Russia is going to occupy Ukraine having announced about garrisoning Russian military forces in Ukraine in order to protect Russian citizens in Ukraine from nonexistent threats.
Looks like a war against the neighbour is a thoroughly planned operation, prepared long time ago.
Russia is going to occupy Ukraine having announced about garrisoning Russian military forces in Ukraine in order to protect Russian citizens in Ukraine from nonexistent threats.
Looks like a war against the neighbour is a thoroughly planned operation, prepared long time ago.
The causes of the crisis in Ukraine are mainly geopolitical and strategic. What is at stake is not, in fact, Ukraine's accession to the European Union because this has very little to offer in promoting the country's development. Ukraine only has to lose. Many industries will no longer operate or will be dominated by European multinationals and small farmers will be ruined. But what the United States intends through the incorporation of Ukraine to the European Union is, above all, allow NATO forces are stationed on the border of Russia. The most likely future scenario for the outcome of the political crisis in Ukraine is the division of the country, with the Crimea already incorporated into Russia and the transformation of eastern, central-eastern and southern Ukraine in an autonomous region of Kiev government if it is held the agreement of the European Union and Ukraine or occur its annexation to Russia if NATO forces are stationed in Ukraine. The civil war that has started in Ukraine can turn into a military conflict involving NATO forces and Russia to unpredictable consequences.
This is a slide-set that I had used for a workshop conducted by the Indian School of Business on the Indo-Pacific on July 30, 2021.
It discusses the evolution of the US Indo-Pacific strategy and China's perceptions and policy responses.
On 24 February 2022, Russia began an invasion of Ukraine, in a major escalation of the Russo Ukrainian War that began in 2014. It is the largest military attack in Europe since World War II.Following the Ukrainian Revolution of Dignity in February 2014, Russia annexed Crimea and Russian backed separatists seized part of south east Ukraine, starting the war in Donbas. In 2021, Russia began a large military build up along its border with Ukraine, leading to an international crisis. During this period, the president of Russia, Vladimir Putin, espoused Russian irredentist views, questioned Ukraines right to statehood, and accused NATO of threatening Russias security, demanding that Ukraine be barred from ever joining the alliance. Putin also baselessly accused Ukraine of committing genocide against its Russian speakers. The United States and others accused Russia of planning to attack or invade Ukraine, which Russian officials repeatedly denied as late as 23 February 2022. Dr. Rajesh Kumar Chouhan "Russia Ukraine War-2022" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-6 | Issue-3 , April 2022, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd49572.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/humanities-and-the-arts/political-science/49572/russia-ukraine-war2022/dr-rajesh-kumar-chouhan
Russian Foreign Policy during Yeltsin and Putin. Comparative analysisValeriia Didkovska
Domestic Regime, its interests and External Actions.
State vs. Oligarchs, shifts in FP from Yeltsin's to Putin's era, regime type in modern Russia, corporatist-kleptocratic influence on FP
The fear of war is looming over Europe, is this World War 3 is the question in everyone's mind. Russia has amassed a huge number of troops on the border of Ukraine. The leaders of the Western countries (US, Germany, U.K. and Canada) have asked their citizens to immediately leave Ukraine.
Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine crisis on global and regional markets. Focus on...David Laborde
Presentation on the impact of Russia and Ukraine on global and regional markets with a focus on Mena countries.
David Laborde and Joe Glauber. March 6th.
Please check https://www.slideshare.net/DLabordeD/impacts-of-russiaukraine-crisis-on-global-food-markets for a stronger emphasis on global markets and Ukraine situation.
Lecture 2 -Technology, Innovation and Great Power CompetitionStanford University
Matt Pottinger, Matt Turpin, Technology, Innovation and Great Power Competition,TIGPC, Gordian knot Center, DIME-FIL, department of defense, dod, hacking for defense, intlpol 340, joe felter, ms&e296, raj shah, requirements, stanford, Steve blank, China,Xi Jinping, Tobin
The Myth of Neoliberalism Discourse and The Ordo Manifesto of 1936Kan Yuenyong
The critics on the contemporary neoclassical economics in Thailand have been rigorously intense since the Tom Yam Kung Financial Crisis in 1997 and also the Subprime Mortgage Crisis in 2008. However, the late critics from the leftwing in either the labeling of “Neoliberalism” or the proposal of “Welfare State” are both misleading. The origins of this idea from a “A Brief History of Neoliberalism” is inaccurate when considering the content in “The Ordo Manifesto of 1936”. The article will review both literatures in details including a proposal from “Varieties of Capitalism”, in which it will reinvestigate the versatility of capitalism nurtured in each country and their dynamism. It can be considered that the mentioned debate between the leftwing and the neoclassical economic school in the country has reflected the missing proposal of “Ordoliberalism”. The article will discuss a possibility to frame economic idea based on it in order to achieve an equilibrium both on the better economic performance, by regulating the monopoly on one hand, and the reduction of social inequality on the other hand.
Quantum computing startup IQM aims to come up with more efficient battery and material designs. This is the 20-slide pitch deck that landed it $128 million in funding.
Plus Slide Backup I: Dilution Refrigerator from Maybell Quantum and Backup II: IQM technical slide
The causes of the crisis in Ukraine are mainly geopolitical and strategic. What is at stake is not, in fact, Ukraine's accession to the European Union because this has very little to offer in promoting the country's development. Ukraine only has to lose. Many industries will no longer operate or will be dominated by European multinationals and small farmers will be ruined. But what the United States intends through the incorporation of Ukraine to the European Union is, above all, allow NATO forces are stationed on the border of Russia. The most likely future scenario for the outcome of the political crisis in Ukraine is the division of the country, with the Crimea already incorporated into Russia and the transformation of eastern, central-eastern and southern Ukraine in an autonomous region of Kiev government if it is held the agreement of the European Union and Ukraine or occur its annexation to Russia if NATO forces are stationed in Ukraine. The civil war that has started in Ukraine can turn into a military conflict involving NATO forces and Russia to unpredictable consequences.
This is a slide-set that I had used for a workshop conducted by the Indian School of Business on the Indo-Pacific on July 30, 2021.
It discusses the evolution of the US Indo-Pacific strategy and China's perceptions and policy responses.
On 24 February 2022, Russia began an invasion of Ukraine, in a major escalation of the Russo Ukrainian War that began in 2014. It is the largest military attack in Europe since World War II.Following the Ukrainian Revolution of Dignity in February 2014, Russia annexed Crimea and Russian backed separatists seized part of south east Ukraine, starting the war in Donbas. In 2021, Russia began a large military build up along its border with Ukraine, leading to an international crisis. During this period, the president of Russia, Vladimir Putin, espoused Russian irredentist views, questioned Ukraines right to statehood, and accused NATO of threatening Russias security, demanding that Ukraine be barred from ever joining the alliance. Putin also baselessly accused Ukraine of committing genocide against its Russian speakers. The United States and others accused Russia of planning to attack or invade Ukraine, which Russian officials repeatedly denied as late as 23 February 2022. Dr. Rajesh Kumar Chouhan "Russia Ukraine War-2022" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-6 | Issue-3 , April 2022, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd49572.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/humanities-and-the-arts/political-science/49572/russia-ukraine-war2022/dr-rajesh-kumar-chouhan
Russian Foreign Policy during Yeltsin and Putin. Comparative analysisValeriia Didkovska
Domestic Regime, its interests and External Actions.
State vs. Oligarchs, shifts in FP from Yeltsin's to Putin's era, regime type in modern Russia, corporatist-kleptocratic influence on FP
The fear of war is looming over Europe, is this World War 3 is the question in everyone's mind. Russia has amassed a huge number of troops on the border of Ukraine. The leaders of the Western countries (US, Germany, U.K. and Canada) have asked their citizens to immediately leave Ukraine.
Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine crisis on global and regional markets. Focus on...David Laborde
Presentation on the impact of Russia and Ukraine on global and regional markets with a focus on Mena countries.
David Laborde and Joe Glauber. March 6th.
Please check https://www.slideshare.net/DLabordeD/impacts-of-russiaukraine-crisis-on-global-food-markets for a stronger emphasis on global markets and Ukraine situation.
Lecture 2 -Technology, Innovation and Great Power CompetitionStanford University
Matt Pottinger, Matt Turpin, Technology, Innovation and Great Power Competition,TIGPC, Gordian knot Center, DIME-FIL, department of defense, dod, hacking for defense, intlpol 340, joe felter, ms&e296, raj shah, requirements, stanford, Steve blank, China,Xi Jinping, Tobin
The Myth of Neoliberalism Discourse and The Ordo Manifesto of 1936Kan Yuenyong
The critics on the contemporary neoclassical economics in Thailand have been rigorously intense since the Tom Yam Kung Financial Crisis in 1997 and also the Subprime Mortgage Crisis in 2008. However, the late critics from the leftwing in either the labeling of “Neoliberalism” or the proposal of “Welfare State” are both misleading. The origins of this idea from a “A Brief History of Neoliberalism” is inaccurate when considering the content in “The Ordo Manifesto of 1936”. The article will review both literatures in details including a proposal from “Varieties of Capitalism”, in which it will reinvestigate the versatility of capitalism nurtured in each country and their dynamism. It can be considered that the mentioned debate between the leftwing and the neoclassical economic school in the country has reflected the missing proposal of “Ordoliberalism”. The article will discuss a possibility to frame economic idea based on it in order to achieve an equilibrium both on the better economic performance, by regulating the monopoly on one hand, and the reduction of social inequality on the other hand.
Quantum computing startup IQM aims to come up with more efficient battery and material designs. This is the 20-slide pitch deck that landed it $128 million in funding.
Plus Slide Backup I: Dilution Refrigerator from Maybell Quantum and Backup II: IQM technical slide
How Think Tanks use ROMA to Shape Public Policy Fostering Better SocietyKan Yuenyong
This presentation will discuss following topics:
- What is Public Policy? (a bit academic based; policy science)
- What is Think Tank? (a bit organizational management)
- How think tanks shape public policy? (a bit academic based)
- What is ROMA? (management toolkit)
- Case study discussion
It has been since 1918 of the spreading of the Great Influenza epidemic or the 1918 influenza pandemic (Spanish flu) that the world had never experienced the same scale of the pandemic before until the Covid-19. Both the governments and its citizen around the world have been response to the phenomenon up to their own capacities and performances. The paper will examine how the Thai grassroots can endure during the ongoing pandemic and how the government’s policies have posed significant impacts on their daily life. It’s however an investigation of an understanding by employing qualitative approach via interviewing method as the main instrument to pave the way regarding the better understanding of the phenomenon especially on how efficient the contradictory policies enacted to combat with the pandemic on one hand and to secure the economic activities on the other hand.
Katechon and Cognitive Revolution: An Emergence of the 21st Century Global Po...Kan Yuenyong
This is the presentation to present concurrently with the paper of the same title, it's about a critique over the contemporary "global governance". It will, in the end, raise a debate between IR school on Neorealism vs Neoliberalism.
The presentation has discussed comparatively among three SEM instruments which are (1) SAS CALIS procedure, (2) R's lavaan package, and (3) Mplus version 8.0 on MIDUS II dataset.
The Public Administration’s Cybernetic Governance Paradigm in Digital EraKan Yuenyong
The presentation was done on Public Administration Association of Thailand (PAAT) annual conference 2021: Dynamics of Public Administration: Problems, Prospects, and Challenges on November 24, 2021.
A review of “Tax policy and housing prices: evidence from Vietnam using event study approach” By Pham Huu Hong Thai and Hao Manh Quach in Journal: Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 14(4), 121-132. doi:10.21511/imfi.14(4).2017.11.
Interviews in Qualitative Research with Kantian and Phenominological PhilosophyKan Yuenyong
The presentation has reviewed Interviews in Qualitative Research (2nd edition, 2019). It has also mentioned Kantian and Phenomenological Philosophy (continental approach)
Multipleregression covidmobility and Covid-19 policy recommendationKan Yuenyong
Multiple Regression Analysis and Covid-19 policy is the contemporary agenda. It demonstrates how to use Python to do data wrangler, to use R to do statistical analysis, and is enable to publish in standard academic journal. The model will explain whether lockdown policy is relevant to control Covid-19 outbreak? It cinc
Amidst an evolution of public administration and policy making process, scenario planning has been recognized as one of the most important instrument both in policy analysis and conducting inclusive planning and participatory approach. It has been used among think tanks, a de facto track II actors to reach to their intermediary role between the governmental agencies (track I) and a grassroots sector (track III). There are some studies to address an attempt to equip itself with postpositivist research methodology in modern think tank, called think tank 2.0. Such modification is possible because of three major driving forces: an evolution of governance, design technology and a paradigm shift in epistemology of public administration as a backdrop of this transformation. The bigger picture of this transformation is about to adopt simulation methodology in social science as found in agent-based model (ABM) approach as a new epistemic paradigm. However, I’ll demonstrate from my experience on various national policy research efforts that the scenario planning is a handy instrument suitable for the new challenges with low cost that can attain better result even without a sophisticated technique such as ABM.
Participatoy governance and conflict resolution thailand pdfKan Yuenyong
- Backdrop of political problems in Thailand
- Introduction on Scenario Planning method and relations to Post-positivist Epistemology
- Lesson learned on implementing Scenario Planning
- Evolution of Think Tank and its instruments to address public policy
- Future trajectory on conducing public policy to cover with complexity
The presentation has discussed about theories on budgeting:
(1) Counter-Cyclical Theory (Keynesian Theory), (2) economic-demographic: system theory (external factors), (3) institutionalism theory: system theory (internal factors), (4) Incrementalism Theory: Herbert Simon and Charlse Lindblom, not believing in rational decision making model (bounded rational decision making), (5) Public Choice & Compensation Theory
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
Future Of Fintech In India | Evolution Of Fintech In IndiaTheUnitedIndian
Navigating the Future of Fintech in India: Insights into how AI, blockchain, and digital payments are driving unprecedented growth in India's fintech industry, redefining financial services and accessibility.
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
Welcome to the new Mizzima Weekly !
Mizzima Media Group is pleased to announce the relaunch of Mizzima Weekly. Mizzima is dedicated to helping our readers and viewers keep up to date on the latest developments in Myanmar and related to Myanmar by offering analysis and insight into the subjects that matter. Our websites and our social media channels provide readers and viewers with up-to-the-minute and up-to-date news, which we don’t necessarily need to replicate in our Mizzima Weekly magazine. But where we see a gap is in providing more analysis, insight and in-depth coverage of Myanmar, that is of particular interest to a range of readers.
27052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
ys jagan mohan reddy political career, Biography.pdfVoterMood
Yeduguri Sandinti Jagan Mohan Reddy, often referred to as Y.S. Jagan Mohan Reddy, is an Indian politician who currently serves as the Chief Minister of the state of Andhra Pradesh. He was born on December 21, 1972, in Pulivendula, Andhra Pradesh, to Yeduguri Sandinti Rajasekhara Reddy (popularly known as YSR), a former Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh, and Y.S. Vijayamma.
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
Russo - Ukrainian War Update II: How the fox wars read through the fog of war
1. usso - krainian War Updates II:
How the fox wars read though the fog of war
Kan Yuenyong
[as of February 26, 2022, GMT+7; D-Day+2]
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2. https://www.understandingwar.org/
backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-update-8
• Russian forces entered major Ukrainian cities—including Kyiv and
Kherson —for the first time and carried out additional air and
missile strikes on military and civilian targets.
• Russian forces entered the outskirts of Kyiv on the west bank of
the Dnipro River as Russian sabotage groups in civilian clothing
reportedly moved into downtown Kyiv.
• Ukrainian forces have successfully slowed Russian troops on the
east bank of the Dnipro, forcing them to bypass the city of
Chernihiv after stout resistance. Russian airborne forces have
concentrated in southeastern Belarus, likely for use along the
Chernihiv-bypass axis toward Kyiv in the next 24 hours.
• Russian forces will likely envelop Kharkhiv in the next 24 hours
after failing to enter the city through frontal assaults on February
24-25.
• Russian forces have achieved little success through frontal
assaults or envelopments against Ukrainian forces in Donbas but
may not have intended to do more than pin Ukrainian forces in the
east.
• North of Crimea, Russian forces fully captured Kherson and are
likely on the verge of seizing Melitopol in the east. Unconfirmed
reports indicate that Russian forces bypassed Kherson earlier and
headed directly for Mykolaiv and Odessa.
• Russian forces may be assembling in Stolin, Belarus, to open a
new line of advance against Rivne in western Ukraine.
A
B
C
D
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4. UNSC vote on a draft resolution condemning Russia’s
aggression against Ukraine, based on resolution 3314
Condemn Russia’s Invasion (for Ukraine)
Albania, Brazil, France, Gabon, Ghana, Ireland,
Kenya, Mexico, Norway, United Kingdom,
United States of America
(co-sponsored by 81 member states)
• The resolution has been rejected because of veto power from a permanent member of UNSC
• Next stage, might trigger “Obligatory Abstention” from permanent members, but with “soften language” and constructive resolution
• https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/whatsinblue/2022/02/ukraine-vote-on-draft-resolution.php
• https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/monthly-forecast/2014-04/in_hindsight_obligatory_abstentions.php
Abstain
China, India, United Arab Emirates
Against and Vetoes
Russia
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5. Recent Sanctions Against Russia
• (February 23, 2022) The US has imposed sanction one Nord Stream 2 AG and its corporate officers
• (February 24, 2022) (1) Severing the connection to the U.S. financial system for Russia’s largest financial
institution, Sberbank, including 25 subsidiaries, by imposing correspondent and payable-through account
sanctions. (2) Full blocking sanctions on Russia’s second largest financial institution, VTB Bank (VTB),
including 20 subsidiaries. (3) Full blocking sanctions on three other major Russian financial institutions:
Bank Otkritie, Sovcombank OJSC, and Novikombank and 34 subsidiaries. (4) New debt and equity
restrictions on thirteen of the most critical major Russian enterprises and entities. (5) Additional full blocking
sanctions on Russian elites and their family members: Sergei Ivanov (and his son, Sergei), Nikolai
Patrushev (and his son Andrey), Igor Sechin (and his son Ivan), Andrey Puchkov, Yuriy Solviev (and two real
estate companies he owns), Galina Ulyutina, and Alexander Vedyakhin.
• SWIFT sanction (considered to be “nuclear option”) is on table and might be further discussed (recently
objected by Germany, Italy and Hungary). Recently the German congress has pressured the Chancellor to
adopt the SWIFT sanction.
• The sanctions pose severe effect over Russian economy, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
International_sanctions_during_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War
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6. Interesting China’s Reaction
• (1) ICBC stopped issuing U.S. dollar-denominated letters of credit for purchases of physical Russian commodities
ready for export, and (2) Bank of China Ltd. has also curbed financing for Russian commodities based on its own risk
assessment, see https://www.bloombergquint.com/global-economics/chinese-state-banks-restrict-financing-for-
russian-commodities
• This perhaps because Putin didn’t notice any invasion plan over Ukraine to Chinese authorities, despite several
warnings from Washington whom shared its intelligence report, see: https://news.yahoo.com/u-officials-repeatedly-
urged-china-132921273.html
• This is because Putin is only the major power to officially visit and endorse Beijing Winter Olympic and thus a joint
statement on the International Relations Entering a New Era and the Global Sustainable Development, February 4,
2022, http://en.kremlin.ru/supplement/5770.
• However, Beijing issues a position on (1) the United States and NATO have long turned a blind eye to Russia’s
legitimate security concerns, and have repeatedly negated their promises to Russia, (2) Russia should have high-level
negotiation with Ukraine,(3) China has long held the basic position of respecting all countries’ sovereignty and territorial
integrity, and abiding by the purposes and principles of the UN Charter, and (4) reject Cold War mentality, take seriously
and respect the reasonable security concerns of all countries and reach a balanced, effective and sustainable European
security mechanism through negotiation, see https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/eng/zxxx_662805/202202/
t20220225_10645701.html
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7. –Carl von Clausewitz
“War is the realm of uncertainty; three quarters of the factors on
which action in war is based are wrapped in a fog of greater or lesser
uncertainty. A sensitive and discriminating judgment is called for; a
skilled intelligence to scent out the truth.”
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8. Recent Interpretation On Russian Military Strategy
• Shock and Awe: Starting from massive air raid and sabotage over adversaries’ electronic and communication
channel in order to control air supremacy, and thus sending massive ground force, therefore, it’s a military doctrine
based on the use of overwhelming power, dominant battlefield awareness, overpowering maneuvers, and
spectacular displays of force to paralyze an adversary's perception of the battlefield and destroy its will to fight.
• Soviet Deep Battle: encompassed manoeuvre by multiple Soviet Army front-size formations simultaneously. It was
not meant to deliver a victory in a single operation; instead, multiple operations, which might be conducted in
parallel or successively, would induce a catastrophic failure in the enemy's defensive system. Deep battle
envisaged the breaking of the enemy's forward defenses, or tactical zones, through combined arms assaults, which
would be followed up by fresh uncommitted mobile operational reserves sent to exploit the strategic depth of an
enemy front.
• Modern Warfare: Employs precision strike and several small tactical military units, must be equipped and
cooperated with enhance command and control (C2), the most advanced C2 is within The Joint Artificial Intelligence
Center (JAIC)’s edge computing by neuromorphic processors, the Joint All Domain Command and Control (JADC2),
and a wireless mesh network (WMN). This is to gain advantage over adversaries’ anti-access/area denial (A2/AD).
Latest modern warfare might operate with technologies such as exoskeleton technologies, military robot and drone,
and self-healing armor patches. Russian Military modernization such as Rutnik program -> Sotnik, spine skeleton
gear, rostec (vertical & horizontal integration in military complex) still can’t match with the US.
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9. Recent Assessment on Russian Operation over Ukraine
• It seems Moscow tries to blend the mentioning three strategies together.
Started with traditional psyops, cyber-warfare, and deception.
• But initial precision strikes seemed to be very minimal (compared to Gulf
war), perhaps because lack of enough funding, and therefore it will ruin
civilians rather than military target
• Russian military faces strong resistant from Ukrainian military (and also
civilian volunteer), reflects strong Ukrainian identity and patriotism
• Ukrainian military, despite smaller units and limited equipments, but can
use modern warfare better than the Russian military and applying
smartly with asymmetric tactical operation recently
• If Russian military can’t capture Kyiv and can’t pacify Ukrainian military
within 7 days military operation, it will be an uphill task to achieve
military objective
• Even the Russian military can capture Ukraine, the next phase of war will
be urban warfare and insurgency which is very difficult to suppress,
considering Syrian civil war and Nazi German-occupied Ukraine.
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https://mobile.twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/
1497520235179556864
10. The New Russian Bear Trap?
• Many officials and analysts suspect Putin plans to go big, trying to grab
as much of the country as possible. That’s led to the distinct possibility
that Washington might aid a Ukrainian insurgency, especially if Russia’s
military takes all or much of Ukraine.
• During the 1980s, Washington armed and funded Afghan rebels trying
to push the Soviet Union out of their country. The Soviets eventually
left, but the violence in the country didn’t stop as Afghan militias turned
on each other, eventually giving rise to the Taliban.
• Funding and arming Ukrainian insurgents is the type of plan that could
get significant support in Congress, but it’s also an effort that requires
patience and long-term thinking.
• There is a discussion over the new Russian bear trap among
geopolitical strategist in Washington, but it’s in disputed because of
ethical issue, needs to be patient to wait for a very long time frame, and
also the strategy might be cancelled from the new president
• See https://www.politico.com/news/2022/02/23/biden-troops-russia-
ukraine-00011049
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“That secret operation was an excellent idea. It had the effect of
drawing the Russians into the Afghan trap and you want me to
regret it? The day that the Soviets officially crossed the border, I
wrote to President Carter, essentially: “We now have the
opportunity of giving to the USSR its Vietnam war." Indeed, for
almost 10 years, Moscow had to carry on a war that was
unsustainable for the regime , a conflict that bought about the
demoralization and finally the breakup of the Soviet empire.” -
Zbigniew Brzezinski, https://dgibbs.faculty.arizona.edu/
brzezinski_interview
11. Putin, the rational thinker or the madness?
• Many profiles of Putin have missed the mark, labeling him as a “thug” or seeing
him as a mere tool of larger, more intricate power structures or groupings, such
as the siloviki, Russia’s military, law-enforcement, and intelligence communities.
Such analyses of Putin’s political behavior have at times led to a lack of
predictive power regarding Russia’s actions or to heightened emotional
predictions of a new Cold War or military conflict between Russia and the West.
A careful reading of Putin’s writings, interviews, and speeches offers analysts a
treasure-trove of material, which can – if soberly assessed –reveal the many
faces of Vladimir Putin, including those of a politician, intelligence officer, martial
artist, and diplomat.
• As a leader, Putin has made great strides in bringing Russia out of its political
and economic morass of the 90s, following the collapse of the Soviet Union,
which he has referred to as “one of the greatest tragedies of the 20th century.”
While rising oil and natural gas prices during the 2000s positively impacted
Russia’s economy, allowing for a rise in standards of living, Putin’s sense of
organization, discipline, and deft management of domestic policy also played a
significant role in Russia’s political and economic restoration.
• Many have tended to see Putin as merely tactical, rather than strategic, but such
a view is mistaken. Seeing such labels as dichotomous, rather than as two sides
of the same coin, loses sight of Putin’s adaptability regarding foreign-policy
challenges, such as the Ukraine, Georgia, Syria, China, India, the U.S., and
Europe. At times, Putin has shown masterful flexibility, often reversing course
and shifting priorities, while not deviating from key strategic concerns and his
sense of Russia’s national interest.
• See Ich Putin - Ein Porträt: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9TL40p3CJ88
https://www.thecipherbrief.com/column_article/the-many-
faces-of-vladimir-putin-a-political-psychology-profile
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12. SIU’s comprehensive “Meta-Geopolitics” Framework
https://www.geopolitics.asia/white-paper
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