Six Sigma Primer
Seeking Meaningful Improvements
                Presented by: Andy Pattantyus

                       Prepared for:
                APICS Orange County Chapter
                            by
            Strategic Modularity, Inc.
            www.strategicmodularity.com
           andyp@strategicmodularity.com
      Phone: 855-LeanOps FAX: 661-554-0299
 May 16, 2012      © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 1 of 40
Six Sigma Primer
Learning Objectives
•   What is six sigma?
•   Are my processes six sigma?
•   What is process capability?
•   Why care about six sigma?
•   How can I get a process to six sigma?
•   The six sigma goal: improving yield



May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 2 of 40
1. What is Six Sigma?
Overview
• A description of process capability
     – Statistical
     – Mathematical


• An operational philosophy
     – CPI – Continuous Process Improvement
     – VR&C – Variability Reduction & Control



May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 3 of 40
What is Six Sigma?
Definitions - ASQ
•   Six Sigma is a philosophy
     – This perspective views all work as processes that can be defined,
       measured, analyzed, improved and controlled. Processes require inputs (x)
       and produce outputs (y). If you control the inputs, you will control the
       outputs: This is generally expressed as y = f(x).

•   Six Sigma is a set of tools
     – The Six Sigma expert uses qualitative and quantitative techniques to drive
       process improvement. A few such tools include statistical process control
       (SPC), control charts, failure mode and effects analysis and flowcharting.

•   Six Sigma is a methodology
     – This view of Six Sigma recognizes the underlying and rigorous approach
       known as DMAIC (define, measure, analyze, improve and control). DMAIC
       defines the steps a Six Sigma practitioner is expected to follow, starting
       with identifying the problem and ending with the implementation of long-
       lasting solutions. While DMAIC is not the only Six Sigma methodology in
       use, it is certainly the most widely adopted and recognized.
                                                                                 Source: ASQ [1]
May 16, 2012    © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com         Page 4 of 40
What is Six Sigma?
Definitions – Lean Lexicon
•   A quality standard of just 3.4 defects per one million
    opportunities; 99.9996% perfect.

•   Six sigma methodologies emphasize mathematical and
    statistical tools to improve the quality of processes that are
    already under control.

•   Application follows a five-step process of define, measure,
    analyze, improve, and control often referred to as DMAIC.

•   The term refers to the number of standard deviations a point is
    away from the mean point in a bell curve. It often is
    represented as 6 sigma.


                                                                          Source: Lean Lexicon [2]

May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com       Page 5 of 40
What is Six Sigma?
History
• Born at Motorola
     – Motorola conceived the six sigma technique in
       1986 as a way to achieve the company’s
       improvement goals in manufacturing and support
       functions.
• Motorola Suppliers – Starting 1991
     – Eveready Battery Company Inc. (Energizer)
• Early corporate adopters – Starting 1995
     – Allied-Signal (now Honeywell)
     – General Electric
     – 3M
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 6 of 40
What is Six Sigma?
Mathematics or Management?
• Mathematics
     – Field of statistics known as Process Capability
     – Basis for measurements
     – Verifiable data is the basis for decisions


• Management
     – Continuous improvement efforts
           • Reduce process variation
           • Achieve stable and predictable results
     – Focus on business and manufacturing processes
     – Organizational commitment, especially top-level
May 16, 2012    © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 7 of 40
2. Are my processes six sigma?
Probably Not!
• If your organization knows process
  capability, and regularly uses it as a
  tool, then you know if your processes
  are six sigma.

• Otherwise, most processes which have
  not been the object of continuous
  process improvement and variability
  reduction are likely less than 4 sigma.
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 8 of 40
3. Process Capability
A qualitative definition
• Capable Process - Predictable
     –   Stays in control w/o intervention
     –   Get it right the first time
     –   Process monitoring: Good Process = Good part
     –   High yield

• Poor Process - Unpredictable
     –   Out of control - constant intervention required
     –   High Scrap and/or Lots of rework
     –   Checking parts instead of monitoring processes
     –   Low yield
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 9 of 40
Process Capability - Cp
A quantitative definition
                      SpecificationWidth
               Cp =
                      Pr ocessCapab ility



             ± 4σ                                                       ± 6σ
      Cp =                             Cp = 1 .33                Cp =                        Cp = 2.0
             ± 3σ                                                       ± 3σ




                                                                                         Source: Motorola [4]


May 16, 2012            © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com         Page 10 of 40
Process Capability
Measurement Methods
• Design of Experiments (DOE)
     – Don’t know which variables are important

• Statistical Process Control (SPC)
     – Stable process
     – Measuring the important variables

• Process Capability (Cp)
     – Describes the ratio between process variability and the
       upper and lower specification limits.
     – Based on normal distribution statistics, which is valid only if
       there is no assignable cause variation!


May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 11 of 40
4. Process Capability vs. Yield Loss
Why Care About Six Sigma?
• Six Sigma is all about reducing the
  cost of waste within the
  organization.

• Two primary wastes with high costs
     – Yield Loss – translates to high production
       costs due to poor efficiency.
     – Latent Defects – translates to warranty
       costs from defects in the field.
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 12 of 40
4. Process Capability vs. Yield Loss
Three Quick Stories
• Living with Systemic Waste
     – The Dumpster “Hall of Shame”
• Living with latent defects
     – Hot House Aging
• Living with defects during development
     – The “De-Ringer” Department




May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 13 of 40
Process Capability vs. Yield Loss
Why is Six-Sigma important?




                                                                                Source: Motorola [4]


May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com         Page 14 of 40
Process Capability vs. Yield Loss
How process shifts affect yield




                                                                                Source: Motorola [4]


• At low process capability, a process shift
  can produce significant yield losses.
• Six-sigma protects against yield losses
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com         Page 15 of 40
Process Capability vs. Yield Loss
How process shifts affect yield
• Graph shows one
  process step

• Process control
     – Difficult to keep most
       processes centered
     – Expect a shift


• Yield Loss = ƒ (Cp)
     – For Cp = 1, defect rate
       approaches 7%
     – For Cp = 2, defect rate is
                                                                                Source: Motorola [4]
       negligible
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com        Page 16 of 40
Process Capability vs. Yield Loss
Yield measures process efficiency
• Percent Yield: the proportion of useful
  output compared to a theoretical
  waste-free 100%
• Rolled Yield: the proportion of units
  completing a process without defects.
• First Time Yield: The proportion of
  units successfully passing an
  inspection step the first time.

May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 17 of 40
Process Capability vs. Yield Loss
Causes of Yield Loss
• Process step is not performed correctly on
  some parts, due to process shift caused by
  the interaction between:
     – inadequate equipment, and
     – defective raw material.
• Flawed inspection process, where the
  inspection process is prone to:
     – type I errors - false rejections, where conforming
       items may be incorrectly rejected.
     – type-II errors - false acceptance, where non-
       conforming items may be incorrectly accepted.
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 18 of 40
Process Capability vs. Yield Loss
The Tyranny of Large Numbers



                                                                           Source: Feiman [5]



• The Math: 0.9 x 0.9 x 0.9 x 0.9 = 0.656
• Imagine a process with hundreds of
  steps: Ex. Semiconductor
  Manufacturing
• Yield becomes critically important
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com      Page 19 of 40
Process Capability & Yield Loss
Managing Workflow Complexity



                                                                       Source: Feiman [5]



• Picture shows a single process step
• Complex material flow paths
• For rejected parts, flow stops while
  awaiting a disposition decision
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com      Page 20 of 40
5. Getting to Six Sigma
Process Improvement
• Continuous Process Improvement
     –   TOC – Theory of Constraints
     –   Lean
     –   Six Sigma
     –   TLS – TOC/Lean/SixSigma


• Improvement Cycles
     – Measure
     – Develop processes to eliminate assignable cause
       variations
     – Repeat
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 21 of 40
Getting to Six Sigma
Tools to Find Assignable Cause




                                  Source: Wordpress [6]

May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 22 of 40
Getting to Six Sigma
Process Improvement
• Deming formally defined the original
  improvement cycle
     – PDCA – Plan, Do, Check, Act


• Six Sigma uses two PDCA-based project
  methodologies
     – DMAIC to improve existing products/processes
           • define, measure, analyze, improve, control
     – DMADV to develop new products/processes
           • define, measure, analyze, design, verify


May 16, 2012    © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 23 of 40
Getting to Six Sigma
Plan-Do-Check-Act Improvement Cyclss




                                                                                Source: Shook [9]




May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 24 of 40
Getting to Six Sigma
A3 Sheets PDCA Improvement Cycles

                                                               The way          The better
                                                               things           way to
                                                               happen           work.
                                                               now.




                                                                                Do

                                                               Plan             Check

                                                                                Act
                       Source: Sobek [7]

May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 25 of 40
Getting to Six Sigma
A3 Sheets as a Management Tool
• A3 is the Basis for a results oriented culture

• The point of the A3 is to:
     –   Communicate
     –   Gain Consensus
     –   Solve Problems
     –   Get Results

• Understanding a new way to work replaces
  training a new behavior.
     – Existing staff implements a new process
     – New staff is oriented to existing process
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 26 of 40
6. Improving Yield - Six Sigma Goal
Do we really need six sigma?
• Go all the way to six sigma? Maybe

• A clear organizational focus on
  achieving measurable and quantifiable
  returns from each Six Sigma project.
     – Weigh the Cost vs. Benefit
           • Cost of improvement project
           • Benefits from improved yield = reduced costs
     – Yield = ƒ (Capability, Number of Steps)
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 27 of 40
Improving Yield - Capacity
Capacity Planning and Reporting
• The capacity plan must account for
  yield loss throughout the process.
     – Material loss - disposition as scrap
     – Extra capacity - disposition as rework
• Some ERP systems have provisions
  for tracking yield loss and secondary
  part flows.
• Some ERP systems have provisions
  for producing yield reports
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 28 of 40
Improving Yield - Workflow
Managing Yield Loss Complexity




                                Parts Flow




                                                                      Parts Flow
                                10% Bad




                                                                      10% Bad
                                                                                   Source: Feiman [5]


• Picture shows a single process step
• Complex material flow paths
• For rejected parts, flow stops while
  awaiting a disposition decision
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com                Page 29 of 40
The Tyranny of Large Numbers
Yield = ƒ (Capability, Number of Steps)
• Yield is the result,
  dependent on:
     – Process capability
     – Number of steps


• To improve yield:
     – Redesign product to
       decrease part count
       and improve process.
     – Redesign process to
       increase Cpk.
                                                                                Source: Motorola [4]
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com          Page 30 of 40
Improving Yield – Making the Case
Defining the Project - System
• Analyze Process – Current State VSM
• Conduct Investigations
     – Do the Gemba and create A3 sheets
• Design Lean Process – Future State VSM
• Conceptual Design: Several scenarios
     – Redesign the product and process - DFMA
     – Financial Analysis and Case – A3 sheets
• Propose Project - A3 Sheets (PDCA story)
     – Schedule, resources, cost estimate
• Review with management & refine
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 31 of 40
Improving Yield - How to Spend?
Product, Process or Capacity?
• Product improvement generates:
     – reduced parts count
     – simplified manufacturing processes
• Process improvement generates:
     –   simplified manufacturing processes
     –   improved process reliability
     –   predictable capacity plans and schedules
     –   permanent savings in labor, materials
• Capital Investment in a low yield process
     – reduces ROA and ROIC
     – “hardtools” inefficiency
     – may make sense early in product life cycle or if time to
       market is the most important factor
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 32 of 40
Improving Yield – Design Work
Approaching 100% Yield - Holy Grail
• Redesign the Product - DFMA
     – Design for Manufacturability & Assembly
     – Reduce the parts count
     – Eliminate process steps
• Redesign the Process - DFMA
     – Simple Process – Complex Part
           • Metal stamping
     – Complex Process – Simple Part
           • Multi-shot Injection Molding

May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 33 of 40
Improving Yield – Best Process
The Ideal Process Step
•   Consumes no labor
•   Consumes no material
•   Requires no management
•   Requires no equipment
•   Cycle time = 0
•   Yield = 100%

The ideal process step is the one that
does not exist!
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 34 of 40
Improving Yield – Best Process
Converging on the Ideal Process
• Fewer parts
     – Eliminate parts via DFMA for product and
       process redesign.
• Fewer process steps
     – Eliminate steps via DFMA for product and
       process redesign.
• Robust processes tolerate ±1.5σ shift
• Monitor process, not product
• Fewer inspection steps to speed flow
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 35 of 40
Improving Yield – Best Process
The Robust Process
• Six Sigma Process Characteristics
     – Process mean is 6σ away from USL and LSL
     – Tolerates a ±1.5σ shift in process centeredness
     – 3.4 Defective Parts per Million Opportunities (DPMO)




                                                            Source: Cmglee, Wikimedia Commons [8]

May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com    Page 36 of 40
Six Sigma Primer
Terminology
•   A3 – A single sheet of paper                  •      DPMO – Defects per Million
    which tells a PDCA story.                            Opportunities
•   CP – Process Capability                       •      LSL – Lower Spec Limit
•   CPI – Continuous Process                      •      PDCA – Plan, Do, Check,
    Improvement                                          Act cycle
•   DFMA – Design for                             •      PPM – Parts per million
    Manufacturability and                         •      SPC – Statistical Process
    Assembly                                             Control
•   DMADV - define, measure,                      •      TOC – Theory of
    analyze, design, verify                              Constraints
•   DMAIC – define, measure,                      •      TLS – TOC/Lean/Six Sigma
    analyze, improve, control                     •      USL – Upper Spec Limit
•   DOE – Design of                               •      VR&C – Variability
    Experiments                                          Reduction and Control
May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012       www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 37 of 40
Six Sigma Primer
Bibliography
[1]   ASQ, American Society for Quality, http://asq.org
[2]   Lean Lexicon, 4th Edition, Lean Enterprise Institute, 2008.
[3]   APICS Dictionary, 13th Edition, 2011
[4]   ENG 123, “Design for Manufacturability Participant Guide,” Motorola University, 1992
[5]   Feiman, Daniel, et.al “THE Book on . . . Business from A to Z: The 260 Most Important
      Answers You Need to Know ,” Build It Backwards Publishing, Los Angeles CA, 2011.
[6]   Tools for Root Cause Analysis, http://aacesubajou.wordpress.com
[7]   Sobek, Durward K. II, and Smalley, Art “Understanding A3 Thinking: A Critical Component
      of Toyota’s PDCA Management System,” Productivity Press, www.productivitypress.com ,
      2008, ISBN 978-1-56327-360-5
[8]   Cmglee, Six Sigma with 1.5 sigma Process shift, Wikimedia Commons
[9]   Shook, John, “Managing to Learn,” Lean Enterprise Institute, 2008




May 16, 2012        © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 38 of 40
About the Speaker
Andy Pattantyus, CPIM
Andy Pattantyus, CPIM, is founder, owner and President of Strategic Modularity, Inc. (SMI), a
management consulting company serving divisions of large corporations and SMB clients with
annual revenues of $3 to $30 million. Andy is passionate about enabling client companies to
reach their greatest potential by setting goals, preparing plans and eliminating waste.

Andy’s 30 years of experience in designing/integrating modular production systems and
flexible processes, developing new products, processes and machinery, provide him with a
wide base of knowledge on how to eliminate process inefficiencies. Andy solves business
problems by combining technical innovation with strategy, system design, facility design,
human resource management, project management and accounting. A streamlined and
efficient business perspective, with a strong mix of technical skills, enables Andy and his team
to improve a company’s health. In Andy’s roles, achieving results always required significant
planning before execution.

Before founding SMI, Andy managed development projects and material flow as a Senior
Engineering Manager at Eveready Battery Co. Inc. and as a Director at Quallion LLC. Andy
holds 6 patents, a B.S. and an M.S. in Mechanical Engineering from Virginia Tech as well as
an MBA from Case Western Reserve University.

Andy authored chapters about Yield and Quality in the recently released book:
© THE Book… on Business from A to Z: The 260 Most Important Answers You Need to Know
copyrighted 2011 by Daniel Feiman.

May 16, 2012       © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 39 of 40
About the Book
THE Book On… BUSINESS from A to Z
    Daniel Feiman, MBA, CMC®                         Nominated for Global eBook of the Year
                                                              http://goo.gl/Gjmz8
        Managing Director
      Build It Backwards(TM)
 Success by Choice; Not Chance(SM)

     Office: 310.540.6717 Cell:
              818.522.2892
       Consulting & Training in:
    Strategy * Finance * Process
  dsfeiman@BuildItBackwards.com
     www.BuildItBackwards.com
          http://goo.gl/j6F5b
         http://goo.gl/TxRuA

May 16, 2012   © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012   www.strategicmodularity.com   Page 40 of 40

Six Sigma Primer - Seeking Meaningful Improvments

  • 1.
    Six Sigma Primer SeekingMeaningful Improvements Presented by: Andy Pattantyus Prepared for: APICS Orange County Chapter by Strategic Modularity, Inc. www.strategicmodularity.com andyp@strategicmodularity.com Phone: 855-LeanOps FAX: 661-554-0299 May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 1 of 40
  • 2.
    Six Sigma Primer LearningObjectives • What is six sigma? • Are my processes six sigma? • What is process capability? • Why care about six sigma? • How can I get a process to six sigma? • The six sigma goal: improving yield May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 2 of 40
  • 3.
    1. What isSix Sigma? Overview • A description of process capability – Statistical – Mathematical • An operational philosophy – CPI – Continuous Process Improvement – VR&C – Variability Reduction & Control May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 3 of 40
  • 4.
    What is SixSigma? Definitions - ASQ • Six Sigma is a philosophy – This perspective views all work as processes that can be defined, measured, analyzed, improved and controlled. Processes require inputs (x) and produce outputs (y). If you control the inputs, you will control the outputs: This is generally expressed as y = f(x). • Six Sigma is a set of tools – The Six Sigma expert uses qualitative and quantitative techniques to drive process improvement. A few such tools include statistical process control (SPC), control charts, failure mode and effects analysis and flowcharting. • Six Sigma is a methodology – This view of Six Sigma recognizes the underlying and rigorous approach known as DMAIC (define, measure, analyze, improve and control). DMAIC defines the steps a Six Sigma practitioner is expected to follow, starting with identifying the problem and ending with the implementation of long- lasting solutions. While DMAIC is not the only Six Sigma methodology in use, it is certainly the most widely adopted and recognized. Source: ASQ [1] May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 4 of 40
  • 5.
    What is SixSigma? Definitions – Lean Lexicon • A quality standard of just 3.4 defects per one million opportunities; 99.9996% perfect. • Six sigma methodologies emphasize mathematical and statistical tools to improve the quality of processes that are already under control. • Application follows a five-step process of define, measure, analyze, improve, and control often referred to as DMAIC. • The term refers to the number of standard deviations a point is away from the mean point in a bell curve. It often is represented as 6 sigma. Source: Lean Lexicon [2] May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 5 of 40
  • 6.
    What is SixSigma? History • Born at Motorola – Motorola conceived the six sigma technique in 1986 as a way to achieve the company’s improvement goals in manufacturing and support functions. • Motorola Suppliers – Starting 1991 – Eveready Battery Company Inc. (Energizer) • Early corporate adopters – Starting 1995 – Allied-Signal (now Honeywell) – General Electric – 3M May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 6 of 40
  • 7.
    What is SixSigma? Mathematics or Management? • Mathematics – Field of statistics known as Process Capability – Basis for measurements – Verifiable data is the basis for decisions • Management – Continuous improvement efforts • Reduce process variation • Achieve stable and predictable results – Focus on business and manufacturing processes – Organizational commitment, especially top-level May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 7 of 40
  • 8.
    2. Are myprocesses six sigma? Probably Not! • If your organization knows process capability, and regularly uses it as a tool, then you know if your processes are six sigma. • Otherwise, most processes which have not been the object of continuous process improvement and variability reduction are likely less than 4 sigma. May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 8 of 40
  • 9.
    3. Process Capability Aqualitative definition • Capable Process - Predictable – Stays in control w/o intervention – Get it right the first time – Process monitoring: Good Process = Good part – High yield • Poor Process - Unpredictable – Out of control - constant intervention required – High Scrap and/or Lots of rework – Checking parts instead of monitoring processes – Low yield May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 9 of 40
  • 10.
    Process Capability -Cp A quantitative definition SpecificationWidth Cp = Pr ocessCapab ility ± 4σ ± 6σ Cp = Cp = 1 .33 Cp = Cp = 2.0 ± 3σ ± 3σ Source: Motorola [4] May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 10 of 40
  • 11.
    Process Capability Measurement Methods •Design of Experiments (DOE) – Don’t know which variables are important • Statistical Process Control (SPC) – Stable process – Measuring the important variables • Process Capability (Cp) – Describes the ratio between process variability and the upper and lower specification limits. – Based on normal distribution statistics, which is valid only if there is no assignable cause variation! May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 11 of 40
  • 12.
    4. Process Capabilityvs. Yield Loss Why Care About Six Sigma? • Six Sigma is all about reducing the cost of waste within the organization. • Two primary wastes with high costs – Yield Loss – translates to high production costs due to poor efficiency. – Latent Defects – translates to warranty costs from defects in the field. May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 12 of 40
  • 13.
    4. Process Capabilityvs. Yield Loss Three Quick Stories • Living with Systemic Waste – The Dumpster “Hall of Shame” • Living with latent defects – Hot House Aging • Living with defects during development – The “De-Ringer” Department May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 13 of 40
  • 14.
    Process Capability vs.Yield Loss Why is Six-Sigma important? Source: Motorola [4] May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 14 of 40
  • 15.
    Process Capability vs.Yield Loss How process shifts affect yield Source: Motorola [4] • At low process capability, a process shift can produce significant yield losses. • Six-sigma protects against yield losses May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 15 of 40
  • 16.
    Process Capability vs.Yield Loss How process shifts affect yield • Graph shows one process step • Process control – Difficult to keep most processes centered – Expect a shift • Yield Loss = ƒ (Cp) – For Cp = 1, defect rate approaches 7% – For Cp = 2, defect rate is Source: Motorola [4] negligible May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 16 of 40
  • 17.
    Process Capability vs.Yield Loss Yield measures process efficiency • Percent Yield: the proportion of useful output compared to a theoretical waste-free 100% • Rolled Yield: the proportion of units completing a process without defects. • First Time Yield: The proportion of units successfully passing an inspection step the first time. May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 17 of 40
  • 18.
    Process Capability vs.Yield Loss Causes of Yield Loss • Process step is not performed correctly on some parts, due to process shift caused by the interaction between: – inadequate equipment, and – defective raw material. • Flawed inspection process, where the inspection process is prone to: – type I errors - false rejections, where conforming items may be incorrectly rejected. – type-II errors - false acceptance, where non- conforming items may be incorrectly accepted. May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 18 of 40
  • 19.
    Process Capability vs.Yield Loss The Tyranny of Large Numbers Source: Feiman [5] • The Math: 0.9 x 0.9 x 0.9 x 0.9 = 0.656 • Imagine a process with hundreds of steps: Ex. Semiconductor Manufacturing • Yield becomes critically important May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 19 of 40
  • 20.
    Process Capability &Yield Loss Managing Workflow Complexity Source: Feiman [5] • Picture shows a single process step • Complex material flow paths • For rejected parts, flow stops while awaiting a disposition decision May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 20 of 40
  • 21.
    5. Getting toSix Sigma Process Improvement • Continuous Process Improvement – TOC – Theory of Constraints – Lean – Six Sigma – TLS – TOC/Lean/SixSigma • Improvement Cycles – Measure – Develop processes to eliminate assignable cause variations – Repeat May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 21 of 40
  • 22.
    Getting to SixSigma Tools to Find Assignable Cause Source: Wordpress [6] May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 22 of 40
  • 23.
    Getting to SixSigma Process Improvement • Deming formally defined the original improvement cycle – PDCA – Plan, Do, Check, Act • Six Sigma uses two PDCA-based project methodologies – DMAIC to improve existing products/processes • define, measure, analyze, improve, control – DMADV to develop new products/processes • define, measure, analyze, design, verify May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 23 of 40
  • 24.
    Getting to SixSigma Plan-Do-Check-Act Improvement Cyclss Source: Shook [9] May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 24 of 40
  • 25.
    Getting to SixSigma A3 Sheets PDCA Improvement Cycles The way The better things way to happen work. now. Do Plan Check Act Source: Sobek [7] May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 25 of 40
  • 26.
    Getting to SixSigma A3 Sheets as a Management Tool • A3 is the Basis for a results oriented culture • The point of the A3 is to: – Communicate – Gain Consensus – Solve Problems – Get Results • Understanding a new way to work replaces training a new behavior. – Existing staff implements a new process – New staff is oriented to existing process May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 26 of 40
  • 27.
    6. Improving Yield- Six Sigma Goal Do we really need six sigma? • Go all the way to six sigma? Maybe • A clear organizational focus on achieving measurable and quantifiable returns from each Six Sigma project. – Weigh the Cost vs. Benefit • Cost of improvement project • Benefits from improved yield = reduced costs – Yield = ƒ (Capability, Number of Steps) May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 27 of 40
  • 28.
    Improving Yield -Capacity Capacity Planning and Reporting • The capacity plan must account for yield loss throughout the process. – Material loss - disposition as scrap – Extra capacity - disposition as rework • Some ERP systems have provisions for tracking yield loss and secondary part flows. • Some ERP systems have provisions for producing yield reports May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 28 of 40
  • 29.
    Improving Yield -Workflow Managing Yield Loss Complexity Parts Flow Parts Flow 10% Bad 10% Bad Source: Feiman [5] • Picture shows a single process step • Complex material flow paths • For rejected parts, flow stops while awaiting a disposition decision May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 29 of 40
  • 30.
    The Tyranny ofLarge Numbers Yield = ƒ (Capability, Number of Steps) • Yield is the result, dependent on: – Process capability – Number of steps • To improve yield: – Redesign product to decrease part count and improve process. – Redesign process to increase Cpk. Source: Motorola [4] May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 30 of 40
  • 31.
    Improving Yield –Making the Case Defining the Project - System • Analyze Process – Current State VSM • Conduct Investigations – Do the Gemba and create A3 sheets • Design Lean Process – Future State VSM • Conceptual Design: Several scenarios – Redesign the product and process - DFMA – Financial Analysis and Case – A3 sheets • Propose Project - A3 Sheets (PDCA story) – Schedule, resources, cost estimate • Review with management & refine May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 31 of 40
  • 32.
    Improving Yield -How to Spend? Product, Process or Capacity? • Product improvement generates: – reduced parts count – simplified manufacturing processes • Process improvement generates: – simplified manufacturing processes – improved process reliability – predictable capacity plans and schedules – permanent savings in labor, materials • Capital Investment in a low yield process – reduces ROA and ROIC – “hardtools” inefficiency – may make sense early in product life cycle or if time to market is the most important factor May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 32 of 40
  • 33.
    Improving Yield –Design Work Approaching 100% Yield - Holy Grail • Redesign the Product - DFMA – Design for Manufacturability & Assembly – Reduce the parts count – Eliminate process steps • Redesign the Process - DFMA – Simple Process – Complex Part • Metal stamping – Complex Process – Simple Part • Multi-shot Injection Molding May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 33 of 40
  • 34.
    Improving Yield –Best Process The Ideal Process Step • Consumes no labor • Consumes no material • Requires no management • Requires no equipment • Cycle time = 0 • Yield = 100% The ideal process step is the one that does not exist! May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 34 of 40
  • 35.
    Improving Yield –Best Process Converging on the Ideal Process • Fewer parts – Eliminate parts via DFMA for product and process redesign. • Fewer process steps – Eliminate steps via DFMA for product and process redesign. • Robust processes tolerate ±1.5σ shift • Monitor process, not product • Fewer inspection steps to speed flow May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 35 of 40
  • 36.
    Improving Yield –Best Process The Robust Process • Six Sigma Process Characteristics – Process mean is 6σ away from USL and LSL – Tolerates a ±1.5σ shift in process centeredness – 3.4 Defective Parts per Million Opportunities (DPMO) Source: Cmglee, Wikimedia Commons [8] May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 36 of 40
  • 37.
    Six Sigma Primer Terminology • A3 – A single sheet of paper • DPMO – Defects per Million which tells a PDCA story. Opportunities • CP – Process Capability • LSL – Lower Spec Limit • CPI – Continuous Process • PDCA – Plan, Do, Check, Improvement Act cycle • DFMA – Design for • PPM – Parts per million Manufacturability and • SPC – Statistical Process Assembly Control • DMADV - define, measure, • TOC – Theory of analyze, design, verify Constraints • DMAIC – define, measure, • TLS – TOC/Lean/Six Sigma analyze, improve, control • USL – Upper Spec Limit • DOE – Design of • VR&C – Variability Experiments Reduction and Control May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 37 of 40
  • 38.
    Six Sigma Primer Bibliography [1] ASQ, American Society for Quality, http://asq.org [2] Lean Lexicon, 4th Edition, Lean Enterprise Institute, 2008. [3] APICS Dictionary, 13th Edition, 2011 [4] ENG 123, “Design for Manufacturability Participant Guide,” Motorola University, 1992 [5] Feiman, Daniel, et.al “THE Book on . . . Business from A to Z: The 260 Most Important Answers You Need to Know ,” Build It Backwards Publishing, Los Angeles CA, 2011. [6] Tools for Root Cause Analysis, http://aacesubajou.wordpress.com [7] Sobek, Durward K. II, and Smalley, Art “Understanding A3 Thinking: A Critical Component of Toyota’s PDCA Management System,” Productivity Press, www.productivitypress.com , 2008, ISBN 978-1-56327-360-5 [8] Cmglee, Six Sigma with 1.5 sigma Process shift, Wikimedia Commons [9] Shook, John, “Managing to Learn,” Lean Enterprise Institute, 2008 May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 38 of 40
  • 39.
    About the Speaker AndyPattantyus, CPIM Andy Pattantyus, CPIM, is founder, owner and President of Strategic Modularity, Inc. (SMI), a management consulting company serving divisions of large corporations and SMB clients with annual revenues of $3 to $30 million. Andy is passionate about enabling client companies to reach their greatest potential by setting goals, preparing plans and eliminating waste. Andy’s 30 years of experience in designing/integrating modular production systems and flexible processes, developing new products, processes and machinery, provide him with a wide base of knowledge on how to eliminate process inefficiencies. Andy solves business problems by combining technical innovation with strategy, system design, facility design, human resource management, project management and accounting. A streamlined and efficient business perspective, with a strong mix of technical skills, enables Andy and his team to improve a company’s health. In Andy’s roles, achieving results always required significant planning before execution. Before founding SMI, Andy managed development projects and material flow as a Senior Engineering Manager at Eveready Battery Co. Inc. and as a Director at Quallion LLC. Andy holds 6 patents, a B.S. and an M.S. in Mechanical Engineering from Virginia Tech as well as an MBA from Case Western Reserve University. Andy authored chapters about Yield and Quality in the recently released book: © THE Book… on Business from A to Z: The 260 Most Important Answers You Need to Know copyrighted 2011 by Daniel Feiman. May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 39 of 40
  • 40.
    About the Book THEBook On… BUSINESS from A to Z Daniel Feiman, MBA, CMC® Nominated for Global eBook of the Year http://goo.gl/Gjmz8 Managing Director Build It Backwards(TM) Success by Choice; Not Chance(SM) Office: 310.540.6717 Cell: 818.522.2892 Consulting & Training in: Strategy * Finance * Process dsfeiman@BuildItBackwards.com www.BuildItBackwards.com http://goo.gl/j6F5b http://goo.gl/TxRuA May 16, 2012 © Strategic Modularity Inc. 2012 www.strategicmodularity.com Page 40 of 40

Editor's Notes

  • #25 Sobek pg 128 Shook pg 96 The Toyota Way Fieldbook pg 404
  • #26 Jimmerson pg 35 The Toyota Way Fieldbook pg 401
  • #27 The Toyota Way Fieldbook pg 408 Jimmerson pg 52