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RFS2 – A Bridge to a
More Sustainable
America
(A Really Fast Synopsis, too)




             May 14, 2010
             NTRC/ORNL Presentation
             Jonathan Overly, Director – ETCleanFuels
Agenda
•   Introduction
•   The 2022 Goal
•   RFS2 Volume Requirements
•   22nd digit – 1, 2, now 3-7 (“CBAR7”)
•   Grandfathering – plants
•   More…
•   What’s going on in TN to help meet?

ETCleanFuel’s 2010 Founding Partners:
History & Brief Intro
•   RFS1 came from EPAct 2005; added section to CAA
•   Typical compliance fuel was corn-based ethanol
•   “Obligated parties” were petroleum refiners & gasoline importers
•   Had to generate the RINs to show compliance

•        ENTER RFS2
• Passed by congress in 2007 through EISA (Energy Independence
  & Security Act)
• Increase from 12 billion gallons per year (BGY) of renewables
  under RFS1 to 36 BGY in 2022
• Expanded to include off-road, locomotive, marine gas + diesel
• Moves from 1 standard to 4 performance-based standards

• Applies to
     all renewable fuel produced after July 1, 2010,
     all RINs generated on or after July 1, 2010, and
     all renewable fuel obligations and compliance periods starting
     January 1, 2010
More Intro (Key Pieces)
• Now uses substantial analysis by EPA in GHG arena of thresholds
  for reduction compared to petroleum counterpart – >> CBAR7 <<
  Type C – Cellulosic biofuels; 60% GHG reduction
  Type B – Biomass-based diesel; 50% GHG reduction
  Type A – Advanced biofuels; 50% GHG reduction
  Type R – Renewable fuel; 20% GHG reduction
 Type 7 – Cellulosic biodiesel (distillates); can be ‘C’ or ‘B’ [rare]

• RFS2 starts July 1, 2010
     RFS1 RINs will be generated until July 30, 2010, then RFS2
     RINs will be generated
     They will co-exist, although the EMTS (EPA’s Moderated
     Transaction System) will only track RFS2 RINs
     Transition to complete RFS2 system will run into 2013
     Criteria will exist for certain RFS1 RINs to be used for RFS2
     compliance

• 38-digit numeric code kept – key digit = 22nd position – was only 1
  and 2; now this “D” code adds 3-7 corresponding to “CBAR7”
The Goal – 36 BGY by 2022
RFS2 Volume Requirements


                                             *1.15




                                                                                         Conventional
                                                                                         biofuel gets capped
                                                                                         at 15 BGY in 2015.




From McMartin & Noyes, “America Advances to Performance-Based Biofuels,” Feb. 26, 2010
Facility Grandfathering
All post-enactment facilities (domestic and foreign) must meet
minimum 20% GHG reduction
All pre-enactment facilities (domestic and foreign) are
grandfathered for the general renewable fuel category –
estimated at ~15 BGY
 • Including ethanol facilities that start production in calendar years
    2008 and 2009, and are fired with natural gas, biomass, or any
    combination of the two
Basic approach:
 • Grandfathered indefinitely
 • Only up to a baseline volume
Baseline volume based on:
 • Maximum allowable volume stipulated in air permits
 • Lacking air permits, maximum capacity achieved is used
 • Also allowing a small tolerance of 5% to account for minor
   changes due to ongoing maintenance
Volume increases beyond the baseline must meet the 20%
threshold like a new facility
Compliance Determinations, 1
Modeling accounts for the typical feedstock and fuel production pathway
from which significant production and contribution to RFS2 volumes are
expected (2022)

Modeled fuel pathways that meet compliance:
   •Ethanol produced from corn starch at a new natural gas, biomass, or
   biogas-fired facility using advanced efficient technologies meets 20%
   threshold (Coal fired will not)
   •Butanol from corn starch meets 20% threshold
   •Biodiesel (soy, wastes, algae) meets 50% threshold
   •Sugarcane ethanol (multiple pathways) meets 50% threshold
   •Cellulosic ethanol and diesel fuel (thermal and biochemical from stover,
   switchgrass) meets 60% threshold

Results extended to same fuel type and feedstock as a modeled pathway,
but with feedstock production sources that were not included in the
analysis (e.g., corn ethanol and soybean biodiesel produced in another
country)
     •If agricultural production from a source are significantly different from
     those modeled and fuel volumes from the source increase, EPA retains
     the authority to perform a full analysis of the different pathway for
     compliance determination
Compliance Determinations, 2
Results extended to other fuel pathways with low risk of not complying:
 • Crop residues such as corn stover, wheat straw, rice straw, and citrus
   residue providing starch or cellulosic feedstock
 • Forest material including eligible forest thinnings and solid residue
   remaining from forest product production providing cellulosic feedstock
 • Secondary annual crops planted on existing crop land such as winter
   cover crops and providing cellulosic material, starch, or oil for biofuel
   production
 • Separated food and yard wastes, including food and beverage wastes
   from food production and processing
 • Perennial grasses including switchgrass and miscanthus


Future “Uncertainty” – Sarah Dunham, EPA says…
 • “There is inherent uncertainty in these assessments… we thought it was
   important to try to formally recognize that uncertainty and incorporate it
   into the analysis. The assessments will be updated over the next two years
   as more information becomes known.”
RFS2 Miscellany
• EPA changed baseline BTU value of ethanol – 77,750 btu/gal to 77,000
• As EPA took comments on RFS2, they received literally thousands of
  comments from persons and companies from both the conventional and
  renewable fuel sectors.
• EPA has authority to adjust both GHG levels for some fuel types and fuel
  mandates; already adjusted 2010 cellulosic quantity from 100 million to 6.5
  million gallons.
• RVO calculated on straight volume basis for each fuel type except for ‘B,’
  biomass-based diesel. Multiplier of 1.5 is used. For 2010 ‘B’ category
  obligation of 1.15 BGY, obligated parties will actually need to secure and
  submit for 1.725 billion gallon-RINs.
• Civil penalties = $37,500 for every day of each violation (+/- econ. benefit).
  However EPA has only prosecuted a few under RFS1 and those were for
  willful violations.
• Pro-rata share for obligated parties =
 vol. gas imported-produced [/] total U.S. consumption [X] total RF mandate
• 2 states of RIN “association:” assigned, and separated. ‘Assigned’ to
  fuel, then follows fuel until ‘separation’ where ‘activates.’ Now tradable
  and serves as the paper credit for compliance.
• New stipulation – all qualifying fuels must be produced with Renewable
  Biomass. Downstream market participants can be exposed to violations
  from insufficient due diligence about their source fuel and RINs.
EPA Q-n-A – straight from the source, 1
http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fuels/renewablefuels/compliancehelp/rfs2-aq.htm

Q:       While there is no renewable fuel obligation under the RFS2 program
  for the production or importation of conventional jet fuel, RINs can be
  generated for renewable jet fuel. Is that right?
A:       Only gasoline and diesel fuels produced or imported into the U.S.
  are subject to the renewable fuel standards. Thus, only gasoline and diesel
  fuel volumes produced or imported by an obligated party factor into their
  RVOs (renewable fuel volume obligations). Therefore, jet fuel production
  or importation is not subject to the renewable fuel standards. However,
  producers or importers of renewable jet fuel can generate RINs to
  represent that jet fuel if their fuel meets the definition of renewable fuel and
  EPA has approved a D code.

Q:       If a facility is grandfathered, is it also exempt from the requirement
  that feedstocks must be renewable biomass?
A:       Even if a facility is exempt from the 20% GHG reduction
  requirement, in order to generate RINs, the facility is still required to use
  feedstocks that meet the definition of renewable biomass. The definition of
  renewable fuel in 80.1401 specifies that renewable fuel be made from
  renewable biomass, which is also defined in that section.
EPA Q-n-A – straight from the source, 2
http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fuels/renewablefuels/compliancehelp/rfs2-aq.htm

Q:       Does ethanol derived from cellulosic feedstock or sugar have the
  same Equivalence Value as ethanol derived form corn starch, i.e. 1.0?
A:       Yes. Equivalence Values are based on energy content in the fuel.
  Ethanol from starch, sugar, and cellulose is all chemically identical, and is
  all 100% renewable (none of the carbon in the fuel comes from a fossil fuel
  source). Thus, all such ethanol has the same Equivalence Value.

Q:       How do I find a listing of all obligated parties pertaining to the new
  RFS2 Program?
A:       Review the Fuels Programs Registrants list located at
  https://cdxnodengn.epa.gov/otaq-reg/list.do. Any party registered as an
  importer or refiner for either the gasoline or diesel programs may be an
  obligated party in any given compliance year.

Q:       Where can I find more information and documentation on the EPA
  Moderated Transaction System (EMTS)?
A:       For more information on the EPA Moderated Transaction System
  (EMTS), please visit the EMTS web page at
  http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fuels/renewablefuels/epamts.htm.
TN “Advanced” Biofuels
Two primary producers in
Tennessee
                           Cellulosic Ethanol
Biodiesel                  •Genera Energy
•Renewable Fuels LLC       •25,000 GY
•Former SunsOil LLC        •Cobs now, switchgrass later
•2 MGY                     (Dec. ‘10)
•To (re)open July 2010     •20-30 MGY plant in the 2013
•ORNL biodiesel?           time frame?
Switchgrass Update - 1
Production
Switchgrass Update - 2
The Switchgrass “Experience”
•In 2008, 16 farmers were selected with a total of
720 acres
•In 2009, 34 contracts covering 1,900 acres were
added
•2010 acreage expanding by as much as 4,000
additional acres
       • Current contracts are adding 2,500
          additional acres, bringing the total number
          of farmers enrolled to 60.
 Joint effort of UT Ag Experiment Station, Genera
Energy and UT Extension


2009 Harvest
•1st year yields averaged 2 dry tons per acre (2
farms yielded 4 tons per acre
•2nd year yields varied from 3 dry tons per acre to
nearly 7 dry tons per acre
•3rd year switchgrass field yielded 7.6 dry tons per
acre
Switchgrass Update - 3
Randall Peters Farm in Vonore – Aerial View
Resources - for more RFS2
EPA’s Renewable Fuels Standard Home
•http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fuels/renewablefuels/index.htm


Clayton McMartin & Graham Noyes White Paper – Feb. 26, 2010
•http://www.cfch.com/whitepaper/


Renewable Fuels Association (RFA) Issues Brief – Summary of RFS2
•http://foodnfuel.3cdn.net/90c1a873be0da22e02_ypm6i2c47.pdf


National Biodiesel Board’s (NBB’s) RFS2 Website
•http://www.biodiesel.org/news/RFS/default.shtm
Questions?
   “Do not follow where the path may lead.
     Go, instead, where there is no path
               and leave a trail.”
                       - Ralph Waldo Emerson




  Your Link to Alt Fuels Info in East TN:

ETCleanFuels.org
    865-974-3625; jgoverly@utk.edu

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RFS2 - An Overview

  • 1. RFS2 – A Bridge to a More Sustainable America (A Really Fast Synopsis, too) May 14, 2010 NTRC/ORNL Presentation Jonathan Overly, Director – ETCleanFuels
  • 2. Agenda • Introduction • The 2022 Goal • RFS2 Volume Requirements • 22nd digit – 1, 2, now 3-7 (“CBAR7”) • Grandfathering – plants • More… • What’s going on in TN to help meet? ETCleanFuel’s 2010 Founding Partners:
  • 3. History & Brief Intro • RFS1 came from EPAct 2005; added section to CAA • Typical compliance fuel was corn-based ethanol • “Obligated parties” were petroleum refiners & gasoline importers • Had to generate the RINs to show compliance • ENTER RFS2 • Passed by congress in 2007 through EISA (Energy Independence & Security Act) • Increase from 12 billion gallons per year (BGY) of renewables under RFS1 to 36 BGY in 2022 • Expanded to include off-road, locomotive, marine gas + diesel • Moves from 1 standard to 4 performance-based standards • Applies to all renewable fuel produced after July 1, 2010, all RINs generated on or after July 1, 2010, and all renewable fuel obligations and compliance periods starting January 1, 2010
  • 4. More Intro (Key Pieces) • Now uses substantial analysis by EPA in GHG arena of thresholds for reduction compared to petroleum counterpart – >> CBAR7 << Type C – Cellulosic biofuels; 60% GHG reduction Type B – Biomass-based diesel; 50% GHG reduction Type A – Advanced biofuels; 50% GHG reduction Type R – Renewable fuel; 20% GHG reduction Type 7 – Cellulosic biodiesel (distillates); can be ‘C’ or ‘B’ [rare] • RFS2 starts July 1, 2010 RFS1 RINs will be generated until July 30, 2010, then RFS2 RINs will be generated They will co-exist, although the EMTS (EPA’s Moderated Transaction System) will only track RFS2 RINs Transition to complete RFS2 system will run into 2013 Criteria will exist for certain RFS1 RINs to be used for RFS2 compliance • 38-digit numeric code kept – key digit = 22nd position – was only 1 and 2; now this “D” code adds 3-7 corresponding to “CBAR7”
  • 5. The Goal – 36 BGY by 2022
  • 6. RFS2 Volume Requirements *1.15 Conventional biofuel gets capped at 15 BGY in 2015. From McMartin & Noyes, “America Advances to Performance-Based Biofuels,” Feb. 26, 2010
  • 7. Facility Grandfathering All post-enactment facilities (domestic and foreign) must meet minimum 20% GHG reduction All pre-enactment facilities (domestic and foreign) are grandfathered for the general renewable fuel category – estimated at ~15 BGY • Including ethanol facilities that start production in calendar years 2008 and 2009, and are fired with natural gas, biomass, or any combination of the two Basic approach: • Grandfathered indefinitely • Only up to a baseline volume Baseline volume based on: • Maximum allowable volume stipulated in air permits • Lacking air permits, maximum capacity achieved is used • Also allowing a small tolerance of 5% to account for minor changes due to ongoing maintenance Volume increases beyond the baseline must meet the 20% threshold like a new facility
  • 8. Compliance Determinations, 1 Modeling accounts for the typical feedstock and fuel production pathway from which significant production and contribution to RFS2 volumes are expected (2022) Modeled fuel pathways that meet compliance: •Ethanol produced from corn starch at a new natural gas, biomass, or biogas-fired facility using advanced efficient technologies meets 20% threshold (Coal fired will not) •Butanol from corn starch meets 20% threshold •Biodiesel (soy, wastes, algae) meets 50% threshold •Sugarcane ethanol (multiple pathways) meets 50% threshold •Cellulosic ethanol and diesel fuel (thermal and biochemical from stover, switchgrass) meets 60% threshold Results extended to same fuel type and feedstock as a modeled pathway, but with feedstock production sources that were not included in the analysis (e.g., corn ethanol and soybean biodiesel produced in another country) •If agricultural production from a source are significantly different from those modeled and fuel volumes from the source increase, EPA retains the authority to perform a full analysis of the different pathway for compliance determination
  • 9. Compliance Determinations, 2 Results extended to other fuel pathways with low risk of not complying: • Crop residues such as corn stover, wheat straw, rice straw, and citrus residue providing starch or cellulosic feedstock • Forest material including eligible forest thinnings and solid residue remaining from forest product production providing cellulosic feedstock • Secondary annual crops planted on existing crop land such as winter cover crops and providing cellulosic material, starch, or oil for biofuel production • Separated food and yard wastes, including food and beverage wastes from food production and processing • Perennial grasses including switchgrass and miscanthus Future “Uncertainty” – Sarah Dunham, EPA says… • “There is inherent uncertainty in these assessments… we thought it was important to try to formally recognize that uncertainty and incorporate it into the analysis. The assessments will be updated over the next two years as more information becomes known.”
  • 10. RFS2 Miscellany • EPA changed baseline BTU value of ethanol – 77,750 btu/gal to 77,000 • As EPA took comments on RFS2, they received literally thousands of comments from persons and companies from both the conventional and renewable fuel sectors. • EPA has authority to adjust both GHG levels for some fuel types and fuel mandates; already adjusted 2010 cellulosic quantity from 100 million to 6.5 million gallons. • RVO calculated on straight volume basis for each fuel type except for ‘B,’ biomass-based diesel. Multiplier of 1.5 is used. For 2010 ‘B’ category obligation of 1.15 BGY, obligated parties will actually need to secure and submit for 1.725 billion gallon-RINs. • Civil penalties = $37,500 for every day of each violation (+/- econ. benefit). However EPA has only prosecuted a few under RFS1 and those were for willful violations. • Pro-rata share for obligated parties = vol. gas imported-produced [/] total U.S. consumption [X] total RF mandate • 2 states of RIN “association:” assigned, and separated. ‘Assigned’ to fuel, then follows fuel until ‘separation’ where ‘activates.’ Now tradable and serves as the paper credit for compliance. • New stipulation – all qualifying fuels must be produced with Renewable Biomass. Downstream market participants can be exposed to violations from insufficient due diligence about their source fuel and RINs.
  • 11. EPA Q-n-A – straight from the source, 1 http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fuels/renewablefuels/compliancehelp/rfs2-aq.htm Q: While there is no renewable fuel obligation under the RFS2 program for the production or importation of conventional jet fuel, RINs can be generated for renewable jet fuel. Is that right? A: Only gasoline and diesel fuels produced or imported into the U.S. are subject to the renewable fuel standards. Thus, only gasoline and diesel fuel volumes produced or imported by an obligated party factor into their RVOs (renewable fuel volume obligations). Therefore, jet fuel production or importation is not subject to the renewable fuel standards. However, producers or importers of renewable jet fuel can generate RINs to represent that jet fuel if their fuel meets the definition of renewable fuel and EPA has approved a D code. Q: If a facility is grandfathered, is it also exempt from the requirement that feedstocks must be renewable biomass? A: Even if a facility is exempt from the 20% GHG reduction requirement, in order to generate RINs, the facility is still required to use feedstocks that meet the definition of renewable biomass. The definition of renewable fuel in 80.1401 specifies that renewable fuel be made from renewable biomass, which is also defined in that section.
  • 12. EPA Q-n-A – straight from the source, 2 http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fuels/renewablefuels/compliancehelp/rfs2-aq.htm Q: Does ethanol derived from cellulosic feedstock or sugar have the same Equivalence Value as ethanol derived form corn starch, i.e. 1.0? A: Yes. Equivalence Values are based on energy content in the fuel. Ethanol from starch, sugar, and cellulose is all chemically identical, and is all 100% renewable (none of the carbon in the fuel comes from a fossil fuel source). Thus, all such ethanol has the same Equivalence Value. Q: How do I find a listing of all obligated parties pertaining to the new RFS2 Program? A: Review the Fuels Programs Registrants list located at https://cdxnodengn.epa.gov/otaq-reg/list.do. Any party registered as an importer or refiner for either the gasoline or diesel programs may be an obligated party in any given compliance year. Q: Where can I find more information and documentation on the EPA Moderated Transaction System (EMTS)? A: For more information on the EPA Moderated Transaction System (EMTS), please visit the EMTS web page at http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fuels/renewablefuels/epamts.htm.
  • 13. TN “Advanced” Biofuels Two primary producers in Tennessee Cellulosic Ethanol Biodiesel •Genera Energy •Renewable Fuels LLC •25,000 GY •Former SunsOil LLC •Cobs now, switchgrass later •2 MGY (Dec. ‘10) •To (re)open July 2010 •20-30 MGY plant in the 2013 •ORNL biodiesel? time frame?
  • 14. Switchgrass Update - 1 Production
  • 15. Switchgrass Update - 2 The Switchgrass “Experience” •In 2008, 16 farmers were selected with a total of 720 acres •In 2009, 34 contracts covering 1,900 acres were added •2010 acreage expanding by as much as 4,000 additional acres • Current contracts are adding 2,500 additional acres, bringing the total number of farmers enrolled to 60. Joint effort of UT Ag Experiment Station, Genera Energy and UT Extension 2009 Harvest •1st year yields averaged 2 dry tons per acre (2 farms yielded 4 tons per acre •2nd year yields varied from 3 dry tons per acre to nearly 7 dry tons per acre •3rd year switchgrass field yielded 7.6 dry tons per acre
  • 16. Switchgrass Update - 3 Randall Peters Farm in Vonore – Aerial View
  • 17. Resources - for more RFS2 EPA’s Renewable Fuels Standard Home •http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fuels/renewablefuels/index.htm Clayton McMartin & Graham Noyes White Paper – Feb. 26, 2010 •http://www.cfch.com/whitepaper/ Renewable Fuels Association (RFA) Issues Brief – Summary of RFS2 •http://foodnfuel.3cdn.net/90c1a873be0da22e02_ypm6i2c47.pdf National Biodiesel Board’s (NBB’s) RFS2 Website •http://www.biodiesel.org/news/RFS/default.shtm
  • 18. Questions? “Do not follow where the path may lead. Go, instead, where there is no path and leave a trail.” - Ralph Waldo Emerson Your Link to Alt Fuels Info in East TN: ETCleanFuels.org 865-974-3625; jgoverly@utk.edu