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shapingtomorrow.com
11
INTRODUCTION
Our Purpose
⮚ Help you to identify and manage change to
achieve strategic agility, organizational
resilience, innovation and risk mitigation
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1
connecting, collecting, computing, and creating.
shapingtomorrow.com
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WHY STRATEGIC FORESIGHT?
The world is morphing fast:
⮚ Low economic growth
⮚ Increasing uncertainty
⮚ Accelerating change
⮚ Increasing complexity
⮚ Digitalization
⮚ More chance of surprise
Organizations refocusing on:
⮚ Improving efficiency
⮚ Agility
⮚ Stability
⮚ Capability
⮚ Risk mitigation
⮚ Developing alternative scenarios
⮚ Innovation that create better futures for all
AND
⮚ Changing their story accordingly and quickly
2All Rights Reserved
‘Strategic Foresight practices
boost profitability by 33%
and market capitalization
growth by 200%.’
Rohrbeck and Kurn 2018
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MANAGING CHANGE
⮚ Managing change is a process that can be
systematized
⮚ Increasing strategic foresight capability is
the first step in systematic change
management
⮚ Having strategic foresight increases future
opportunity and reduces emerging risk
⮚ Begin by identifying and monitoring
change going on in the world around you,
then critique the implications, imagine
future differences, envision your preferred
future and plan and act on what you now
know
“Foresight is an art not a science that requires
much practice” [D. Loveridge]
but,
“Practice means you can turn vicious issues into
long-term virtual cycles of success” [M. Jackson]
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By kind permission of Wendy Schultz
shapingtomorrow.com
4WHAT IS STRATEGIC FORESIGHT?
4
By kind permission of John M. Schutte
We endeavor to provide this complete system, digitally, to our members and clients
All Rights Reserved
shapingtomorrow.com
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WHAT STRATEGIC FORESIGHT IS NOT!
⮚ Only using the rear-view mirror to drive
your car i.e. using straight line projected
past and concurrent trends to navigate
without seeing bends, shortcuts and
roadblocks in the road ahead. A trend is
only a trend until it bends!
⮚ Following fads, fashions and rivals
without deep, innovative and usually
collaborative thinking.
⮚ A fun, playtime exercise rather than a
serious chess game with real-world
results and outcomes.
⮚ Comfortable or easy.
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If you drive your car through the rear view mirror
you will miss what’s right in front of you.
⮚
Slavishly following past trends and driving till the road
runs out means you are likely to take a route that
others have already left with the danger that you will
crash or die. Think the 2009 Global Financial Crisis,
Newspapers, Kodak, Nokia, MySpace etc.
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WHAT YOU CAN DO HERE?
⮚ Scan the horizon for emerging intelligence
and solutions to your emerging issues
⮚ Plan your organization’s anticipatory
strategy
⮚ Act on your decisions at the best time
⮚ Network and share emerging challenges
⮚ Learn how to be more resilient to change
⮚ Ask us to research your future
opportunities and risks
⮚ Privatize your own content and thinking
and own-brand this site
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RATIONALE
Today:
⮚ Strategic thinking is complex, messy,
costly, time-consuming, requires
considerable knowledge and expertise
which is in no one place
⮚ Similarly, education in strategic thinking
⮚ Strategic thinking is mostly in the hands of
experts (Hedgehogs1) and they in turn are
constrained by the same issues above
⮚ Consequently, only a few organizations are
wold-class in strategic thinking and most
people make decisions based on past
experiences and partial knowledge without
the complete picture
1 Source: http://www.agilemarketing.net/fox-
hedgehog/
Tomorrow:
⮚ As the pace of change accelerates
organizations need a simpler, faster way to
do strategic thinking, to respond just-in-
time and to become agile and resilient in
ever more uncertain times
⮚ Education in strategic thinking needs to be
immediate and knowledge of what we all
can see of the future, near-instant, to drive
competitive advantage and shape better
tomorrows
⮚ Strategic thinking needs to be in the hands
of non-experts (Foxes1) too, to speed up
decision-making, get most organizations in
the world to best and next practice and
help more people become forward-thinking
in their outlook and actions
7
“We are here to help you make better decisions today, faster
and cheaper than ever before through strategic foresight”
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shapingtomorrow.com
8
DAT
A
INFORMATION
KNOWLEDGE
WISDOM
Raw evidence to
INSIGHTS
Extracted indicators to
FORECASTS
QUESTIONS* to ANSWERS &
POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS
METHODS to RESPONSES
`
What must be done?
What could be done?
What is predicted?
What is reported?
Our
Process
OUR KNOWLEDGE MODEL (DIKW)
Strategic
Foresight
Reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DIKW_pyramid
Sources
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* Athena now gathers the Data and extracts
verbatim Information instantly. She is now
beginning to offer Knowledge on what could
be done by finding Answers to extracted
Questions on the Web and potential solutions.
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BENEFITS OF AI
Before
⮚ Random human scanning
⮚ 60 Insights per week
⮚ Zero forecasts per week
⮚ When spotted
⮚ One by one
⮚ Statistically irrelevant
⮚ <50 human researchers
⮚ Full time editor
⮚ ~3,000 sources
⮚ Many missed changes
⮚ Project time 6-26 weeks
⮚ Limited uses
⮚ Limited USP
After
⮚ Systematic robot scanning
⮚ >5,000 Insights per week
⮚ >2,500 Forecasts per week
⮚ Daily
⮚ Massive scale
⮚ Instant pattern identification
⮚ Robot equivalent of 5,000+ researchers
⮚ Part time editor
⮚ ~40,000+sources
⮚ Few missed changes
⮚ Project time less than one day
⮚ Growing uses
⮚ Huge USP (90% cheaper than traditional
methods and real-time)
shapingtomorrow.com
1010
BENEFITS TO YOU & YOUR ORGANIZATION
Your Organization
⮚ Keep abreast of market developments and
stay steps ahead of your competition in
real-time.
⮚ Spot fresh opportunities for innovation and
growth
⮚ Mitigate emerging risks
⮚ Improve confidence in your actions and
reduce uncertainty through collaboration
⮚ Be smarter, agile and resilient through
taking a systemic and forward-looking
approach to your decision-making and
subsequent actions
⮚ Develop your organization to be constantly
future-focused
⮚ Survive and succeed in a period of massive
disruptive change
⮚ Create new markets and play on fields your
competitors don’t
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You
Increase your foresight
Improve your personal contribution
Be a leader not a follower
Build your internal and external networks
Develop new thinking skills
Contribute to making a better world
shapingtomorrow.com
11OUR AIM
Our aim is to help you continuously anticipate how we will live and
better prepare for emerging global opportunities and risks.
What you’ll find here to help you do a great job:
⮚ PROFILE: keep your profile up-to-date and let us help you
⮚ GUIDE: learn how to get the best out of the service
⮚ SOURCES: add and view content originators
⮚ CHALLENGES: get instant, prospective on the future
⮚ REPORTS: create and publish customized reports
⮚ DECISIONS: manage your innovation and threat pipeline
⮚ MEMBERS: learn from other future interested people
⮚ ACTIVITIES: view actions you’ve taken
⮚ ASK ATHENA: ask our robot for help
⮚ EXPERT PANELS: find experts
⮚ ADVISORY SERVICES: hire our facilitators
⮚ HOW WILL THE FUTURE BE DIFFERENT?: global survey
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shapingtomorrow.com
12
Sources
320,000+
auto produced
searchable
forecasts
8-15 vital few
Decisions
Members Groups
Organizations
Keywords
Pundits
Experts
Forecasts
Metrics
Tools
Intelligence
Act Now
Not yet
Watch
Forget
Completed
Making better
decisions today
~30,000+
HOW SHAPING TOMORROW WORKS
ST’s white box system
AI Tool
s
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shapingtomorrow.com
1313SETTINGS
⮚ Please help us to help you by keeping your
profile, email subscriptions, interests and
style up-to-date
⮚ You will benefit by allowing other members
to contact you and we will be able to tailor
our service to your needs
⮚ We respect and protect your privacy (we
were fully GDPR compliant even before
GDPR)
⮚ Personal information about you is not
disclosed to any third party without first
receiving your permission
⮚ By contributing to our service you can
increase your personal standing and
competence within our community and
help shape tomorrow for the benefit of all
First things first
A little time spent polishing your profile will pay big
dividends here
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shapingtomorrow.com
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GUIDE
Learn more in our onsite, training manual
⮚ If you are new here or need a refresher our
Guide will lead you through how to get the
best out of this service.
⮚ If you still can’t find what you need then
Ask Athena: your digital assistant,
personal coach and online educator. She
can help you with your questions about the
service.
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shapingtomorrow.com
15SOURCES
Add Sources
⮚ Add automatic and manual material’
⮚ Set up continuous tracking of sources and keywords
⮚ View your Source log or Sources of change
Special features
⮚ Add, edit and view in your native language
⮚ Create your own corporate memory
⮚ Develop your enterprise-wide knowledge management
system
⮚ Subscribe to our multi-lingual service for an additional
fee per selected country
Track emerging evidence of change
To begin you can either Add Sources of interest to you or just explore our database
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shapingtomorrow.com
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FORECASTS
The system finds instant and automatic future
‘Forecasts' about probable, possible and potential
future world conditions.
You need merely Add Sources and Athena, our
robot, will do the rest,
You can then develop the likely future story of your
chosen topic in text form by clicking:
Summary: latest forecasts added by Athena
Narrative: longer report organized by theme
Chronology: same but organized by time
Questions: auto extraction of questions by
Athena and access to possible answers at Google
Refine: improve your search term
Get instant, extracted prospective on your interest topics
With this system, members can develop their strategic
responses, create professional foresight reports and
presentations in less than half a day on any topic of their
choice compared with the many weeks taken by
traditional methods
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shapingtomorrow.com
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METRICS
Picture the future of your interest with:
⮚ System map – view related topics
⮚ Outlooks: likely prospects over time
⮚ Comparisons – compare topics, sectors, countries ..
⮚ Opinions – check sentiments, sources and leaders views
⮚ SWOT – view strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and
threats
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TOOLS
⮚ Deploy the very best, collaborative Strategic
Thinking methods to determine your responses
to emerging change in hours rather than the
traditional methods that take months or years.
⮚ The six top methods available here are:
- Options Analysis: develop fast responses
to emerging change
- Gapfinder: instantly identify your
organizations disconnects
- Rivalries: examine your competitors future
- CLA: Causal Layered Analysis – identify
transformative spaces for the creation of
alternative futures
- Scenarios: examine and respond to 4 global
futures
- Three Horizons: manage your current
performance while maximizing future
opportunities for growth
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More inside
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INTELLIGENCE
⮚ Search for more lagging and co-incident
intelligence on:
- Organizations: see what specific
organizations are doing
- Meetings: see where future-oriented
meetings are scheduled
- R&D: know what research projects
are planned
- Funding: find whose investing in what
⮚ View All:
- My: only you can see your work
- Our: only you and your associates can
see each other’s work
- All: everyone with access to the platform
can see your work
⮚ Export All: download the latest spreadsheet
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shapingtomorrow.com
2020
WORLD CHALLENGES
⮚ The World Challenges charts show the top
threats and opportunities as they are
forecasted to be in the future
⮚ World Challenges pops up every time you
enter the service.
⮚ We believe this is a world first!
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SOLUTIONS
⮚ In what we think is another world first our
robot can suggest solutions to your
challenges and issues you search for
⮚ This is an extract of forecasts looking for
those that suggest next practice
⮚ We still have much development to do here
⮚ But, you can already explore this list for
next practice ideas to bring to your
organization ahead of most others
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YOUR CHALLENGES
Keep abreast of your own emerging challenges:
⮚ If you are a client, you can set up your own,
private, automated, summary reports on topics of
your choice
⮚ That means that once your Sources are established
and your Challenges defined that your scanning
will be automatic, near to real-time and require
very little human intervention other than deciding
your strategic responses using our methods
Or you can watch
⮚ United Nations global goals that will affect you
⮚ G20 Watch for emerging issues likely to impact
you
⮚ Your own pre-selected benchmark organizations
⮚ Our suggestions as to the key organizations to
learn from
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2323
REPORTS
⮚ Add, view and publish customized reports
⮚ Read our Trending Now newsletter archive
⮚ Challenge your thinking with strategic
management questions
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shapingtomorrow.com
2424
DECISIONS
⮚ Use the ‘Decisions’ button to determine
where a project fits in your pipeline:
- Act now!: do this immediately
- Not yet: manage until ready
- Watch: keep under review
- Forget: reject
- Completed: implemented solution
⮚ Your decision(s) will appear in the left-
hand navigation bar
⮚ Once you have made some decisions you
can move your decisions up and down the
pipeline.
Manage your projects
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shapingtomorrow.com
25MEMBERS
Here you can:
Find futurists and ask for their advice, hire them, listen to, learn and help each other anticipate change
Find new opportunities to collaborate and co-create the future in public or in private
⮚ ‘Add’ to your profile to maximize your membership benefits by:
- editing your basic information
- adding your interests so we can tailor our
service to you
- describing your career for other members
to find you for their projects
⮚ - evaluating your style – worldview and
cognitive reasoning
⮚ View ‘All’ visible members, email them and see their interests
⮚ Dialog with others, critique and or add views in the ‘Forums’
⮚ Join and or view All Groups (Groups allow their members to work
with our content directly (Social media networks like LinkedIn don’t)
⮚ The Groups capability allows you to ‘Tag’, ‘Report’, ‘Share’ and add Forecasts and Insights as evidence etc.
Determine how you will respond
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shapingtomorrow.com
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ACTIVITIES
⮚ Details recent visits you have made here
⮚ Shows recent forecasts you have looked at
⮚ Lists Tags you added to Sources and
Forecasts
⮚ Lists Tags you added to Insights
⮚ Gives information on your Pay-As-You-Go
purchases
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shapingtomorrow.com
2727
PRIVACY AND PRICING
You can choose to:
⮚ Work in public: ‘All’* - any first content
page is available in a free trial. Your work
will be visible to others
⮚ Work on your own privately with a single
licence and subscribe to see all open
content
⮚ Work with associates privately or publicly
and have access to all open content and our
many other bespoke services
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shapingtomorrow.com
2828
ALERTS
⮚ Each week either our robot, Athena,
creates a short Trend Alert on a key
emerging issue that is sent to our ~10,000
members
⮚ You can also ask us for a customized, Trend
Alert or in-depth GIST report on any other
topic of interest to you
⮚ Use these as fire-starters with your
executives and managers to get their juices
flowing on how these might affect your
organization and what to do next
⮚ You can use our Questioning methods to
prompt their responses
⮚ If you are a client you will need a second
email address to receive these and access
your own private site
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shapingtomorrow.com
2929
CUSTOM SERVICES
Contact us, if you want your own private or partner
site giving you the following:
⮚ Own logo – Own look and feel – Private content
⮚ Multi-team licenses
⮚ Read only facility available
⮚ Choice of blank content site, selected or full
member content
Or, foresight, strategy and change management
advice, futures research, reports, talks,
newsfeeds, research, surveys, coaching &
training, and stakeholder inspiration,
engagement or enablement
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MULTILINGUAL
We now offer multilingual forecast extraction
to clients on a country by country basis
shapingtomorrow.com
30A CLIENT CASE STUDY
Manual Tracking and categorization of data:
• 1st year of TFA we had a contractor create and maintain the Research Database.
• Not effective at all. Costly, hard to update, not used after the fact.
Search for a solution:
• Next year spent 3 to 4 months searching for solutions and had a few companies provide demos and trials.
Results:
• Very complete but complex ones…. but too expensive ~ $200K+/year
• News services which are also expensive and have limited in scope and access.
• Wide collection of free and paid for tools that was way too cumbersome to manage and would require some
programming to integrate and use effectively.
Shaping Tomorrow:
• Mentioned by my a Foresight colleague in another organization, fit the bill for information search and
management , Foresight tools and reasonable cost. We signed up.
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This Canadian client signed up for ST’s service in 2016. They moved jobs and made this
presentation to their new colleagues. They have now signed up too.
shapingtomorrow.com
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PROOF POINTS
⮚ "You have created a unique and very impressive scanning and foresight platform"
James Mason, AllState Insurance United States
⮚ "The Shaping Tomorrow workshop was incredibly valuable in demonstrating the potential use of
the integrated foresight, strategy and change tools - I am impressed with how widely the tools
can be applied to our daily work and how the systematic approach ensures that we cover off areas
we perhaps wouldn't think of including in our analysis. I really like its systematic approach
and the fact that it can be used in diverse areas such as policy formulation,
forecasting, provision of advice to senior levels of government etc."
Raana Asgar - DAFF (Australia)
⮚ "Shaping Tomorrow provided the tools and expertise to quickly assimilate market
information, identify key drivers and create multiple scenarios. We were able to
identify many options to help steer the company and test our strategic plans."
Russell Trueman, Strategic Planning Manager - British Gypsum (United Kingdom)
⮚ "I've been using Shaping Tomorrow for more than 3 years now. It not only has significantly
shortened the amount of time needed to scan, but has also increased the quantity of information
reviewed and the quality of the hits. This allows more time for analysis and interpretation (where
Shaping Tomorrow also has some great tools to support). And the team at Shaping Tomorrow
couldn't be more helpful."
Angela Stone, Queensland Department Transport & Main Roads Australia
⮚
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shapingtomorrow.com
3232
NOW GET STARTED
⮚ Begin exploring the service
⮚ Consult the other detailed help ‘GUIDES’
here
⮚ Learn how to get ahead of rivals
⮚ Contact us if you have any difficulties or
would like up to 40 minutes free, online
training
We are here to help. Feel free to contact us
⮚ +44 (0) 1273 832221
⮚ info@shapingtomorrow.com
⮚ Skype: shapingtomorrow
⮚ Ask Athena
“We are here to help you make
better strategy decisions today,
faster.
better and cheaper than ever before”
All Rights Reserved
32

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Shaping Tomorrow - Introduction

  • 1. shapingtomorrow.com 11 INTRODUCTION Our Purpose ⮚ Help you to identify and manage change to achieve strategic agility, organizational resilience, innovation and risk mitigation All Rights Reserved 1 connecting, collecting, computing, and creating.
  • 2. shapingtomorrow.com 22 WHY STRATEGIC FORESIGHT? The world is morphing fast: ⮚ Low economic growth ⮚ Increasing uncertainty ⮚ Accelerating change ⮚ Increasing complexity ⮚ Digitalization ⮚ More chance of surprise Organizations refocusing on: ⮚ Improving efficiency ⮚ Agility ⮚ Stability ⮚ Capability ⮚ Risk mitigation ⮚ Developing alternative scenarios ⮚ Innovation that create better futures for all AND ⮚ Changing their story accordingly and quickly 2All Rights Reserved ‘Strategic Foresight practices boost profitability by 33% and market capitalization growth by 200%.’ Rohrbeck and Kurn 2018
  • 3. shapingtomorrow.com 33 MANAGING CHANGE ⮚ Managing change is a process that can be systematized ⮚ Increasing strategic foresight capability is the first step in systematic change management ⮚ Having strategic foresight increases future opportunity and reduces emerging risk ⮚ Begin by identifying and monitoring change going on in the world around you, then critique the implications, imagine future differences, envision your preferred future and plan and act on what you now know “Foresight is an art not a science that requires much practice” [D. Loveridge] but, “Practice means you can turn vicious issues into long-term virtual cycles of success” [M. Jackson] All Rights Reserved 3 By kind permission of Wendy Schultz
  • 4. shapingtomorrow.com 4WHAT IS STRATEGIC FORESIGHT? 4 By kind permission of John M. Schutte We endeavor to provide this complete system, digitally, to our members and clients All Rights Reserved
  • 5. shapingtomorrow.com 55 WHAT STRATEGIC FORESIGHT IS NOT! ⮚ Only using the rear-view mirror to drive your car i.e. using straight line projected past and concurrent trends to navigate without seeing bends, shortcuts and roadblocks in the road ahead. A trend is only a trend until it bends! ⮚ Following fads, fashions and rivals without deep, innovative and usually collaborative thinking. ⮚ A fun, playtime exercise rather than a serious chess game with real-world results and outcomes. ⮚ Comfortable or easy. All Rights Reserved 5 If you drive your car through the rear view mirror you will miss what’s right in front of you. ⮚ Slavishly following past trends and driving till the road runs out means you are likely to take a route that others have already left with the danger that you will crash or die. Think the 2009 Global Financial Crisis, Newspapers, Kodak, Nokia, MySpace etc.
  • 6. shapingtomorrow.com 66 WHAT YOU CAN DO HERE? ⮚ Scan the horizon for emerging intelligence and solutions to your emerging issues ⮚ Plan your organization’s anticipatory strategy ⮚ Act on your decisions at the best time ⮚ Network and share emerging challenges ⮚ Learn how to be more resilient to change ⮚ Ask us to research your future opportunities and risks ⮚ Privatize your own content and thinking and own-brand this site All Rights Reserved 6
  • 7. shapingtomorrow.com 77 RATIONALE Today: ⮚ Strategic thinking is complex, messy, costly, time-consuming, requires considerable knowledge and expertise which is in no one place ⮚ Similarly, education in strategic thinking ⮚ Strategic thinking is mostly in the hands of experts (Hedgehogs1) and they in turn are constrained by the same issues above ⮚ Consequently, only a few organizations are wold-class in strategic thinking and most people make decisions based on past experiences and partial knowledge without the complete picture 1 Source: http://www.agilemarketing.net/fox- hedgehog/ Tomorrow: ⮚ As the pace of change accelerates organizations need a simpler, faster way to do strategic thinking, to respond just-in- time and to become agile and resilient in ever more uncertain times ⮚ Education in strategic thinking needs to be immediate and knowledge of what we all can see of the future, near-instant, to drive competitive advantage and shape better tomorrows ⮚ Strategic thinking needs to be in the hands of non-experts (Foxes1) too, to speed up decision-making, get most organizations in the world to best and next practice and help more people become forward-thinking in their outlook and actions 7 “We are here to help you make better decisions today, faster and cheaper than ever before through strategic foresight” All Rights Reserved
  • 8. shapingtomorrow.com 8 DAT A INFORMATION KNOWLEDGE WISDOM Raw evidence to INSIGHTS Extracted indicators to FORECASTS QUESTIONS* to ANSWERS & POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS METHODS to RESPONSES ` What must be done? What could be done? What is predicted? What is reported? Our Process OUR KNOWLEDGE MODEL (DIKW) Strategic Foresight Reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DIKW_pyramid Sources All Rights Reserved 8 * Athena now gathers the Data and extracts verbatim Information instantly. She is now beginning to offer Knowledge on what could be done by finding Answers to extracted Questions on the Web and potential solutions.
  • 9. shapingtomorrow.com 99 BENEFITS OF AI Before ⮚ Random human scanning ⮚ 60 Insights per week ⮚ Zero forecasts per week ⮚ When spotted ⮚ One by one ⮚ Statistically irrelevant ⮚ <50 human researchers ⮚ Full time editor ⮚ ~3,000 sources ⮚ Many missed changes ⮚ Project time 6-26 weeks ⮚ Limited uses ⮚ Limited USP After ⮚ Systematic robot scanning ⮚ >5,000 Insights per week ⮚ >2,500 Forecasts per week ⮚ Daily ⮚ Massive scale ⮚ Instant pattern identification ⮚ Robot equivalent of 5,000+ researchers ⮚ Part time editor ⮚ ~40,000+sources ⮚ Few missed changes ⮚ Project time less than one day ⮚ Growing uses ⮚ Huge USP (90% cheaper than traditional methods and real-time)
  • 10. shapingtomorrow.com 1010 BENEFITS TO YOU & YOUR ORGANIZATION Your Organization ⮚ Keep abreast of market developments and stay steps ahead of your competition in real-time. ⮚ Spot fresh opportunities for innovation and growth ⮚ Mitigate emerging risks ⮚ Improve confidence in your actions and reduce uncertainty through collaboration ⮚ Be smarter, agile and resilient through taking a systemic and forward-looking approach to your decision-making and subsequent actions ⮚ Develop your organization to be constantly future-focused ⮚ Survive and succeed in a period of massive disruptive change ⮚ Create new markets and play on fields your competitors don’t All Rights Reserved 10 You Increase your foresight Improve your personal contribution Be a leader not a follower Build your internal and external networks Develop new thinking skills Contribute to making a better world
  • 11. shapingtomorrow.com 11OUR AIM Our aim is to help you continuously anticipate how we will live and better prepare for emerging global opportunities and risks. What you’ll find here to help you do a great job: ⮚ PROFILE: keep your profile up-to-date and let us help you ⮚ GUIDE: learn how to get the best out of the service ⮚ SOURCES: add and view content originators ⮚ CHALLENGES: get instant, prospective on the future ⮚ REPORTS: create and publish customized reports ⮚ DECISIONS: manage your innovation and threat pipeline ⮚ MEMBERS: learn from other future interested people ⮚ ACTIVITIES: view actions you’ve taken ⮚ ASK ATHENA: ask our robot for help ⮚ EXPERT PANELS: find experts ⮚ ADVISORY SERVICES: hire our facilitators ⮚ HOW WILL THE FUTURE BE DIFFERENT?: global survey All Rights Reserved 11
  • 12. shapingtomorrow.com 12 Sources 320,000+ auto produced searchable forecasts 8-15 vital few Decisions Members Groups Organizations Keywords Pundits Experts Forecasts Metrics Tools Intelligence Act Now Not yet Watch Forget Completed Making better decisions today ~30,000+ HOW SHAPING TOMORROW WORKS ST’s white box system AI Tool s All Rights Reserved 12
  • 13. shapingtomorrow.com 1313SETTINGS ⮚ Please help us to help you by keeping your profile, email subscriptions, interests and style up-to-date ⮚ You will benefit by allowing other members to contact you and we will be able to tailor our service to your needs ⮚ We respect and protect your privacy (we were fully GDPR compliant even before GDPR) ⮚ Personal information about you is not disclosed to any third party without first receiving your permission ⮚ By contributing to our service you can increase your personal standing and competence within our community and help shape tomorrow for the benefit of all First things first A little time spent polishing your profile will pay big dividends here All Rights Reserved 13
  • 14. shapingtomorrow.com 1414 GUIDE Learn more in our onsite, training manual ⮚ If you are new here or need a refresher our Guide will lead you through how to get the best out of this service. ⮚ If you still can’t find what you need then Ask Athena: your digital assistant, personal coach and online educator. She can help you with your questions about the service. 14All Rights Reserved
  • 15. shapingtomorrow.com 15SOURCES Add Sources ⮚ Add automatic and manual material’ ⮚ Set up continuous tracking of sources and keywords ⮚ View your Source log or Sources of change Special features ⮚ Add, edit and view in your native language ⮚ Create your own corporate memory ⮚ Develop your enterprise-wide knowledge management system ⮚ Subscribe to our multi-lingual service for an additional fee per selected country Track emerging evidence of change To begin you can either Add Sources of interest to you or just explore our database All Rights Reserved 15
  • 16. shapingtomorrow.com 1616 FORECASTS The system finds instant and automatic future ‘Forecasts' about probable, possible and potential future world conditions. You need merely Add Sources and Athena, our robot, will do the rest, You can then develop the likely future story of your chosen topic in text form by clicking: Summary: latest forecasts added by Athena Narrative: longer report organized by theme Chronology: same but organized by time Questions: auto extraction of questions by Athena and access to possible answers at Google Refine: improve your search term Get instant, extracted prospective on your interest topics With this system, members can develop their strategic responses, create professional foresight reports and presentations in less than half a day on any topic of their choice compared with the many weeks taken by traditional methods All Rights Reserved 16
  • 17. shapingtomorrow.com 1717 METRICS Picture the future of your interest with: ⮚ System map – view related topics ⮚ Outlooks: likely prospects over time ⮚ Comparisons – compare topics, sectors, countries .. ⮚ Opinions – check sentiments, sources and leaders views ⮚ SWOT – view strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats 17All Rights Reserved
  • 18. shapingtomorrow.com 1818 TOOLS ⮚ Deploy the very best, collaborative Strategic Thinking methods to determine your responses to emerging change in hours rather than the traditional methods that take months or years. ⮚ The six top methods available here are: - Options Analysis: develop fast responses to emerging change - Gapfinder: instantly identify your organizations disconnects - Rivalries: examine your competitors future - CLA: Causal Layered Analysis – identify transformative spaces for the creation of alternative futures - Scenarios: examine and respond to 4 global futures - Three Horizons: manage your current performance while maximizing future opportunities for growth All Rights Reserved 18 More inside
  • 19. shapingtomorrow.com 1919 INTELLIGENCE ⮚ Search for more lagging and co-incident intelligence on: - Organizations: see what specific organizations are doing - Meetings: see where future-oriented meetings are scheduled - R&D: know what research projects are planned - Funding: find whose investing in what ⮚ View All: - My: only you can see your work - Our: only you and your associates can see each other’s work - All: everyone with access to the platform can see your work ⮚ Export All: download the latest spreadsheet All Rights Reserved 19
  • 20. shapingtomorrow.com 2020 WORLD CHALLENGES ⮚ The World Challenges charts show the top threats and opportunities as they are forecasted to be in the future ⮚ World Challenges pops up every time you enter the service. ⮚ We believe this is a world first! All Rights Reserved 20
  • 21. shapingtomorrow.com 2121 SOLUTIONS ⮚ In what we think is another world first our robot can suggest solutions to your challenges and issues you search for ⮚ This is an extract of forecasts looking for those that suggest next practice ⮚ We still have much development to do here ⮚ But, you can already explore this list for next practice ideas to bring to your organization ahead of most others All Rights Reserved 21
  • 22. shapingtomorrow.com 2222 YOUR CHALLENGES Keep abreast of your own emerging challenges: ⮚ If you are a client, you can set up your own, private, automated, summary reports on topics of your choice ⮚ That means that once your Sources are established and your Challenges defined that your scanning will be automatic, near to real-time and require very little human intervention other than deciding your strategic responses using our methods Or you can watch ⮚ United Nations global goals that will affect you ⮚ G20 Watch for emerging issues likely to impact you ⮚ Your own pre-selected benchmark organizations ⮚ Our suggestions as to the key organizations to learn from 22All Rights Reserved
  • 23. shapingtomorrow.com 2323 REPORTS ⮚ Add, view and publish customized reports ⮚ Read our Trending Now newsletter archive ⮚ Challenge your thinking with strategic management questions All Rights Reserved 23
  • 24. shapingtomorrow.com 2424 DECISIONS ⮚ Use the ‘Decisions’ button to determine where a project fits in your pipeline: - Act now!: do this immediately - Not yet: manage until ready - Watch: keep under review - Forget: reject - Completed: implemented solution ⮚ Your decision(s) will appear in the left- hand navigation bar ⮚ Once you have made some decisions you can move your decisions up and down the pipeline. Manage your projects All Rights Reserved 24
  • 25. shapingtomorrow.com 25MEMBERS Here you can: Find futurists and ask for their advice, hire them, listen to, learn and help each other anticipate change Find new opportunities to collaborate and co-create the future in public or in private ⮚ ‘Add’ to your profile to maximize your membership benefits by: - editing your basic information - adding your interests so we can tailor our service to you - describing your career for other members to find you for their projects ⮚ - evaluating your style – worldview and cognitive reasoning ⮚ View ‘All’ visible members, email them and see their interests ⮚ Dialog with others, critique and or add views in the ‘Forums’ ⮚ Join and or view All Groups (Groups allow their members to work with our content directly (Social media networks like LinkedIn don’t) ⮚ The Groups capability allows you to ‘Tag’, ‘Report’, ‘Share’ and add Forecasts and Insights as evidence etc. Determine how you will respond All Rights Reserved 25
  • 26. shapingtomorrow.com 2626 ACTIVITIES ⮚ Details recent visits you have made here ⮚ Shows recent forecasts you have looked at ⮚ Lists Tags you added to Sources and Forecasts ⮚ Lists Tags you added to Insights ⮚ Gives information on your Pay-As-You-Go purchases All Rights Reserved 26
  • 27. shapingtomorrow.com 2727 PRIVACY AND PRICING You can choose to: ⮚ Work in public: ‘All’* - any first content page is available in a free trial. Your work will be visible to others ⮚ Work on your own privately with a single licence and subscribe to see all open content ⮚ Work with associates privately or publicly and have access to all open content and our many other bespoke services All Rights Reserved 27
  • 28. shapingtomorrow.com 2828 ALERTS ⮚ Each week either our robot, Athena, creates a short Trend Alert on a key emerging issue that is sent to our ~10,000 members ⮚ You can also ask us for a customized, Trend Alert or in-depth GIST report on any other topic of interest to you ⮚ Use these as fire-starters with your executives and managers to get their juices flowing on how these might affect your organization and what to do next ⮚ You can use our Questioning methods to prompt their responses ⮚ If you are a client you will need a second email address to receive these and access your own private site All Rights Reserved 28
  • 29. shapingtomorrow.com 2929 CUSTOM SERVICES Contact us, if you want your own private or partner site giving you the following: ⮚ Own logo – Own look and feel – Private content ⮚ Multi-team licenses ⮚ Read only facility available ⮚ Choice of blank content site, selected or full member content Or, foresight, strategy and change management advice, futures research, reports, talks, newsfeeds, research, surveys, coaching & training, and stakeholder inspiration, engagement or enablement All Rights Reserved 29 MULTILINGUAL We now offer multilingual forecast extraction to clients on a country by country basis
  • 30. shapingtomorrow.com 30A CLIENT CASE STUDY Manual Tracking and categorization of data: • 1st year of TFA we had a contractor create and maintain the Research Database. • Not effective at all. Costly, hard to update, not used after the fact. Search for a solution: • Next year spent 3 to 4 months searching for solutions and had a few companies provide demos and trials. Results: • Very complete but complex ones…. but too expensive ~ $200K+/year • News services which are also expensive and have limited in scope and access. • Wide collection of free and paid for tools that was way too cumbersome to manage and would require some programming to integrate and use effectively. Shaping Tomorrow: • Mentioned by my a Foresight colleague in another organization, fit the bill for information search and management , Foresight tools and reasonable cost. We signed up. All Rights Reserved 30 This Canadian client signed up for ST’s service in 2016. They moved jobs and made this presentation to their new colleagues. They have now signed up too.
  • 31. shapingtomorrow.com 31 PROOF POINTS ⮚ "You have created a unique and very impressive scanning and foresight platform" James Mason, AllState Insurance United States ⮚ "The Shaping Tomorrow workshop was incredibly valuable in demonstrating the potential use of the integrated foresight, strategy and change tools - I am impressed with how widely the tools can be applied to our daily work and how the systematic approach ensures that we cover off areas we perhaps wouldn't think of including in our analysis. I really like its systematic approach and the fact that it can be used in diverse areas such as policy formulation, forecasting, provision of advice to senior levels of government etc." Raana Asgar - DAFF (Australia) ⮚ "Shaping Tomorrow provided the tools and expertise to quickly assimilate market information, identify key drivers and create multiple scenarios. We were able to identify many options to help steer the company and test our strategic plans." Russell Trueman, Strategic Planning Manager - British Gypsum (United Kingdom) ⮚ "I've been using Shaping Tomorrow for more than 3 years now. It not only has significantly shortened the amount of time needed to scan, but has also increased the quantity of information reviewed and the quality of the hits. This allows more time for analysis and interpretation (where Shaping Tomorrow also has some great tools to support). And the team at Shaping Tomorrow couldn't be more helpful." Angela Stone, Queensland Department Transport & Main Roads Australia ⮚ All Rights Reserved 31
  • 32. shapingtomorrow.com 3232 NOW GET STARTED ⮚ Begin exploring the service ⮚ Consult the other detailed help ‘GUIDES’ here ⮚ Learn how to get ahead of rivals ⮚ Contact us if you have any difficulties or would like up to 40 minutes free, online training We are here to help. Feel free to contact us ⮚ +44 (0) 1273 832221 ⮚ info@shapingtomorrow.com ⮚ Skype: shapingtomorrow ⮚ Ask Athena “We are here to help you make better strategy decisions today, faster. better and cheaper than ever before” All Rights Reserved 32