Presentation: Expert workshop on developing meaningful adaptation policy indicators, Brendan Freeman - UK

1. Assessing progress in adapting to climate change:
Developing sector monitoring maps for the UK
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Brendan Freeman, Lead Analyst - adaptation
UK Climate Change Committee

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1. Adaptation reporting cycle across the UK
Jan 2022 Jan 2023
Wales
Progress
Report
2023
1st NI
Progress
Report
2023
England
Progress
Report
2023
Jan 2024
Welsh
Adaptation Plan
NICCAP3
Scotland
Progress
Report
2023
SCCAP3
NAP3
(England)
Scotland
Progress
Report
2023
Third UK
Climate
Change
Risk
Assessment
HM
Government
Climate
Change
Committee
Jan 2021
England
Progress
Report
2021

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2. Evolving our progress reporting
Our progress reporting approach for the 2021 assessment
Natural environment
Terrestrial habitats and species
Farmland habitats andspecies
Freshwater habitats andspecies
Coastal and marine habitats and
species
Commercial forestry
Agricultural productivity
Water management
Commercial fisheries and
aquaculture
People and built environment
Riv er and coastal flood allev iation
Dev elopmentin areas at risk of riv er
or coastal flooding
Surface water flood allev iation
Dev elopmentand surface water
flood risk
Property-level flood resilience
Capacity to recover from flooding
Coastal erosion risk management
Water demand in the built
env ironment
Health impacts from heat and cold
Risks to people from pathogens
Air quality
Effectiv eness ofthe emergency
planningsystem
Infrastructure
Infrastructure interdependencies
Design and location ofnew
infrastructure
Energy generation, transmission
and distribution
Public water supplyinfrastructure
Ports and airports
Rail network
Strategic road network
Local road network
Telecoms, digital and ICT
infrastructure
Business
Impacts on business from extreme
weather event
Supply chain interruptions
Water demand by industry
Business opportunities for climate
change adaptation

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3. New progress report structure
Systems approach
Principles:
• Reduce priority areas to sufficiently low number to have a monitoring map for each
• Systems-based approach incorporating all relevant hazards (including internationally) for each
Nature
Land ecosyst ems, Ocean ecosystems
Working land and seas
Agricult ural product ivit y, forestry product ivity,
fisheries product ivity
Towns & Cities
Flood defense, urban blue/green infrast ruct ure,
surface w at er drainage
Buildings
Building overheat ing, propert y level flood
resilience
Transport
Road, rail, port s, airport s
Water
Public w at er system, privat e water abstract ion,
drainage and w ast ewater
Energy
Elect ricit y, fuel supply, energy net w orks
Telecoms & ICT
Dat acent ers, net work infrastructure
Health
Vect or-borne diseases, heat-health impacts
Economy
Product ivit y impact s, economy-wide losses,
finance
Community
Societ al impact s
Natural Environment Built environment Infrastructure Society

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3. New progress report structure
Better understanding system interactions
Health
Vect or-borne diseases, heat-health impacts
Economy
Product ivit y impact s, economy-wide losses, finance
Community
Societ al impact s, community preparedness
Nature
Terrest rial, aquat ic
Working lands and seas
Forest ry, energy crops, agricult ure, fisheries
Water
Public w at er, w ater abst raction, wastewater
Food
Product ion, supply chains
Towns & Cities
Flood defense, urban blue/green infrast ruct ure, surface
w at er drainage
Buildings
Building overheat ing, propert y level flood resilience
Energy
Elect ricit y, fuel supply, energy net w orks
Telecoms & ICT
Dat acent ers, net work infrastructure
Transport
Road, rail, port s, airport s
DRAFT – nature interdependencies
Regulating

6. • Outcome: Identification of handful of required outcomes
(and corresponding metrics) for high climate resilience in
each area.
• Enablers/contextual factors: Identification of enablers for
delivering resilience outcomes – these don't build
resilience directly, but are necessary conditions for it to be
achieved and things that policy can be seeking to
influence
• Policies: Identification of policy milestones needed to be
in place from Gov. to put in place enablers and achieve
outcomes
Metrics to track outcomes and policies evaluated using
DA/England specific data when available within each
progress report
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4. Evolving monitoring map framework

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4. New progress report structure
Energy – Draft example
• Clear cent ralised report ing on
w eat her-relat ed out ages
• Dat a on considerat ion of climate risk
adapt at ion in major infrast ructure
project approvals
Reduced vulnerability of power assets to
weather
• Asset -level flood resilience
• Elect ricit y poles, pipes & ot her pow er system
infrast ruct ure in suitable condit ion to withstand
ext reme w eat her events
• Heat prot ect ion/operat ing t hresholds of
subst ations, cables, overhead lines & ot her power
syst em infrastructure
• Prot ect ion of soils from shrink-swell &
erosion/improved soil condit ion
Reliable power supply in a Net Zero economy
System level security of supply to large-
scale weather extremes
• Sufficient generat ion capacit y to accommodat e
nat ural variabilit y (using clean t echnologies)
• Diversify generat ion mix and locat ion to avoid
over-reliance on single t echnology
• Emergency response plans minimise the amount
of t ime customers are w ithout power – i) network
rest orat ion ii) access to local supplies of energy iii)
support for communit ies during outages (LRFs)
Required
Outcomes
Reporting
•M andat ory report ing on climat e risk
and adapt at ion act ivities by all major
elect ricit y and gas producers and
t ransmission system infrastructure
operat ors
Enablers
• £ spent (and forecast ) on system resilience ( e.g.
flood prot ect ion, pole management , veget at ion
management )
• Considerat ion of adapt at ion needs in investment
decisions (e.g. UK Infrastructure Bank)
•Co-ordinat ion of resilience responsibilities
across Gov depart ment s
•Climat e resilience incorporat ed int o relevant
Net Zero policies
•Clear cross-sect or governance arrangement s
& responsibilit ies for climate resilience
Data
Funding & investment
Governance
Policies
&
Plans
Planning
•Climat e resilience as a statutory considerat ion for planning
aut horit ies decisions on infrastructure
•Regular review of emergency response and communicat ion
plans for climat e resilience and int erdependency risks
•Test s for climate resilience being applied t o major
infrast ruct ure project s (e.g. GMPP)
Standards
•M inimum resilience standards for
generat ors and t ransmission &
dist ribut ion companies
Contextual
factors
Observed and project ed changes in:
• w ind st rength & regimes, storminess
• summer t emperat ures, extreme heat events
• w int er & summer rainfall, intensity of rainfall
event s – flooding & drought
• sea level rise, st orm surges, coastal erosion
• % share of elect rical energy from variable
renew ables (w ind, solar, hydro, t hermal)
• Proport ion of energy users dependent solely on
elect ricit y
• Age and condit ion of pow er infrastructure
• Locat ion of pow er infrastructure
Hazard Exposure
• Consumer bill
considerat ions impact ing ability to
invest in new infrastructure and
resilience act ivities
• Proport ion of pow er users in remot e
communit ies
Vulnerability
• Number of homes/businesses affected by w eat her-related pow er out ages
• Durat ion of w eat her-related out age events
Interdependencies identified
& managed
• I nt erdependency risks (e.g.
t ransport , w ater, digit al) included
in climat e risk assessments and
adapt at ion act ion plans for all
major elect ricit y and gas
producers and t ransmission system
infrast ruct ure operat ors
Key outcomes for a well-adapted
power system:
• Reduced vulnerability of power
assets to weather
• System level security of supply to
large-scale weather extremes
• Interdependencieswith other
infrastructure systems identified &
managed

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Thank you
www.theccc.org.uk
@theCCCUK