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POL 308
Fall 2019
 Personality,Traits, and Character
 Interactions of Leaders with Others
 Societal and Organizational Context
 Problems/Tasks of Leader and Successors
 Leader’s Interpretative Judgment
 Means to Attain Ends / Followers’ Goals
 Effects or Results of Leadership
 ClassificationTool
 What is it good for?
 Forming and Refining Concepts
 Sorting Cases
 Creating Categories for Classification
 Qualitative and QuantitativeApproaches
CHAOS MUPPETS
 Out of control, Emotional,
Volatile
ORDER MUPPETS
 Neurotic, Risk-Averse,
Regimented
http://www.slate.com/articles/life/low_concept/2012/06/what_kind_of_muppet_are_you_chaos_or_order_.html
Cookie Monster is most definitely a Chaos Muppet Richard Termine/PBS.org.
Every Last One of Us Is a Chaos Muppet or an Order Muppet
By Dahlia Lithwick | Posted Friday, June 8, 2012, at 9:12 AM ET
| Posted Friday, June 8, 2012, at 9:12 AM ET Slate.com
A Unified Theory of Muppet Types.
Every once in a while, an
idea comes along that
changes the way we all
look at ourselves forever.
Before Descartes, nobody
knew they were thinking.
They all believed they
were just mulling. Until
Karl Marx, everyone
totally hated one another
but nobody knew quite
why. And before Freud,
nobody understood that all
of humanity could be
classified into one of two
simple types: people who
don’t yet know they want
to sleep with their
mothers, and people who
already know they want to
sleep with their mothers. These dialectics can change and shape who we are so profoundly, it’s hard to imagine life
before the paradigm at all.
The same thing is true of Muppet Theory, a little-known, poorly understood philosophy that holds that every living
human can be classified according to one simple metric: Every one of us is either a Chaos Muppet or an Order
Muppet.
Chaos Muppets are out-of-control, emotional, volatile. They tend toward the blue and fuzzy. They make their way
through life in a swirling maelstrom of food crumbs, small flaming objects, and the letter C. Cookie Monster, Ernie,
Grover, Gonzo, Dr. Bunsen Honeydew and—paradigmatically—Animal, are all Chaos Muppets. Zelda Fitzgerald
was a Chaos Muppet. So, I must tell you, is Justice Stephen Breyer.
Order Muppets—and I’m thinking about Bert, Scooter, Sam the Eagle, Kermit the Frog, and the blue guy who is
perennially harassed by Grover at restaurants (the Order Muppet Everyman)—tend to be neurotic, highly
regimented, averse to surprises and may sport monstrously large eyebrows. They sometimes resent the responsibility
of the world weighing on their felt shoulders, but they secretly revel in the knowledge that they keep the show
running. Your first grade teacher was probably an Order Muppet. So is Chief Justice John Roberts. It’s not that any
one type of Muppet is inherently better than the other. (Order Muppets do seem to attract the ladies, but then Chaos
Muppets collect the chicken harems.) It’s simply the case that the key to a happy marriage, a well-functioning
family, and a productive place of work lies in carefully calibrating the ratio of Chaos Muppets to Order Muppets
within any closed system. That, and always letting the Chaos Muppets do the driving.
 Central Elements of Model:
 Skill: What presidents wants and ability to get it
 Leverage: Tools, resources, political capital
 Outcome: General objective (e.g. legislation)
 Skill  Leverage  Outcome
Model Skill Leverage Outcome
Ideal Leadership + + +
Indiana Jones + - +
Pseudo-Leadership - + +
Right Place,
RightTime
- - +
No-Win Situation + + -
Wrong Place,
WrongTime
+ - -
Incompetent President - + -
Undistinguished President - - -
INSTRUCTIONS
What traits and characteristics are important
for presidential leadership? Write a list.
You will share your thoughts with the class.
 Self-Reliant President
 POTUS in Charge
 Weakness: Narrow Scope
 Minimalist President
 “Chairman of the Board”; NOT Passive
 Weakness: Overestimate Power/Judgment
 Strategic Competence
 Importance of Plan
 Three Elements
James David Barber
 What is style?
 (1) Rhetoric, (2) Personal Relations, (3) Homework
 What is world view?
 Politically Relevant Beliefs
 What is character?
 Personal Conduct
ACTIVE-PASSIVE
 How much energy does
the president invest in
their job?
POSITIVE-NEGATIVE
 How much does the
president enjoy their job?
Barber argues that the first four presidents fit nicely
into the four categories of the typology…
Active-Positive
Thomas Jefferson
Active-Negative
John Adams
James Madison
Passive-Positive
GeorgeWashington
Passive-Negative
Presidential
Character
Credit given to Dr. James M. Curry, GVPT 475, University of Maryland
Can we categorize recent presidents?
George W. Bush? Barack Obama?
Active-Positive
Thomas Jefferson
Franklin D. Roosevelt
Teddy Roosevelt
JFK
Active-Negative
JohnAdams
LBJ
WoodrowWilson
Richard Nixon
James Madison
Ronald Reagan
William H.Taft
Passive-Positive
G GeorgeWashington
Calvin Coolidge
Dwight D. Eisenhower
Ulysses S. Grant
Passive-Negative
Presidential
Character
Credit given to Dr. James M. Curry, GVPT 475, University of Maryland
MAIN CRITERIA
 Public Communication
 Organizational Capacity
 Political Skill
 Vision
 Cognitive Style
 Emotional Intelligence
 Presidency lacking in strategic communication
 Three Main Dimensions:
 #1: Prepared Speeches
 #2: Off-the Cuff Remarks and Press Interactions
 #3: Staying on Message
 POTUS communicates goals, vision, priorities to
citizens, media, members of Congress,WH staff
 Is communicating ability “born or bred?”
 Can be product of effort and eloquence
 Case Study:
George H.W. Bush
 Main Dimensions:
 #1: Hiring Good, Competent People
 #2: Right Amount of Information
 #3: Delegate Appropriately
 Modern Development
 Nineteenth century presidents almost no staff
 Important Questions:
 Can and will POTUS cross lines to achieve goals?
 How well does he interact with Congress?
 What is his reputation in political circles?
 What do Neustadt and Edwards argue
about political skill?
 #1: Electoral Skill
 Importance of Election
 WinningVotes (e.g. Mandate)
 #2: Coattails
 Ability to get others of party elected into office
 #3: Efficacy
 AccomplishingGoals; Hinges on Legislative Strategy
 Different ways to accomplish this
 Ability to Inspire Others
 Understanding Policies and Feasibility
 Articulation of National Goals
 Cognitive style assesses:
 (1) Strength of POTUS intelligence, Problem-Solving
 (2) Ability to Process Advice and Information
 Cognitive style does NOT equal simple IQ
 Background and prior experiences
 Five Main Dimensions:
 #1: Does the president know strengths/weaknesses?
 #2: Does the president relate well with others?
 #3: Does the president have a strong support system?
 #4: Is the president disciplined?
 #5: Does the president exhibit normal emotions?
Excellent Satisfactory Poor
Eisenhower F.D. Roosevelt Johnson
Ford Truman Nixon
GeorgeW. Bush Kennedy Carter
Reagan Clinton
Do you agree with Greenstein’s
assessment? Why or why not?
 Articulate Goals/Mission of Predecessor
 POTUS of Same Political Party as Predecessor
 Examples:
 James K. Polk
 Ulysses S. Grant
 Lyndon B. Johnson
 George H.W. Bush
 Presidents who get elected from opposition
party but do not change anything.
Wilson Eisenhower Nixon Clinton
 Presidents at end of reconstructive process.
 None of these executives were re-elected.
 Jeffersonian PoliticalTime
 Jacksonian PoliticalTime
 Lincoln’s Political Time
 Modern Political Time
Presidential Power: Psychology, Personality, and Leadership

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Presidential Power: Psychology, Personality, and Leadership

  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.  Personality,Traits, and Character  Interactions of Leaders with Others  Societal and Organizational Context  Problems/Tasks of Leader and Successors  Leader’s Interpretative Judgment  Means to Attain Ends / Followers’ Goals  Effects or Results of Leadership
  • 5.  ClassificationTool  What is it good for?  Forming and Refining Concepts  Sorting Cases  Creating Categories for Classification  Qualitative and QuantitativeApproaches
  • 6. CHAOS MUPPETS  Out of control, Emotional, Volatile ORDER MUPPETS  Neurotic, Risk-Averse, Regimented http://www.slate.com/articles/life/low_concept/2012/06/what_kind_of_muppet_are_you_chaos_or_order_.html Cookie Monster is most definitely a Chaos Muppet Richard Termine/PBS.org. Every Last One of Us Is a Chaos Muppet or an Order Muppet By Dahlia Lithwick | Posted Friday, June 8, 2012, at 9:12 AM ET | Posted Friday, June 8, 2012, at 9:12 AM ET Slate.com A Unified Theory of Muppet Types. Every once in a while, an idea comes along that changes the way we all look at ourselves forever. Before Descartes, nobody knew they were thinking. They all believed they were just mulling. Until Karl Marx, everyone totally hated one another but nobody knew quite why. And before Freud, nobody understood that all of humanity could be classified into one of two simple types: people who don’t yet know they want to sleep with their mothers, and people who already know they want to sleep with their mothers. These dialectics can change and shape who we are so profoundly, it’s hard to imagine life before the paradigm at all. The same thing is true of Muppet Theory, a little-known, poorly understood philosophy that holds that every living human can be classified according to one simple metric: Every one of us is either a Chaos Muppet or an Order Muppet. Chaos Muppets are out-of-control, emotional, volatile. They tend toward the blue and fuzzy. They make their way through life in a swirling maelstrom of food crumbs, small flaming objects, and the letter C. Cookie Monster, Ernie, Grover, Gonzo, Dr. Bunsen Honeydew and—paradigmatically—Animal, are all Chaos Muppets. Zelda Fitzgerald was a Chaos Muppet. So, I must tell you, is Justice Stephen Breyer. Order Muppets—and I’m thinking about Bert, Scooter, Sam the Eagle, Kermit the Frog, and the blue guy who is perennially harassed by Grover at restaurants (the Order Muppet Everyman)—tend to be neurotic, highly regimented, averse to surprises and may sport monstrously large eyebrows. They sometimes resent the responsibility of the world weighing on their felt shoulders, but they secretly revel in the knowledge that they keep the show running. Your first grade teacher was probably an Order Muppet. So is Chief Justice John Roberts. It’s not that any one type of Muppet is inherently better than the other. (Order Muppets do seem to attract the ladies, but then Chaos Muppets collect the chicken harems.) It’s simply the case that the key to a happy marriage, a well-functioning family, and a productive place of work lies in carefully calibrating the ratio of Chaos Muppets to Order Muppets within any closed system. That, and always letting the Chaos Muppets do the driving.
  • 7.  Central Elements of Model:  Skill: What presidents wants and ability to get it  Leverage: Tools, resources, political capital  Outcome: General objective (e.g. legislation)  Skill  Leverage  Outcome
  • 8. Model Skill Leverage Outcome Ideal Leadership + + + Indiana Jones + - + Pseudo-Leadership - + + Right Place, RightTime - - + No-Win Situation + + - Wrong Place, WrongTime + - - Incompetent President - + - Undistinguished President - - -
  • 9.
  • 10. INSTRUCTIONS What traits and characteristics are important for presidential leadership? Write a list. You will share your thoughts with the class.
  • 11.  Self-Reliant President  POTUS in Charge  Weakness: Narrow Scope  Minimalist President  “Chairman of the Board”; NOT Passive  Weakness: Overestimate Power/Judgment  Strategic Competence  Importance of Plan  Three Elements
  • 12.
  • 14.
  • 15.  What is style?  (1) Rhetoric, (2) Personal Relations, (3) Homework  What is world view?  Politically Relevant Beliefs  What is character?  Personal Conduct
  • 16. ACTIVE-PASSIVE  How much energy does the president invest in their job? POSITIVE-NEGATIVE  How much does the president enjoy their job?
  • 17. Barber argues that the first four presidents fit nicely into the four categories of the typology… Active-Positive Thomas Jefferson Active-Negative John Adams James Madison Passive-Positive GeorgeWashington Passive-Negative Presidential Character Credit given to Dr. James M. Curry, GVPT 475, University of Maryland
  • 18. Can we categorize recent presidents? George W. Bush? Barack Obama? Active-Positive Thomas Jefferson Franklin D. Roosevelt Teddy Roosevelt JFK Active-Negative JohnAdams LBJ WoodrowWilson Richard Nixon James Madison Ronald Reagan William H.Taft Passive-Positive G GeorgeWashington Calvin Coolidge Dwight D. Eisenhower Ulysses S. Grant Passive-Negative Presidential Character Credit given to Dr. James M. Curry, GVPT 475, University of Maryland
  • 19.
  • 20. MAIN CRITERIA  Public Communication  Organizational Capacity  Political Skill  Vision  Cognitive Style  Emotional Intelligence
  • 21.
  • 22.  Presidency lacking in strategic communication  Three Main Dimensions:  #1: Prepared Speeches  #2: Off-the Cuff Remarks and Press Interactions  #3: Staying on Message  POTUS communicates goals, vision, priorities to citizens, media, members of Congress,WH staff
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.  Is communicating ability “born or bred?”  Can be product of effort and eloquence  Case Study: George H.W. Bush
  • 27.
  • 28.  Main Dimensions:  #1: Hiring Good, Competent People  #2: Right Amount of Information  #3: Delegate Appropriately  Modern Development  Nineteenth century presidents almost no staff
  • 29.
  • 30.  Important Questions:  Can and will POTUS cross lines to achieve goals?  How well does he interact with Congress?  What is his reputation in political circles?  What do Neustadt and Edwards argue about political skill?
  • 31.  #1: Electoral Skill  Importance of Election  WinningVotes (e.g. Mandate)  #2: Coattails  Ability to get others of party elected into office  #3: Efficacy  AccomplishingGoals; Hinges on Legislative Strategy  Different ways to accomplish this
  • 32.
  • 33.  Ability to Inspire Others  Understanding Policies and Feasibility  Articulation of National Goals
  • 34.
  • 35.  Cognitive style assesses:  (1) Strength of POTUS intelligence, Problem-Solving  (2) Ability to Process Advice and Information  Cognitive style does NOT equal simple IQ  Background and prior experiences
  • 36.
  • 37.  Five Main Dimensions:  #1: Does the president know strengths/weaknesses?  #2: Does the president relate well with others?  #3: Does the president have a strong support system?  #4: Is the president disciplined?  #5: Does the president exhibit normal emotions?
  • 38. Excellent Satisfactory Poor Eisenhower F.D. Roosevelt Johnson Ford Truman Nixon GeorgeW. Bush Kennedy Carter Reagan Clinton Do you agree with Greenstein’s assessment? Why or why not?
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.  Articulate Goals/Mission of Predecessor  POTUS of Same Political Party as Predecessor  Examples:  James K. Polk  Ulysses S. Grant  Lyndon B. Johnson  George H.W. Bush
  • 51.  Presidents who get elected from opposition party but do not change anything. Wilson Eisenhower Nixon Clinton
  • 52.  Presidents at end of reconstructive process.  None of these executives were re-elected.
  • 53.  Jeffersonian PoliticalTime  Jacksonian PoliticalTime  Lincoln’s Political Time  Modern Political Time