This document discusses chapter 3 of the textbook Strategic Management: Concept and Cases. The chapter covers performing an external assessment, which involves analyzing various external forces that affect organizations, including economic, social/cultural, political/legal, technological, and competitive forces. It describes how to conduct an external audit by gathering external information, evaluating key trends, and identifying opportunities and threats. The chapter also discusses tools for external analysis, such as the EFE Matrix and Competitive Profile Matrix.
International forces in business environmentDr.B.B. Tiwari
For IAS, PCS, SSC, IBPS, Bank-PO,RBI, and Other One day Exams
MBA, BBA, M A , M Com
International forces in Business Environment
International Business
Trade
MNCs
Factor's Influencing International Business
Types of Environment: Micro and Macro
Types of Macro Environment:
Foreign Environment
Geographical Environment
Economic Environment
Socio- Cultural Environment
Political Environment
Legal Environment
Technical Environment
International forces in business environmentDr.B.B. Tiwari
For IAS, PCS, SSC, IBPS, Bank-PO,RBI, and Other One day Exams
MBA, BBA, M A , M Com
International forces in Business Environment
International Business
Trade
MNCs
Factor's Influencing International Business
Types of Environment: Micro and Macro
Types of Macro Environment:
Foreign Environment
Geographical Environment
Economic Environment
Socio- Cultural Environment
Political Environment
Legal Environment
Technical Environment
The ppts contain topics related to Introduction of Global Strategic Management. It also includes multiple choice questions related to global strategic management
To describe the International Monetary Fund and its role in the determination of exchange rates
To discuss the major exchange-rate arrangements that countries use
To explain how the European Monetary System works and how the euro became the currency of the euro zone
To identify the major determinants of exchange rates
To show how managers try to forecast exchange-rate movements
To explain how exchange rate movements influence business decisions
Honors Thesis Presentation - "An Analysis of Emerging Markets"dre101
This is a PowerPoint Presentation of my Honors Thesis. I presented this in front of three Hofstra Professors, including the chairperson of the Hofstra Finance Department. I received High Departmental Honors as a result of my research.
The ppts contain topics related to Introduction of Global Strategic Management. It also includes multiple choice questions related to global strategic management
To describe the International Monetary Fund and its role in the determination of exchange rates
To discuss the major exchange-rate arrangements that countries use
To explain how the European Monetary System works and how the euro became the currency of the euro zone
To identify the major determinants of exchange rates
To show how managers try to forecast exchange-rate movements
To explain how exchange rate movements influence business decisions
Honors Thesis Presentation - "An Analysis of Emerging Markets"dre101
This is a PowerPoint Presentation of my Honors Thesis. I presented this in front of three Hofstra Professors, including the chairperson of the Hofstra Finance Department. I received High Departmental Honors as a result of my research.
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Corporate Strategy or Strategic Management
Concepts and Cases by Fred R. David,
Francis Marion University, Florence, South Carolina, &
Forest R. David,
Strategic Planning Consultant
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50 weightageInternationalisation of BusinessIndividual essa.docxalinainglis
50% weightage
Internationalisation of Business
Individual essay assignment
You need to select a multinational corporation from Fortune’s GLOBAL 500 MNCs list (http://fortune.com/global500/). We suggest you to think of your future career and industry that you are interested in while selecting a company from the list.
Step 1
Insert a map of your country.
2
Although it is not mandatory, we encourage you to select an MNC from an emerging country (such as Brazil, Russia, India, China, Indonesia, South Africa, UAE, Vietnam, Malaysia, South Korea, members of AEC or Mercosur)
Step 1
Insert a map of your country.
3
2.1 The Analysis of your Multinational Corporation
In this section you will need to present and analyse key data supporting the status of your company as a multinational corporation.
You can include the following : year established, business or industry involved in, Fortune 500 ranking in 2015, recent years sales and profit performance/figures, global sales/profits, key competitive advantage, markets or countries served,( milestones in appendix) if relevant to show its internationalisation trends
It is highly recommended that you use key academic sources to illustrate and explain the concept of MNC in this section.
Which country and which industry will this essay focus on.
Select one country where your company has invested in (in any foreign direct investment forms). Then, you need to analyse the internationalisation of the company. In doing this you can follow the following points:
STEP 2:
Insert a picture of one of the geographic features of your country.
4
Global sales/profits trends,
%of sales or profits from overseas business
Ranking in Fortune 500.
No of countries and total workforce
Overview of the company as an MNC
What are its internationalisation objectives, industrial products and countries (key markets if operating in many countries) in which it operates
:
You will need to focus on ONE factor from the host country that influences the internationalisation process of the firm. As we focus on political economy and socio-cultural factors in the first part of this course, we recommend you to answer the following questions in this section:
What is the key factor (refer the above factor – is it political economy or is it socio-cultural factor)from the host country that promotes the internationalisation process of your firm? Why?
Please use one theory from the course to support your argument(s). The application of some theories from this course such as Uppsala Internationalisation theory, Eclectic paradigm, and Porter’s diamond theory can also be useful at this point.
STEP 2: Host Country Analysis
Insert a picture of one of the geographic features of your country.
6
Using Samsung’s entry into India market as example
Analyse one relevant factor in depth to support your argument why that particular factor has positive or negative impact on India’s mobile phone industry and Samsung’s choice of entry m.
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2. CHAPTER 3: THE EXTERNAL ASSESSMENT
After studying and discussing this chapter, you should be able to do the following:
1. Describe how to conduct an external strategic-management audit.
2. Discuss 10 major external forces that affect organizations: economic, social, cultural, demographic,
environmental, political, governmental, legal, technological, and competitive.
3. Describe key resources of external information, including the Internet.
4. Discuss important forecasting tools used in strategic management.
5. Discuss the importance of monitoring external trends and events.
6. Explain how to develop an EFE Matrix.
7. Explain how to develop a Competitive Profile Matrix.
8. Discuss the importance of gathering competitive intelligence.
9. Describe the trend toward cooperation among competitors.
10. Discuss market commonality and resource similarity in relation to competitive analysis.
“Nothing focuses the mind better than the constant sight of a competitor who wants to wipe you off the map.”
– Wayne Calloway
2
3. The Strategic-Management Model
Develop Vision
and Mission
Statements
Chapter 2
Perform
External Audit
Chapter 3
Perform
Internal Audit
Chapter 4
Establish
Long-Term
Objectives
Chapter 5
Generate,
Evaluate, and
Select Strategies
Chapter 6
Implement
Strategies –
Management
Issues
Chapter 7
Implement
Strategies –
Marketing,
Finance,
Accounting,
R&D,
MIS Issues
Chapter 8
Measure
and
Evaluate
Performance
Chapter 9
Chapter 10: Business Ethics, Social Responsibility, and Environmental Sustainability
Chapter 11: Global/ International Issues
Strategy Formulation Strategy Implementation Strategy
Evaluation
Source: Fred R.David, “How Companies Define Their Mission,” Long Range Planning 22, No. 3
(June 1988): 40
3
4. MANAGEMENT IN ACTION: SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS
• Samsung is performing very well in the global recessionary environment. Based in Suwon, South Korea, the global mobile
telecommunications company boosted its sales by 7 percent in 2009 while maintaining its 10 percent profit margin.
• Samsung now has 19 percent of the worldwide mobile telecommunications market, number 2 behind Nokia with 38
percent. Samsung is the top mobile brand in the United States, but the firm lags in two areas: high-end smart phones and
ultra cheap models for developing countries. Samsung has only 3.5 percent of the smartphone world market, which is
expected to grow 31 percent in 2010. Samsung has only 10 percent market share in India where ultracheap phones sell,
compared to Nokia with 58 percent market share there.
• Samsung has recently opened new, low-cost factories in Brazil, China, India, and Vietnam. Samsung is a global market
leader today in more than 60 products, including semiconductors, flas memory, hard drives, digital displays, plasma
displays, tvs, dvd players, blu-ray players, home cinema systems, mobile phones, MP3 players, digital cameras, laptops,
laser printers, and even refrigerators, washing machines, and vacuum cleaners.
• In early 2020, Samsung promoted 41-year old Lee Jae Yong, son of former chairman, to COO of South Korea’s largest
industrial group and Asia’s largest maker of chips, flat-screens, and mobile phones. Lee’s ascent comes less than four
months after Hyundai Motor Co., South Korea’s largest carmaker, promoted the chairman’s son.
• The international Monetary Fund cited the business model of family-run conglomerates, known as chaebols, and their
debt-driven practices as part of the reason South Korea’s economy fell into financial crisis at the end of 1997.
• The promotion signaled a reversal of reforms and a return to the chaebol according to Kim Sang Jo, head of activist group
Solidarity for Economic Reform, which opposes the involvement of companies founding families in management.
• Other commentators such as Kim Sun Woong, head of the Center for Good Corporate Governance, pointed out that by
appointing Lee as COO, the company was trying to build up a good track record for him at a time when the firm was
poised to do well financially.
4
5. 3.1 The Nature of an External Audit
• The purpose of an external audit is to develop a finite list of opportunities that could benefit a firm and threats
that should be avoided.
• The external audit is not aimed at developing an exhaustive list of every possible factor that could influence the
business; rather, it is aimed at identifying key variables that offer actionable responses.
• Firms should be able to respond either offensively or defensively to the factors by formulating strategies that take
advantage of external opportunities or that minimize the impact of potential threats.
5
“Organizations pursue strategies
that will disrupt the normal
course of industry events and
forge new industry conditions to
the disadvantage of
competitors.”
– Ian C. Macmillan
6. 3.1.1 Key External Forces
External forces can be divided into five broad categories:
1. Economic forces
2. Social, cultural, demographic, and natural environment forces
3. Political, governmental, and legal forces
4. Technological forces
5. Competitive forces
Relationships Between Key External Forces and an Organization
Economic forces
Social, cultural, demographic, and natural
environment forces
Political, governmental, and legal forces
Technological forces
Competitive forces
Competitors, Suppliers, Distributors, Creditors,
Customers, Employees, Communities,
Managers, Stockholders, Labour Unions,
Governments, Trade Associations, Special
Interest Groups, Products, Services, Markets,
Natural Environment
AN
ORGANIZATION
OPPORTUNITIES
AND THREATS
6
7. 3.1.2 The Process of Performing an External Audit
The process of performing an external audit must involve as many managers and employees.
• Opportunity to contribute ideas
• Gain better understanding
• Commitment from all members
Gather
information
Assimilate and Evaluate
information
• Economic, social, cultural, demographic, environmental, political, governmental,
legal, technological,
• From magazines, trade journals, internet, competitive intelligence, suppliers,
distributors, salespersons, customers, competitors…
• Request managers to rank these factors….prioritized list.
• Most important to least important Opportunity/Threat
Freund emphasized that these key external factors should be:
1. Important to achieving long-term and annual objectives
2. Measurable
3. Applicable to all competing firms
4. Hierarchical in the sense that some will pertain to the overall company and others will be more narrowly focused on
functional or divisional areas.
7
8. 3.2 The Industrial Organization (I/O) View
• The I/O approach to competitive advantage advocates that external (industry) factors are more important than
internal factors in a firm achieving competitive advantage.
• Proponents of the I/O view, such as Micheal Porter, contend that organizational performance will be primarily
determined by industry forces.
• Proter’s Five-Forces Model is an example of the I/O perspective
I/O theorists contend that firm performance is primarily based more on
industry properties such as:
1. Economics of scale
2. Barriers to market entry
3. Product differentiation
4. The economy
5. Level of competitiveness
Less on:
1. Internal resources
2. Capabilities
3. Structure
4. operations
8
“It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent,
but the one most responsive to change.”
– Charles Darwin
9. 3.3 Economic Forces
• Increasing numbers of two-income households is an economic trend.
• Individuals place a premium on time.
• Improved customer service, immediate availability, trouble-free operation of products, and dependable maintenance
and repair services are becoming more important.
• People today are more willing than ever to pay for good service if it limits inconvenience.
• Economic factors have a direct impact on the potential attractiveness of various strategies.
Key Economic Variables to be Monitored
• Shift to a service economy
• Availability of credit
• Level of disposable income
• Propensity of people to spend
• Interest rates
• Inflation rates
• Money market rates
• Federal government budget deficits
• Gross domestic product trend
• Consumption patterns
• Unemployment trends
• Worker productivity levels
• Value of the dollar in world markets
• Stock market trends
• Foreign countries’ economic trends
• Import/export factors
• Demand shifts for different
categories of goods and services
• Income differences by region and
consumer groups
• Price fluctuations
• Export of labour and capital
• Monetary policies
• Fiscal policies
• Tax rates
• European Economic
Community (EEC) policies
• Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC)
policies
• Coalitions of Lesser
Developed Countries (LDC)
policies
9
10. Advantages and Disadvantages of a Weak Dollar for Domestic Firms
Advantages:
1. Leads to more exports
2. Leads to lower imports
3. Makes U.S. goods cheaper to foreign
consumers
4. Combats deflation by pushing up prices of
imports
5. Can contribute to rise in stock prices in short
run
6. Stimulates worldwide economic recession
7. Encourages foreign countries to lower interest
rates
8. Raises the revenues and profits of firms that do
business outside the United States
9. Stimulates worldwide economic expansion
10. Forces foreign firms to raise prices
11. Reduces the U.S. trade deficit
12. Encourages firms to globalize
13. Encourages foreigners to visit the United States
Disadvantages:
1. Can lead to inflation
2. Can cause rise in oil prices
3. Can weaken U.S. government
4. Makes it unattractive for Americans to travel globally
5. Can contribute to fall in stock prices in long run
Expected GDP Growth in 2009 Among Countries in Asia:
China/ India : 7-8 percent (High)
Indonesia/ Thailand/ Philippines/ Taiwan/ Malaysia : 3-4 percent (Medium)
South Korea/ Hong Kong/ Singapore : 1-2 percent (Low)
10
11. 3.4 Social, Cultural, Demographic, and Natural Environment Forces
• Social, cultural, demographic, and environmental changes have a major impact on virtually all products, services,
markets, and customers.
• Social, cultural, demographic, and environmental trends are shaping the way we live, work, produce, and consume.
• The population of the world surpassed 7.0 billion in 2010.
11
• Childbearing rates
• Number of special-interest groups
• Number of marriages
• Number of divorces
• Number of births
• Number of deaths
• Immigration and emigration rates
• Social security programs
• Life expectancy rates
• Per capita income
• Location of retailing, manufacturing,
and service businesses
• Attitudes toward business
• Lifestyles
• Traffic congestion
• Inner-city environments
• Average disposable income
• Trust in government
• Attitudes toward government
• Attitudes toward work
• Buying habits
• Ethical concerns
• Attitudes toward saving
• Sex roles
• Attitudes toward investing
• Racial equality
• Use of birth control
• Average level of education
• Government regulation
• Attitudes toward retirement
• Attitudes toward leisure time
• Attitudes toward product quality
• Attitudes toward customer service
• Pollution control/ air & water pollution
• Attitudes toward foreign peoples
• Energy conservation
• Social programs
• Number of churches
• Number of church members
• Social responsibility
• Attitudes toward careers
• Population changes by race, age, sex,
and level of affluence
• Value place on leisure time
• Recycling
• Waste management
• Ozone depletion…Endangered species
12. 12
3.5 Political, Governmental, and Legal Forces
• Federal, state, local, and foreign
governments are major regulators,
deregulators, subsidizers, employers, and
customer of organizations.
• Political, governmental, and legal factors,
therefore, can represent key opportunities
or threats for small and large
organizations.
• For industries and firms that depend
heavily on government contracts or
subsidies, political forecasts can be the
most important part of an external audit.
Changes in patent laws, antitrust
legislation, tax rates, and lobbying
activities can affect firms significantly.
• The increasing global interdependence
among economies, markets, governments,
and organizations makes it imperative that
firms consider the possible impact of
political variables on the formulation and
implementation of competitive strategies.
• Government regulations or
deregulations
• Changes in tax laws
• Special tariffs
• Political action committee
• Voter participation rates
• Number, severity, and location of
government protests
• Number of patents
• Changes in patent laws
• Environmental protection laws
• Level of defense expenditures
• Legislation on equal employment
• Level of government subsidies
• Antitrust legislation
• Sino-American relationships
• Russian-American relationships
• European-American relationships
• African-American relationships
• Import-Export regulations
• Government fiscal and
monetary policy changes
• Political conditions in foreign
countries
• Special local, state, and
federal laws
• Lobbying activities
• Size of government budgets
• World oil, currency, and
labour markets
• Location and severity of
terrorist activities
• Local, state, and national
elections
13. 13
3.6 Technological Forces
• Revolutionary technological changes and discoveries are having a dramatic impact on organization.
• The Internet has changed the very nature of opportunities and threats by altering the life cycles of products, increasing
the speed of distribution, creating new products and services, erasing limitations of traditional geographic markets, and
changing the historical trade-off between production standardization and flexibility.
• The internet is altering economics of scale, changing entry barriers, and redefining the relationship between industries
and various suppliers, creditors, customers, and competitors.
• To effectively capitalize on e-commerce, a number of organizations are establishing two new positions in their firms: chief
information officer (CIO) and chief technology officer (CTO).
• Technological forces represent major opportunities and threats that must be considered in formulating strategies.
Technological advancements can dramatically affect organizations’ products, services, markets, suppliers, distributors,
competitors, customers, manufacturing processes, marketing practices, and competitive position.
• Technological advancements can create new markets, result in proliferation of new and improved products, change the
relative competitive cost positions in an industry, and render existing products and services obsolete.
• Technological changes can reduce or eliminate cost barriers between businesses, create shorter production runs, create
shortages in technical skills, and result in changing values and expectations of employees, managers, and customers.
• Technological advancements can create new competitive advantages that are more powerful than existing advantages.
No company or industry today is insulated against emerging technological development.
• In high-tech industries, identification and evaluation of key technological opportunities and threats can be the most
important part of external strategic-management audit.
14. 14
• Not all sectors of the economy are affected equally by technological developments. The communications, electronics,
aeronautics, and pharmaceutical industries are much more volatile than the textile, forestry, and metal industries.
Examples of the Impact of Wireless Technology
1. Airlines – Many airlines now offer wireless technology in flight.
2. Automotive – Vehicles are becoming wireless.
3. Banking – Visa sends text massage alerts after unusual transactions.
4. Education – many secondary (and even college) students may use smart
phones for math because research shows this to be greatly helpful.
5. Energy – Smart meter now provide power on demand in your home or
business.
6. Health care – Patients use mobile devices to monitor their own health, such
as calories consumed.
7. Hotels – Days In sends daily specials and coupons to hotel guests via text
messages.
8. Market Research – Cell phone respondents provide more honest answers,
perhaps because they are away from eavesdropping ears.
9. Politics – President Obama won the election partly by mobilizing Facebook
and MySpace users, revolutionizing political campaigns. Obama announced
his vice presidential selection of Joe Biden by a text message.
10. Publishing – eBooks are increasingly available.
15. 15
3.7 Competitive Forces
• Collecting and evaluating information on competitors is essential for successful strategy formulation.
• Identifying major competitors is not always easy because many firms have divisions that compete in different
industries. Many multidivisional firms do not provide sales and profit information on a divisional basis for competitive
reasons.
• Privately held firms do not publish financial or marketing information.
• Competition in virtually all industries can be described as intense and sometimes cutthroat.
SEVEN characteristics describe the most competitive companies:
1. Market share matters; the 90th share point isn’t as important as the 91st, and
nothing is more dangerous than falling to 89.
2. Understand and remember precisely what business you are in.
3. Whether it’s broke or not, fix it – make it better; not just products, but the whole
company, if necessary.
4. Innovate or evaporate; particularly in technology-driven businesses, nothing quite
recedes like success.
5. Acquisition is essential to growth; the most successful purchases are in niches that
add technology or a related market.
6. People make a difference; tired of hearing it? Too bad.
7. There is no substitute for quality and no greater threat than failing to be cost-
competitive on a global basis.
16. 16
Key Questions About Competitors:
1. What are the major competitors’ strengths?
2. What are the major competitors’ weaknesses?
3. What are the major competitors’ objectives and strategies?
4. How will the major competitors most likely respond to current economic,
social, cultural, demographic, environmental, political, governmental, legal,
technological, and competitive trends affecting our industry?
5. How vulnerable are the major competitors to our alternative company
strategies?
6. How vulnerable are our alternative strategies to successful counterattack
by our major competitors?
7. How are our products or services positioned relative to major competitors?
8. To what extent are new firms entering and old firms leaving this industry?
9. What key factors have resulted in our present competitive position in this
industry?
10. How have the sales and profit rankings of major competitors in the
industry changed over recent years? Why have these rankings changed
that way?
11. What is the nature of supplier and distributor relationships in this
industry?
12. To what extent could substitute products or services be a threat to
competitors in this industry?
17. 17
The Top U.S. Competitors in Two Different Industries
BEVERAGES 2008 Sales
(in millions)
% Change from
2007
2008 Profits
(in millions)
% Change from
2007
Coca-Cola $31,944 +11 $5,807 -3
Pepsi Bottling 13,796 +2 162 -70
Coca-Cola Enterprises 21,807 +4 (4,394) -718
Molson Coors Brewing 4774 -23 388 -22
COMPUTERS 2008 Sales
(in millions)
% Change from
2007
2008 Profits
(in millions)
% Change from
2007
Hewlett-Packard $118,364 +13 $8,329 +15
Sun Microsystems 13,880 0 403 -15
Dell 61,101 0 2,478 -16
Xerox 17,608 +2 230 -80
Apple 32,479 +35 4,834 +38
18. 18
3.7.1 Competitive Intelligence Programs
• What is competitive intelligence?
• Competitive Intelligence (CI) as formally defined by the Society of Competitive Intelligence Professionals (SCIP), is a
systematic and ethical process for gathering and analyzing information about the competitor’s activities and general
business trends to further a business’s own goals.
• Good competitive intelligence in business, as in the military, is one of the keys to success.
• Facebook’s COO Owen Van Natta left the
company to become CEO of MySpace (replace
Chris DeWolfe, the CEO and cofounder of
MySpace).
• Van Natta was previously Facebook’s COO, chief
revenue officer, and vice president of
operations.
• The MySpace appointment now pits CEO Van
Natta against his old boss at Facebook, CEO
Mark Zuckerberg.
• Facebook passed MySpace in visitors worldwide
in 2008 and is closing in on leadership in the U.S.
Both firms are fierce rivals in the Internet social-
networking business.
Sources of CI:
• Internet
• Employees
• Managers
• Suppliers
• Distributors
• Customers
• Consultants
• Trade journal
• Trade participants
• Want ads
• Newspaper articles
• Government filings
• Competitors
Unethical
tactics such as
bribery,
wiretapping,
and computer
break-ins
should never
be used to
obtain
information.
19. 19
3.7.2 Market Commonality and Resource Similarity
• By definition, competitors are firms
that offer similar products and
services in the same market.
• Market can be geographic areas,
products or segments.
• Researchers use the terms market
commonality and resource similarity
to study rivalry among competitors.
• Market commonality can be defined
as the number and significance of
markets that a firm competes in with
rivals.
• Resource similarity is the extent to
which the type and amount of a
firm’s internal resources are
comparable to a rival.
20. 20
3.8 Competitive Analysis: Porter’s Five-Forces Model
• Porter’s Five-Forces Model of competitive analysis is a widely used approach for developing strategies in many
industries.
• Intensity of competition is highest in lower return industries. The collective impact of competitive forces is so brutal in
some industries that the market is clearly “unattractive” from a profit-making standpoint.
• Rivalry among existing firms is severe, new rivals can enter the industry with relative ease, and both suppliers and
customers can exercise considerable bargaining leverage.
Rivalry among competing firms
Potential development of
substitute products
Bargaining power of
consumers
Bargaining power of
suppliers
Potential entry of new
competitors
21. 21
The following three steps for
using Porter’s Five-Forces
Model can indicate whether
competition in a given
industry is such that the firm
can make an acceptable
profit:
1. Identify key aspects or
elements of each
competitive force that
impact the firm.
2. Evaluate how strong and
important each element
is for the firm.
3. Decide whether the
collective strength of the
elements is worth the
firm entering or staying
in the industry.
22. 22
Intensity of Competition Among Firms in Different Industries (U.S)
Industry Year-End Profit Margin Year-End Return on Investment
2006 2008 2006 2008
Aerospace and Defense 6 8 6 8
Airlines 2 -13 2 -14
Apparel 5 9 8 34
Beverages 7 3 4 2
Chemicals 5 5 5 6
Commercial Banks 16 5 1.3 0.3
Computer Software 18 32 8 20
Electronics, Electrical Equipment 7 7 8 9
Energy 3 1 3 2
Food and Drug Stores 2 2 5 4
Food Consumer Products 5 7 6 7
Food Production 0 1 1 1
Food Services 4 7 7 11
Health Care: Pharmacy 3 3 9 7
23. 23
8.9 Sources of External Information
• A wealth of strategic information is available to organizations from both published and unpublished sources.
• Unpublished sources : customer surveys, market research, speeches at professional and shareholders’ meetings,
television programs, interviews, and conversation with stakeholders.
• Published information: periodicals, journals, reports, government documents, abstracts, books, directories,
newspapers, and manuals.
There are many excellent Web sites for
gathering strategic information, but six that
the Fred R.David uses routinely are listed
below:
1. http://marketwatch.multexinvestor.com
2. http://moneycentral.msn.com
3. http://finance.yahoo.com
4. www.clearstation.com
5. https://etrade.com/e/t/invest/markets
6. www.hoovers.com
Standard & Poor’s (S&P’s) Industry Surveys:
1. Current environment
2. Industry trends
3. How the industry operates
4. Key industry ratios and statistics
5. How to analyze a company
6. Glossary of industry terms
7. Additional industry information
8. References
9. Comparative company financial analysis
24. 24
3.10 Forecasting Tools and Techniques
• Forecast are educated assumptions about future trends and events.
• Forecasting is a complex activity because of factors such as technological innovation, cultural changes, new products,
improved services, stronger competitors, shifts in government priorities, changing social values, unstable economic
conditions, and unforeseen events.
• Managers often must rely on published forecasts to effectively identify key external opportunities and threats.
• Can we obtain information and then make educated assumptions (forecasts) to better guide our current decisions to
achieve a more desirable future state of affairs?
• We should go into the future with our eyes and our minds open, rather than stumble into the future with our eyes
closed.
• Sometimes organizations must develop their own projections. Most organizations forecast (project) their own revenues
and profits annually.
• Organizations sometimes forecast market share or customer loyalty in local areas.
• Forecasting tools:
1. QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES
2. QUALITATIVE TECHNIQUES
25. 25
3.10.1 Making Assumptions
• Planning would be impossible without assumptions.
• McConkey defines assumptions as the “best present estimates of the impact of major external factors, over which the
manager has little if any control, but which may exert a significant impact on performance or the ability to achieve
desired results.”
• Wild guesses should never be made in formulating strategies, but reasonable assumptions based on available
information must always be made.
26. 26
3.11 Industry Analysis: The External Factor Evaluation (EFE) Matrix
• An External Factor Evaluation (EFE) Matrix allows strategists to summarize and evaluate economic, social, cultural,
demographic, environmental, political, governmental, legal, technological, and competitive information.
• The EFE Matrix can be developed in five steps:
1. List key external factors as identified in the external audit process.
2. Assign to each factor a weight that ranges from 0.0 (not important) to 1.0 (very important)
3. Assign a rating between 1 and 4 to each key external factor to indicate how effectively the firm’s current strategies
respond to the factor, where 4 = the response is superior, 3 = the response is above average, 2 = the response is
average, and 1 = the response is poor.
4. Multiply each factor’s weight by its rating to determine a weighted score.
5. Sum the weighted scores for each variable to determine the total weighted score for the organization.
• Regardless of the number of key opportunities and threats included in the EFE Matrix, the highest possible total
weighted score for an organization is 4.0 and the lowest possible total weighted score is 1.0. the average total weighted
score is 2.5.
• A total weighted score of 4.0 indicates that an organization is responding in an outstanding way to existing opportunities
and threats in its industry.
• A total score of 1.0 indicates that the firm’s strategies are not capitalizing on opportunities or avoiding external threats.
27. 27
EFE Matrix for a Local Ten-
Theatre Cinema Complex
Key External Factors Weight Rating Weighted Score
Opportunities 1 Rowan County is growing 8% annually in population 0.05 3 0.15
2 TDB University is expanding 6% annually 0.08 4 0.32
3 Major competitor across town recently ceased operations 0.08 3 0.24
4 Demand for going to cinema growing 10% annually 0.07 2 0.14
5 Two new neighborhoods being developed within 3 miles 0.09 1 0.09
6 Disposable income among citizens grew 5% in prior year 0.06 3 0.18
7 Unemployment rate in county declined to 3.1% 0.03 2 0.06
Threats 8 Trend toward healthy eating eroding concession sales 0.12 4 0.48
9 Demand for online movies and DVDs growing 10% annually 0.06 2 0.12
10 Commercial property adjacent o cinemas for sale 0.06 3 0.18
11 TDB University installing an on-campus movie theatre 0.04 3 0.12
12 County and city property taxes increasing 25% this year 0.08 2 0.16
13 Local religious groups object to R-rated movies being shown 0.04 3 0.12
14 Movies rented from local Blockbuster store up 12% 0.08 2 0.16
15 Movies rented last quarter from Time Warner up 15% 0.06 1 0.06
TOTAL 1.00 2.58
28. 28
3.12 The Competitive Profile Matrix (CPM)
• The Competitive Profile Matrix (CPM) identifies a firm’s major competitors and its particular strengths and weaknesses
in relation to a sample firm’s strategic position.
• The critical success factors in a CPM include both internal and external issues; therefore the ratings refer to strengths
and weaknesses, where 4 = major strength, 3 = minor strength, 2 = minor weakness, and 1 = major weaknesses.
COMPANY A COMPANY B COMPANY C
Critical Success Factors Weight Rating Score Rating Score Rating Score
Advertising 0.20 1 0.20 4 0.80 3 0.60
Product Quality 0.10 4 0.40 3 0.30 2 0.20
Price Competitiveness 0.10 3 0.30 2 0.20 4 0.40
Management 0.10 4 0.40 3 0.20 3 0.30
Financial Position 0.15 4 0.60 2 0.30 3 0.45
Customer Loyalty 0.10 4 0.40 3 0.30 2 0.20
Global Expansion 0.20 4 0.80 1 0.20 2 0.40
Market Share 0.05 1 0.05 4 0.20 3 0.15
TOTAL 3.15 2.50 2.70
Others: Inventory systems, sales distribution, organization structure,
production capacity, E-commerce, customer service, price competitive, etc
29. 29
3.13 Issues for Review and Discussion
1. Explain how Samsung Electronics has been so successful of late?
2. List the ten key external forces that give rise to opportunities and threats.
3. Give four reasons why you agree or do not agree with I/O theorists.