This document discusses strategic foresight and change management. It explains that increasing strategic foresight capability is the first step in change management. Scanning the environment to identify signals of change and emerging trends is analogous to early warning radar. An AI assistant named Athena can now automatically extract insights and forecasts from sources to help identify and understand emerging changes. Analyzing insights and forecasts can help create possible future scenarios to help organizations choose preferable futures and shape tomorrow.
Equip yourself with AI-driven research, instant forward intelligence, auto scenarios & collaborative strategic thinking to plan your future & act in time.
The system helps you to define, gather, analyze, prioritize and distribute forward intelligence about products, customers, competitors, policies, strategies and your environment to support you in 'making better decisions today'.
Shaping Tomorrow is the world’s first, multi-award winning, and only AI-driven, systems thinking model that delivers strategic foresight and anticipatory thinking in real-time.
How to make better decisions today.
This section will help you understand the basics of future studies and how to use strategic foresight to survive and succeed in an era of accelerating, emerging change.
Shaping Tomorrow - Guide - Introduction - May 2019Kerry Richardson
The updated world's challenges below show the top threats and opportunities as they are forecasted to be seven years from now. You can check out what you don't know about these, and specific topics of interest to you, using the search box above, or the links below to begin planning and actioning your response.
Conrad Albrecht-Buehler at BayCHI: Heed or: How I Learned to Stop Monitoring ...BayCHI
http://www.baychi.org/calendar/20100112/#2
Technology users are technology observers as well, monitoring for problems or opportunities that might arise. Designing interfaces to support the monitoring of technology presents unique challenges, like detecting situations and knowing how and when to respond, coping with a changing operating environment, and the changing knowledge of the observer.
Conrad describes "Heed," a scale and framework to help observers of a system evaluate which situations need scrutiny and when. He gives an example heed-based interface that encourages the development of situation awareness. Learn how the framework and interface can be applied in three different scenarios: server performance, a business's finances, and user experience in a community forum.
How to use data for product development and avoid the common pitfalls in the Build-Measure-Learn development cycle. The key missing component between Measure and Learn for most teams is communication. Find out what to track and how to get your team aligned around the results.
Laure Parsons is Senior Product Manager at Notion (usenotion.com), a tool to help teams communicate and collaborate with their data. This talk was given at Product Camp Seattle in October of 2016.
Equip yourself with AI-driven research, instant forward intelligence, auto scenarios & collaborative strategic thinking to plan your future & act in time.
The system helps you to define, gather, analyze, prioritize and distribute forward intelligence about products, customers, competitors, policies, strategies and your environment to support you in 'making better decisions today'.
Shaping Tomorrow is the world’s first, multi-award winning, and only AI-driven, systems thinking model that delivers strategic foresight and anticipatory thinking in real-time.
How to make better decisions today.
This section will help you understand the basics of future studies and how to use strategic foresight to survive and succeed in an era of accelerating, emerging change.
Shaping Tomorrow - Guide - Introduction - May 2019Kerry Richardson
The updated world's challenges below show the top threats and opportunities as they are forecasted to be seven years from now. You can check out what you don't know about these, and specific topics of interest to you, using the search box above, or the links below to begin planning and actioning your response.
Conrad Albrecht-Buehler at BayCHI: Heed or: How I Learned to Stop Monitoring ...BayCHI
http://www.baychi.org/calendar/20100112/#2
Technology users are technology observers as well, monitoring for problems or opportunities that might arise. Designing interfaces to support the monitoring of technology presents unique challenges, like detecting situations and knowing how and when to respond, coping with a changing operating environment, and the changing knowledge of the observer.
Conrad describes "Heed," a scale and framework to help observers of a system evaluate which situations need scrutiny and when. He gives an example heed-based interface that encourages the development of situation awareness. Learn how the framework and interface can be applied in three different scenarios: server performance, a business's finances, and user experience in a community forum.
How to use data for product development and avoid the common pitfalls in the Build-Measure-Learn development cycle. The key missing component between Measure and Learn for most teams is communication. Find out what to track and how to get your team aligned around the results.
Laure Parsons is Senior Product Manager at Notion (usenotion.com), a tool to help teams communicate and collaborate with their data. This talk was given at Product Camp Seattle in October of 2016.
Shaping Tomorrow is the world’s first, multi-award winning, and only AI-driven, systems thinking model that delivers strategic foresight and anticipatory thinking in real-time.
Shaping Tomorrow - Getting Started - IntroductionKerry Richardson
Equip yourself with AI-driven research, instant forward intelligence, auto scenarios & collaborative strategic thinking to plan your future & act in time.
The system helps you to define, gather, analyze, prioritize and distribute forward intelligence about products, customers, competitors, policies, strategies and your environment to support you in 'making better decisions today'.
Equip yourself with AI-driven research, instant forward intelligence, auto scenarios & collaborative strategic thinking to plan your future & act in time.
The system helps you to define, gather, analyze, prioritize and distribute forward intelligence about products, customers, competitors, policies, strategies and your environment to support you in 'making better decisions today'.
Shaping Tomorrow is the world’s first, multi-award winning, and only AI-driven, systems thinking model that delivers strategic foresight and anticipatory thinking in real-time.
Kelly Goto from gotoresearch takes you through the rigorous approach and process applied to Rapid UX Research Cycles to allow insights and mental models to emerge in 6-weeks instead of 6-months.
Equip yourself with AI-driven research, instant forward intelligence, auto scenarios & collaborative strategic thinking to plan your future & act in time.
The system helps you to define, gather, analyze, prioritize and distribute forward intelligence about products, customers, competitors, policies, strategies and your environment to support you in 'making better decisions today'.
An overview of key activities in a complete futures / foresight study, with a 'shopper's guide' to relevant tools and methods to suit each activity. Use it to compose an integrated futures research project, soup to nuts.
Practical and Actionable Threat Intelligence CollectionSeamus Tuohy
A great deal of the existing human rights reporting and analysis aggregate and strip away contextual information in order to produce “quantified knowledge” that is technically reliable and useful for governmental decision making. The results produced often end up too delayed, partial, distorted, and misleading to be used by local actors and human rights defenders to directly respond to the threats that they face. Those who could benefit most from the human rights knowledge being collected and shared in the digital world are those that existing repositories of information serve the least.
In this presentation I will provide concrete guidance on approaches for adopting data-rich, practical, and actionable threat information collection. In this content heavy 1.5 hour talk I will discuss a range of tools and techniques for seeking out sources of actionable information, distinguishing valuable information from useless but interesting information, and streamlining your information collection and analysis process to allow you to focus on your real work.
This talk WON’T be focused on collecting or sharing threat intelligence and/or human rights research aimed at evidence creation or changing the public dialogue. It WILL be focused on helping you identify, collect, and use publicly available sources of information to respond to your changing threat landscape.
Shaping Tomorrow is the world’s first, multi-award winning, and only AI-driven, systems thinking model that delivers strategic foresight and anticipatory thinking in real-time.
Shaping Tomorrow - Getting Started - IntroductionKerry Richardson
Equip yourself with AI-driven research, instant forward intelligence, auto scenarios & collaborative strategic thinking to plan your future & act in time.
The system helps you to define, gather, analyze, prioritize and distribute forward intelligence about products, customers, competitors, policies, strategies and your environment to support you in 'making better decisions today'.
Equip yourself with AI-driven research, instant forward intelligence, auto scenarios & collaborative strategic thinking to plan your future & act in time.
The system helps you to define, gather, analyze, prioritize and distribute forward intelligence about products, customers, competitors, policies, strategies and your environment to support you in 'making better decisions today'.
Shaping Tomorrow is the world’s first, multi-award winning, and only AI-driven, systems thinking model that delivers strategic foresight and anticipatory thinking in real-time.
Kelly Goto from gotoresearch takes you through the rigorous approach and process applied to Rapid UX Research Cycles to allow insights and mental models to emerge in 6-weeks instead of 6-months.
Equip yourself with AI-driven research, instant forward intelligence, auto scenarios & collaborative strategic thinking to plan your future & act in time.
The system helps you to define, gather, analyze, prioritize and distribute forward intelligence about products, customers, competitors, policies, strategies and your environment to support you in 'making better decisions today'.
An overview of key activities in a complete futures / foresight study, with a 'shopper's guide' to relevant tools and methods to suit each activity. Use it to compose an integrated futures research project, soup to nuts.
Practical and Actionable Threat Intelligence CollectionSeamus Tuohy
A great deal of the existing human rights reporting and analysis aggregate and strip away contextual information in order to produce “quantified knowledge” that is technically reliable and useful for governmental decision making. The results produced often end up too delayed, partial, distorted, and misleading to be used by local actors and human rights defenders to directly respond to the threats that they face. Those who could benefit most from the human rights knowledge being collected and shared in the digital world are those that existing repositories of information serve the least.
In this presentation I will provide concrete guidance on approaches for adopting data-rich, practical, and actionable threat information collection. In this content heavy 1.5 hour talk I will discuss a range of tools and techniques for seeking out sources of actionable information, distinguishing valuable information from useless but interesting information, and streamlining your information collection and analysis process to allow you to focus on your real work.
This talk WON’T be focused on collecting or sharing threat intelligence and/or human rights research aimed at evidence creation or changing the public dialogue. It WILL be focused on helping you identify, collect, and use publicly available sources of information to respond to your changing threat landscape.
The world is morphing fast:
Low economic growth
Increasing uncertainty
Accelerating change
Increasing complexity
Digitalization
More chance of surprise
Failure in climate change mitigation could lead to greater human life and economic losses during the coming decades. Carbon dioxide emissions could fall by the largest amount since World War Two this year as the coronavirus outbreak brings economies to a virtual standstill.
By the end of the year, the simulation models that nearly 67% of all people in the world will have been infected by coronavirus at some point.
Though one face of the current crisis is likely to be short-lived-scientists are predicting that the COVID-19 pandemic will peak by mid-year.
[Climate change, technological advances, and unprecedented levels of inequality mean that global disruption could become a norm in the coming decades.]
Digital transformation is a strategic priority for most global companies and will open new revenue opportunities. We would suggest that digital transformation should be a priority and a big opportunity for most SME’s too. There will be long tails and many new innovations in every corner of business in the next decade.
The United Nations forecasts global population growth to reach 9.7 billion by 2050, which will be accompanied by fostering urbanisation and changing consumer preferences
Even in a scenario where a shared determination to meet the goals of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change in full leads to a sharp reduction in oil consumption worldwide, there would still be an oil market of 67 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2040
Shaping Tomorro - Global Outlook - A Future PrognosisKerry Richardson
Up to 800 million global workers will lose their jobs by 2030 and be replaced by robotic automation
Geopolitical realignments, emerging technologies, and demographic shifts will all contribute to different manifestations of ideologically and politically motivated violence.
1 billion people will be displaced from uninhabitable land and food and water shortages will occur worldwide, leading to social breakdown and outright chaos.
Over the next 10 years the world of work is set to rapidly change, with the World Economic Forum predicting that disruptive changes to business models will have a profound impact on the employment landscape in the coming years
Discover emerging change in your interest topics as it happens
Automatically follow rivals, experts, suppliers, regulators, protest groups
Profile and analyze your rivals
Assess your own competitive position
Assess potential M&A targets
Determine your own vulnerability to an unwanted bid
Purpose of our service
Help members, clients and partners to anticipate and better prepare for emerging opportunities and risks through better strategic foresight and action planning
Blockchain Outlook - Shaping Tomorrow - Trend AlertKerry Richardson
Machine learning, biotechnology and blockchain technology will change the world in the coming decades, making it an ever safer, more rational and business-friendly place.
Driving forces: Over the next 10 years the world of work is set to rapidly change, with the World Economic Forum predicting that disruptive changes to business models will have a profound impact on the employment landscape in the coming years
Shaping Tomorrow - Guide - Navigation - May 2019Kerry Richardson
The updated world's challenges below show the top threats and opportunities as they are forecasted to be seven years from now. You can check out what you don't know about these, and specific topics of interest to you, using the search box above, or the links below to begin planning and actioning your response.
Equip yourself with AI-driven research, instant forward intelligence, auto scenarios & collaborative strategic thinking to plan your future & act in time.
The system helps you to define, gather, analyze, prioritize and distribute forward intelligence about products, customers, competitors, policies, strategies and your environment to support you in 'making better decisions today'.
Equip yourself with AI-driven research, instant forward intelligence, auto scenarios & collaborative strategic thinking to plan your future & act in time.
The system helps you to define, gather, analyze, prioritize and distribute forward intelligence about products, customers, competitors, policies, strategies and your environment to support you in 'making better decisions today'.
Learn more about futures studies and foresight.
If your stuck with how to practice strategic foresight, want to find experts, teachers, organizations, meetings, events and materials on the subject this is the place to delve.
Learn how to find your way around this service.
A little time spent learning our system will save you many months, or even years, of research work in the future and open up a whole new way for you to produce better outputs and results efficiently and effectively.
How to Make a Field invisible in Odoo 17Celine George
It is possible to hide or invisible some fields in odoo. Commonly using “invisible” attribute in the field definition to invisible the fields. This slide will show how to make a field invisible in odoo 17.
Instructions for Submissions thorugh G- Classroom.pptxJheel Barad
This presentation provides a briefing on how to upload submissions and documents in Google Classroom. It was prepared as part of an orientation for new Sainik School in-service teacher trainees. As a training officer, my goal is to ensure that you are comfortable and proficient with this essential tool for managing assignments and fostering student engagement.
Operation “Blue Star” is the only event in the history of Independent India where the state went into war with its own people. Even after about 40 years it is not clear if it was culmination of states anger over people of the region, a political game of power or start of dictatorial chapter in the democratic setup.
The people of Punjab felt alienated from main stream due to denial of their just demands during a long democratic struggle since independence. As it happen all over the word, it led to militant struggle with great loss of lives of military, police and civilian personnel. Killing of Indira Gandhi and massacre of innocent Sikhs in Delhi and other India cities was also associated with this movement.
Welcome to TechSoup New Member Orientation and Q&A (May 2024).pdfTechSoup
In this webinar you will learn how your organization can access TechSoup's wide variety of product discount and donation programs. From hardware to software, we'll give you a tour of the tools available to help your nonprofit with productivity, collaboration, financial management, donor tracking, security, and more.
The Art Pastor's Guide to Sabbath | Steve ThomasonSteve Thomason
What is the purpose of the Sabbath Law in the Torah. It is interesting to compare how the context of the law shifts from Exodus to Deuteronomy. Who gets to rest, and why?
Ethnobotany and Ethnopharmacology:
Ethnobotany in herbal drug evaluation,
Impact of Ethnobotany in traditional medicine,
New development in herbals,
Bio-prospecting tools for drug discovery,
Role of Ethnopharmacology in drug evaluation,
Reverse Pharmacology.
Synthetic Fiber Construction in lab .pptxPavel ( NSTU)
Synthetic fiber production is a fascinating and complex field that blends chemistry, engineering, and environmental science. By understanding these aspects, students can gain a comprehensive view of synthetic fiber production, its impact on society and the environment, and the potential for future innovations. Synthetic fibers play a crucial role in modern society, impacting various aspects of daily life, industry, and the environment. ynthetic fibers are integral to modern life, offering a range of benefits from cost-effectiveness and versatility to innovative applications and performance characteristics. While they pose environmental challenges, ongoing research and development aim to create more sustainable and eco-friendly alternatives. Understanding the importance of synthetic fibers helps in appreciating their role in the economy, industry, and daily life, while also emphasizing the need for sustainable practices and innovation.
How to Split Bills in the Odoo 17 POS ModuleCeline George
Bills have a main role in point of sale procedure. It will help to track sales, handling payments and giving receipts to customers. Bill splitting also has an important role in POS. For example, If some friends come together for dinner and if they want to divide the bill then it is possible by POS bill splitting. This slide will show how to split bills in odoo 17 POS.
Students, digital devices and success - Andreas Schleicher - 27 May 2024..pptxEduSkills OECD
Andreas Schleicher presents at the OECD webinar ‘Digital devices in schools: detrimental distraction or secret to success?’ on 27 May 2024. The presentation was based on findings from PISA 2022 results and the webinar helped launch the PISA in Focus ‘Managing screen time: How to protect and equip students against distraction’ https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/managing-screen-time_7c225af4-en and the OECD Education Policy Perspective ‘Students, digital devices and success’ can be found here - https://oe.cd/il/5yV
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Managing change is a process that can be
systematized
Increasing strategic foresight capability is
the first step in change management
Having strategic foresight increases future
opportunity and reduces emerging risk
You can Add Sources to scan for, identify
and monitor change going on around you
and to look for more evidence of change to
confirm or deny the FORECASTS our robot
has automatically extracted from the
content here
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By kind permission of Dr. Wendy Schultz
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Scanning is analogous to an early warning
radar, a continuous process of scanning the
environment to identify signals of change
and emerging trends
An excellent early warning radar looks at
all aspects of the global environment
scanning for (p)olitical, (e)conomic,
(social), (t)echnological change .. as this
service does
Good scanning explores both new, strange
and weird ideas, as well as persistent
challenges and trends, today
In the recent past, scanning was a hugely
time-consuming activity. But now, our
robot Athena, does far more with less than
is humanly possible.
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DATA
INFORMATION
KNOWLEDGE
WISDOM
Raw evidence to
INSIGHTS
Extracted indicators to
FORECASTS
QUESTIONS* to ANSWERS &
POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS
METHODS to RESPONSES
`
What must be done?
What could be done?
What is predicted?
What is reported?
Our ProcessStrategic Foresight
Reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DIKW_pyramid
Sources
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* Athena now gathers the Data and extracts
verbatim Information instantly. She is now
beginning to offer Knowledge on what could
be done by finding Answers to extracted
Questions on the Web and potential solutions.
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By collecting Insights about emerging
change, analyzing underlying patterns,
finding future FORECASTS and picturing
what’s likely/unlikely to happen within the
global environment, mental models of
possible futures can be created from which
your preferable future can be chosen
By choosing preferable futures people and
organizations shape their and our
tomorrows and create leadership positions
You to can quickly and easily
Tracking and analysing how a trend emerges and
diffuses throughout society over time
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Scanning involves identifying Insights
about change and analyzing the content
An Insight is a raw and single point
observation of change drawn from reports,
articles, PDF’s, videos etc.
For instance, when you read a daily
newspaper you will regularly see new
events and discoveries being reported
Capturing the Insights systematically
underpins the scanning process
This is a mammoth task done manually,
but fortunately our system almost
completely automates the process
You need merely add Sources of interest to
you and our robot, Athena, will do the rest
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Scanning allows you, and your colleagues
to ask ‘what if?’ questions by reading
FORECASTS and Insights
- What if this happened in the world today?
- What does it mean for others?
- What does it mean for us?
- How should we respond and when?
Select those for further investigation and
deeper thinking that look as though they
will generate significant change in your
world and that of your stakeholders
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Look for interdependencies, feedback delays
and repeating patterns amongst Insights. Try
to:
- See ahead: look to what’s coming next
- See behind: understand the past
- See above: take a helicopter view too
- See below: find the diamond in the rough
- See beside: remove the blinkers
- See beyond: question what’s beyond the
horizon
- See through: look for fresh essence and
meaning
See above
See beside
See ahead
See beyond
See below
Brainstorming: Nasi 1991 / Mintzberg 1998
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Tag: use descriptors to bookmark your
favorites, assign project names, track
competitors etc
Report: add to your report
Share: email to associates and add this link
to social media sites
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See emerging change using pattern
recognition tools: tag clouds, timelines,
maps, graphs, tables, voting
Know how your own organization’s and our
members thinking is changing over time
Look for patterns, ideas and uncertainties
among the presented content
Here is how forward thinking individuals and
organizations stay ahead of slower rivals:
Add and share Insights and FORECASTS
with colleagues.
Speed read each others article titles and/or
descriptions
Look for patterns, risks, opportunities
across FORECASTS
Delve deeper into content of interest by
clicking on it
‘Refer’ specific trends, ideas, uncertainties
and potential
Make it a regular weekly habit
Use METRICS to capture specific trends, ideas,
uncertainties and potential surprises that need to be
considered further in project form or click the plus
button
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You may find our Practical Foresight Guide
useful too, in quickly bringing yourself up
to speed with the underlying concepts of
and uses for strategic foresight.
NB: the Scanning section of the PFG needs
a complete re-write to take account of our
increasing AI capability but the guide is
still correct and Athena uses many of the
principles described there to do her work.
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Begin exploring the service
Work your way through this Guide in byte-
sized chucks until you become masterful
Learn how to get ahead of rivals
Contact us if you have any difficulties or
would like up to 40 minutes free, online
training
We are here to help. Feel free to contact us
+44 (0) 1273 832221
info@shapingtomorrow.com
Skype: shapingtomorrow
Ask Athena
“We are here to help you make
better strategy decisions today, faster.
better and cheaper than ever before”
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