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Public Sector Enterprise Risk Management and Why It’s Important Internal Audit, Risk & Governance The Hatton, London, 18th  May 2009 Dr David Hancock MBA Public Sector Risk Manager of the Year 2008/09
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is meant by a Risk? “ The uncertainty of outcome, whether positive or negative threat, of actions and events. It is the combination of likelihood and impact, including perceived importance.” (HM Treasury, The Orange Book, 2004) A statistical inevitability?
Evaluating A Risk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Risk Process Set Objectives Monitor the risks Report movement of the risk Identify Threats and Opportunities to Objectives Assess the risks associated with each threat and  opportunity ( Inherent ) and  map exposure (PxC) Consider actions to manage risk terminate, tolerate, treat, transfer Reassess the risk  ( Residual ) and remap  (PxC) in light of actions  in place
Response to risk… the 4 Ts Terminate – Do things differently and thus remove the risk Tolerate   – Nothing can be done at a reasonable cost to mitigate the risk or the likelihood and impact are at a reasonable level   What about ethical and moral acceptance? Treat – Take action to control the risk either by reducing the likelihood of the risk developing or limiting the impact it will have on the project Transfer   – Some of the financial risk may be transferable via insurance or contractual arrangements or accepted by third parties
What is Risk ? (Advanced) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two Types of Uncertainty ,[object Object],[object Object],Known Knowns, Known Unknowns Unknown Unknowns –  Donald Rumsfeld
Risk Assessment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What are the particular challenges?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What are the particular challenges?
What are the particular challenges? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What are the particular challenges? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The performance management framework has moved to a process of negotiation which is changing the relationship and the dynamic between central and local government. Central government has responded by attempting to adopt a more citizen-focussed and community-centred approach to public policy.  ‘ Challenging perspectives’ - NLGN What are the Particular Challenges ?
CAA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The need for holistic thinking I’m glad the hole isn’t in our end!
Understanding what is meant by success is crucial
Corporate Risk register
Projects and Programmes Concept Appraisal Business Case Approval Investment Decision Monitoring A C D E B Evaluation & Closure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Gateways Confidence Risk
OGC Gateways and Risk
New supplementary skills? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Any Questions ? “ When all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail” - Japanese Proverb

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Public Sector Enterprise Risk Management

  • 1. Public Sector Enterprise Risk Management and Why It’s Important Internal Audit, Risk & Governance The Hatton, London, 18th May 2009 Dr David Hancock MBA Public Sector Risk Manager of the Year 2008/09
  • 2.
  • 3. What is meant by a Risk? “ The uncertainty of outcome, whether positive or negative threat, of actions and events. It is the combination of likelihood and impact, including perceived importance.” (HM Treasury, The Orange Book, 2004) A statistical inevitability?
  • 4.
  • 5. The Risk Process Set Objectives Monitor the risks Report movement of the risk Identify Threats and Opportunities to Objectives Assess the risks associated with each threat and opportunity ( Inherent ) and map exposure (PxC) Consider actions to manage risk terminate, tolerate, treat, transfer Reassess the risk ( Residual ) and remap (PxC) in light of actions in place
  • 6. Response to risk… the 4 Ts Terminate – Do things differently and thus remove the risk Tolerate – Nothing can be done at a reasonable cost to mitigate the risk or the likelihood and impact are at a reasonable level What about ethical and moral acceptance? Treat – Take action to control the risk either by reducing the likelihood of the risk developing or limiting the impact it will have on the project Transfer – Some of the financial risk may be transferable via insurance or contractual arrangements or accepted by third parties
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
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  • 13.
  • 14. The performance management framework has moved to a process of negotiation which is changing the relationship and the dynamic between central and local government. Central government has responded by attempting to adopt a more citizen-focussed and community-centred approach to public policy. ‘ Challenging perspectives’ - NLGN What are the Particular Challenges ?
  • 15.
  • 16. The need for holistic thinking I’m glad the hole isn’t in our end!
  • 17. Understanding what is meant by success is crucial
  • 19.
  • 21.
  • 22. Any Questions ? “ When all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail” - Japanese Proverb

Editor's Notes

  1. An uncertain event or set of events which should it occur will have an effect on the achievement of objectives A risk consists of a combination of the probability of the perceived threat or opportunity occurring and the magnitude of its impact on objectives (or benefits)
  2. The problem with the future is that there are many more things that might happen than will happen
  3. Known Knowns – Issues, Known Unknowns – Risks, Unknown Unknowns -