Driving forces: Over the next 10 years the world of work is set to rapidly change, with the World Economic Forum predicting that disruptive changes to business models will have a profound impact on the employment landscape in the coming years

1. Disrupted Futures
5th November 2019

2. Introduction
Read on to discover what our robot, Athena, has found on the future of travel
and act accordingly for you, your family and organization in the years ahead
Or, click any link to read the evidence she found in 2,210 forecasts she gleaned
from reports, articles and PowerPoints from the Web and Social Media in a few
seconds
If you are new to foresight, we recommend you view this slide presentation
first to get the best out of this report
Analysis
For more detailed explanation of the graphics used in this presentation
please click here. All outlooks based on 2025 unless otherwise stated
Speaker notes are also provided on every page to assist you in interpreting the
slide.
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3. Driving
Forces
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Over the next 10 years the world
of work is set to rapidly change,
with the World Economic Forum
predicting that disruptive
changes to business models will
have a profound impact on the
employment landscape in the
coming years

4. Trends
Combining all three trends -
disruption to international trade,
governance challenges at the
IMF and a spike in economic risk
- will almost certainly result in
serious consequences for the
global economy
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5. Causes
The World Economic Forum's
(WEF) Global Risks Report 2018
names cyberattacks and cyber
warfare as a top cause of
disruption in the next five years.
The two key sectors causing
change are Technology and
Government
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6. Consequences
The speed of disruption across all
industry sectors will not take
years or even months but only an
instant in future
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7. Solutions
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One of the top potential
disruptive technologies in the
next five years or so will be the
use of quantum computing or
quantum computing services to
solve difficult problems and
offer new applications

8. Cloud
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2019 will witness new enterprise
resource planning (ERP trends)
getting introduced in the market
which can disrupt the entire
business and technical scenario
in an organization

9. Systems
Map
Digital technologies, particularly
AI, Blockchain, Cyber and
automation will be at the heart of
disruptions affecting every sector
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10. Radar
Smart cities, integrated travel
and
new forms of marketing will lead
the charge, followed by greater
use of sustainable materials and
efforts to contain cyberattacks
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11. Graph-It
By 2025, healthcare diagnoses
and treatments will increasingly
be digital and carried out in the
home rather than in hospitals,
use of AI will have advanced
dramatically in all sectors and
most consumption will have
been initiated and, in non-
physical objects, delivered in
real-time
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12. Trend Waves
The level of expected future disruption has almost doubled
in the last four years. It’s effect will last until at least 2036.
All organizations need to know what’s emerging far faster than four
years ago or they risk joining the ranks of those who
failed to see the future: high-street shops, newspapers etc
Four years ago
Now

13. Sentiment
Positive sentiments mainly revolve around better health
outcomes and improved leadership as a result of better data
partially offset by fear of extremists, geopolitical conflict and
loss of key resources such as water. Overall sentiment is very
positive however
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14. Negative sentiments from recent Xtinction Rebellion protests may
change public opinion going forward and continued geopolitical
conflict and concerns for future jobs continue to impact news
headlines
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Latest Sentiment

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Influencers
The technology and energy sectors
are leading emerging change with
the USA, China and the UK setting
the pace, while Amazon not only
disrupts its own markets but causes
other sectors to follow their
initiatives

16. Pie Charts
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Pie Chart
The Pie Charts suggest the tipping point, when
the general public will accept the disrupted future
as the new normal, will be around 2041: a
generation away. The majority of these
disruptions are likely, though many are at an
early stage. We can expect more rapid rollout of
these disruptions than have ever been witnessed
in the past with the winners making billions or
trillions of dollars from their innovations or being
in the right place at the right time. Now is not the
time for complacency or you risk being left
behind!

17. Geographies
What is surprising about this chart is the number of countries
seemingly in a disruptive state, led by China and India.
Geopolitically, and technologically we can expect major power
shifts going forward towards Australasia.
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18. Cities
And, again surprisingly, there are
very few cities, as yet, influencing
future disruption. But this will
likely change as countries like
Singapore automate their cities
and gain significant competitive
advantage over less prepared
rivals
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19. Heatmap
What’s striking about this chart is the lack of strong disruption
signals in any sector or country apart from Construction in the
US. But, many countries and sectors have begun this journey
with plenty of white space for those wanting to compete but
yet to play
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20. Challenges
The most likely disrupted sectors
in the short-term will be
Manufacturing, Software, retail
and Pharmaceuticals. Followed
by Tech, Financial Services and
Health. But, sudden new
disruptors could change the
order of likely disruption here.
No sector is safe from
entrepreneurs with a better
business model and product as
Amazon continuluosly
demonstrates
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21. Alternative
Futures
All four alternative futures methods
presented, here at a high level, suggest
massive disruption is going to change the world
in the next 25 years.
Entrepreneurs will change existing paradigms
in profound ways, many businesses will
collapse, myths will be exploded and
associated complicated, complex and chaotic
change towards very different futures will be
very messy. To remain agile and resilient in this
VUCA world organizations need to determine
their path forward.
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Contact us to develop alternative futures that help you remain resilient and agile into the future.
Our digital methods above can deliver robust results in hours rather than the months and years
of effort required by traditional consultancy projects
VUCA is an acronym used by the American Military. It stands for Volatile, Uncertain, Complex and
Ambiguous.
Foresight Methods - Donuts

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Potential
shocks!
• Trade war
• Oil supply and demand
• Military war
• Terrorism
• Protests
• Recession
• Pandemic
• Natural disaster
• Mass migration
• Climate change
• Water and food shortages

23. SWOT Most pundits and experts have a very positive view of future
disruption, geopolitical threats excepted.
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Strengths | Weaknesses | Opportunities | Threats (To access click the presented Forecasts button and then your selection - subscribers only)

24. Questions for you to
consider
Could AI-generated parent coaching help disrupt the
strong connection between socioeconomic
background and student outcomes?
Can Uber disrupt personal ownership or just the taxi
market?
Can blockchain disrupt social media?
“People usually overestimate the change that will
occur in the next two years and underestimate the
change that will occur in the next ten.” - Bill Gates
Take a least a medium term, not a short-term view
when considering these questions
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25. Potential Responses
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26. Sources
Athena used the top sources
shown here as the ones to
create this report and
determined which
embedded forecasts are
included in this Trend Alert.
She found 2,372 forecasts in
seconds on 24th October
2019 to allow us to publish
this report in less than one
hour
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27. Evidence
• Search term: “travel*. Use
this search term to explore
Shaping Tomorrow’s
extensive database for more
knowledge and wisdom and
latest data and information
on the topic.
• To view the up-to-date list of
related forecasts, click here
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28. Athena
I do show duplicates to aid your
understanding of themes as well as
contradictory forecasts. I may also show
near-duplicates. You can speed read past
the duplicates and near-duplicates if you
wish, though the latter may show additional
information. You can use the contradictory,
and likely uncertain forecasts she finds to
imagine different scenarios. The future is
unpredictable, but we can examine the
possibilities and choose our preferable
future from the choices I present.
I’m apolitical. I report forecasts from
different viewpoints however distasteful
that might be to our own values.
However, my news algorithm does not allow
me to show fake or hate news. But, i can
show you highlighted rumours or
controversies that may turn out to come
true.
Wearing rose-colored glasses is not my
purpose; reporting potential futures is. So, I
recommend you check my veracity before
responding to the extracted forecasts.
Just like humans, I can be
fallible. Do recognize that you and
your associates are biased too.
But whereas you tire, make
mistakes and only recognize what
interests you, I do not. I might
miss or misinterpret as you do,
but with far less frequency and I'll
take uncomfortable truths and
alternative ideas in my stride. But,
please let us know if you feel my
bias can be reduced. We want to
do our best for you. And, as with
any research, you should check
and triangulate my findings for
yourself.
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Contact us if you would like some free training with these
methods

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They don’t bite and don’t hide behind me.
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We hope you will now
take positive action on
the issues that affect
you, your family, your
organization and
society at large for the
benefit of all
"If you don't know where
you're going, any road will
take you there."
George Harrison

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