypoglycemic epesodes 4,042 0.01 VADT: CVD martality predictors
  • 70. - Patients had longest duration since diabetes diagnosis at baseline (>10 years) - Had highest baseline HbA1c concentrations - Greater risk of hypoglycemia . ACCORD & VADT mortality, but:
  • 71. Can we make sense of recent outcome trials in type 2 diabetes?
  • 72. • End point HR(95% Cl) • MACE 0.91(0.84-0.99) • MI 0.85(0.76-0.94) • Stroke 0.96(0.83- 1.10) • CVD death 1.10(0.84-1.42) • All-cause mortality 1.04(0.9-1.2) Overall odds ratios for clinical end points in meta-analysis Glycemic Control & CVD: meta-analysis •CVD death 1.10(0.84-1.42) •All-cause mortality 1.04(0.9-1.2) Diabetologia 2009 MACE=CVD non-fatal MI, non-fatal stroke
  • 74. Pre-specified subgroups More intensive Less intensive Hazard ratio (95% CD) p value for test of difference Sex Male Female Age <65 years ≥65 years HbA1c <7.5% 7.5% - 8.5% >8.5% Duration of diabetes <5 years 5 – 10 years >10 years History of macrovascular disease Present Absent 8,870/849 5,450/345 7,940/851 4,789/325 8,937/573 5,383/621 7,338/518 5,391/658 5,891/423 4,392/343 3,785/406 4,906/405 4,119/376 3,570/389 4,910/334 2,218/249 2,053/257 3,314/279 2,222/248 2,060/276 3,974/555 10,346/639 3,947/544 8,782/632 1,523/222 12,554/940 1,595/223 10,891/917 0.90 (0.82 – 0.99) 0.94 (0.81 – 1.10) 0.89 (0.79 – 1.01) 0.93 (0.83 – 1.04) 0.83 (0.64 – 1.06) 0.84 (0.73 – 0.98) 0.99 (0.86 – 1.14) 0.84 (0.71 – 0.98) 1.00 (0.84 – 1.20) 0.93 (0.78 – 1.10) 1.00 (0.89 – 1.13) 0.84 (0.75 – 0.94) History of microvascular disease Present Absent 1.02 (0.85 – 1.23) 0.89 (0.81 – 0.98) 0.19 0.04 0.32 0.22 0.64 0.64 Favours more intensive 0.5 2.01.0 Hazard ratio (95% CI) Favours less intensive Diabetologia 2009 Effects of more- vs less-intensive glycaemic control on CV events by participant group Subgroup analysis
  • 75. History of macrovascular disease Present Absent 1.00 (0.89 – 1.13) 0.84 (0.75 – 0.94) 3,974/555 10,346/639 3,947/544 8,782/632 Favours more intensive 0.5 2.01.0 Hazard ratio (95% CI) Favours less intensive Diabetologia 2009 Duration of diabetes <5 years 5 – 10 years >10 years 4,910/334 2,218/249 2,053/257 3,314/279 2,222/248 2,060/276 0.84 (0.71 – 0.98) 1.00 (0.84 – 1.20) 0.93 (0.78 – 1.10) Effects of more- vs less-intensive glycaemic control on CV events Subgroup analysis
  • 76. Diagnosis [UKPDS] Early treatment should emphasise glucose control and prevention of vascular disease
  • 77. Age, vascular complications [ACCORD, ADVANCE, VADT] Diagnosis Later treatment should emphasise non-glycaemic risk factors
  • 78. Clinically apparent vascular disease No vascular disease Disabling vascular disease PRIMARY prevention SECONDARY prevention GLUCOSE BP, Lipids
  • 79.
  • 80. What did we learn from the recent megatrials?
  • 81.
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  • 88. ● timing: short disease duration ● baseline HbA1c value: 7.5- 8.0% ● age of patient: young/middle aged ● speed and degree of glycemic control: gradual lowering of HbA1c, and a target HbA1c between 6.5– 7.0% ● co-morbidity: absence of overt CVD of multiple CVD risk factors. ● patient-specific conditions: education, finance and family support. Criteria in favour of intensive glycemic control
  • 89.
  • 92. MY Take Home Message: