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Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans model
and its application in Ethiopia
By
Molla Deribie
ID.No.MAEC/0182/2005
Department: Agricultural Economics
St.Mary’s University College
School of Graduate Studies
Jan 2012,Addis Ababa
1
2
Outlines
1.Definition…………………………………………….3
2.Objectives…………………………………………...4
3. Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans
growth model………………………....5
4. Application of Ramsey–Cass –
Koopmans growth model…………….11
5.Conclusion……………………………....18
1.Definition of Ramsey–Cass–
Koopmans growth model
It is a neo-classical model of economic
growth
It explicitly models the choice of
consumption at a point in time.
It has made the savings rate
endogenous.
3
2.Objectives of the paper
To understand what the Ramsey –
Cass–Koopmans growth model says
about;
To see application of the model in
Ethiopia and
To draw a relevant conclusion on
wards the results and scientific findings
of the model.
4
3. Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans model
Households
 there is a social planners problem.
 whose goal is maximization of the
sum of intertemporal utility.
Objective function:
5
Budget constraint

,whereBtis assets, wt is wage rate and rt is
interest rate.
 In per capita terms:
6
Problem of the representative households:
• L= u (c)e-(ρ-n)t
+λ[ wt+(r-n)bt-ct] ,where λ is
Lagrangian multiplier or marginal utility
of income.
FOC
7
Transversality condition:
The value of the representative
household’s assets must approach zero
as time approaches infinity.
The higher r, the more willing
households are to save and shift
consumption in the future.
The higher the rate of return to
consumption is, the more willing
households are to sacrifice future
consumption for more current
consumption and thereby less current
saving.
8
Firms
Problem of the representative firm i:
choose the amount of capital Κi and
labor input Li to maximize its profit πi
 πi = F(Ki , Li ) − (r +δ )Ki – wLi
FOC


9
Cont..
The marginal product of each input
equals its associated cost. This is an
optimal point of profit maximization.
To maximize profit, the firm hires up
to the point at which the marginal
product of each input equals its
associated cost.
All firms and factor owners being paid
their marginal product
10
4.Application of Ramsey –Cass
Koopmans growth model in
Ethiopia
1.On Risk modeling:
2.On Hydropower and Irrigation Modeling:
11
Risk modeling:
This model can identify the aggregate
effect of risk on resource accumulation,
economic growth and savings and the
nature of the risk faced on the rural
peoples of Ethiopia.
Agents maximize expected utility over an
infinite horizon. Each household solves
for the optimal investment function.
12
Cont..
The household faces both capital
income (shocks sy) and asset risk
(shocks sk).
13
Hydropower and Irrigation Modeling:
Empirical evidence from the International
Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
The objective is to evaluate if Ethiopia’s
economy is better off with or without the
implementation of the hydropower project.
This model is applied on energy
development, identification of suitable
hydropower and irrigation projects,
assessing hydropower and irrigation
optimization.
14
Cont..
The basic premise of the model is to
balance capital, labor, and the energy
sector (collectively constituting gross
domestic product) with consumption
and investment
15
A* Lt
α
*Kt
β
*Et
γ
+ ETt = ct + it + IEt
• A is a calibration
• E the consumed energy in
domestic=4,643 GWh
• ET is energy trade
• L=37.5 million
• K=US$ 16.5 billion
• α, β, and γ are set to 0.446, 0.48, and
0.074, respectively.
• IE energy investment 16
Objective function
A multiplier greater than 1.0 indicates
economic growth if the project is
realized.
less than 1.0 implies that the project
may not be economically wise.
17
5.Conclusion
In general the Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans
model is applicable on economic
optimization problems in Ethiopia.
It is also valid on utility and profit
maximization problems and project
worthiness.
18
Presentation
Presentation

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Presentation

  • 1. Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans model and its application in Ethiopia By Molla Deribie ID.No.MAEC/0182/2005 Department: Agricultural Economics St.Mary’s University College School of Graduate Studies Jan 2012,Addis Ababa 1
  • 3. 1.Definition of Ramsey–Cass– Koopmans growth model It is a neo-classical model of economic growth It explicitly models the choice of consumption at a point in time. It has made the savings rate endogenous. 3
  • 4. 2.Objectives of the paper To understand what the Ramsey – Cass–Koopmans growth model says about; To see application of the model in Ethiopia and To draw a relevant conclusion on wards the results and scientific findings of the model. 4
  • 5. 3. Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans model Households  there is a social planners problem.  whose goal is maximization of the sum of intertemporal utility. Objective function: 5
  • 6. Budget constraint  ,whereBtis assets, wt is wage rate and rt is interest rate.  In per capita terms: 6
  • 7. Problem of the representative households: • L= u (c)e-(ρ-n)t +λ[ wt+(r-n)bt-ct] ,where λ is Lagrangian multiplier or marginal utility of income. FOC 7
  • 8. Transversality condition: The value of the representative household’s assets must approach zero as time approaches infinity. The higher r, the more willing households are to save and shift consumption in the future. The higher the rate of return to consumption is, the more willing households are to sacrifice future consumption for more current consumption and thereby less current saving. 8
  • 9. Firms Problem of the representative firm i: choose the amount of capital Κi and labor input Li to maximize its profit πi  πi = F(Ki , Li ) − (r +δ )Ki – wLi FOC   9
  • 10. Cont.. The marginal product of each input equals its associated cost. This is an optimal point of profit maximization. To maximize profit, the firm hires up to the point at which the marginal product of each input equals its associated cost. All firms and factor owners being paid their marginal product 10
  • 11. 4.Application of Ramsey –Cass Koopmans growth model in Ethiopia 1.On Risk modeling: 2.On Hydropower and Irrigation Modeling: 11
  • 12. Risk modeling: This model can identify the aggregate effect of risk on resource accumulation, economic growth and savings and the nature of the risk faced on the rural peoples of Ethiopia. Agents maximize expected utility over an infinite horizon. Each household solves for the optimal investment function. 12
  • 13. Cont.. The household faces both capital income (shocks sy) and asset risk (shocks sk). 13
  • 14. Hydropower and Irrigation Modeling: Empirical evidence from the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) The objective is to evaluate if Ethiopia’s economy is better off with or without the implementation of the hydropower project. This model is applied on energy development, identification of suitable hydropower and irrigation projects, assessing hydropower and irrigation optimization. 14
  • 15. Cont.. The basic premise of the model is to balance capital, labor, and the energy sector (collectively constituting gross domestic product) with consumption and investment 15
  • 16. A* Lt α *Kt β *Et γ + ETt = ct + it + IEt • A is a calibration • E the consumed energy in domestic=4,643 GWh • ET is energy trade • L=37.5 million • K=US$ 16.5 billion • α, β, and γ are set to 0.446, 0.48, and 0.074, respectively. • IE energy investment 16
  • 17. Objective function A multiplier greater than 1.0 indicates economic growth if the project is realized. less than 1.0 implies that the project may not be economically wise. 17
  • 18. 5.Conclusion In general the Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans model is applicable on economic optimization problems in Ethiopia. It is also valid on utility and profit maximization problems and project worthiness. 18