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Lesson 3
Probability
Distribution
Objectives
At the end of this lesson, the learner should be able to
 correctly illustrate a probability distribution for a
discrete random variable; and
 accurately construct a probability distribution for a
discrete random variable.
Essential Questions
 What is the importance of constructing a probability
distribution for a random variable in interpreting data?
 What does the probability distribution tell us about our
expected or obtained data?
Warm Up!
Before we thoroughly probability distribution, let us watch to
revisit what probability is by watching a short clip.
Click the link to access the video. (Note: You may watch the
video until 6:42 only)
Mathantics. “Math Antics – Basic Probability.” YouTube video,
11:28. Posted 15 May 2019. Retrieved 22 June 2019 from
https://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=KzfWUEJjG18&feature=youtu.be
Guide Questions
● What is probability and how do we calculate it?
● Why is the sum of the probabilities of any event is 1 and
the probabilities are always between 0 and 1, inclusive?
● In the video, the outcomes in tossing fair coin is either
head or tail. What if you toss two coins; what are the
possible outcomes and what is the probability of obtaining
a head?
Learn about It!
Probability Distribution of a Discrete Random
Variables
is a list, a table, a graph, or a formula of probabilities associated with each of its
possible values
1
Example:
In tossing two coins, the possible
outcomes are {𝐻𝐻, 𝐻𝑇, 𝑇𝐻, 𝑇𝑇}. If
the random variable 𝑋 denotes the
number of heads in the outcomes,
then the table shows the
probability distribution.
𝐗 0 1 2
𝐏(𝐗) 1
4
2
4
1
4
Learn about It!
Properties of a Probability Distribution:
a. The probability of each outcome is between 0 and 1, inclusive. That is, 0 ≤
𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 ≤ 1.
b. The sum of all the probabilities of the random variable is equal to 1 or 100%.
That is, Σ𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 = 1.
2
Try It!
Example 1: Determine whether a distribution is a valid
probability distribution for a discrete random variable 𝑋.
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 0.32 0.28 0.34 0.06
Try It!
Example 1: Determine whether a distribution is a valid
probability distribution for a discrete random variable 𝑋.
Solution:
To determine if the distribution is a valid probability
distribution, we must satisfy the two properties for the
probability distribution of a discrete random variable.
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 0.32 0.28 0.34 0.06
Try It!
Example 1: Determine whether a distribution is a valid
probability distribution for a discrete random variable 𝑋.
Solution:
a. The probability of each outcome is between 0 and 1.
The probabilities 0.32, 0.28, 0.34, and 0.06 are all between 0
and 1.
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 0.32 0.28 0.34 0.06
Try It!
Example 1: Determine whether a distribution is a valid
probability distribution for a discrete random variable 𝑋.
Solution:
b. The sum of all the probabilities of the random variable is
equal to 1 or 100%.
0.32 + 0.28 + 0.34 + 0.06 = 1
Thus, the above distribution is a valid probability distribution
for the discrete random variable 𝑋.
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 0.32 0.28 0.34 0.06
Try It!
Example 2: Construct the probability distribution for the
random variable 𝑋 which pertains to the number of tails in
each outcome when tossing two coins.
Try It!
Solution:
To construct the probability distribution for a discrete
random variable 𝑋, we need to determine the possible
outcomes of a random experiment.
In tossing two coins, the possible outcomes are 𝑆 =
{𝐻𝐻, 𝑇𝑇, 𝐻𝑇, 𝑇𝐻) where 𝐻 represents the head and 𝑇
represents the tail.
Example 2: Construct the probability distribution for the
random variable 𝑋 which pertains to the number of tails in
each outcome when tossing two coins.
Try It!
Solution:
From the outcomes, we can have the following table:
Based on the table above, the random variable 𝑋 can take the
values of 0, 1, and 2.
Example 2: Construct the probability distribution for the
random variable 𝑋 which pertains to the number of tails in
each outcome when tossing two coins.
Number of Tails Outcomes
0 𝐻𝐻
1 𝐻𝑇, 𝑇𝐻
2 𝑇𝑇
Try It!
Solution:
Thus, the probability distribution for the discrete random
variable 𝑋 is
Example 2: Construct the probability distribution for the
random variable 𝑋 which pertains to the number of tails in
each outcome when tossing two coins.
𝑿 0 1 2
𝑷(𝑿) 1
4
2
4
or
1
2
1
4
Let’s Practice!
Individual Practice:
1. Determine whether the distribution is a valid probability
distribution for a discrete random variable 𝑋.
𝑿 5 6 7 4
𝑷(𝑿) 0.22 0.35 0.18 0.35
Let’s Practice!
Individual Practice:
2. Consider the random experiment of rolling a pair of
tetrahedron dice (whose number of dots are 1 to 4).
Construct the probability distribution for the random
variable 𝑋 which denotes the sum of the numbers in the
two dice.
Let’s Practice!
Group Practice: To be done in groups of 3.
A bowl contains five marbles numbered as 0, 2, 4, 6, and 8. If
a random experiment of picking three marbles at a time was
conducted, construct a probability distribution for the
random variable 𝑋 which represents the sum of the numbers
on the marbles.
Key Points
Probability Distribution of a Discrete Random
Variables
is a list, a table, a graph, or a formula of probabilities associated with each of its
possible values
1
Properties of a Probability Distribution:
a. The probability of each outcome is between 0 and 1, inclusive. That is, 0 ≤
𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 ≤ 1.
b. The sum of all the probabilities of the random variable is equal to 1 or 100%.
That is, Σ𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 = 1.
2
Synthesis
● How do we construct a probability distribution for a
random variable 𝑋?
● In what real-life contexts can you apply the concept of
probability distribution for a random variable?
● How can you find the value of a certain random variable?

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STATISTICS PROBABILITY AND DISTRIBUTION1.pptx

  • 2. Objectives At the end of this lesson, the learner should be able to  correctly illustrate a probability distribution for a discrete random variable; and  accurately construct a probability distribution for a discrete random variable.
  • 3. Essential Questions  What is the importance of constructing a probability distribution for a random variable in interpreting data?  What does the probability distribution tell us about our expected or obtained data?
  • 4. Warm Up! Before we thoroughly probability distribution, let us watch to revisit what probability is by watching a short clip. Click the link to access the video. (Note: You may watch the video until 6:42 only) Mathantics. “Math Antics – Basic Probability.” YouTube video, 11:28. Posted 15 May 2019. Retrieved 22 June 2019 from https://www.youtube.com/ watch?v=KzfWUEJjG18&feature=youtu.be
  • 5. Guide Questions ● What is probability and how do we calculate it? ● Why is the sum of the probabilities of any event is 1 and the probabilities are always between 0 and 1, inclusive? ● In the video, the outcomes in tossing fair coin is either head or tail. What if you toss two coins; what are the possible outcomes and what is the probability of obtaining a head?
  • 6. Learn about It! Probability Distribution of a Discrete Random Variables is a list, a table, a graph, or a formula of probabilities associated with each of its possible values 1 Example: In tossing two coins, the possible outcomes are {𝐻𝐻, 𝐻𝑇, 𝑇𝐻, 𝑇𝑇}. If the random variable 𝑋 denotes the number of heads in the outcomes, then the table shows the probability distribution. 𝐗 0 1 2 𝐏(𝐗) 1 4 2 4 1 4
  • 7. Learn about It! Properties of a Probability Distribution: a. The probability of each outcome is between 0 and 1, inclusive. That is, 0 ≤ 𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 ≤ 1. b. The sum of all the probabilities of the random variable is equal to 1 or 100%. That is, Σ𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 = 1. 2
  • 8. Try It! Example 1: Determine whether a distribution is a valid probability distribution for a discrete random variable 𝑋. 𝑿 1 2 3 4 𝑷(𝑿) 0.32 0.28 0.34 0.06
  • 9. Try It! Example 1: Determine whether a distribution is a valid probability distribution for a discrete random variable 𝑋. Solution: To determine if the distribution is a valid probability distribution, we must satisfy the two properties for the probability distribution of a discrete random variable. 𝑿 1 2 3 4 𝑷(𝑿) 0.32 0.28 0.34 0.06
  • 10. Try It! Example 1: Determine whether a distribution is a valid probability distribution for a discrete random variable 𝑋. Solution: a. The probability of each outcome is between 0 and 1. The probabilities 0.32, 0.28, 0.34, and 0.06 are all between 0 and 1. 𝑿 1 2 3 4 𝑷(𝑿) 0.32 0.28 0.34 0.06
  • 11. Try It! Example 1: Determine whether a distribution is a valid probability distribution for a discrete random variable 𝑋. Solution: b. The sum of all the probabilities of the random variable is equal to 1 or 100%. 0.32 + 0.28 + 0.34 + 0.06 = 1 Thus, the above distribution is a valid probability distribution for the discrete random variable 𝑋. 𝑿 1 2 3 4 𝑷(𝑿) 0.32 0.28 0.34 0.06
  • 12. Try It! Example 2: Construct the probability distribution for the random variable 𝑋 which pertains to the number of tails in each outcome when tossing two coins.
  • 13. Try It! Solution: To construct the probability distribution for a discrete random variable 𝑋, we need to determine the possible outcomes of a random experiment. In tossing two coins, the possible outcomes are 𝑆 = {𝐻𝐻, 𝑇𝑇, 𝐻𝑇, 𝑇𝐻) where 𝐻 represents the head and 𝑇 represents the tail. Example 2: Construct the probability distribution for the random variable 𝑋 which pertains to the number of tails in each outcome when tossing two coins.
  • 14. Try It! Solution: From the outcomes, we can have the following table: Based on the table above, the random variable 𝑋 can take the values of 0, 1, and 2. Example 2: Construct the probability distribution for the random variable 𝑋 which pertains to the number of tails in each outcome when tossing two coins. Number of Tails Outcomes 0 𝐻𝐻 1 𝐻𝑇, 𝑇𝐻 2 𝑇𝑇
  • 15. Try It! Solution: Thus, the probability distribution for the discrete random variable 𝑋 is Example 2: Construct the probability distribution for the random variable 𝑋 which pertains to the number of tails in each outcome when tossing two coins. 𝑿 0 1 2 𝑷(𝑿) 1 4 2 4 or 1 2 1 4
  • 16. Let’s Practice! Individual Practice: 1. Determine whether the distribution is a valid probability distribution for a discrete random variable 𝑋. 𝑿 5 6 7 4 𝑷(𝑿) 0.22 0.35 0.18 0.35
  • 17. Let’s Practice! Individual Practice: 2. Consider the random experiment of rolling a pair of tetrahedron dice (whose number of dots are 1 to 4). Construct the probability distribution for the random variable 𝑋 which denotes the sum of the numbers in the two dice.
  • 18. Let’s Practice! Group Practice: To be done in groups of 3. A bowl contains five marbles numbered as 0, 2, 4, 6, and 8. If a random experiment of picking three marbles at a time was conducted, construct a probability distribution for the random variable 𝑋 which represents the sum of the numbers on the marbles.
  • 19. Key Points Probability Distribution of a Discrete Random Variables is a list, a table, a graph, or a formula of probabilities associated with each of its possible values 1 Properties of a Probability Distribution: a. The probability of each outcome is between 0 and 1, inclusive. That is, 0 ≤ 𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 ≤ 1. b. The sum of all the probabilities of the random variable is equal to 1 or 100%. That is, Σ𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑥𝑖 = 1. 2
  • 20. Synthesis ● How do we construct a probability distribution for a random variable 𝑋? ● In what real-life contexts can you apply the concept of probability distribution for a random variable? ● How can you find the value of a certain random variable?