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AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND
POLICY
Dr. Horace Phiri
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
LECTURE 2
GAINS FROM TRADE
TODAY’S PLAN
1. Introduce international economics
2. Introduce the general equilibrium model of international
trade
3. Use the small country model to understand opportunity
costs and the gains from trade
4. Use the two-country model to understand gains from
trade
What is international economics?
• International economics is a field of study which
assesses the implications of international trade in
goods and services and international investment
• It has two broad sub categories
– International Trade
– International Finance
What is international trade?
• International trade is a field in economics that
applies microeconomic models to help understand
the international economy.
• Its content includes supply and demand analysis,
firm and consumer behavior, market structures,
and the effects of market distortions.
• The objective of an international trade course is to
understand the effects on individuals and
businesses because of international trade itself
What is international finance?
• International finance applies macroeconomic
models to help understand the international
economy.
• Its focus is on the interrelationships between
aggregate economic variables such as GDP,
unemployment rates, inflation rates, trade
balances, exchange rates, interest rates, etc.
Some Terminology
• Two extreme states or conditions could potentially
be created by national government policies.
• At one extreme, a government could pursue a
"laissez faire" policy with respect to trade and thus
impose no regulation whatsoever that would
impede (or encourage) the free voluntary
exchange of goods between nations. We define
this condition as free trade.
• At the other extreme, a government could
impose such restrictive regulations on trade
as to eliminate all incentive for international
trade.
• We define this condition in which no
international trade occurs as national
autarky. Autarky represents a state of
isolationism
• Probably, a pure state of free trade or autarky has
never existed in the real world. All nations impose
some form of trade policies.
• And probably no government has ever had such
complete control over economic activity as to
eliminate cross-border trade entirely.
• Most policy discussions are not about whether
governments should pursue one of these two
extremes.
• Instead, discussions focus on which direction a
country should move along the trade spectrum
• A movement in the direction of autarky occurs
whenever a new trade policy is implemented if it
further restricts the free flow of goods and services
between countries.
• Since new trade policies invariably benefit
domestic industries by reducing international
competition, it is also referred to as protectionism
The “Small-Country” General Equilibrium Model
• The small-country model assumes that the actions of its
citizens have no noticeable effects on foreign prices or the
quantities produced by foreign industries.
• The model’s general equilibrium nature means that it traces
the effects of an economic change to all sectors of the
domestic economy.
• To enable us to use two-dimensional diagrams, the model
assumes that there are just two industries in the economy.
• The model uses a production possibilities frontier to
represent the supply side of the economy.
• It uses indifference curves to represent consumer
preferences and the demand side of the economy.
The Small-Country General Equilibrium Model
• The model uses a
production possibilities
frontier (PPF) to represent
the supply side of the
economy
• The PPF is “bowed out” to
reflect increasing costs
• The PPF tells us how
much of one good we
must sacrifice in order to
make available the
resources to produce one
more of the other good
PPF
Food
0 100 200 300 350 400 Clothing
200
300
100
400
350
What determines the location and
shape of the PPF?
• The PPF can be drawn with information on
resources and technology (endowments and
production functions).
• It is about what is possible, not what occurs.
• The PPF is bowed out if opportunity costs
are increasing.
Will the economy operate on the
PPF?
• That is a question about market outcomes.
• Opportunity cost is another name for relative
marginal costs.
• Firms respond to product prices – do prices reflect
marginal costs?
• If firms are competitive, and there are no
distortions in the economy, the economy will
operate on the PPF. (Remember P=MR=MC)
The Small-Country General Equilibrium Model
• If efficient, a closed
(autarky) economy
produces and consumes
at points located on the
PPF.
• The points B, C, and D
are all attainable.
• Note that the point D
implies that not all
available resources and
technology are being
exploited.
• The point A outside the
PPF is not feasible.
PPF
Food
0 100 200 300 350 400 Clothing
200
300
100
400
• A
350
C
B
D•
The Small-Country General Equilibrium Model
• The welfare-maximizing
production/consumption
combination is at the point
where the PPF and the
indifference curves have the
same slope.
• The tangency between the
PPF and the indifference
curve at A is the point where
the opportunity costs of
producing food and clothing
are equal to the relative
marginal benefits from
consuming food and clothing.
A
Food
p
0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing
I1 I2
I3
200
300
100
400
Conditions for autarky equilibrium
• Producers must be happy producing what they are
producing: Px/PY=MRTS – relative price of X
equals opportunity cost in production.
• Consumers must be happy consuming what they
are consuming: Px/PY=MRS – relative price of X
equals the marginal rate of substitution.
• Market clearance: supply equals demand.
The Gains from Trade
• If the world price ratio is
different from the domestic
price ratio p, an open
economy can use foreign
trade to reach consumption
points outside its PPF.
• The diagram shows the
consumption possibilities
line (CPL) whose slope
reflects the world price
ratio.
• A small open economy that
continues to produce at A
can consume anywhere
along the CPL.
A
Food
CPL
p
0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing
200
300
100
400 P
I1 I2
The Gains from Trade – exchange only
• Given the bundle of food
and clothing produced at A,
welfare maximization will
take consumers to point B,
the tangency between the
indifference curve and the
CPL.
• At B, the relative marginal
gains from consuming food
and clothing are equal to the
world price ratio.
• The trade triangle connects
points A and B.
A
Food
CPL1
p
0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing
I2 I3
200
300
100
400
C
B
CPL2
The Gains from Trade – adding specialization
• An open economy can
achieve further gains from
trade by specializing.
• By shifting production
from A to P, a higher CPL
can be reached.
• Given production and
income generated at P,
consumers choose to
consume at point C.
A
Food
CPL1
p
0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing
I2
I3 I4
200
300
100
400
C
B
P
CPL2
D
The Gains from Trade
• The combination of
exchange and specialization
takes the country to a higher
welfare level.
• Compare the smaller
exchange-only trade triangle
connecting points A and B
with the trade and
specialization trade triangle
connecting points P and C.
• With exchange and
specialization, a higher
indifference curve comes
within reach.
A
Food
CPL1
p
0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing
I1 I2
I3 I4
200
300
100
400
C
B
P
CPL2
D
What do economists mean by gains?
• These indifference curves are fictions. There is no
easy way to compare the “goodness” of different
aggregate bundles.
• Clearly distribution matters, but it is ignored in
this analysis.
• When we say gains we mean consumption
possibilities.
• Market responses to trade imply overall gains but
individual winners and losers.
• Economics helps you figure out who these are!
Summarizing the Results of the Simple Two-Good Model
• When relative prices (opportunity costs) of goods
are not the same at home and abroad, countries can
increase national welfare by engaging in
international trade.
• The gains from exchange are the result of domestic
consumers substituting the relatively cheaper foreign
products for the relatively more expensive domestic
products.
• The gains from specialization are the gains from
shifting domestic resources away from producing
products that are relatively cheaper overseas to those
products that are relatively more expensive overseas.
• An economy can enjoy the
gains from exchange
without specializing, but it
cannot enjoy the gains from
specialization without
trading.
• Merely shifting production
to P only reduces welfare, as
evidenced by the lower
indifference curve passing
through P.
• It takes exchange to get to C
and the higher indifference
curve.
A
Food
CPL1
p
0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing
I1 I2
I3 I4
200
300
100
400
C
B
P
CPL2
D
There Are No Gains from Specialization Without Exchange
The Two-Country General Equilibrium Model
• The small-country model can only tell us how one country
is affected by international trade.
• This assumes that there are no effects on the rest of the
world. More importantly, it doesn’t tell us why relative
prices differ.
• In general, international trade causes changes in prices and
shifts in resources both at home and abroad.
• We therefore develop a two-country general equilibrium
model that explains trade between two countries and
describes the many changes that occur in both countries as
a result of the opening up of trade.
Suppose there are two countries, each with its own unique PPF
Homeland Abroad
I1 I2 I3
A
A*
p
p*
Food Food
Clothing Clothing
I1 I2 I3
Trade between the two countries will cause each country’s relative prices
to move in the direction of the other country’s realtive price ratio:
Homeland Abroad
I1 I2 I3
A
C
p
p*
C*
A*
pW
pW
Food Food
Clothing Clothing
I1 I2 I3
In the absence of barriers to trade or transport costs, trade will grow
until the price ratios have become equal in both countries, as
illustrated by the common price line Pw:
Homeland Abroad
I1 I2 I3
A
C
P
P*
C*
A*
pW
pW
Food Food
Clothing Clothing
I1 I2 I3
Production shifts to P and P*, respectively, and consumption shifts
to C and C* in each country. Welfare rises in both countries:
Homeland Abroad
I1 I2 I3
A
C
P
P*
C*
A*
pW
pW
Food Food
Clothing Clothing
I1 I2 I3
Figure 3-9
Two-Country Model: The Free Trade Triangles
Homeland Abroad
I1 I2 I3
A
C
P
P*
C*
A*
exports
imports
e
x
p
i
m
p
pW
pW
Food Food
Clothing Clothing
I1 I2 I3
The 2-Country General Equilibrium Model
• The two-country model
shows that both countries
gain from trade; each
reaches a higher
indifference curve.
• Each country specializes
in producing products for
which it has the lower
opportunity costs.
• One country’s exports are
the other’s imports.
• Relative prices are
equalized across both
countries.
Homeland Abroad
I1 I2 I3
A
C
P
P*
C*
A*
exports
imports
e
x
p
i
m
p
pW
pW
Food Food
Clothing Clothing
I1 I2 I3
Why do opportunity costs differ?
• Technological differences
• Differences in factor proportions
• Differences in tastes
• Does country size matter? It doesn’t if there
are no scale economies and tastes are
“homothetic.”
• When will size matter? Is that important?
• We will spend the next 4 weeks analyzing
what causes the differences in costs and in
so doing explaining why trade takes place
between countries

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The Gains from Trade

  • 1. AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND POLICY Dr. Horace Phiri Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics LECTURE 2 GAINS FROM TRADE
  • 2. TODAY’S PLAN 1. Introduce international economics 2. Introduce the general equilibrium model of international trade 3. Use the small country model to understand opportunity costs and the gains from trade 4. Use the two-country model to understand gains from trade
  • 3. What is international economics? • International economics is a field of study which assesses the implications of international trade in goods and services and international investment • It has two broad sub categories – International Trade – International Finance
  • 4. What is international trade? • International trade is a field in economics that applies microeconomic models to help understand the international economy. • Its content includes supply and demand analysis, firm and consumer behavior, market structures, and the effects of market distortions. • The objective of an international trade course is to understand the effects on individuals and businesses because of international trade itself
  • 5. What is international finance? • International finance applies macroeconomic models to help understand the international economy. • Its focus is on the interrelationships between aggregate economic variables such as GDP, unemployment rates, inflation rates, trade balances, exchange rates, interest rates, etc.
  • 6. Some Terminology • Two extreme states or conditions could potentially be created by national government policies. • At one extreme, a government could pursue a "laissez faire" policy with respect to trade and thus impose no regulation whatsoever that would impede (or encourage) the free voluntary exchange of goods between nations. We define this condition as free trade.
  • 7. • At the other extreme, a government could impose such restrictive regulations on trade as to eliminate all incentive for international trade. • We define this condition in which no international trade occurs as national autarky. Autarky represents a state of isolationism
  • 8. • Probably, a pure state of free trade or autarky has never existed in the real world. All nations impose some form of trade policies. • And probably no government has ever had such complete control over economic activity as to eliminate cross-border trade entirely.
  • 9. • Most policy discussions are not about whether governments should pursue one of these two extremes. • Instead, discussions focus on which direction a country should move along the trade spectrum • A movement in the direction of autarky occurs whenever a new trade policy is implemented if it further restricts the free flow of goods and services between countries.
  • 10. • Since new trade policies invariably benefit domestic industries by reducing international competition, it is also referred to as protectionism
  • 11. The “Small-Country” General Equilibrium Model • The small-country model assumes that the actions of its citizens have no noticeable effects on foreign prices or the quantities produced by foreign industries. • The model’s general equilibrium nature means that it traces the effects of an economic change to all sectors of the domestic economy. • To enable us to use two-dimensional diagrams, the model assumes that there are just two industries in the economy. • The model uses a production possibilities frontier to represent the supply side of the economy. • It uses indifference curves to represent consumer preferences and the demand side of the economy.
  • 12. The Small-Country General Equilibrium Model • The model uses a production possibilities frontier (PPF) to represent the supply side of the economy • The PPF is “bowed out” to reflect increasing costs • The PPF tells us how much of one good we must sacrifice in order to make available the resources to produce one more of the other good PPF Food 0 100 200 300 350 400 Clothing 200 300 100 400 350
  • 13. What determines the location and shape of the PPF? • The PPF can be drawn with information on resources and technology (endowments and production functions). • It is about what is possible, not what occurs. • The PPF is bowed out if opportunity costs are increasing.
  • 14. Will the economy operate on the PPF? • That is a question about market outcomes. • Opportunity cost is another name for relative marginal costs. • Firms respond to product prices – do prices reflect marginal costs? • If firms are competitive, and there are no distortions in the economy, the economy will operate on the PPF. (Remember P=MR=MC)
  • 15. The Small-Country General Equilibrium Model • If efficient, a closed (autarky) economy produces and consumes at points located on the PPF. • The points B, C, and D are all attainable. • Note that the point D implies that not all available resources and technology are being exploited. • The point A outside the PPF is not feasible. PPF Food 0 100 200 300 350 400 Clothing 200 300 100 400 • A 350 C B D•
  • 16. The Small-Country General Equilibrium Model • The welfare-maximizing production/consumption combination is at the point where the PPF and the indifference curves have the same slope. • The tangency between the PPF and the indifference curve at A is the point where the opportunity costs of producing food and clothing are equal to the relative marginal benefits from consuming food and clothing. A Food p 0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing I1 I2 I3 200 300 100 400
  • 17. Conditions for autarky equilibrium • Producers must be happy producing what they are producing: Px/PY=MRTS – relative price of X equals opportunity cost in production. • Consumers must be happy consuming what they are consuming: Px/PY=MRS – relative price of X equals the marginal rate of substitution. • Market clearance: supply equals demand.
  • 18. The Gains from Trade • If the world price ratio is different from the domestic price ratio p, an open economy can use foreign trade to reach consumption points outside its PPF. • The diagram shows the consumption possibilities line (CPL) whose slope reflects the world price ratio. • A small open economy that continues to produce at A can consume anywhere along the CPL. A Food CPL p 0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing 200 300 100 400 P I1 I2
  • 19. The Gains from Trade – exchange only • Given the bundle of food and clothing produced at A, welfare maximization will take consumers to point B, the tangency between the indifference curve and the CPL. • At B, the relative marginal gains from consuming food and clothing are equal to the world price ratio. • The trade triangle connects points A and B. A Food CPL1 p 0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing I2 I3 200 300 100 400 C B CPL2
  • 20. The Gains from Trade – adding specialization • An open economy can achieve further gains from trade by specializing. • By shifting production from A to P, a higher CPL can be reached. • Given production and income generated at P, consumers choose to consume at point C. A Food CPL1 p 0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing I2 I3 I4 200 300 100 400 C B P CPL2 D
  • 21. The Gains from Trade • The combination of exchange and specialization takes the country to a higher welfare level. • Compare the smaller exchange-only trade triangle connecting points A and B with the trade and specialization trade triangle connecting points P and C. • With exchange and specialization, a higher indifference curve comes within reach. A Food CPL1 p 0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing I1 I2 I3 I4 200 300 100 400 C B P CPL2 D
  • 22. What do economists mean by gains? • These indifference curves are fictions. There is no easy way to compare the “goodness” of different aggregate bundles. • Clearly distribution matters, but it is ignored in this analysis. • When we say gains we mean consumption possibilities. • Market responses to trade imply overall gains but individual winners and losers. • Economics helps you figure out who these are!
  • 23. Summarizing the Results of the Simple Two-Good Model • When relative prices (opportunity costs) of goods are not the same at home and abroad, countries can increase national welfare by engaging in international trade. • The gains from exchange are the result of domestic consumers substituting the relatively cheaper foreign products for the relatively more expensive domestic products. • The gains from specialization are the gains from shifting domestic resources away from producing products that are relatively cheaper overseas to those products that are relatively more expensive overseas.
  • 24. • An economy can enjoy the gains from exchange without specializing, but it cannot enjoy the gains from specialization without trading. • Merely shifting production to P only reduces welfare, as evidenced by the lower indifference curve passing through P. • It takes exchange to get to C and the higher indifference curve. A Food CPL1 p 0 100 200 300 400 500 Clothing I1 I2 I3 I4 200 300 100 400 C B P CPL2 D There Are No Gains from Specialization Without Exchange
  • 25. The Two-Country General Equilibrium Model • The small-country model can only tell us how one country is affected by international trade. • This assumes that there are no effects on the rest of the world. More importantly, it doesn’t tell us why relative prices differ. • In general, international trade causes changes in prices and shifts in resources both at home and abroad. • We therefore develop a two-country general equilibrium model that explains trade between two countries and describes the many changes that occur in both countries as a result of the opening up of trade.
  • 26. Suppose there are two countries, each with its own unique PPF Homeland Abroad I1 I2 I3 A A* p p* Food Food Clothing Clothing I1 I2 I3
  • 27. Trade between the two countries will cause each country’s relative prices to move in the direction of the other country’s realtive price ratio: Homeland Abroad I1 I2 I3 A C p p* C* A* pW pW Food Food Clothing Clothing I1 I2 I3
  • 28. In the absence of barriers to trade or transport costs, trade will grow until the price ratios have become equal in both countries, as illustrated by the common price line Pw: Homeland Abroad I1 I2 I3 A C P P* C* A* pW pW Food Food Clothing Clothing I1 I2 I3
  • 29. Production shifts to P and P*, respectively, and consumption shifts to C and C* in each country. Welfare rises in both countries: Homeland Abroad I1 I2 I3 A C P P* C* A* pW pW Food Food Clothing Clothing I1 I2 I3
  • 30. Figure 3-9 Two-Country Model: The Free Trade Triangles Homeland Abroad I1 I2 I3 A C P P* C* A* exports imports e x p i m p pW pW Food Food Clothing Clothing I1 I2 I3
  • 31. The 2-Country General Equilibrium Model • The two-country model shows that both countries gain from trade; each reaches a higher indifference curve. • Each country specializes in producing products for which it has the lower opportunity costs. • One country’s exports are the other’s imports. • Relative prices are equalized across both countries. Homeland Abroad I1 I2 I3 A C P P* C* A* exports imports e x p i m p pW pW Food Food Clothing Clothing I1 I2 I3
  • 32. Why do opportunity costs differ? • Technological differences • Differences in factor proportions • Differences in tastes • Does country size matter? It doesn’t if there are no scale economies and tastes are “homothetic.” • When will size matter? Is that important?
  • 33. • We will spend the next 4 weeks analyzing what causes the differences in costs and in so doing explaining why trade takes place between countries